Ball stud parts are manufactured by a cold forging process, and fastening with other parts is secured through a head part cutting process. In order to improve process quality, stabilization of the forging quality of the head is given priority. To this end, in this study, a predictive model was developed for the purpose of improving forging quality. The prediction accuracy of the model based on 450 data sets acquired from the manufacturing site was low. As a result of gradually multiplying the data set based on FE simulation, it was expected that it would be possible to develop a predictive model with an accuracy of about 95%. It is essential to build automated labeling of forging load and dimensional data at manufacturing sites, and to apply a refinement algorithm for filtering data sets. Finally, in order to optimize the ball stud manufacturing process, it is necessary to develop a quality prediction model linked to the forging and cutting processes.