Recently, localized rainfalls and torrential typhoons due to the abnormal climate have increased in Korea and the damage situation caused by debris flow at Umyeon Mountain has especially take place a big social issue. However, the standardized damage investigation does not yet exist and the systematic analysis of the data has not also been carried out. In this regard, this study developed assessment factors to conduct standardized damage investigation for debris flow. To achieve this, preliminary assessment factors were derived from analysis of literature review and the Delphi method through 12 experts who work at fields of facility, academia and industry. As a result, 29 rational check lists of 6 groups were determined.

This study started with two questions. The first question is ‘Why does organic agriculture want to be linked with cooperative?’ The second is ‘What is the charac-teristics of the mutual relationship between organic agriculture and cooperative?’, especially in Wonju. Up to now, there have been various kinds of discussion about cooperation between organic agricultural campaign and cooperative in Wonju. But there are few concrete data showing what role cooperative plays in the cyclical process of production -distribution-consumption of organic agriculture. Thus, we conducted a survey applying the Delphi technique to the 35 organic agricultural specialists active in Wonju. First, small-scale family farm producers established a social economic cooperative network in around 2003 to perform ‘the activities of innovators’ through forming an organization. Producers moved from the stage in which they were supported one-sidedly by consumers to the stage where they could ‘lead’ cooperation. Each farm organization built a vertical integration, and horizontal cooperative systems with other farm organizations. But, practical cooperative activities have remained in the doldrums. They tend to show trends deviating from the principles of organic agriculture and cooperative. Second, the relationship between producers and consumers in Wonju can be described as ‘producer-consumer cooperative type’. In Wonju, the producers’ organization is not a sub-contractor which simply deliver organic agricultural products to producers’ cooperative, but is an equal subject which creates its own value chain. The cooper-ative (cooperative organization) leads distribution and consumption of organic agricultural products and mutual communication. But, the closeness between pro-ducers and consumers has got loosened. And, it is problematic that the proportion of local food consumption in Wonju is very low. There is a very strong tendency to ride the central distribution system of producers’ cooperative coalition. Conse-quently, it is necessary for producers’ cooperatives in Wonju to run a local food distribution system based on the ‘cooperative system among cooperatives’.

This study was performed to select the performance-based evaluation items of concrete retaining wall. This study used Delphi Technique. As a result of survey, this study gained 17 condition assessment items and 7 safety evaluation items at final round. The results will be utilized as the basis for the performance-based evaluation.

도시환경은 비슷할 수 있지만 도시를 구성하고 있는 산업단지, 주거단지 등 모든 구조가 다르기 때문에 똑같은 재난·재해 매뉴얼을 적용하다는 것은 효과적인 재난 예방을 담보하기 어려워 위험성이 크다. 따라서 각 도시에 맞는 재난·재해 대응 매뉴얼 개발이 필요하다. 또한 한정된 자원을 효과적으로 활용하기 위하여 위험의 규모와 확률을 계산하고 지역특성을 고려한 위험 요소의 가중치 산정을 통해 집중적인 예방활동을 하는 것이 필요하다. 본 연구는 대전시의 지역별 특성에 맞는 도시 위험요소를 선정하고 우선순위 결정을 위하여 델파이 기법과 AHP분석을 이용하였다. 또한 재난·재해를 사전에 예방하기 위하여 자연재난·재해와 사회재난·재해 요인으로 구분하여 평가지표를 제시하고자 하였다. 델파이 분석결과, 대전시는 산불과 산업사고, 폭염에 대한 대비는 우수한 것으로 나타났지만 풍수해, 가뭄, 낙뢰, 교통, 건물붕괴, 독극물(환경오염), 화재폭발, 감염병 경우 ‘보통(3점)’에서 ‘그렇다(4점)’사이의 인식을 나타냈다. 반면 지진 같은 경우에는 매우 우려되고 있는 것으로 나타났다. AHP 분석결과는 풍수해, 지진에 대한 중요도가 높은 것으로 나타났다. 또한 산불재난에 대한 대비와, 건물붕괴의 중요도가 높게 나타났다. 재난·재해를 예방하기 위하여 많은 노력과 준비가 필요하지만 한정된 자원과 시간 속에서 모든 재난·재해에 비용을 지출한다는 것은 너무 많은 순손실을 가져온다. 분석결과를 기초로 도시별 재난·재해 예방을 위한 안전계획 수립, 재난대응 매뉴얼 등에 반영된다면, 재난 발생시 인구기능 밀집 등으로 인한 연쇄·증폭 효과로 심각한 피해를 보다 효과적인 방법으로 대응할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

우리나라의 자연재난은 대부분 홍수가 차지하지만 최근 들어, 우리나라에도 겨울철 폭설에 대한 관심이 높아지고 있어, 설해 위험도에 관한 연구가 늘어나고 있다. 그러므로 설해 위험도 분석기법에 대한 논의를 하고자 한다. 우리나라의 기존 설해 위험도 분석은 연최고 최심적설 시계열을 이용한 빈도해석기법이 주로 적용되어 왔다. 이는 과거의 자료를 바탕으로 설해 위험도를 예측하고자 하는 방법이다. 그러나 설해와 달리 다양한 방법으로 오랜 기간 동안 연구가 수행되어 온 홍수 위험도나 취약성 분석은 지형, 기후, 사회적인 요인이나 재해에 대한 노출 정도를 다양하게 고려하고, 각 인자들에 대한 전문가의 의견을 고려하는 델파이 기법이 많이 적용되어 왔다. 그러므로 설해위험도 역시 다양한 방법으로 분석되고 연구되어 비교되어야 한다고 판단하여, 본 연구에서는 설해위험도에 영향을 미치는 인자를 압력(Pressure), 현상(State), 반응(Response)으로 나누어 인자들을 고려하고 분석하는 PSR 방법을 적용하였다. 각 인자들의 가중치는 앞에서 설명한 바와 같이 델파이 기법을 적용하였다. 계산된 설해위험도는 기존의 방법과 비교하여 제시하였으며, 기후변화 등으로 인해 기후의 비정상성이 의심되는 환경을 고려하면, 설해위험도에 영향을 미치는 인자들을 고르게 고려하여 분석하는 PSR방법도 좋은 결과를 주는 것으로 나타났다. 향후에는 델파이기법으로 계산한 인자들의 가중치 적용 방법을 개선해야하여 객관성을 보다 확보해야 할 것으로 보인다.

The purpose of this study is to develop planning technique for low carbon rural village planning. planning techniques (169 cases : waterside Technique 87, inland Technique 82) were extracted through a various previous studies and literature. planning techniques of 43 cases for low carbon rural village have been developed by the importance validity evaluation for planning techniques using the Delphi Method. Developed techniques can be utilized to plan low carbon rural village for Sustainable Rural Development. In addition, these techniques will be able to contribute to recognition of the need about low carbon rural village and the development of national green strategy.

This study has intended to elicit the definition of rural landscape, to classify rural landscape type, and to develop the evaluation indicators of rural landscape, meeting the definition through delphi expert survey method. The survey was performed five times for 80 days by 20 experts. The delphi expert survey asked experts as follows: 1) to fill out open-ended questions regarding the definition of rural landscape, and classification of rural landscape types, and evaluation indicators; 2) to provide their own feasibility evaluation regarding the results of the previous answer; and 3) to reevaluate the feasibility of the definition, types, and indicators. Based on the survey results, this study has found the appropriate definition of rural landscape like the comprehensive complex of physical (objective) and nonphysical (subjective) factors characterizing natural and/or artificial scenary of rural village itself Also, this study has developed the evaluation indicators of rural landscape in accordance with space types and landscape units classified. The developed indicators included areal ratio, the degree of green naturality, the building coverage ratio for physical landscape field, and skyline, landscape adjectives, color landscape, semantic scale.

In this study was investigated the value of rural residence in later life from the personal, regional, and national perspective. For this purpose, a three-round Delphi technique was used to collect data through a series of surveys to obtain the consensus of a group of 38 experts in value of rural residence in later life in the future. In the first round was sent to them unstructured questionnaire and in the second and third round, the summarized results of the first and second round were delivered to rate the importance of each item for confirmation and validation of the results. Data were analyzed using content analysis and descriptive statistics. The major findings of this study are as follows: First, the personal, regional, and national value of rural residence in later life was selected 7 domains 23 items, 4 domains 22 items, and 3 domains 20 items respectively. Experts consented that the value from the personal perspective will be the highest among 3 perspectives. Second, as the value of rural residence from the personal perspective, it was showed nature-friendly life, physical health emotional serenity, lower expenditure, enjoyable filming, feeding the safe food, and etc,. As the value of it from the regional perspective was showed usage of retirees' speciality and experience to community development and the increase of recreational function in the rural. Also, from the national perspective, it was showed the sustainability of the rural, the establishment of welfare base, balanced development between regions. Based on these results, policy implications were discussed.

델파이법을 이용한 본 연구는 한국농업의 미래 유망기술을 예측. 도출하기 위하여 시도되었다. 이 미래유망기술을 토대로 우리나라의 농업은 고부가가치를 지닌 2떼기의 핵심전략산업으로 성장하게 할 것이다. 델파이법을 이용하여 경종작물 분야의 전문가에게 각 기술의 전문도, 중요도, 실현시기(국내 및 세계), 연구개발수준, 실현시기의 확신도, 기술적으로 가장 앞선 국가, 연구개발 추진주체, 유효한 정책수단 등을 질문하였다. 이 조사의 대상은 경종작물분야의 전문가로 한정하였다. 미래유망기술로는 44개의 기술이 도출되었고, 이 조사에 응답한 전문가는 39명이었다.

The objectives of this study were 1) to evaluate the environmental and social cultural public benefits but a food supply, 2) to revalue the importance of rural and rural living, This study was carried out through review of literature, a delphi technique, a case study. It was mainly used the delphi technique by expert group. Major findings were as follows ; 1. The public benefits in rural were classified into three categories:(1) social culture (2) natural environment (3) economic & etc. 2. To evaluate the values for public benefits, questionaries were developed by expert group, and the total number of items were 30. 3. There were picked out 12 items on social culture, 10 items on natural environment, and 8 items on economic & etc of public benefits in rural. 4. In the public benefits, a food supply was highest in total 30 items, and water resources contain, emotional-psychological rest, place of environment education, beautiful view, etc were followed in order.