This study aims to empirically analyze the relationship between climate change elements and catch amount of coastal fisheries, which is predicted to be vulnerable to climate change since its business scale is too small and fishing ground is limited. Using panel data from 1974 to 2013 by region, we tested the relationship between the sea temperature, salinity and the coastal fisheries production. A spatial panel model was applied in order to reflect the spatial dependence of the ocean. The results indicated that while the upper(0-20m) sea temperature and salinity have no significant influence on the coastal fisheries production, the lower(30-50m) sea temperature has significant positive effects on it and, by extension, on the neighboring areas’s production. Therefore, with sea temperature forecast data derived from climate change scenarios, it is expected that these results can be used to assess the future vulnerability to the climate change.

Ⅰ. 서 론
Ⅱ. 분석 자료 및 방법
Ⅲ. 분석 결과
Ⅳ. 요약 및 결론
REFERENCES

• 김봉태(한국해양수산개발원) | Bong-Tae Kim Corresponding author
• 엄기혁(국립수산과학원 기후변화연구과) | Ki-Hyuk Eom
• 이준수(국립수산과학원 기후변화연구과) | Joon-Soo Lee
• 박혜진(한국해양수산개발원) | Hye-Jin Park
• 육근형(한국해양수산개발원) | Keun-Hyung Yook