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기후변화에 따른 주요 도시의 연간 최소 확률강우량 추정 KCI 등재

Estimation of Annual Minimal Probable Precipitation Under Climate Change in Major Cities

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  • URLhttps://db.koreascholar.com/Article/Detail/327363
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상하수도학회지 (Journal of the Korean Society of Water and Wastewater)
대한상하수도학회 (Korean Society Of Water And Wastewater)
초록

On account of the increase in water demand and climate change, droughts are in great concern for water resources planning and management. In this study, rainfall characteristics with stationary and non-stationary perspectives were analyzed using Weibull distribution model with 40-year records of annual minimum rainfall depth collected in major cities of Korea. As a result, the non-stationary minimum probable rainfall was expected to decrease, compared with the stationary probable rainfall. The reliability of ξ1, a variable reflecting the decrease of the minimum rainfall depth due to climate change, in Wonju, Daegu, and Busan was over 90%, indicating the probability that the minimal rainfall depths in those city decrease is high.

저자
  • 박규홍(중앙대학교 사회기반시스템공학부) | Kyoohong Park (Dept. of Civil Engineering at Chung-Ang University) Corresponding author
  • 유순유(중앙대학교 사회기반시스템공학부) | Soonyu Yu (Dept. of Civil Engineering at Chung-Ang University)
  • 뱜바도지엘베자르갈(울란바타르 하수도과) | Elbegjargal Byambadorj (Dept. of Sewerage in Ulanbataar City)