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계절 맨-켄달 기법을 이용한 금호강 본류 BOD의 장기 경향 분석 및 탐색적 자료 분석 KCI 등재

Long-Term Trend Analysis and Exploratory Data Analysis of Geumho River based on Seasonal Mann-Kendall Test

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한국환경과학회지 (Journal of Environmental Science International)
한국환경과학회 (The Korean Environmental Sciences Society)
초록

The government has conducted a plan of total maximum daily loads(TMDL), which divides with unit watershed, for management of stable water quality target by setting the permitted total amount of the pollutant. In this study, BOD concentration trends over the last 10 years from 2005 to 2014 were analyzed in the Geumho river. Improvement effect of water quality throughout the implementation period of TMDL was evaluated using the seasonal Mann-Kendall test and a LOWESS(locally weighted scatter plot smoother) smooth. As a study result of the seasonal Mann-Kendall test and the LOWESS smooth, BOD concentration in the Geumho river appeared to have been reduced or held at a constant. As a result of quantitatively analysis for BOD concentration with exploratory data analysis(EDA), the mean and the median of BOD concentration appeared in the order of GH8 〉GH7 〉GH6 〉GH5 〉GH4 〉GH3 〉GH2 〉GH1. The monthly average concentration of BOD appeared in the order of Apr 〉Mar 〉Feb 〉May 〉Jun 〉Jul 〉Jan 〉Aug 〉Sep 〉Dec 〉Nov 〉Oct. As a result of the outlier, its value was the most frequent in February, which is estimated 1.5 times more than July, and was smallest frequent in July. The outlier in terms of water quality management is necessary in order to establish a management plan for the contaminants in watershed.

목차
1. 서론
 2. 재료 및 방법
  2.1. 대상유역 및 자료 분석
  2.2. 계절 맨-켄달 검정법(Seasonal Mann-Kendall test)
  2.3. LOWESS 경향분석
  2.4. 탐색적 자료 분석
 3. 결과 및 토의
  3.1. BOD 농도 경향분석
  3.2. 지점별 탐색적 자료 분석
  3.3. 월별 탐색적 자료분석
  3.4. 특이점 분석(outlier analysis
 4. 결론
 REFERENCES
저자
  • 정강영(국립환경과학원 낙동강물환경연구소, Nakdong River Environment Research Center, National Institute of Environmental Research) | Kang-Young Jung
  • 이인정(국립환경과학원 낙동강물환경연구소, Nakdong River Environment Research Center, National Institute of Environmental Research) | In Jung Lee
  • 이경락(국립환경과학원 낙동강물환경연구소, Nakdong River Environment Research Center, National Institute of Environmental Research) | Kyung-Lak Lee
  • 천세억(국립환경과학원 낙동강물환경연구소, Nakdong River Environment Research Center, National Institute of Environmental Research) | Se-Uk Cheon
  • 홍준영(경북대학교 토목공학과, Department of Civil Engineering Kyungpook National University) | Jun Young Hong
  • 안정민(국립환경과학원 낙동강물환경연구소, Nakdong River Environment Research Center, National Institute of Environmental Research) | Jung-Min Ahn Corresponding author