Spatial and temporal patterns of precipitation and temperature occur with regard to aspect and elevation of Mt. Halla in Jeju Island. Therefore, there is a need to predict regional drought associate with them to mitigate of impacts of drought. In this study, regional drought is predicted based on Palmer drought severity index (PDSI) and standardized precipitation index (SPI) using future (2015~2044) climate change scenario RCP (representative concentration pathways) 4.5 classified as 24 regions according to aspect and elevation. The results show that number and duration of drought will be decrease in Jeju Island. However, severity of severe drought will be increase in western and northern aspect with under 200 meters above mean sea level. These findings provide primary information for developing the proactive strategies to mitigate impacts of drought by future climate change in Jeju Island.

Abstract
 1. 서 론
 2. 연구방법 및 자료
  2.1. 가뭄 발생 예측 방법
  2.2. 제주도의 지역 구분
  2.3. 기상자료의 획득
 3. 연구결과
  3.1. 강수량과 기온의 변화 경향
  3.2. 가뭄 발생횟수의 변화
  3.3. 가뭄 지속기간의 변화
  3.4. 가뭄심도의 변화
 4. 토의 및 결론
 참 고 문 헌

• 박종철(공주대학교 지리정보과학연구소) | Jong-Chul Park (Institute of Geographic Information Science, Kongju National University)
• 최광준(한국농어촌공사 농어촌연구원) | Kwang-Jun Choi (Rural Research Institute, Korea Rural Community Corporation)
• 송성호(한국농어촌공사 농어촌연구원) | Sung-Ho Song (Rural Research Institute, Korea Rural Community Corporation) Corresponding author