정보통신기술(Information and Communication Technology)과 기존 교통수단의 융복합으로 수소자동차, 자율주행자동차 등과 같은 새로운 교통수단 등장으로 광역 이동과 같은 이동성이 향상될 것으로 기대되고 있다. 또한, 보다 빠른 광역 이동성 확보를 위해 BRT 전용차로 도입에 대한 논의가 계속되고 있으므로 본 연구는 BRT 전용차로 구간에서 자율주행자동차의 혼입률 및 대중교통 전환율에 따른 시나리오를 설정해 서비스수준 분석을 기반으로 잉여차로 발생 가능성을 확인하였다. 더불어, 미래교통량 증가와 자율주행 기술 의 발전이 BRT 전용차로 운영 구간에 미치는 변화를 분석해 도로의 자산가치 산정을 목적으로 하고 있다. 설정한 시나리오에서 도로 가 기능을 발휘할 수 있는 일정한 서비스수준(Level of Service, LOS)를 유지하는 자율주행자동차 혼입률 수준을 파악하였으며, A~F 의 6단계로 구분하여 결과를 도출하였다. 도로의 자산가치 산정방법은 국가회계기준에서 제시하고 있는 토지의 대체적 평가방법 4가 지 방법과 보다 객관성을 확보한 새로운 자산가치 평가방법을 준용하여 도로의 자산가치를 산정하였다. 분석 결과, 간선도로 서비스수 준을 통해 BRT 전용차로를 시행하면서 연속류 구간에서는 자율주행자동차 혼입률이 75%되는 경우 편도 3차로에서 편도 2차로로 1차 로 감소가 이루어져도 현재의 서비스수준을 유지할 수 있으며, 단속류에서는 자율주행자동차의 혼입률이 50%되는 시점에 편도 4차로 에서 편도3차로 1차로 감소 시 동일한 효과를 발휘할 수 있음을 확인하였다. 즉, 연속류 구간에서 자율주행자동차 비율이 75% 및 단 속류 구간에서는 자율주행자동차의 비율이 50%되는 시점에서 1차로에 대한 도로 자산가치가 발생할 수 있음을 알 수 있었다. 이와 같은 잉여차로는 보행약자를 위한 보행 공간 및 자전거도로, 개인형이동장치((Personal Mobility, PM)전용도로, 완충녹지 등의 완전도 로로 활용될 수 있음을 시사하고 있다.

PURPOSES : The purpose of this study was to investigate directions for future smart city transportation policies and service development by evaluating road service satisfaction levels and predicting future service demand. METHODS : A nationwide survey was conducted in Korea to develop a transportation service evaluation system based on the functions and objects of transportation. The satisfaction level of road service was evaluated using an analytic hierarchy process (AHP), promising service sectors were identified using the revised importance-performance analysis (IPA) technique, and detailed service demands by sector were suggested. RESULTS : The most valuable service value felt by the people was "safety" (weight 0.4), and the overall satisfaction level was 68.9 points, slightly exceeding "normal." As a result of analyzing the promising service sectors by dividing them into urban and rural areas, "handicapped, elderly, and pedestrians" were important in both areas, and "road facility maintenance" was classified as an additional promising sector for rural areas. CONCLUSIONS : People demand that future smart city transportation policies and services should be "people" and "safety" centered. In addition, it is necessary to pay attention not only to the development of new services but also to the improvement of problems with existing services and policies.

PURPOSES : This study aims to examine the differences between the existing traffic demand forecasting method and the traffic demand forecasting method considering future regional development plans and new road construction and expansion plans using a four-step traffic demand forecast for a more objective and sophisticated national highway maintenance. This study ultimately aims to present future pavement deterioration and budget forecasting planning based on the examination. METHODS: This study used the latest data offered by the Korea Transport Data Base (KTDB) as the basic data for demand forecast. The analysis scope was set using the Daejeon Metropolitan City’s O/D and network data. This study used a traffic demand program called TransCad, and performed a traffic assignment by vehicle type through the application of a user equilibrium-based multi-class assignment technique. This study forecasted future traffic demand by verifying whether or not a realistic traffic pattern was expressed similarly by undertaking a calibration process. This study performed a life cycle cost analysis based on traffic using the forecasted future demand or existing past pattern, or by assuming the constant traffic demand. The maintenance criteria were decided according to equivalent single axle loads (ESAL). The maintenance period in the concerned section was calculated in this study. This study also computed the maintenance costs using a construction method by applying the maintenance criteria considering the ESAL. The road user costs were calculated by using the user cost calculation logic applied to the Korean Pavement Management System, which is the existing study outcome. RESULTS : This study ascertained that the increase and decrease of traffic occurred in the concerned section according to the future development plans. Furthermore, there were differences from demand forecasting that did not consider the development plans. Realistic and accurate demand forecasting supported an optimized decision making that efficiently assigns maintenance costs, and can be used as very important basic information for maintenance decision making. CONCLUSIONS : Therefore, decision making for a more efficient and sophisticated road management than the method assuming future traffic can be expected to be the same as the existing pattern or steady traffic demand. The reflection of a reliable forecasting of the future traffic demand to life cycle cost analysis (LCCA) can be a very vital factor because many studies are generally performed without considering the future traffic demand or with an analysis through setting a scenario upon LCCA within a pavement management system.