정확한 선박 항적 예측은 선박의 충돌 회피 전략 수립과 자율운항 선박의 안전 운항에 중요한 요소이다. MMG(Maneuvering Modeling Group) 모델이나 CFD(Computational Fluid Dynamics)를 활용하여 선박 항적을 계산할 수 있지만, 계산을 위한 선박의 정확한 계 수등을 확보하는 것은 현실적으로 어렵다. 이에 대한 대안으로, LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory)과 같은 인공지능을 활용한 항적 예측 연 구가 진행되고 있다. 그러나 LSTM 단독으로는 선박의 복잡한 비선형적 움직임을 완벽히 예측하는데 한계가 있다. 예측 정확도를 향상 시키기 위해 본 연구에서는 STL-CNN-LSTM 하이브리드 모델을 제안한다. 이 모델은 STL (Seasonal and Trend decomposition using Loess)을 이용한 데이터를 분해하고, CNN(Convolutional Neural Network)을 활용한 데이터의 특징 추출, 그리고 LSTM을 통한 학습이 이뤄진다. 이 연구는 CNN-LSTM에 비해 얼마나 더 높은 항적 예측도를 보여주는지 비교 분석한다. 분석 결과, STL-CNN-LSTM 모델은 CNN-LSTM보 다 우수한 예측 성능을 보이며, 예측 오차는 1~5미터 범위 내에 있는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 연구 결과는 정밀한 충돌 회피 전략 개 발에 기여할 수 있으며, 향후 연구에서는 실무 적용을 위한 충돌회피 모델의 설계 고도화 연구에 적용될 것이다.
Background: The increasing demand for real-time professional fitness coaching has led to a need for accurate exercise posture recognition using artificial intelligence. Objectives: To compare the performance of Feedforward Neural Network (FNN) and Stacked Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models in classifying fitness posture images using detailed joint coordinate labeling. Design: Comparative analysis of machine learning models using a labeled dataset of fitness posture images. Methods: A dataset from AI-hub containing images and data of 41 exercises was used. Five exercises were selected and processed using a custom program. Data was converted from JSON to CSV format, augmented with joint condition information, and analyzed using Google Colab. Results: The best FNN model achieved a training error of 1.21% and test error of 9.08%. The Stacked LSTM model demonstrated superior performance with a training error of 1.05% and test error of 6.09%. Conclusion: Both FNN and Stacked LSTM models effectively classified sequential fitness images, with Stacked LSTM showing superior performance. This indicates the potential of Stacked LSTM models for accurate fitness posture classification in real-time coaching scenarios.
The purpose of this study is to develop a timely fall detection system aimed at improving elderly care, reducing injury risks, and promoting greater independence among older adults. Falls are a leading cause of severe complications, long-term disabilities, and even mortality in the aging population, making their detection and prevention a crucial area of public health focus. This research introduces an innovative fall detection approach by leveraging Mediapipe, a state-of-the-art computer vision tool designed for human posture tracking. By analyzing the velocity of keypoints derived from human movement data, the system is able to detect abrupt changes in motion patterns, which are indicative of potential falls. To enhance the accuracy and robustness of fall detection, this system integrates an LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) model specifically optimized for time-series data analysis. LSTM's ability to capture critical temporal shifts in movement patterns ensures the system's reliability in distinguishing falls from other types of motion. The combination of Mediapipe and LSTM provides a highly accurate and robust monitoring system with a significantly reduced false-positive rate, making it suitable for real-world elderly care environments. Experimental results demonstrated the efficacy of the proposed system, achieving an F1 score of 0.934, with a precision of 0.935 and a recall of 0.932. These findings highlight the system's capability to handle complex motion data effectively while maintaining high accuracy and reliability. The proposed method represents a technological advancement in fall detection systems, with promising potential for implementation in elderly monitoring systems. By improving safety and quality of life for older adults, this research contributes meaningfully to advancements in elderly care technology.
Recently, due to the expansion of the logistics industry, demand for logistics automation equipment is increasing. The modern logistics industry is a high-tech industry that combines various technologies. In general, as various technologies are grafted, the complexity of the system increases, and the occurrence rate of defects and failures also increases. As such, it is time for a predictive maintenance model specialized for logistics automation equipment. In this paper, in order to secure the operational safety and reliability of the parcel loading system, a predictive maintenance platform was implemented based on the Naive Bayes-LSTM(Long Short Term Memory) model. The predictive maintenance platform presented in this paper works by collecting data and receiving data based on a RabbitMQ, loading data in an InMemory method using a Redis, and managing snapshot DB in real time. Also, in this paper, as a verification of the Naive Bayes-LSTM predictive maintenance platform, the function of measuring the time for data collection/storage/processing and determining outliers/normal values was confirmed. The predictive maintenance platform can contribute to securing reliability and safety by identifying potential failures and defects that may occur in the operation of the parcel loading system in the future.
The amount of temporarily stored spent nuclear fuel in South Korea will be reaching saturation in a near future. Therefore, it is an urgent issue to construct a spent nuclear fuel storage system. In order to construct the storage system, some coastal environmental characteristics such as temperature, pH, and chemical composition of sea water in South Korea have to be evaluated and predicted because they can affect in deterioration of the storage system. However, in South Korea, the coastal environmental characteristics of area where the storage system is likely to be built are not well established until now. In this study, a time-series deep-learning algorithm is developed using the Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm to predict and evaluate the coastal environmental characteristics based on the wellestablished data from Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries (MOF). As a result, by developing the predictive model to evaluate the coastal environmental characteristics, we intend to apply it for site evaluation to construct the spent nuclear fuel storage system or many other applications related to the nuclear as well.
A lot of sensor and control signals is generated by an industrial controller and related internet-of-things in discrete manufacturing system. The acquired signals are such records indicating whether several process operations have been correctly conducted or not in the system, therefore they are usually composed of binary numbers. For example, once a certain sensor turns on, the corresponding value is changed from 0 to 1, and it means the process is finished the previous operation and ready to conduct next operation. If an actuator starts to move, the corresponding value is changed from 0 to 1 and it indicates the corresponding operation is been conducting. Because traditional fault detection approaches are generally conducted with analog sensor signals and the signals show stationary during normal operation states, it is not simple to identify whether the manufacturing process works properly via conventional fault detection methods. However, digital control signals collected from a programmable logic controller continuously vary during normal process operation in order to show inherent sequence information which indicates the conducting operation tasks. Therefore, in this research, it is proposed to a recurrent neural network-based fault detection approach for considering sequential patterns in normal states of the manufacturing process. Using the constructed long short-term memory based fault detection, it is possible to predict the next control signals and detect faulty states by compared the predicted and real control signals in real-time. We validated and verified the proposed fault detection methods using digital control signals which are collected from a laser marking process, and the method provide good detection performance only using binary values.
Interest rate spreads indicate the conditions of the economy and serve as an indicator of the recession. The purpose of this study is to predict Korea's interest rate spreads using US data with long-term continuity. To this end, 27 US economic data were used, and the entire data was reduced to 5 dimensions through principal component analysis to build a dataset necessary for prediction. In the prediction model of this study, three RNN models (BasicRNN, LSTM, and GRU) predict the US interest rate spread and use the predicted results in the SVR ensemble model to predict the Korean interest rate spread. The SVR ensemble model predicted Korea's interest rate spread as RMSE 0.0658, which showed more accurate predictive power than the general ensemble model predicted as RMSE 0.0905, and showed excellent performance in terms of tendency to respond to fluctuations. In addition, improved prediction performance was confirmed through period division according to policy changes. This study presented a new way to predict interest rates and yielded better results. We predict that if you use refined data that represents the global economic situation through follow-up studies, you will be able to show higher interest rate predictions and predict economic conditions in Korea as well as other countries.
본 연구는 물리적 수리·수문모형의 적용이 제한적인 감조하천에서의 수위예측을 목적으로 하고 있으며, 이를 위해 한강 잠수교를 대상으로 딥러닝 오픈소스 소프트웨어 라이브러리인 TensorFlow를 활용하여 LSTM 모형을 구성하고 2011년부터 2017년까지의 10분 단위의 잠수교 수위, 팔당 댐 방류량과 한강하구 강화대교지점의 예측조위 자료를 이용하여 모형학습(2011~2016) 및 수위예측(2017)을 수행하였다. 모형 매개변수는 민감도 분석을 통해 은닉층의 개수는 6개, 학습속도는 0.01, 학습횟수는 3000번로 결정하였으며, 모형 학습 시 학습정보의 시간적 양을 결정하는 중요한 매개변수인 시퀀스길이는 1시간, 3시간, 6시간으로 변화시키며 모의하였다. 최종적으로 선행시간에 따른 모의 예측능력을 평가하기 위해 LSTM 모형의 예측 선행시간을 6개(1 ~ 24시간)로 구분하여 실측수위와 예측수위와의 비교·분석을 수행한 결과, LSTM 모형의 최적의 성능을 내 는 결과는 시퀀스길이를 1시간으로 하였을 때로 분석되었으며, 특히 선행시간 1시간에 대한 예측정확도는 RMSE는 0.065 m, NSE는 0.99로 실 측수위에 매우 근접한 예측 결과를 나타내었다. 또한 시퀀스길이에 상관없이 선행시간이 길어질수록 모형의 예측 정확도는 2017년 전기간에 걸쳐 평균적으로 RMSE 0.08 m에서 0.28 m로 오차가 증가하였으며, NSE는 0.99에서 0.74로 감소하였다.