This study proposes a new parameter estimation approach for the mixture normal distribution. The developed model estimates parameters of the mixture normal distribution by maximizing the log likelihood function using a meta-heuristic algorithm-genetic algorithm (GA). To verify the performance of the developed model, simulation experiments and practical applications are implemented. From the results of experiments and practical applications, the developed model presents some advantages, such as (1) the proposed model more accurately estimates the parameters even with small sample sizes compared to the expectation maximization (EM) algorithm; (2) not diverging in all application; and (3) showing smaller root mean squared error and larger log likelihood than those of the EM algorithm. We conclude that the proposed model is a good alternative in estimating the parameters of the mixture normal distribution for kutotic and bimodal hydrometeorological data.
본 연구에서는 Clark 합성단위도의 매개변수 추정치에 대한 신뢰구간을 좁힐 수 있는 방안으로, 이들을 강우, 기상, 및 유역 특성인자로 다변량 회귀분석한 후 이를 Monte Carlo 모의기법을 통하여 분석하였다. 아울러 이렇게 얻은 결과는 Bootstrap 기법으로 분석한 결과 및 기존에 많이 사용되어 왔던 경험식과도 비교 검토하였다. 이상과 같은 과정을 통해 얻은 결과는 다음과 같다. (1) 관측된 호우사상의 수가 제한적인 경우, 유출특성에 미치는
A series of meteorological observation using automation weather station(AWS) carried out to investigate characteristics of nocturnal meteorological parameters for 16∼17 June 1998 at Buljeongdong mountain slope, Kyungbuk. Dry temperature at valley was lower than mountain because of high lapse rate at valley, so the strong inversion layer occurrenced at mountain slope for nighttime. Contrary of dry temperature, relative humidity of valley was higher than mountain for nighttime. Wind speed at valley from sunset to next day morning was lower than mountain, but that of valley after sunrise was higher than mountain. Wind direction at valley for all observation time were southeasterlies(SE), that of mountain for nighttime were northeasterlies(NE) or northnorthwesterlies(NNW), and that of mountain after sunrise were irregular. Vapor pressure at valley for all observation time was higher mountain, particularly the difference was high for nighttime.