기존의 확률론적 안전성 평가의 신뢰도 제고를 위하여 잘 알려진 입력 파라미터의 일반적인 분포에 새롭게 측정된 신뢰도 있는 데이터를 결합하여 사후분포를 구할 수 있는 베이지안 업데이팅 방법론을 제안하였다. 마코프체인 몬테 칼로 샘플링 기법의 알고리듬을 통한 GoldSim 모듈도 개발하였다. 복수의 입력 파라미터의 사전분포에 대해 연속적으로 사후분포를 구 해낼 수 있는 베이지안 업데이팅이 가능하도록 개발된 이 모듈을 GoldSim 템플릿 형태의 기존의 GSTSPA 프로그램으로 이행하여 보다 신뢰도 있는 확률론적 방사성폐기물 처분 시스템 안전성 평가가 가능하도록 하였다. 이는 기존에 존재하는 사 전분포의 일반적인 형태는 취하되 새롭게 얻어지는 실제 측정치나 전문가들의 의견을 기존의 분포에 적용하여 보다 더 높은 믿음을 갖는 입력 파라미터의 사후분포를 얻을 수 있게 한다. 균열암반 내 핵종 이동에 관련된 몇 개의 입력 파라미터의 사전분포의 세차례의 연속적 업데이팅을 통해 프로그램의 유용성도 예시하였다. 이 연구를 통하여 처분시스템과 같이 장기적 평가가 필요하고 넓은 모델링 지역을 가지며 측정된 입력자료가 부족한 경우 보다 더 믿음직한 방법으로 안전성 평가를 수행할 수 있는 것을 보였다.

Linear and nonlinear models are available to simulate the effect of mine blasting and the results change by each model. Linear model can properly simulate loss of impact wave in plastic failure region based on comparison of site vibration measurement and numerical analysis iteratively. But, loss of impact wave in plastic failure region should be calibrated into input parameter of blasting pressure. A method to convert loss of impact wave into design parameter is suggested in this study.

The Keum river is one of the important river in Korea and has a drainage area of 9,873 ㎦. The Keum river is deepening pollution state due to development of the lower city and construction of a industrial complex. The water quality of the Keum river come to eutrophication state and belong to Ⅲ grade of water quality standard. The concentration BOD in river is affected by the organic loading from a tributary and the algae biomass that largely happen to under eutrophication state. In the eutrophic water mass such as the Keum river, the autochthonous BOD was very important part for making a decision of water quality management, because it was accounted for majority of the total BOD. The purpose of this study was to survey the characteristics of water quality in summer and to estimate reaction coefficient. Also, we studied to correlationship between chlorophyll a and BOD(COD) for estimation of the autochthonous BOD. The correlationship between chlorophyll a and BOD(COD) were obtained through the culture experiment of phytoplankton in the laboratory. The results of this study may be summarized as follows ; The characteristics of water quality in summer were belong to Ⅲ∼Ⅳgrade of water quality standard as BOD and nutritive condition is very high. The BOD, ammonia nitrogen and phosphate loadings in Miho stream which inflowing untreated sewage from Chungju city was occupied with 64.07%, 26.36%, 46.08%, respectively. Maximum nutrient uptake (Vmax) was 0.4400 μM/hr as substrate of ammonia nitrogen, 0.1652 μM/hr as substrate of phosphate. Maximum specific growth rate (μmax) was 1.2525 hr-1 as substrate of ammonia nitrogen, 1.5177 hr-1 as substrate of phosphate. The correlation coefficient between chlorophyll a and BOD by the culture experiment were found to be 0.911∼0.935 and 0.942∼0.947 in the case adding nutrient and no adding nutrient, respectively. The correlation coefficient between chlorophyll a and COD through the culture experiment were found to be 0.918∼0.977 and 0.880∼0.931 in the case adding nutrient and no adding nutrient, respectively. The autochthonous BOD(COD) was estimated to the relationship between BOD(COD) and chlorophyll a. The regression equation were found to be autochthonous BOD=(0.045∼0.073)×chlorophyll a and autochthonous COD=(0.137∼0.182)×chlorophyll a.