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세계의 구제역 전파,확산역학 모델 개발 현황과 Davis Animal Disease Simulation 모델 국내 적용 연구 KCI 등재

Epidemiological models on spread of foot-and-mouth disease and application of the Davis Animal Disease Simulation model in the Republic of Korea

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  • URLhttps://db.koreascholar.com/Article/Detail/359590
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예방수의학회지 (Journal of Preventive Veterinary Medicine)
한국예방수의학회(구 한국수의공중보건학회) (The Korean Society of Preventive Veterinary Medicine)
초록

Epidemic models on disease spread attempt to simulate disease transmission and associated control processes. This study reviewed published papers on epidemiological models for the management of foot-and-mouth disease in the world. In addition, an individual animal-based, spatially-explicit, stochastic disease transmission model, the Davis Animal Disease Simulation (DADS) model, was described in the frame of an international collaborative research project participating three countries: Republic of Korea, USA, and New Zealand. In this project, the Korean team is aiming at developing the most appropriate parameters for livestock and epidemiology of foot-and-mouth disease outbreaks. On the other hand, the purpose of foreign counterparts is validating their models: DADS (USA) and InterSpread Plus (New Zealand). Classification of farm types and preliminary estimations on the frequency of intra-herd contacts were also presented. This research project is expected to provide precious information to plan a strategy that will facilitate the eradication of foot-and-mouth disease from Korea.

목차
ABSTRACT
 서 론
 세계의 구제역에 대한 역학적 모델
 DADS 모델의 구성
  1. DADS 모델 개요
  2. 구제역 바이러스에 감염된 동물 개체에서의 경과 양상
  3. 축군 내에서 동물 개체간 접촉 및 전파양상
  4. 농장간 접촉양상
  5. 야생동물
  6. 농장이 구제역 바이러스에 노출될 위험
  7. 방역조치
  8. 구제역 발생 상황 표현
 미국 자료를 이용한 DADS 내부타당도 검증
 우리나라 자료를 이용한 시험적시뮬레이션 실행
  1. DADS 모델 구동을 위해 필요한 파일
  2. 우리나라 축산 농가 현황
  3. 우리나라 우제류 사육 농장내 개체간 접촉 양상
 고 찰
 참고문헌
저자
  • 윤하정(농림수산검역검사본부 역학조사과) | Hachung Yoon (Veterinary Epidemiology Division, Animal, Plant and Fisheries Quarantine and Inspection Agency)
  • 김한(농림수산검역검사본부 역학조사과) | Han Kim (Veterinary Epidemiology Division, Animal, Plant and Fisheries Quarantine and Inspection Agency)
  • 윤순식(농림수산검역검사본부 역학조사과) | Soon-Seek Yoon (Veterinary Epidemiology Division, Animal, Plant and Fisheries Quarantine and Inspection Agency) Correspondence
  • 김연주(농림수산검역검사본부 역학조사과) | Youn-Ju Kim (Veterinary Epidemiology Division, Animal, Plant and Fisheries Quarantine and Inspection Agency)
  • 김병한(농림수산검역검사본부 역학조사과) | Byounghan Kim (Veterinary Epidemiology Division, Animal, Plant and Fisheries Quarantine and Inspection Agency)
  • Jack Coleman(Center for Animal Disease Modeling and Surveillance, University of California Davis)
  • Tim Carpenter(Center for Animal Disease Modeling and Surveillance, University of California Davis)