All over the world, concrete gravity dams have to withstand lots of environmental hazards and time-varying external loading during an earthquake. Therefore, the risk assessment of this structure with time may become an important study for the dam structure, which is related to the chemo-mechanical effect on the aging concrete. The focusing point of this study is to propose an earthquake assessment procedure to determine the failure probability with time of any concrete gravity dam for the future if we consider the material deterioration. This material decay is mainly associated with the modulus of elasticity of the concrete and it is explained briefly in the manuscript.

The earthquake risk prediction for dam structure has been considered as an important analysis. The dam has to interact with water in its lifetime, which maybe induces the chemo-mechanical phenomenon on the aging concrete and damage the capacity of the structure. The main aim of this research is to suggest a procedure to predict the operant condition of the dam based on Cumulative Absolute Velocity (CAV) values after some decades. CAV is a method ordinarily used in Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) fields, but in case of a concrete gravity dam, it will be the new addition along with the aging effect of concrete material.

An approach is presented for evaluating the vulnerability of electric cabinet in nuclear power plants. The method is based on the lognormal approach, including the maximum likelihood estimation and linear regression to establish the fragility curves. These procedures are applied for a cabinet considering various boundary conditions, which are expressed by restrained and anchored models at the base. The cabinet models have been built and verified by using the system identification technique. The results show that the fragility curves obtained for the anchored model are found to be closer to each other, compared to the fragility curves for the restrained model.