2011년 발생한 동일본대지진의 영향으로 후쿠시마 원자력발전소 폭파사고 이후 국제원자력기구(IAEA)의 방사선비상계획구역(EPZ) 확 대를 권고하였으며, 이에 따라 우리나라에서도 방사선비상계획구역(EPZ, Emergency Planning Zone)를 기존 반경 8~10km에서 20~30km 로 확대를 하였다. 이에 따라 방사선 비상시 대규모 대피에 관한 관심이 높아지며 원활한 대피를 위한 교통운영관리전략 수립이 필요 한 실정이다. 방사선 비상과 같은 대규모 재난이 발생하면 동시다발적인 대피수요가 발생하고 한정된 도로교통망에 차량이 집중되어 극심한 혼잡이 발생할 것으로 예상된다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 교통분야에서 활용되는 도로운영관리전략 중 방사선비상시 적용 가능 한 전략 및 적용기준을 수립한다. 또한, 선정된 도로운영관리전략의 효과분석을 위하여 TOVA를 활용하였으며, Sub Network 기능으로 대상지역의 네트워크를 추출 후 분석을 시행하였다. 방사선비상시 도로운영관리전략은 도로용량 증대, 통행속도 향상, 교통수요 관리 및 기타 등 네 가지로 구분하여 분류하였다. 이 중 우리나라에 도입되지 않은 역류차로제 전략 도입 효과분석을 수행하였다. 시뮬레이 션 대상지는 고리원자력 발전소의 사고가 발생한 것으로 가정하며, 대피인원은 원자력발전소에서 부산광역시로 이동하는 것으로 설정 하였다. 효과분석 결과, 시행시 120.6%의 교통량(시간당 7,600대)과 117% 속도(30.21km/h → 65.55km/h)가 증가되는 것으로 분석되었다
Recently, the continuing operation of nuclear power plants has become a major controversial issue in Korea. Whether to continue to operate nuclear power plants is a matter to be determined considering many factors including social and political factors as well as economic factors. But in this paper we concentrate only on the economic factors to make an optimum decision on operating nuclear power plants.
Decisions should be based on forecasts of plant accident risks and large and small accident data from power plants. We outline the structure of a decision model that incorporate accident risks. We formulate to decide whether to shutdown permanently, shutdown temporarily for maintenance, or to operate one period of time and then periodically repeat the analysis and decision process with additional information about new costs and risks. The forecasting model to predict nuclear power plant accidents is incorporated for an improved decision making. First, we build a one-period decision model and extend this theory to a multi-period model. In this paper we utilize influence diagrams as well as decision trees for modeling. And bayesian statistical approach is utilized. Many of the parameter values in this model may be set fairly subjective by decision makers. Once the parameter values have been determined, the model will be able to present the optimal decision according to that value.
Many countries have introduced new imported food safety measures, following the accident at Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station. This study was conducted to evaluate the measures contents and effects on food trades values. Eight percent of members were notified the introduced measures to the World Trade Organization. The measures’ contents were banning imports, enhancing inspection and adding certification requirement. The covered regions were some prefectures, entire Japan or all affected countries. European Union introduced a measure that subjecting foods originating from 12 prefectures to import at designated ports with required certification. The measures were amended 8 times until March 2014 to apply listed foods from 15 prefectures. The trade value of fishery products and miscellaneous foods were affected. Australia introduced a measure that required additional inspection of dairy, fishery and plants products from 13 prefectures with subsequent amendments. The trade value had no effect in tested foods. Chinese Taipei introduced a temporary import ban for all foods from 6 prefectures. Trade values for fruits were affected. The United States issued an import alert for detention without examination for listed prefectures and goods without introducing new measures. Although no specific products were affected, trade values for all foods were affected.
The main objective of this paper is to search whether containment vessel's best pressure may increase until how long when loss of coolant accident (LOCA) happened in containment vessel of Ulchin nuclear power plant 1 and 2. Another goal of this research is to find the influential factors that increase containment vessel pressure. Model for this research is Ulchin nuclear power plant 1 with 10 cycles. Data were collected by simulator of Ulchin nuclear power plant 1 and design of experiment was used for data analysis. For the experiment, seven factors that are going to influence in containment vessel pressure were chosen. It was found that fatter which influences in early rise of containment vessel pressure after LOCA is only explosion size. Also, containment vessel's best pressure (3.74 bar.a) was much lower than limit (4.86 bar.a) of FSAR (Final Safety Analysis Report).
In this study, a real-time simulation method for the phenomena, which are too complex to be simulated during real-time computer games, was proposed based on the neural network. The procedure of proposed method is to 1) obtain correlation data between input parameters and output parameters by mathematical modeling, code analyses, and so on, 2) train the neural network with the correlation data, 3) and insert the trained neural network in a game program as a simulation module. For the case that the number of the input and output parameters is too high to be analyzed, a method was proposed to omit parameters of little importance. The method was successfully applied to severe accidents of nuclear power plants, reflecting that the method was very effective in real time simulation of complex phenomena.