Since the first operation of the Gori No. 1 nuclear power plant in Korea was started to operate in 1978, currently 24 nuclear power plants have been being operated, out of which 21 plants are PWR types and the rest are CANDU types. About 30% of total electricity consumed in Korea is from all these nuclear power plants. The accumulated spent nuclear fuels (SFs) generated from each site are temporarily being stored as wet or dry storage type at each plant site. These SFs with their high radiotoxicity, heat generating, and long-lived radioactivity are actually the only type of high-level radioactive waste (HLW) in Korea, which urgently requires to be disposed of in deep geological repository. Studies on disposal of HLW in various kind of geological repositories have been carried out in such countries as Sweden, Finland, United States, and etc. with their own methodologies and management policies in consideration of their situations. In Korea long-term R&D research program for safe management of SF has also been conducted during last couple of decades since around 1997, during which several various alternative type of disposal concepts for disposal of SNFs in deep geological formations have been investigated and developed. The first concept developed was KAERI Reference Disposal System (KRS) which is actually very much similar to Swedish KBS-3, a famous concept of direct disposal of SF in stable crystalline rock at a depth of around 500 m which has been regarded as one of the most plausible method worldwide. The world first Finnish repository which is expected to begin to operate sooner or later will be also this type. Since the characteristics of SF discharged from domestic nuclear reactors have been changed and improved, and burnup has sometimes increased, a more advanced deep geological repository system has been needed, KRS-HB (KRS with High Burnup SF) has been developed and in consideration of the dimensions of SNFs and the cooling period at the time point of the disposal time, KRS+, a rather improved disposal concept has also been subsequently developed which is especially focused on the efficient disposal area. Recently research has concentrated on rather advanced disposal technology focused on a safer and more economical repository system in recent view of the rapidly growing amount of accumulated SF. Especially in Korea the rock mass and the footprint area for the repository extremely limited for disposal site. Some preliminary studies to achieve rather higher efficiency repository concept for disposal of SF recently have already been emphasized. Among many possible ones for consideration of design for high-efficiency repository system, a double-layered system has been focused which is expected to maximize disposal capacity within the minimum footprint disposal area. Based on such disposal strategy a rather newly designed performance assessment methodology might be required to show long-term safety of the repository. Through the study some prerequisites for such methodological development has been being roughly checked and investigated, which covers FEP identification and pathway and scenario analyses as well as preliminary conceptual modeling for the nuclide release and transport in nearfield, far-field, and even biosphere in and around the conceptual repository system. Through the study such scenarios and models has been implemented to development of a safety assessment by utilizing GoldSim development tool for a rough quantitative comparison with existing disposal options and simple illustration purpose as well as for showing how to develop and implementation of the model to GoldSim templet.

In biosphere assessment modeling for the safety assessment of the Wolsong LILW disposal facility, the multi-compartment modeling in which all radionuclides transport is described quantitatively in terms of transfer factors between various environmental compartments has been implemented. In order to reflect the actual transfer mechanisms of 14C in the environment the specific activity (SA) modeling approach can be applied as an alternative to the previous transfer factors (TF) approach. The assumption of full SA equilibrium throughout the terrestrial environment is completely satisfactory for 14C release to the atmosphere if the 12C is emitted as 14CO2. This is the only form that is readily taken up by plants, so that active carbon is incorporated into the plant via photosynthesis at the same rate as stable carbon. Accordingly, the 14C concentration in Bq/g stable carbon is the same in the plant as it is in the air. And animals take up carbon almost entirely through ingestion and the SA ratio in the plant is maintained in the animal. In this study, a specific activity model for 14C was implemented in a GoldSim biosphere assessment model. From the literature survey for existing specific activity models developed, the IAEA model was selected. The farming scenario utilizing well water was simulated and the resulting ingestion dose conversion factors (DCFs) from the IAEA SA model were compared with those of the TF approach. The parameter value for the concentration of stable carbon in the air (gC/m3) is used as 0.20 gC/m3 considering the Suess effect. The dose coefficient for food ingestion used for dose calculations was taken from ICRP-72 as 5.8E-10 Sv/Bq. It was found that the ingestion DCFs of the SA model showed about 3 times lower than those of the TF model in the farming scenario through irrigation of well water, so it is expected that the SA approach could be applied for a more realistic assessment. Though the comparisons were made on the results from the terrestrial ecosystem only in this study, it would be necessary to investigate the applicability of the SA modeling approach for 14C through extensive comparisons and analysis including an aquatic ecosystem, and through parameters survey suitable to the domestic condition.

Considering the domestic condition with small land area and high population density, it is necessary to develop technology that can reduce the disposal area than the deep geological disposal method. For this, KAERI is developing a nuclide management process that can reduce the environmental burden of spent fuel, and establishing an evaluation model that can evaluate the performance of various process options. It is expected that an optimal option of the nuclide management process can be derived from disposal perspective by applying the evaluation model. The mass flow between processing steps of the radionuclide management process is the basic quantity required to quantify the evaluation criteria. Therefore, we built a generalized block model on GoldSim, which can simulate mass flow of various radionuclide management process options. In addition to the mass flow, this model was established to derive the amount of wastes generated by each processing step, the composition of nuclides, and radiological properties (decay heat, radioactivity, etc.). The mass flow and waste property derived from the models are closely related to the factors that determine the area of disposal concepts. Based on this, a disposal area calculation model was established as a model to evaluate the effectiveness of the radionuclide management process on environmental burden reduction. For verification, three process options, which can manage radionuclides having high decay heat (Cs, Sr) or large volume (U), were selected and evaluated as reference processes. And two disposal options, deep geological disposal and deep borehole disposal concepts were considered to be linked with the processes. As a result, it was confirmed that the disposal area could be reduced in the process separating radionuclides having high decay heat. In the future, other evaluation models for economic viability and safety will be added in the GoldSim model.

The chelating agent and cellulose generated during the operating and decommissioning of a NPP’s form organic complexing compounds. That is accelerate the migration of radionuclide and have a bad influence of LILW disposal site. In this study, the GoldSim (RT module) program was used for the effects of radionuclide migration by organic complex compounds as described above. A scenario was derived for evaluation, and a conceptual design (Concept Art) of the GoldSim model was performed. 1) Derivation of the scenario. For the scenario, we selected a groundwater flow scenario in which groundwater flows in and radionuclides flow out after a lapse of time after the operation of the LILW disposal site in Gyeongju is closed. The inflowing groundwater comes into contact with radioactive waste and the radionuclides dissolve. The dissolved nuclides move past the drum and out of the disposal vessel due to the advection phenomenon. Radionuclides spilled from the disposal vessel pass through the silo internal filler (crushed stone) and reach the engineering barrier concrete. Radionuclides from degraded concrete are scenarios that move along the flow of groundwater to the near and far. 2) Radionuclide migration concept design. The radionuclide movement section was largely designed with Inner (Inside the silo), Near and Far. (A) Inner (Inside the silo) This section is where radionuclides move from the radiation source to the engineering barrier (silo). The detailed migration path was designed to allow radioactive nuclides to flow out and move to waste drums, solidified matrix of indrum, disposal vessel fillers, disposal vessels, silo fillers (crushed stones), and engineered barriers (concrete). The LILW disposal site in Gyeongju has a total of 6 silos. Each of the 6 silos was modeled and designed in consideration of the structural information and positional impact. (B) Near & Far. In generally design, the near is form source term to engineered barrier and far is beyond the engineered barrier. In this study, the near and far designed by radionuclide in the section from the beyond the engineering barrier (silo) to the sea through the groundwater flow through the natural rock. Especially in the case of near, the design was made by applying the position of the natural rock sampling drill hole.

A GoldSim Total System Performance Assessment has been developed and utilized for assessment of the various conceptual HLW repositories for spent nuclear fuels during last a few decades. Even though, almost all required parameter values associated with the repository system are frequently assumed or sometimes overestimated, they are still far from being highly reliable. Uncertainties nested in nuclide transport modeling around the repository are mainly dominated by these parametric uncertainties aside from intrinsic model uncertainty. Reliable estimate of the parameter values commonly expressed as probability density functions (PDFs) always require a large amount of measured data. Such input distributions are used as input to the probabilistic assessment program through Monte Carlo simulation to quantitatively provide possible uncertainty of the results. However, in most cases, especially in the safety assessment of the repository which is typically related with both long-time span and wide modeling domain, inefficient observed data from the field measurements are common, making conventional probabilistic calculations rather even uncertain. Since Bayesian approach is known to be especially powerful and efficient in the case of lacking of available data measured, such short data could be compensated by coupling with a priori belief, reducing uncertainty. By allowing the a priori knowledge for incorporating insufficient observed data, which include expert’ elicitation, their beliefs and judgment regarding the parameters as well as recent site-specific measurements, based on the Bayes’ theorem, the older parameter distributions, “prior” distribution can be updated to a rather newer and reliable “posterior” distribution. Newer distributions are not necessarily expressed as PDFs for probabilistic calculation. These updates could be done even iteratively as many times as data values are sequentially available, which calls sequential Bayesian updating, making belief of posterior distributions become much higher by reducing parametric uncertainty. To show a possible way to enhance the belief as well as to reduce the uncertainty involved in parameter for the Bayesian scheme, nuclide travel length in the far-field area of a hypothetical deep borehole spent fuel Repository was investigated. The algorithm and module that have been developed and implemented in GSTSPA through current study was shown to work well for all assumed prior, three sequential posterior distributions and likelihoods.

상용의 GoldSim과 GoldSim 이동 모듈 (GoldSim Transport Module; GTM)을 이용하여 방사성폐기물 처분시스템과 같이 복 잡한 질량 이동 시스템을 신뢰성 있고 효율적으로 모사할 수 있다. 그러나 GTM의 특성을 보다 정확하게 이해하여야 이를 사용하여 실제 처분시스템의 안전성 평가 프로그램을 개발할 때 발생할 수 있는 오류를 피할 수 있다는 것을 인지하는 것이 중요하다. 이를 위하여 GTM에서 다양하게 제공되는 요소 (element) 중, 질량 이동 모사에 유용한 Transport pathway의 특 징에 대하여 소개하고, 방사성폐기물 처분시스템 안전성 평가를 위해 시스템 내 핵종의 거동과 같은 질량 이동 모사에서 이 에 대한 올바른 활용 방안을 제시하였다.

한국원자력연구원에서는 사용후핵연료를 직접 처분하는 대신 이를 처리하여 발생하는 방사성 폐기물을 심지 층에 직접 처분하는 방식의 A-KRS 개념의 방사성폐기물 처분 시스템을 개발해 오고 있다. 이러한 A-KRS 개 념에 대한 장기적 안전성 및 처분 시스템 성능 평가를 위한 모델을 GoldSim을 이용 개발하고 이를 지속적으로 수정 보완하고 개선해 오고 있다. KAERI에서 개발된 A-KRS 모델의 신뢰도를 증진 시키기 위하여 유사하게 개 발된 다른 모델과의 벤치마킹을 통한 비교 연구의 결과를 제시하였다. A-KRS모델을 미국 NRC에서 SwRI 연구 소의 협력을 통하여 개발하여 처분 시스템 성능평가에 활용한 SOAR와 비교하고 병행하여 스웨덴의 SKB에서 최근 수행한 SR-SiTE 안전성 평가를 통하여 KBS-3 개념의 처분 시스템 내 전단 응력에 따른 용기의 파손에 따른 유출 계산 결과와도 비교 검토하여, 전반적으로 상호 잘 일치하는 결과를 얻어 내었다. 보다 개선된 GoldSim으로의 모델의 이행의 필요성은 있으나 A-KRS 모델이 GoldSim을 통해 잘 이행되어 처분 시스템 안전 성 평가에 적합한 것으로 나타났다.