지금 대한민국이 처해 있는 초저출산율 상황과 인구감소의 현실은 지방소멸의 위기를 초래하고 있으며, 국가소멸의 위기를 예견케 하고 있기까지 하다. 그리고 지방소멸의 위기는 농어촌교회의 소멸 위기와 직결되기 때문에, 한국교회 역시 깊은 관심을 기울이지 않으면 안 되는 화급한 과제가 아닐 수 없다. 이를 위해서는 무엇보다도 마을 살리기와 마을 만들기를 지향하는 마을목회의 비전을 실천해야 하고, 한국사회의 이주민들을 자신의 자녀들이나 자신처럼 사랑하고 섬기는 이주민수용 목회를 농어촌 선교 전략으로 구체화하는 한편으로, 농어촌 거주민 개개인에게 조건 없이 정기적으로 일정액의 현금을 농어촌 기본소득으로 지급하는 정책을 선교적인 차원에서 추진해야 한다. 한국교회가 이 세 가지 중점 과제들을 제대로 실천한다면, 우리 사회의 약자 계층인 농민들은 별다른 염려 없이 농업을 살리고 농촌을 활성화시 키는 일에 몰두할 수 있을 것이요, 농어촌 지역을 떠나 도시권으로 이농, 탈농했던 사람들이나 농어촌 지역에서 새로운 희망을 발견하고자 하는 사람들의 귀농과 귀촌을 가능하게 할 것이다.

Osteoporosis is characterized by low bone mass and the microarchitectural deterioration of bone tissue with a consequent increase in bone fragility and susceptibility to fracture. It has been suggested that speed of sound (SOS) and broadband ultrasound attenuation (BUA) of quantitative ultrasound sonography (QUS) may provide information about not only bone density but also the microarchitecture and elastic properties of bone. Physical inactivity reduced mechanical usage and it made process to the bone changes. This study aimed to association between the physical activity and the QUS parameters in 1305 (593 men, 712 women) aged 20 years over in a rural population. Two QUS parameters, BUA (p=.23) and SOS(p=.73) were measured at the right calcaneus of postmenopausal women, no significant associations were observed between sports index and SOS and BUA. These results suggest that work, non-sports leisure physical activity (p<.01) have a significant influence on QUS parameters in a rural population. Physical activity are meaningful predictor of QUS parameters of the calcaneus in a rural population.

이상에서 본 연구는 1960년 이후부터 1985년까지의 인구규모와 그 변동의 특질을 농촌에서 도시로의 인구이동현상과 관련하여 검토해 보았다. 아울러 분해시계열방법을 이용하여 농촌인구유출과 농정과의 관계도 고찰하였다. 그리고 적정모델을 추정하여 2,000년까지의 농촌 및 농가인구도 예측해 보았다. 결론적으로 말해서 인구구조의 변화측면에서 농촌인구와 농가인구는 1965년부터 감소하기 시작하여 1975년 이후부터 급격히 감소하였다. 농촌인구의 급격한 감소는 농촌 인구의 자연감소로 인한 요인보다는 도시로 유출되는 인구이동의 요인이 더 크게 작용한 것으로 나타났다. 농촌에서 도시로의 인구유출과정에서 유입지의 분포를 보면 도시지역 중에서 서울, 부산, 경기지역으로 인구가 집중한 것으로 나타났다. 특히 70년대에는 서울 부산 등 대도시 지역으로 직접적인 이동이 있었으나 80년대에 들어와서는 대도시 지역으로의 직접적인 유입보다는 주변지역으로의 유입이 점차 증가함으로써 농촌에서 대도시로의 유입형태가 주변도시로의 유입형태로 변화되고 있다. 농촌인구의 유출을 농업생산과 관련시켜 볼 때 농업노동력의 수요가 확대되는 6월 이후에 유출인구는 점차 줄어들고 있으며 3월에 가장 많이 유출하는 것으로 판명되었다. 60년대 이후 농업정책과 농촌인구의 유출과의 관계를 분석하기 위해 순환변동을 도출하였으며 2-3차 개발계획기간을 제외한 기간에 있어서 농촌부문의 상대적 저위성이 농촌인구의 유출을 자극한 요인으로 작용했으며 이러한 사실은 농업정책의 불균형적 시행이 직 간접적으로 영향을 미친 결과라 하겠다. 끝으로 농촌인구의 유출을 포함한 한국농업의 근본적인 문제는 도농간 상대적 소득 격차에 있다고 보고 농촌지역의 개발을 서울이나 수도권, 대도시권의 비대화를 막기 위한 방편 또는 공업화 우선정책의 반작용으로 본 과거의 정책성향을 극복해야 한다는 점이다. 따라서 도농간 소득격차의 문제를 농업정책의 중심과제로 삼고 농촌지역의 자원을 보다 효율적으로 이용함으로써 나라의 경제적 효율성은 물론 형평성을 높인다는 시각에서 농업정책을 다루어야 할 것이다.

The purpose of this study is to investigate how the hollowization in rural villages which causes marginal villages appears in Korean rural villages and whether the hollowization has relation with decrease and aging of population or not. For achieving the research objective, survey was carried out focused on Geumsan-gun. As a result, it confirmed that rural out-migration and rural decline especially in 'people', 'land(economic situation)' and 'community' have being progressed. Also variance analysis and regression analysis were executed with using the number of population and the ratio of people over 65 as dependent variables and using each survey contents(variables) as independent variables. The results of analysis showed that the ratio of people over 65(+), the income level per household(-), the rate of fallow lands(+), the number of empty houses(+), programs for urban-rural interchange(+), and the implementing public projects(+), etc. have a relation with the number of population(-) and the number of population(-), the income level per household(-), the rate of fallow lands(+), the number of empty houses(+), activities of communities(+), and the implementing public projects(+), etc. have a relation with the ratio of people over 65(+) (+: increase, -: decrease). So the hollowization in people', 'land(economic situation)' and 'community' has direct relation with decrease and aging of population in rural areas.

The aging of farm households has caused serious problems such as productivity slowdown and aggravated income polarization in South Korea. Urban-to-rural migration has been recently suggested as a measure to attenuate the aging of rural population and other related problems. The inflow of migrants for farming can have a substantial effect on agriculture and rural communities while the natural adjustment of rural population caused by birth and death is slow. This paper forecasts population distribution of different provinces using the Origin-Destination (OD) analysis, taking into account both the size and directions of migration. In the analysis, nodes where the migration takes place are divided by the industrial sectors (agriculture and non-agriculture), regions, and ages. The results of a ten-year forecast shows that the aging of total population in most provinces will be intensified, but the portion of people over sixty will decrease in the agricultural sector. This finding implies that migration into rural areas, when occurring by a large extent, can mitigate the aging process and attendant problems.

The time management and allotments for various activities of daily life is much different by age groups. This study analyzes time allotments of different age groups for various activities of daily life to figure out the change of main activity by aging through 2009 time use survey by National Statistical Office. Especially we focus on time allotments of rural elderly population and intangible factors for life quality of people instead of physical and environmental elements. The results show that there is a large gap of time allotments for paid and unpaid working time of rural and urban elderly population. Whereas the time for leisure of elderly women in rural areas is much shorter than that of urban elderly women and rural elderly men spend more time to provide community services and help to other households. However, the percentage leisure time of rural elderly people for passive activities such as TV, radio, magazine etc. is longer than that of urban elderly people. We hope that our analysis data could be used for developing new policies and project to improve the life quality of rural elderly population.

Settlement problems in rural area are gradually becoming more intense due to decreasing agricultural income led by market globalization. Rural tourism is considered as one of alternatives for complementing agricultural income. In this study, we analyzed the relation of rural development project and the influx of population on green tourism villages. Results show that the influx of population in rural area is related with project cost, tourism income, visiting numbers, and ratio of labor population. With these results, we modified rural population model for estimating future rural population. Adapted result to Buraemi village by modified model showed that estimation error can be decreased from 7.23% to 0.95%.

The purpose of this study is to develop rural population model adapting cohort survival method with sift-share effects. Administrative district in this study is below Myun: about 2,000 population. Population data of rural area in 1990, 1995, and 2000 by age cohort were selected for applying developed model. Damping coefficient from population data was calculated as 7% and results applying this coefficient in rural population data below the error from 12% to 1.06%. In detail, most of cohorts fitted with developed model except from 15 to 29 age groups. Application result of small population area; DaesulMyun revealed that main factor of population change is not natural change but migration.

This study tried to construct a direction in regional planning concerning the structural relationship between the ratio of aged population and the industrial characteristics. We investigated this structural relationship incorporating the aged population index and the number of classified companies. We applied diverse statistical analyses to understand the relationship. We classified the number of companies to reflect regional industrial characteristics using the principal component analysis. We applied a multiple regression model to understand the relationship between these two indices. The aged population index represents the degree of being old divided by the ratio of juvenile population and aged population. We found that such industries as manufacturing, service, and conveyance increase the ratio of juvenile population. However, industries such as tourism, waterworks, forestry, agriculture and etc. have a positive effect on the aged population index. In addition to these findings, we believe that the efficacy of this study is the possibility that can be used as the basic data when central or local autonomous entities need to adopt rural development planning.

The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of land-use and population change in rural area by new expressway. Chungbu expressway constructed in 1987, going through the south area of Kyunggi province from Seoul, was selected as a case expressway, and also 2 cities and 18 subdivisions of county in its surrounding area, as a case study area. To analyze the change characteristics before and after the construction, land-use maps of 1986 and 1996 were collected, including the census data for the years in cities and counties yearbooks. Remote sensing technology was applied to classify the land-use maps with six types of land use. Geographic information system was also used for spatial analysis, such as the land-use and accessibility changes. A 5 km buffer zone from interchange of the expressway showed about two times increase of urbanized built-up area than a 5 km buffer zone from the expressway. Accessibility from Seoul and cities was improved in most areas, which is accessing to Seoul through existing Youngdong expressway. Ten rural areas showed increased population with accessibility of average 52 minutes to Seoul and 19 minutes to cities, while eight areas showed decreased population with average 73 minutes to Seoul and 35 minutes to cities. This shows that the threshold value, which is time distance to Seoul and cities for population increase or decrease, one and half hours, respectively. Urbanized area was increased in most areas, even in population decrease areas, so this indicates that there are thinning rural areas, increasing urbanized area while decreasing population.