Two climate change scenarios, the RCP (Representative Concentration Pathways) 4.5 and the RCP 8.5 in the fifth Assessment Report (AR5) by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), were applied in the Yocheon basin area using the SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) model to estimate changes in flow rates and pollutant loadings in the future. Field stream flow rate data in Songdong station and water quality data in Yocheon-1 station between 2013~2015 were used for model calibration. While R2 value of flow rate calibration was 0.85 and R2 value of water qualities were in the 0.12~0.43 range. The total study period was divided into 4 sub periods as 2030s (2016~2040), 2050s (2041~2070) and 2080s (2071~2100). The predicted results of flow rates and water quality concentrations were compared with results in calibrated periods, 2015s (2013~2015). In both RCP scenarios, flow rate and TSS (Total Suspended Solid) loadings were estimated to be in increasing trend while TN (Total Nitrogen) and TP (Total Phosphorus) loadings showed decreasing patterns. Also, flow rates and pollutant loadings showed larger differences between the maximum and the minimum values in RCP 4.5 than RCP 8.5 scenarios indicating more severe effect of drought and flood, respectively. Dependent on simulation period and rainfall periods in a year, flow rate, TSS, TN and TP showed different trends in each scenario. This emphasizes importance of considerations on time and space when analyzing climate change impacts of each variable under various scenarios.

섬진강의 상류인 요천은 남원을 관통하며 흐른다. 요천의 수온은 상류에서 하류로 갈수록 높아지는 경향을 나타냈다. DO, 인, 총질소, 전기전도도, 총용존고형물은 정점 8에서 크게 상승하였다. 그러나 수소이온농도와 용존산소는 급져히 떨어졌다. 정점 8은 남원시의 중앙부를 지나는 작은 개천과 합류하는 지점이며, 주변에 남원위생사업소가 있다. 정점 8 이하의 하류에서, 갈수기인 4월과 6월의 COD양은 호소수질기준 3급수에 해당한다. 이러한 수질오염은 남원시에서 배출되는 생활하수 등으로 유입된 COD, 총인, 총질소가 원인일 것으로 추정된다. 별다른 오염원이 없는 정점 2와 3에서 높은 함량의 COD와 총질소는 농업활동에 의해 발생했을 가능성이 있다.

The purposes of this study were to analyze gait patterns of patients with chronic lumboscaral radiculopathy and to investigate gait parameters which can reflect a functional deficit in relation to the level of lumbosacral radiculopathy. The study population consisted of 25 patients of chronic lumbosacral radiculopathy and 25 healthy control subjects. Conventional physical examinations and three-dimensional gait analyses were performed on all participants. The data were analyzed using an independent sample t-test. The results were as follows: (1) In the patients' group, cadence, walking velocity, stride length and double support time were less than in the control group (p<.05). (2) In the patients' group, maximum flexion of hip, maximum flexion of loading response, maximum flexion of swing phase on the knee and maximum plantar flexion of pre-swing were less than the control group (p<.05). Using three-dimensional gait analysis, we could identify specific gait parameters to reflect a functional deficit related to the level of lumbosacral radiculopathy.