2011년 7월 26일 서울은 장마에 동반된 기록적인 대류성 집중호우로 인해 약 2천5백억 원 이상의 재산피해와 57명(사망자)의 인명손실이 발생되었고, 2012년 8월 27일 15호 태풍 볼라벤에 동반된 집중호우로 광주광역시에는 보다 약한 집중호우와 강풍을 동반하여 피해는 상대적으로 적게 발생시켰다. 위의 사례에 대해 KLAPS(기상청 국지분석 및 예측시스템)을 사용하여 집중호우 시 다른 물리적 요소들에 의한 중규모 과정들의 조사 및 분석을 수행하였다. 이것은 레이더관측과 천리안 위성관측 자료로부터 강우강도를 도출하는데 호조건의 전형적인 중규모 시스템이기 때문에 선택되었으며, 두 사례는 모두 집중호우 발생에 좋은 환경임을 보였다. 2011년 장마에 동반되어 서울에 나타난 사례에서 레이더와 천리안의 정량적인 강우강도를 지상강우계 관측과 비교했을 때, 최대 관측값이 85 mm/hr 이상이 나타난 시점에 비해 약 50 mm/hr 이상이 과소 추정되는 차이가 나타났으나, 레이더 강우강도는 35 mm/hr의 차이와 천리안 강우강도는 60 mm/hr의 차이를 보였다. 그러나 2012년 8월 27일 15호 태풍 볼라벤에 동반되어 광주광역시에 나타난 강우강도와 지상강우강도의 경향은 위의 사례와 유사하게 나타났으며, 정량적인 강우강도 차이는 최대 관측값이 17 mm/hr 이상이 나타난 시점에 비해 약 10 mm/hr 이상이 과소 추정되는 차이가 나타났으나, 레이더 강우강도는 5 mm/hr의 차이와 천리안 강우강도는 10 mm/hr의 차이를 보였다. 이것은 태풍 볼라벤에 의한 집중호우가 상대적으로 약했기 때문이었다. 두 사례에 대해 레이더 강우강도와 천리안 강우강도는 지상강우강도와 시계열적으로 비교했을 때, 모두 유사한 경향을 보였다.

The purpose of this study is to investigate the characteristic changes of the Changma season in the 2000s. To accomplish this goal, we have used daily rainfall data collected over nearly 40 years (1971 to 2010). The average summer precipitation data including the Changma season were collected from 16 weather stations that are placed across the three major regions (i.e. central region, southern region, and Jeju region) as Korea Meteorological Administration divided. These precipitation data were analyzed to find out characteristic changes of the Changma season. Results of the precipitation data comparison among the major regions that, monthly average precipitation in the central region was the highest in July; its precipitation tended to increase from May to September. In the southern region, the precipitation amount was lowest in June and tended to increase in May, September, and August. In the Jeju region, the precipitation has been the highest in June and July for the past 30 years, whereas September has been highest month in the last 10 years. The precipitation amount in the Jeju region decreased both in June and July, whereas it tended to grow in May, August and September. A correlation coefficient formula by Karl Pearson has been used to find out correlations between the Changma season and the precipitation of the major regions in 2000s and normal years. It was found that the correlation coefficient has decreased from 0.723 to 0.524 in the 2000s (2001 to 2010) compared to normal years (1971 to 2000).

In 2007, just after the recession of the Changma, anomalously long rainy period (from July 30 to August 15) occurred in Korea. To identify the cause of the sustained rainy period, we performed synoptic analysis and the associated air motions. The behavior of each air parcel trajectory associated with atmospheric motion was then investigated. As a result, three particular phenomena occurring at latitudes lower than 40˚N were discovered. First, a mass of relatively cold air, referred to as E, made a deep intrusion from 20˚N to 60˚N. Second, this intrusion was accompanied by another mass of air called dE. It was colder and drier than E and originated from the mid-troposphere over the tropical ocean. Third, dE and E rotated clockwise three times over a period of 17 days over the Northwestern Pacific and blocked the westerly waves imbedded in the zonal flow from propagating. Two additional phenomena were observed at latitudes higher than 40˚N. First, the cold core system, while approaching from the west with low geopotential values at its center, was stagnated over Shanxi China. It enhanced the northward intrusion of dE and E, and then diminished. The subsequent low system showed similar evolution as the first one. Second, a warm core anticyclone was formed over Lake Baikal, blocking the westerlies for 13 days and contributed to the persistent northward incursion of warm moist air. Moreover, a horizontally extended intrusion of upper level clouds from the tropics to 50˚N, which may be interpreted as a tropical plume, was found around the end of the period (from August 12 to 15, 2007) with successive tropical nights over Korea.

In this study, we analyzed the characteristics of climate variability in summer rainfall during Changma over three sub-sector regions (Middle, Southern, Jeju) in South Korea for the new climatological period of 1991- 2020 using observation data from 60 ASOS stations. There was a significant interannual variability in rainfall, wet days, and rainfall intensity but the long-term trend of rainfall was not significant over the three sectors in South Korea. Comparing the new climatology (P2: 1991-2020) with the old one (P1: 1981-2010), it was found that the precipitation during Changma in new climatology (P2) was enhanced in Middle sector but reduced in Southern and Jeju sectors. In P2, wet days increased only a few stations in the Middle sector but the rainfall intensity was strengthened over the 50% stations including Middle sector, south and west coast of the Southern sector. Wet days above 25, 50, 75, 95%ile rainfall during Changma in Southern and Jeju sectors all decreased in P2. Climatological change from P1 to P2 showed a large variability not only in temporal frame but also in the spatial distribution in South Korea.

˜e onset, retreat, and precipitation of the Korean summer rainy season (Changma) signiÿcantly a˛ect human health and daily lives as well as domestic industry and economy. To increase revenue during Changma period, retail industry has tried to develop various weather marketing strategies on a regional basis. This study investigated the impact of Changma on the retail sales in Jeju. During Changma in Jeju in 2014, the temperature has dropped by 2.3°C, from 26.2°C to 23.9°C while the precipitation has significantly increased from 115.3mm to 441.5mm compared to last year. Due to these weather characteristics of Changma, large retailers in Seogwipo city have seen a high increase in sales of umbrellas, raincoats, and rain boots by 250-400 percent, but a decrease in sales of air conditioners by 15 percent. This results from more frequent rainfall and cool weather compared to the previous year. However, opposite results were found regarding traditional markets in Jeju. Depending on industrial structures in each region, the identical weather phenomenon have different impacts on the number of visitors to the markets. In other words, the impact of Changma on local retail sales is in˝uenced by multiple local factors including demographic composition and industrial structure in the regional economy.

An attempt is made to analyse characteristic features of heavy rainfalls which occur at the metropolitan area of the Korean peninsular the on- and off- Changma season. For this, two representative heavy rainfall episodes are selected; one is the on-Changma season wherein a torrential rain episode happened at Goyang city on 12 July 2006, and the other is the off-Changma season, a heavy rainfall event in Seoul on 21 September 2006. Both recorded considerable amounts of precipitation, over 250mm in a half-day, which greatly exceeded the amount expected by numerical prediction models at those times, and caused great damage to property and life in the affected area. Similarities in the characteristics of both episodes were shown by; the location of upper-level jet streak and divergence fields of the upper wind over heavy rainfall areas, significantly high equivalent potential temperatures in the low atmospheric layer due to the entrainment of hot and humid air by the low-level jet, and the existence of very dry air and cold air pool in the middle layer of the atmosphere at the peak time of the rainfall events. Among them, differences in dynamic features of the low-level jet and the position of rainfall area along the low-level jet are remarkable.

The seasonal variation and frequency of rainfalls of Korea peninsula in Changma period show strong local weather phenomenon because of it's topographical and geographical factors in Northeast side of Asia. Based on weather entropy(statistical parameter)-the amount of average weather information-and information ratio, we can define each area's weather representativeness, which can show us more constant form included topographical and geographical factors and seasonal variation. The data used for this study are the daily precipitation and cloudiness during the recent ten years(1990-1999) at the 73 stations in Korea. To synthesize weather Entropy, information ratio of decaying tendency and half-decay distance, Seoul's weather representativeness has the smallest in Summer Changma period. And Puyo has the largest value in September.