PURPOSES : This study tries to develop the accident models of 4-legged signalized intersections in Busan Metropolitan city with random parameter in count model to understanding the factors mainly influencing on accident frequencies.
METHODS: To develop the traffic accidents modeling, this study uses RP(random parameter) negative binomial model which enables to take account of heterogeneity in data. By using RP model, each intersection’s specific geometry characteristics were considered.
RESULTS : By comparing the both FP(fixed parameter) and RP modeling, it was confirmed the RP model has a little higher explanation power than the FP model. Out of 17 statistically significant variables, 4 variables including traffic volumes on minor roads, pedestrian crossing on major roads, and distance of pedestrian crossing on major/minor roads are derived as having random parameters. In addition, the marginal effect and elasticity of variables are analyzed to understand the variables’impact on the likelihood of accident occurrences.
CONCLUSIONS :This study shows that the uses of RP is better fitted to the accident data since each observations’specific characteristics could be considered. Thus, the methods which could consider the heterogeneity of data is recommended to analyze the relationship between accidents and affecting factors(for example, traffic safety facilities or geometrics in signalized 4-legged intersections).
PURPOSES : The objective was to develop the advanced method which could not explain each observation’s specific characteristic in the present negative binomial method that results in under-estimation of the standard error(t-value inflation) and affects the confidence of whole derived results. METHODS : This study dealt with traffic accidents occurring within interchange segment on highway main line with RPNB(Random Parameter Negative Binomial) method that enables to take account of heterogeneity. RESULTS : As a result, AADT and lighting installation type on the road were revealed to have random parameter and in terms of other geometric variables, all were derived as fixed parameter(same effect on every segment). Also, marginal effects were adapted to analyze the relative effects on traffic accidents. CONCLUSIONS : This study proves that RPNB method which considers each observation’s specific characteristics is better fitted to the accident data with geometrics. Thus, it is recommended that RPNB model or other methods which could consider the heterogeneity needs to be adapted in accident analysis.
다방향 불규칙파랑을 입사파랑으로 적용하여 장대 케이슨 방파제에 작용하는 파력감소계수에 대하여 연구하였다. 다방향 불규칙파랑의 주파수 및 방향 스펙트럼으로 JONSWAP (Joint North Sea Wave Project) 스펙트럼과 비대칭 방향 스펙트럼이 각각 적용되었다. 계산결과, 케이슨 방파제의 길이와 입사파랑 주파향의 입사각이 증가할수록 파력감소계수는 감소함을 알 수 있었다. 그리고 최대방향분포계수 가 증가할수록 파력감소계수는 규칙파와 유사한 경