고속도로의 제한속도는 교통류, 운행 시간, 에너지 소비, 교통사고 발생률 등에 직접적인 영향을 미치는 중요한 요인이다. 제한속도 의 상향 조정은 운행 시간 단축과 경제적 이점을 가져올 수 있지만, 교통사고 위험성을 높일 수 있으며, 반대로 하향 조정은 사고율을 감소시킬 수 있으나 운행 시간 증가와 교통 혼잡을 초래할 수 있다. 이러한 상반된 영향으로 인해 제한속도 조정이 도로 안전성과 효 율성에 미치는 구체적인 변화를 분석하는 연구가 필요하다. 본 연구는 미시교통시뮬레이션 도구인 VISSIM과 SSAM을 활용하여 제한 속도 및 교통량 변화에 따른 고속도로 구간별 상충횟수를 분석하고, 위험성이 높아지는 구간을 식별하였다. 이를 통해 향후 단속지점 설정과 구간별 맞춤형 개선방안 마련에 실증적인 근거를 제공하고자 한다.

단지 내 도로는 별도의 설계법 없이 AASHTO 및 TA 설계법, 한국형 도로포장 설계법을 적용하여 일률적인 포장 두께를 적용하고 있으나 비산먼지 방지 목적으로 중간층 또는 기층 포설 후, 공사차량을 사전개방하고 사업 준공 단계에서 표층을 시공하는 단계시공 을 실시하고 있다. 이에 의해 포장단면 두께는 공사차량의 영향으로 공용수명을 만족하지 못하게 되므로 포장 파손이 빈번하게 발생 하므로 이를 고려한 포장 설계법 정립이 필요하다. 따라서 공사차량 통행을 고려한 단지 내 도로포장 설계기준을 적용한 시험시공 구 간을 대상으로 현장 모니터링 조사를 수행하였으며, 구조해석 프로그램을 활용하여 단면두께에 대한 포장 공용수명을 산출함으로써 적정성을 검토하였다. 현장조사 결과, 표층 시공 후, 공사차량 교통량을 개방한 구간에서는 공용기간 48개월일 때 표면 균열율이 1% 미만으로 조사되었으며, 중간층만 포설된 단면에서 공사차량 하중이 재하되고, 표층을 포설한 구간의 균열율은 약 8%로 상대적으로 높게 나타났다. 일반적으로 균열율이 8% 초과할 경우, 노후화된 포장층으로 판단하여 유지보수를 실시(서울시, 2018)하므로 조기파손 이 발생한 것으로 제시할 수 있다. 또한, 기존 설계기준을 적용한 구간의 표면상태 조사결과와 KENPAVE를 활용한 Damage 산출 결과 가 유사한 추세로 나타났으며, 6,170 세대 이상의 공사차량이 통행할 경우 공용년수를 만족하지 못하였으므로 해당 세대수에 대해서는 상향 설계를 실시해야 한다. 유지보수 기준에 따라 5∼7년 동안 공용된 포장에서 나타나는 균열율을 기준으로 KENPAVE Damage 10%, KPRP 피로균열 6% 이하이면 10년 이상의 공용이 가능한 것으로 도출되었다. 그러나 절삭 후 덧씌우기를 진행하지 않은 포장 단면에서는 상대적으로 높은 표면 균열율이 발생하므로, 잔존수명 예측을 통해 적절한 절삭 깊이를 산출하여 목표 설계수명을 만족할 수 있는 단지 내 도로포장 설계단면의 적정 기준을 제시함으로써 공용수명을 향상시킬 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

본 연구는 국내 도로사업의 교통수요 예측오차를 종합적으로 평가하고, 보다 효율적인 기대교통량 추정모형의 개발을 목적으로 수 행되었다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 1999년부터 2010년까지 수행된 예비타당성조사 및 타당성재조사 사업들 가운데 62건의 도로사업 (690개 구간)의 자료를 활용하였다. 본 연구의 주요 특징은 다음과 같다. 첫째, 기존 연구들과 달리 사업구간 뿐만 아니라 주변구간을 포함하여 교통수요 예측 오차를 평가했다는 점이다. 둘째, 본 연구는 교통수요 예측의 오차를 정확성, 추정편의, 추정연계성 등 다양한 평가지표를 활용하여 분석했다는 점이다. 실측자료를 통한 분석결과, 전체구간의 평균 백분율 오차(MPE)는 11.6%(과소추정)로 파악되 었지만, 이를 사업구간과 주변구간으로 나누어 살펴보면, 사업구간의 경우 -13.5%(과다추정), 주변구간은 16.5%(과소추정)로 상반된 결 과를 나타내었다. 추정편의 분석결과, 전체구간에서는 통계적으로 유의미한 편의가 발견되지 않았으나, 사업구간과 주변구간 각각에서 는 편의가 존재하는 것으로 나타났다. 추정연계성 분석에서는 주변구간의 경우 기준연도 정산 결과와 개통연도 오차 간 유의미한 관 계가 확인되었다. 이러한 분석결과를 바탕으로, 본 연구는 분위회귀모형을 활용한 기대교통량 추정모형을 제안하였는데, 이는 기존의 점 추정 방식의 한계를 보완하는 방안이다. 이 모형은 사업구간과 주변구간을 구분하여 개발되었으며, 실측교통량의 50% 분위를 중심 으로 95% 신뢰구간을 제시하였다. 또한, 동 모형에서는 고속도로 여부, 준공 지연 기간 등 주요 변수들의 영향을 고려하여 모형의 설 명력을 높였다는 특징을 갖는다. 본 연구의 결과는 도로사업의 교통수요 예측 정확성 향상과 투자 의사결정의 합리성 제고에 기여 할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다. 특히, 제안된 기대교통량 추정 모형은 예비타당성조사 등에서 보다 현실적인 교통수요 예측치를 제공하고, 이를 통해 경제성 분석의 신뢰도를 높이는 데 활용될 수 있을 것이다. 또한, 사업구간과 주변구간의 교통량 변화 특성이 다르다는 점 을 고려하여, 향후 도로 사업의 영향 평가 시 보다 세밀한 접근이 필요함을 시사한다.

PURPOSES : Traffic volume, an important basic data in the field of road traffic, is collected from traffic survey equipment installed at certain locations, which sometimes results in missing traffic volume data and abnormal detection. Therefore, this study presents various missing correction techniques using traffic characteristic analysis to obtain accurate traffic volume statistics. METHODS : The fundamental premise behind the development of a traffic volume correction and prediction model is to set the corrected data as the reference value, and the traffic volume correction and prediction process for the outliers and missing values in the raw data were performed based on the set values. RESULTS : The simulation results confirmed that the algorithm combining seasonal composition, quantile AD, and aggregation techniques showed a detection performance of more than 91% compared with actual values. CONCLUSIONS : Raw data collected due to difficulties faced by traffic survey equipment will result in missing traffic volume data and abnormal detection. If these abnormal data are used without appropriate corrections, it is difficult to accurately predict traffic demand. Therefore, it is necessary to improve the accuracy of demand prediction through characteristic analysis and the correction of missing data or outliers in the traffic data.

OBJECTIVES: This study aims to review a plan to reduce the shoulder width of a deformed round-trip two-lane highway with low traffic volume. METHODS: Installation of a passing lane on a round-trip two-lane (one-way one-lane) highway, and reduction of a shoulder for a round-trip four-lane highway. RESULTS : It is necessary to establish a design criterion for various highways, because the plan to reduce the lane or shoulder width of a highway with low traffic volume was analyzed to have an economic efficiency of 6.8~7.0%. CONCLUSIONS: It is necessary to seek for a plan to establish a national trunk net early by efficiently using the limited financial resources to cope with the traffic demand elastically.

PURPOSES : This paper presents a description of the current issues facing road managers regarding the surface-type conversion of lowvolume roads for cost savings. METHODS: The paper reviews previous works conducted toward this end, acknowledges gaps in the current research, and lays out what information is needed for further studies. RESULTS : If the cost to maintain an unsurfaced road is less than the cost of maintaining a surfaced road, then there is potential for cost savings for the management agency. However, the problem is bigger than simply maintaining the roads that already exist. If unsurfaced roads prove to be more economical than surfaced roads, then the cost to convert from a surfaced to an unsurfaced roadway, and vice versa, when necessary, must also be examined. CONCLUSIONS : No other studies have addressed the un-surfacing of a road for cost savings, and it is therefore unknown whether substantial savings can be realistically obtained by converting from a surfaced to an unsurfaced road. To determine whether a conversion policy would be a viable option, additional data and research are needed.

PURPOSES: The purpose of this study is to analyze the service life of expressway pavement based on both traffic volumes and use of deicing chemicals. METHODS: A database was built using expressway rehabilitation history information from over the last decade. In order to estimate the service life of expressway pavement, various analysis methods were considered, and a decision was made to perform analysis using a method based on an accumulated rehabilitation ratio. The service life of expressway pavement was then analyzed by classifying the scale of traffic volume and extent of de-icing chemicals used. RESULTS: The service life of PMA and SMA ranged from 7.8 to 10.6 years and from 9.9 to 12.0 years, respectively. The service life of JCP ranged from 16.0 to 22.2 years, and the service life of CRCP was 33.5 years on average. Results of assessing service life according to traffic volumes and de-icing chemicals showed that the lower the traffic volumes were, the greater the service life of PMA and JCP, and the less that de-icing chemicals were applied, the greater the service life of JCP. CONCLUSIONS : The dependence of expressway pavement service life on traffic volumes and de-icing chemicals makes it possible to apply LCCA for regional maintenance plans and cost-effective selection of expressway pavement type.

PURPOSES : This study is to investigate the relationship of socioeconomic characteristics and road network structure with traffic growth patterns. The findings is to be used to tweak traffic forecast provided by traditional four step process using relevant socioeconomic and road network data. METHODS: Comprehensive statistical analysis is used to identify key explanatory variables using historical observations on traffic forecast, actual traffic counts and surrounding environments. Based on statistical results, a multiple regression model is developed to predict the effects of socioeconomic and road network attributes on traffic growth patterns. The validation of the proposed model is also performed using a different set of historical data. RESULTS : The statistical analysis results indicate that several socioeconomic characteristics and road network structure cleary affect the tendency of over- and under-estimation of road traffics. Among them, land use is a key factor which is revealed by a factor that traffic forecast for urban road tends to be under-estimated while rural road traffic prediction is generally over-estimated. The model application suggests that tweaking the traffic forecast using the proposed model can reduce the discrepancies between the predicted and actual traffic counts from 30.4% to 21.9%. CONCLUSIONS : Prediction of road traffic growth patterns based on surrounding socioeconomic and road network attributes can help develop the optimal strategy of road construction plan by enhancing reliability of traffic forecast as well as tendency of traffic growth.

PURPOSES : Two-lane highways have one lane in each direction, and lane changing and passing maneuvers take place in the opposing lane depending on the availability of passing sight distance. 2001 Korea Highway Capacity Manual (KHCM) is classified into two classes of two-lane highways (Type I, II), and average travel speed and time-delayed rate are used as measures of effectiveness (MOEs). However, since existing two-lane highways have both uninterrupted and interrupted traffic flow-system elements, a variety of free-flow speeds exhibits in two-lane highways. In addition, it is necessary to check if the linear-relationship between volumes and time-delayed rate is appropriate. Then, this study is to reestablish the relationship between average travel speed, time-delayed rate, and flow. METHODS : TWOPAS model was selected to conduct this study, and the free-flow speeds of passenger cars and the percentage of following vehicles observed in two-lane highways were applied to the model as the input. The revised relationships were developed from the computer simulation. RESULTS : In the revised average travel speed vs. flow relationship, the free-flow speed of 90km/h and 70km/h were added. It shows that the relationship between time delayed-rate and flow appeared to be appropriate with the log-function form and that there was no difference in time-delayed rate between the free flow speeds. In addition to revise the relationships, the speed prediction model and the time-delayed rate prediction model were also developed. CONCLUSIONS : The revised relationships between average travel speed, time-delayed rate, and flow would be useful in estimating the Level of Service(LOS) of a two-lane highway.

In this study, which aims to estimate the volume of greenhouse gas emitted by road transportation vehicles in Changwon City, the emission rate was calculated on the basis of the actual traffic volume measured at major crossroads and compared with the results obtained from the methodology used to estimate the greenhouse gas emissions of road transportation provided in the IPCC 2006 GL guidelines (Tier 1, Tier 3). Analysis of the results of the comparison showed that the Tier 1 methodology, which was applied in the estimation of the rate of greenhouse gas emissions, carries a high probability of underestimation, while the Tier 3 methodology carries a relatively high probability of overestimation. Therefore, when considering the assignment of permissible rates of emission to local governments, the application of the methodology, i.e. whether one uses Tier 1 or Tier 3, may result in a large difference in the rate of allowable emissions. It is suggested that a method based on the actual volume of traffic would be the most reasonable one with regard to the development of a realistic plan.