This study examines the persistent decline of the motorcycle industry despite governmental interventions, using the perspective of path dependency. Drawing from W. B. Arthur's concept of 'Lock-in by insignificant historical events', the research delves into the lock-in phenomena within the industry's life cycle. We identified path dependency lock-in categories: contingency, historicity, and technological lock-in. The industry's licensing production method during its embryonic phase led to limited technological capabilities, establishing a technological path dependency. During the currency crisis and in alignment with China's open-door policy, the industry chose to import cheaper components, opting for economies of scale over technological innovation, intensifying the lock-in. Furthermore, the classification of motorcycle as a free industry before the currency crisis resulted in a lack of governmental support. This neglect has continued, with even modern electric motorcycle facing regulation. In conclusion, to overcome this entrenched path dependency and lock-in, significant governmental policy restructuring is essential.
In the context of the 4th Industrial Revolution, the rise of electric vehicles and personal mobility is evident. However, regulatory authorities seem to overlook vast opportunities, placing two-wheelers in a deregulated category and focusing mainly on regulations. This paper addresses a notable trend in e-mobility, emphasizing aspects often overlooked in traditional motorcycle regulatory research. Using the industrial life cycle theory as a basis, we identify challenges that have affected traditional combustion-engine two-wheelers and offer insights to navigate similar obstacles in the future. Consequently, the domestic two-wheeler market experienced a brief surge but lacked sustainable growth prospects. However, considering Japan's success in establishing global standards and design dominance in the two-wheeler industry despite its late entry, there appears to be potential for a rebound in the domestic market.
The food delivery platform labor market has been continuing to grow rapidly in Korea, which resulted in traffic accident increases of delivery riders. To prevent traffic accidents while delivery, this study conducted a survey for 462 delivery riders and analyzed the statistical relationships of delivery characteristics and risk perception with delivery accidents. The results of this study revealed that riders with young age (20s: 46.6%) and/or low delivery experience (less than 1 year: 50.6%) had significantly higher proportion of accident experience than other age groups (over 40s: 36.2%) and high delivery experience (more than 2 years: 36.4%). In addition, side job riders (61.5%) showed significantly higher proportion of accident experience than main job riders (39.1%). The riders with accident experience had more number of deliveries per hour (weekday: 3.56, weekend: 3.91) than the riders without accident experience (weekday: 3.29, weekend: 3.68). Lastly, the riders with accident experience rated significantly higher perceived level of risk on weather, violation of traffic laws, uninspected motorcycle, receiving calls while driving, missing safety training, missing personal protective equipment than the riders without accident experience. This study suggested four aspects based on the study results to prevent traffic accidents for delivery riders.
PURPOSES: This study aims to contribute to a better road environment, which can result in accident reduction from two-wheeled vehicles, by analyzing factors affecting the two-wheeled vehicles’ accident severities in Incheon Metropolitan City.
METHODS: In this study, the two-wheeled vehicles’ accident severity was classified into four categories (fatal injury, serious injury, minor injury, and injury report) as a dependent variable, and 97 independent variables out of 14 categories were considered to construct an ordered probit model. To determine the factors affecting accident severity, the statistical package LIMDEP was used.
RESULTS: Among the variables used in the analysis, variables related to accident occurrence date (first quarter), region (8-district), accident type (passing the edge of the road of the vehicle for a pedestrian accident, fixed object collision, and overturn of vehicle-only accident), violation type (unobtained safety distance, failure to perform safe driving, violation of intersection driving, and violation of others), the type of road (at the intersection, near the intersection, at the crosswalk, near the crosswalk, etc.), gender of assailant (male), vehicle of victim (pedestrian and motorcycle), and age of victim (under 20) were found to have a statistically significant effect on the severity of the accident.
CONCLUSIONS: The variables related to accident type (fixed object collision and overturn of vehicle-only accident), gender of assailant (male), and vehicle of victim (pedestrian and motorcycle) have turned out increasing the accident severity. In addition, accident occurrence for two-wheeled vehicles is more diverse and vulnerable to damage than automobile accidents. Therefore, it is time to recognize the seriousness of two-wheeled vehicle accidents and to improve the environment and systems for safe driving.
The noise from the exhaust system to the engine is important in terms of the problem of noise pollution, as well as improved marketability, there are many studies being made. Normally, the exhaust noise change is the exhaust manifold of the muffler or four days depending on the structure of the portion of the shape and the Lancer, called look a big difference, and the perforated pipe resonance, expression that contains a study of the structure of the muffler is a general precedent. This muffler is based on four wheel to differentiate between the borrower and the borrower can be broken down into a motorcycle. The details of the stock muffler, the muffler is tuned racing use. Therefore, this study is the last motorcycle noise and exhaust emission for environmental tests have not been established yet 125cc motor cycle noise is used as a reference for the criteria for information about the experiment. There are few types of motorcycle muffler, such as stock muffler, slip on muffler and full system muffler used racing. On this study through to the measurement motorcycle exhaust noise and analysis 1/3 octave band get a target frequency. For the design resonance muffler used Helemholtz’s resonance formular. Also when design the muffler consider mount of frame. This studied expect reduction noise without sound absorption.
최근 10년간(2004~2013) 이륜차 교통사고 현황을 분석한 결과 승용차의 교통사고 비율은 연평균 0.1% 의 증가한 반면 자전거와 이륜차 교통사고는 5.7%에 해당하는 증가율을 보이고 있다. 이러한 자전거 및 이륜차 교통사고의 경우 승용차에 비해 치사율이 2.7배 높은 것으로 분석되어 사고감소를 위한 대책이 필 요하다. 본 연구에서는 자전거 및 이륜차 교통사고 중 사망사고 이력자료를 바탕으로 사고 발생 원인과 사고특성을 분석한다. 분석에는 도로교통공단에서 제공하는 교통사고 통계자료(교통사고분석시스템(TASS))를 이용하였다. 단순 통계분석이 아닌 교통사고GIS 자료를 이용하여 개별 사고에 대한 특성을 파악하여 사고의 원인을 분석하였다. 자전거 및 이륜차 사고 특성 분석결과 교차로와 단일로 모두 차량과의 측면 직각 충돌에 의한 사고가 많이 발생하는 것으로 분석되었다. 이러한 측면 충돌에 대한 사고 원인을 분석한 결과 교차로와 단일로 모두 전방주시 태만, 핸들 과대조작과 같은 안전운전 불이행으로 인한 측면 충돌에 의한 사망사고가 가장 높은 것으로 분석되었다. 이어서 신호위반, 과속 등과 같은 원인이 높게 분석되었다. 연령별로는 65세 이 상의 노인 운전자의 교통사고가 다른 연령층에 비해 높게 나타났다. 2013년도 기준 65세 이상의 노인 사 망자수는 전체 사망자수 중 43.2%로 분석되었고 중상자 및 경상자수 또한 전체의 22%에 해당하는 결과 를 보여 다른 연령대에 비해 사고심각도 또한 높게 분석되었다. 사고 유형별로는 도로이탈, 공작물 충돌 과 같은 사고의 치사율이 높게 분석되었으며 이는 조금만 속도가 높아도 도로를 이탈하거나 공작물 충돌 사고를 야기할 수 밖에 없는 자전거와 이륜차의 구조적 특성에 의한 원인으로 분석된다. 본 연구에서는 자전거 및 이륜차 교통사고 발생원인 및 특성분석 연구를 수행하였다. 향후연구로 자전 거 및 이륜차의 교통사고를 예방하기 위한 ʻ자전거 대 차ʼ, ʻ차 대 자전거ʼ의 사고를 미연에 경고할 수 있는 ʻB2Xʼ 서비스 개발을 제안한다.
PURPOSES : This study drew factors affecting motorcycle accidents in Seoul by severity using an ordered probit model and aimed to analyze and verify the drawn influence factors. METHODS: As the severity of the accidents could be classified into three types (fatal injury, serious injury and minor injury), this study drew the factors affecting accidents by a comparative analysis employing an ordered probit model, removed the variables that would not secure significance sequentially to construct a model with high explanatory power regarding the factors affecting the severity of motorcycle accidents, and calculated the marginal effect of each factor to understand the degree of each factor’s impact on the severity. First, Model 1 put in all variables; Model 2 was constructed by removing the variables of the road surface conditions that could not meet the level of significance (p=0.608); Model 3 was constructed by removing gender variable (p=0.423); and Model 4 was constructed finally by removing age variable (p=0.320). RESULTS : As a result of an analysis, statistically significant variables were time of occurrence, type of accident, road alignment and motorcycle displacement, and it turned out that the impacts on the severity were in the following order: a road alignment of left downhill, the type of motorcycle-to-vehicle accidents and a road alignment of a flatland on the left. The significance of the models was tested using the likelihood ratio, the level of significance and suitability statistics about them, and as a result of the test, the significance level and suitability of the constructed models were all excellent. In addition, the model accuracy indicating the accuracy of a predicted value compared to that of the value actually observed was 70.3% for minor injury; 70.1% for serious injury; and 68.6% for fatal injury, and the overall accuracy was 70.2%, which was very high. CONCLUSIONS: As a result of an analysis of motorcycle accidents in Seoul through the ordered probit model and the marginal effect, it turned out that their severity increased in nighttime accidents as compared to daytime ones and gradually increased in the order of motorcycleto- vehicle accidents, motorcycle-to-person ones and the ones involving motorcycle only. As a result of an analysis, the severity of accidents in road alignments of left downhill, left flatland and straight downhill increased as compared to those in a road alignment of straight flatland and that the severity of accidents of motorcycles with a displacement larger than 50cc was higher than that of those with a displacement smaller than 50cc.
Odometry using wheel encoders is one of the fundamental techniques for the pose estimation of wheeled mobile robots. However, odometry has a drawback that the position errors are accumulated when the travel distance increases. Therefore, position errors are required to be reduced using appropriate calibration schemes. The UMBmark method is the one of the widely used calibration schemes for two wheel differential drive robots. In UMBmark method, it is assumed that odometry error sources are independent. However, there is coupled effect of odometry error sources. In this paper, a new calibration scheme by considering the coupled effect of error sources is proposed. We also propose the test track design for the proposed calibration scheme. The numerical simulation and experimental results show that the odometry accuracy can be improved by the proposed calibration scheme.