최근 이상기후 및 기후변화로 인해 농작물 병해충 발생이 증가하고 발생양상 또한 다양해지고 있으며, 국제 무역 및 해외 여행객 증가로 인한 외래 병해충 유입 위험성이 높아지고 있는 추세이다. 특히 대표적인 비래해충 중의 하나인 벼멸구(Nilaparvata lugens Stål, 1854)의 발생 범위, 출현율 및 빈도수가 꾸준히 증가하여 피해를 호소 하는 농가들이 많아진 반면, 이들에 대한 대응책은 피해발생의 불규칙성, 이전 자료의 부족 및 불명확성으로 인해 미비한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 문제를 대비해 벼멸구의 온도발육모형을 이용하여, 기상자료, NCPMS와 더불어 연발생 횟수와 분포 가능 범위 및 발생 시기를 예측하였다. 또한, 벼멸구의 발생량이 많았던 충남 예산, 경남 사천, 진주의 최초발생일, 최초비래일, 최고발생일, 발생최성일 기준으로 각각 발육영점온도 및 유효적산온도를 적용하여 세대별 발생시기를 예측하였다. 최초발생일과 최초비래일은 예산 7월 9일, 7월 16일, 사천 7월 2일, 7월 19일, 진주 7월 26일, 7월 26일로 나타났으며, 최초발생일과 최초비래일 사이를 초발생일 로 적용하면 다음세대 발생이 실제 조사한 지역별 최고발생일인 예산 9월 7일, 사천 8월 9일, 진주 8월 8일과 근접 한 시기로 추정되어 효과적임을 알 수 있었다.

The temperature-dependent development of Poinsettia thrips, Echinothrips americanus was studied at eight constant temperatures (15.0, 17.5, 20.0, 22.5, 25.0, 27.5, 30.0, and 32.5±1°C), 65±5% RH and photoperiod of 16L : 8D conditions. The developmental stages were divided into egg, 1st instar, 2nd instar, pre-pupa, pupa, and adult. The total developmental time in the immature stage was 40.4 days at 15.0°C and 11.6 days at 30.0°C, and it decreased with increasing temperature. The lowest temperature of the whole immature period was 10.7°C, and the cumulative temperature to complete the entire immature period was 217.4 degree days. The optimal development temperature (Topt) for the whole immature stage was estimated to be in the range of 30.51-31.21°C. Topt for each immature stage was 31.64-35.47°C at egg, 30.02-33.08°C at 1st instar, 29.16- 34.43°C at 2nd instar, 27.63-29.21°C at pre-pupa, and 29.81-30.12°C at pupa. In the analysis of the six non-linear models, Logan 6 model was the most appropriate as Zi (Weighting Factors) was 0.18.

An elevated temperature is expected at the deep geological repository (DGR) due to the decay heat from spent nuclear fuel and the positive geothermal gradient. The resulting elevated temperature would change the aqueous speciation and surface complexation of uranium, which is the major component in spent nuclear fuel. Since sorption reactions of uranium species on natural minerals determine the extent of uranium retardation, in this work the temperature-dependent adsorption of hexavalent uranium, U(VI), was studied by choosing alumina as the basic component mineral for complex aluminosilicates. Time-resolved laser fluorescence spectroscopy (TRLFS) was used to assess the dissolved and adsorbed U(VI) species on γ-Alumina in the pH range of 6.5–9.0 at temperatures of 25 to 70°C. Initial concentrations of U(VI), carbonate and calcium were 89 μM, 25 mM, and 3.0 mM, respectively. The parallel factor analysis (PARAFAC) was used for chemical speciation by spectrum deconvolution. In addition, a separate solution system with higher U(VI) concentrations (0.1 mM, 1.0 mM) and carbonate concentration of 25 mM was studied with attenuated total reflectance-Fourier transform infrared (ATR-FTIR) spectroscopy for adsorbed species at 25°C. The electrophoretic mobility measurements were also conducted at 25°C to assess the coordination mechanism of adsorbed species at 25°C. The uranyl hydrolysis species and uranyl tricarbonato species coexist in solution at 25°C. At the same temperature, both species were found to be adsorbed. ATR-FTIR could confirm the adsorption of uranyl tricarbonato species at 25°C, and the electrophoretic mobility measurements suggested that the reaction mechanism is an inner-sphere coordination. However, in comparison with aqueous speciation at 25°C, at elevated temperatures the available pH range of uranyl tricarbonato species was narrow and that for uranyl hydrolysis species was wider. It was evident that two hydrolysis species are adsorbed at elevated temperatures, but no tricarbonato species. The enhanced U(VI) adsorption was observed with temperatures. This could result from the transition of dominance from the concurrent adsorption of uranyl hydrolysis species and uranyl tricarbonato species to two hydrolysis species. It was seen that the trend of enthalpy of adsorption was endothermic. Combining the present results with temperature-dependent adsorption studies on silica and aluminosilicates, a reliable SCM for the subsurface system can be proposed to explain U(VI) migration.

Temperature-dependent development models for Hydrochara affinis were built to estimate the ecological parameters as fundamental research for monitoring the impact of climate change on rice paddy ecosystems in South Korea. The models predicted the number of lifecycles of H. affinis using the daily mean temperature data collected from four regions (Cheorwon, Dangjin, Buan, Haenam) in different latitudes. The developmental rate of each life stage linearly increased as the temperature rose from 18°C to 30°C. The goodness-of-fit did not significantly differ between the models of each life stage. Unlike the optimal temperature, the estimated thermal limits of development were considerably different among the models. The number of generations of H. affinis was predicted to be 3.6 in a high-latitude region (Cheorwon), while the models predicted this species to have 4.3 generations in other regions. The results of this study can be useful to provide essential information for estimating climate change effects on lifecycle variations of H. affinis and studies on biodiversity conservation in rice fields.

감자수염진딧물 (Macrosiphum euphorbiae)의 온도별 발육은 12.5~27.5°C까지 2.5°C 간격 (상대습도 65±5%, 광주기 16L : 8D), 7개 온도조건에서 1~2령, 3~4령의 2단계로 구분하여 조사하였다. 약충의 사망률은 7개 온도 중 6개 온도에서 10% 미만이었으나, 27.5°C에서 사망률은 53.0% 였다. 온도별 발육기간은 15.0°C에서 15.5일, 25.0°C에서는 6.7일로 고온으로 갈수록 발육기간은 짧아졌으나, 27.5°C 에서는 발육기간이 다시 길어져 9.7일이었다. 약충의 발육 영점온도는 2.6°C였고, 유효적산온도는 144.5일도였다. 약충의 발육을 5가지 비선형발육모형에 적용한 결과 Logan6 (r2=0.99) 모형이 발육에 적합하였고, 발육완료분포모형은 2-Weibull과 3-Weibull의 모형 적합성 (r2)이 각각 0.92 와 0.93으로 유사하였다. 성충 수명과 산자 수에서 성충 수명은 온도가 증가함에 따라 짧아지는 경향을 보였고, 산자 수는 20.0°C에서 64.4개로 가장 많은 산자를 생산하였다. 생명표분석에서 순증가율 (R0)은 20.0°C에서 63.2로 가장 컸고, 내적자연증가율 (rm)은 25.0°C에서 1.393로 가장 컸다. 배수증가기간 (Dt)은 25.0°C에서 2.091로 가장 짧았다. 기간자연증가율 (λ)은 25°C에서 가장 컸고 (1.393), 평균세 대기간 (T)은 25°C에서 9.929로 가장 짧았다.

Developmental characteristics of immature stages of Ostrinia scapulalis (Lepidoptera: Crambidae), which is a main insect pest against legume crops, were investigated at constant temperatures to prepare fundamental data for integrated pest management. Egg, larva and pupa could survive at temperatures from 16oC to 36oC. Developmental periods of those stages became shorter with increasing temperature between 16 and 31oC, 16 and 36oC, and 16 and 34oC, respectively. The lower developmental thresholds and degree-days(DD) were determined as 13.0oC and 56.9DD, 13.8oC and 277.5DD, and 14.2oC and 90.8DD using a linear regression model between temperature and development rate. Other parameters for explaining development of this species were estimated using a few non-linear models for developmental rate, distribution, and survivorship.

친환경 벼 재배지역을 중심으로 점차 피해가 확대되는 먹노린재(Scotinophara lurida) 방제기술 개발을 위하여 전남지역에서 발생생태 및 온도의존 발육모형을 조사하였다. 2019년 봄 전남 6개지역에서 먹노린재의 월동후 생존율을 조사한 결과 총 153마리중 104마리가 생존하여 67.6%의 생존율을 보였다. 먹노린재는 벼 이앙 후 6월 중하순부터 월동성충이 발생하기 시작하여 7월 상중순에 산란하고 8월 중하순에 1세대 성충이 발생한다. 온도 의존 발육모형을 구하기 위하여 18, 21, 24, 27, 30℃ 14L:10D 조건의 항온기에서 온도별, 발육단계별 발육기간을 조사하였다. 18, 21, 24, 27, 30℃에서 알에서 성충이 될 때까지 소요기간은 각각 119.8, 73.1, 53.5, 39.4, 82.0일로 27℃에서 가장 발육이 잘 되었다. Excell 프로그램을 이용하여 온도와 발육속도와의 관계를 2차 다항식으로 분석하여 회귀곡선을 얻었고 이를 근거로 발육단계별 발육영점온도와 유효적산온도를 산출하였다. 먹노린재의 알에서부터 5령 약충까지의 발육영점온도는 17.9℃, 유효적산온도는 380.2일도였다.

In this study, we proposed a model for forecasting power energy demand by investigating how outside temperature at a given time affected power consumption and. To this end, we analyzed the time series of power consumption in terms of the power spectrum and found the periodicities of one day and one week. With these periodicities, we investigated two time series of temperature and power consumption, and found, for a given hour, an approximate linear relation between temperature and power consumption. We adopted an exponential smoothing model to examine the effect of the linearity in forecasting the power demand. In particular, we adjusted the exponential smoothing model by using the variation of power consumption due to temperature change. In this way, the proposed model became a mixture of a time series model and a regression model. We demonstrated that the adjusted model outperformed the exponential smoothing model alone in terms of the mean relative percentage error and the root mean square error in the range of 3%~8% and 4kWh~27kWh, respectively. The results of this study can be used to the energy management system in terms of the effective control of the cross usage of the electric energy together with the outside temperature.

본 연구에서는 세 가지 온도(20, 25, 30℃)에서 꼬마남생이무당벌레의 생물적 특성을 조사하였다. 복숭아혹진딧물 약충을 먹이로 사육한 꼬마남생이무당벌레 암컷의 성충기간은 20, 25, 30℃에서 각각 134.0, 101.0, 55.2일이었고, 총 산란수는 각각 508.6, 875.6, 383.4개였고, 수 컷의 성충기간은 각각 128.8, 97.8 및 46.5일이었다. 25℃에서 꼬마남생이무당벌레의 1령, 2령, 3령, 4령, 수컷 및 암컷의 복숭아혹진딧물 성충 의 일일 평균포식량은 각각 2.2, 7.3, 14.5, 29.1, 35.0 및 42.9마리이었고, 목화진딧물 성충의 일일 평균포식량은 각각 2.2, 7.5, 13.9, 29.5, 37.0 및 40.8마리이었다.