최근 급격한 기후 변화로 인해 도로 교통사고의 발생 빈도가 증가하고 있으며, 특히 겨울철에 자주 발생하는 도로 살얼음(블랙아이 스) 현상이 주요 원인 중 하나로 지목되고 있다. 도로살얼음의 형성 메커니즘은 다양한 요인에 따라 복합적으로 작용하며, 당시의 도 로 기상 조건과 도로의 기하학적 구조에 따라 얼음의 형태 및 강도가 결정된다. 그중에서도 도로 노면 온도는 도로살얼음 형성에 중 요한 요소로, 여러 나라에서 겨울철 교통안전 평가를 위한 주요 지표로 사용되고 있다. 그러나 현재 도로 노면 온도에 대한 명확한 정 의가 부족할 뿐만 아니라, 측정 방법에 따라 계측 편차와 온도 손실 등 여러 한계가 존재해 정확한 온도 측정이 어려운 실정이다. 이 에 본 연구는 지중 깊이에 따른 온도 데이터와 도로 기상 데이터를 결합하여 보다 정밀한 도로 노면 온도 예측 방법을 제시하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 연구를 위해 지중 깊이 2cm, 3cm, 4cm, 5cm, 7cm, 9cm, 15cm, 20cm에 각각 온도 센서를 설치하였으며, 기상 데이터는 해당 지점에서 2m 떨어진 AWS(Automatic Weather System)를 통해 대기 온도, 습도, 강수량, 일사량 등의 정보를 수집하였다. 이를 바 탕으로 지중 온도와 기상 조건의 상관관계를 활용하여 노면 온도를 예측하는 방법론을 도출하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 도로 노면 온도 예측의 정확성을 향상시킬 뿐만 아니라, 새로운 접근 방식을 통해 노면 온도의 정의를 재정립하는 데 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

PURPOSES : This aim of this study is to develop a model for predicting road surface temperature using an LSTM network to predict road surface temperature associated with road icing. METHODS : A long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network suitable for time-series data with time correlation is used in the analysis. Moreover, an optimal neural network architecture is designed via hyperparameter search and verification using learning and validation data. Finally, the generalization performance is evaluated based on the RMSE using unseen data as test data. RESULTS : The results show that the predicted data are similar to the actual road surface temperature patterns , and that the network appears to be generalized. CONCLUSIONS : The LSTM model improves the accuracy and generalization of road surface temperature prediction, as compared with other machine learning models.

PURPOSES: This study aimed to evaluate the performance of a model developed for road surface temperature change pattern in reflecting specific road characteristics. Three types of road sections were considered, namely, basic, tunnel, and soundproof tunnel. METHODS: A thermal mapping system was employed to collect actual road surface temperature and locational data of the survey vehicle. Data collection was conducted 12 times from 05:30 am to 06:30 am on the test route, which is an uninterrupted flow facility. A total of 9010 road surface temperature data were collected, and half of these were selected based on a random selection process. The other half was used to evaluate the performance of the model. The model used herein is based on machine learning algorithms. The mean absolute error (MAE) was used to evaluate the accuracy of the estimation performance of the model. RESULTS: The MAE was calculated to determine the difference between the estimated and the actual road surface temperature. A MAE of 0.48℃ was generated for the overall test route. The basic section obtained the smallest error whereas that of the tunnel was relatively high. CONCLUSIONS: The road surface temperature change is closely related to the air temperature. The process of data pre-processing is very important to improve the estimation accuracy of the model. Lastly, it was difficult to determine the influence of the data collection date on the estimation of the road surface temperature change pattern due to the same weather conditions.

The road surface condition in winter is important for road maintenance and safety. To estimate the road surface condition in winter, the RWIS(Road Weather Information System) is used. However RWIS is not measured the continuous road surface information but measured the locational road surface information. To overcome the current RWIS limitation, the thermal mapping sensor which can collect the road surface condition employed in some countries. Although the thermal mapping sensor can collect the continuous road surface information, it is difficult to collect vast data due to apply few probe car. This study suggests a specific methodology for the prediction of road surface temperature using vehicular ambient temperature sensors and collect road surface and vehicular ambient temperature data on the defined survey route in 2015 and 2016 year, respectively. To find out the correlation between road surface and ambient temperature which may affect patterns of road surface temperature variation, the various weather and topographical conditions along with the test route were considered. For modelling, all types of collected temperature data should be classified into response and predictor before applying a machine learning tool such as MATLAB. In this study, collected road surface temperature are considered as response while vehicular ambient temperatures defied as predictor. Through data learning using machine learning tool, models were developed and finally compared predicted and actual temperature based on average absolute error. According to comparison results, model enables to estimate actual road surface temperature variation pattern along the roads very well. Model III is slightly better than the rest of models in terms of estimation performance. When correlation between response and predictor is high, when plenty of historical data exists, and when a lot of predictors are available, estimation performance of would be much better.

PURPOSES: This study develops various models that can estimate the pattern of road surface temperature changes using machine learning methods. METHODS : Both a thermal mapping system and weather forecast information were employed in order to collect data for developing the models. In previous studies, the authors defined road surface temperature data as a response, while vehicular ambient temperature, air temperature, and humidity were considered as predictors. In this research, two additional factors-road type and weather forecasts-were considered for the estimation of the road surface temperature change pattern. Finally, a total of six models for estimating the pattern of road surface temperature changes were developed using the MATLAB program, which provides the classification learner as a machine learning tool. RESULTS: Model 5 was considered the most superior owing to its high accuracy. It was seen that the accuracy of the model could increase when weather forecasts (e.g., Sky Status) were applied. A comparison between Models 4 and 5 showed that the influence of humidity on road surface temperature changes is negligible. CONCLUSIONS: Even though Models 4, 5, and 6 demonstrated the same performance in terms of average absolute error (AAE), Model 5 can be considered the optimal one from the point of view of accuracy.

PURPOSES:This study suggests a specific methodology for the prediction of road surface temperature using vehicular ambient temperature sensors. In addition, four kind of models is developed based on machine learning algorithms.METHODS:Thermal Mapping System is employed to collect road surface and vehicular ambient temperature data on the defined survey route in 2015 and 2016 year, respectively. For modelling, all types of collected temperature data should be classified into response and predictor before applying a machine learning tool such as MATLAB. In this study, collected road surface temperature are considered as response while vehicular ambient temperatures defied as predictor. Through data learning using machine learning tool, models were developed and finally compared predicted and actual temperature based on average absolute error.RESULTS:According to comparison results, model enables to estimate actual road surface temperature variation pattern along the roads very well. Model III is slightly better than the rest of models in terms of estimation performance.CONCLUSIONS :When correlation between response and predictor is high, when plenty of historical data exists, and when a lot of predictors are available, estimation performance of would be much better.

PURPOSES: This study evaluates the reliability of the patterns of changes in the road surface temperature during winter using a statistical technique. In addition, a flexible road segmentation method is developed based on the collected road surface temperature data. METHODS: To collect and analyze the data, a thermal mapping system that could be attached to a survey vehicle along with various other sensors was employed. We first selected the test route based on the date and the weather and topographical conditions, since these factors affect the patterns of changes in the road surface temperature. Each route was surveyed a total of 10 times on a round-trip basis at the same times (5 AM to 6 AM). A correlation analysis was performed to identify whether the weather conditions reported for the survey dates were consistent with the actual conditions. In addition, we developed a method for dividing the road into sections based on the consecutive changes in the road surface temperature for use in future applications. Specifically, in this method, the road surface temperature data collected using the thermal mapping system was compared continuously with the average values for the various road sections, and the road was divided into sections based on the temperature. RESULTS : The results showed that the comparison of the reported and actual weather conditions and the standard deviation in the observed road surface temperatures could produce a good indicator of the reliability of the patterns of the changes in the road surface temperature. CONCLUSIONS: This research shows how road surface temperature data can be evaluated using a statistical technique. It also confirms that roads should be segmented based on the changes in the temperature and not using a uniform segmentation method.

This study examined test piece production and on-the-spot test results of power supply system of road surface temperature sensor module that was put to forecast road freezing at bridge section. The temperature sensor module was produced to replace sensitive sensor (temperature and humidity sensor) of road surface that was put by wire system, and to supply power on-the-spot by itself, And, the study researched optimization considering power consumption for self power generation and sensor operation.