본 연구는 화력발전소 배출로 인한 지표면 오염물질 농도의 시·공간적 영향을 실측 자료를 바탕으로 정량적으로 분석하려는 목적으로 수행되었다. 배출과 농도 관계의 정량적 분석을 위해 우선 기상 조건과 주변 배출원의 영향을 고려하였다. 이를 위해 자료의 선택과 관측지점 선정 과정을 제안하였고, 선정된 지표면 시·공간 자료에 K-Z 필터와 경험직교함수(EOF) 분석 기법을 적용하였다. 사용된 자료는 2014-2017년 4년의 기간 동안 당진과 태안 화력발전소 굴뚝 자동측정기기의 농도값을 이용하여 산출한 한 시간 평균 배출량 자료와 지표면 대기오염농도 측정망 자료이다. 기상 자료로는 최근 배포 중인 ERA5 재분석자료와 기상청 종관기상관측소 한 시간 평균 자료가 사용되었다. 발전소만의 영향이 최대한 보이도록 기상 효과와 지리적인 요인을 고려하여 선택한 시간대의 선정된 관측소 자료만을 이용하여 분석한 결과, 지표면 대기오염물질의 EOF 첫 번째 모드는 SO2, NO2, PM10 모두에 대해 97% 이상의 변동성을 설명하였다. 또한 지표면 농도장의 EOF 첫 번째 모드의 시계열은 화력발전소 배출과 유의미한 상관성을 보였다. 결과적으로 당진 화력발전소 SO2, NO2, TSP 시간 당 배출량이 각각 10%가 감소하면, 남서풍 계열의 바람에 의해 직접 영향을 받는 서울 수도권 지표면 평균 SO2 농도는 0.468 ppb (R=0.384), NO2는 1.050 ppb (R=0.572), PM10은 2.045 μg m−3 (R=0.343) 정도가 감소한다고 판단할 수 있다. 태안화력발전소의 경우, SO2, NO2, TSP 배출량을 각각 시간당 10% 씩 감축하면, SO2는 0.284 ppb (R=0.648), NO2는 0.842 ppb (R=0.683), PM10은 1.230 μg m−3 (R=0.575) 정도가 감소될 수 있음을 확인하였다. 태안화력발전소는 당진화력발전소에 비해 수도권지역 농도에 미치는 영향은 작았으나, 상관관계는 더 높았다.
As big data is diffused throughout the industry, big data analytics is regarded as a corporate competitiveness, and data mining techniques are pouring in exponential methodologies and techniques in the field of computational science. Using mathematical and statistical techniques that have sufficient academic depth, we aim to increase mining efficiency by increasing efficiency and applying efficient data to mining procedures and processing procedures.
This study suggests a prediction model of ground motion spectral shape considering characteristics of earthquake records in Korea. Based on the Graizer and Kalkan’s prediction procedure, a spectral shape model is defined as a continuous function of period in order to improve the complex problems of the conventional models. The approximate spectral shape function is then developed with parameters such as moment magnitude, fault distance, and average shear velocity of independent variables. This paper finally determines estimator coefficients of subfunctions which explain the corelation among the independent variables using the nonlinear optimization. As a result of generating the prediction model of ground motion spectral shape, the ground motion spectral shape well estimates the response spectrum of earthquake recordings in Korea.
It has been widely accepted that the pressure management of water distribution systems using pressure reducing valves(PRVs) would be an effective method for controlling leakages. A pressure reducing valve (PRV) regulates outlet pressure regardless of fluctuating flow and varying inlet pressure, thereby reducing leakage and mitigating the stress on the water distribution system. However, the operation of a PRV is vulnerable to its mechanical condition and hydraulic operability. In this research, the effect of PRVs installed in water distribution system are evaluated in terms of hydraulic pressure reduction and mechanical performance by analyzing measured pressure data with statistical approach. A statistical approach using the moving average filter and frequency analysis based on fourier transform is presented to detect abnormally operated PRVs that have been densely installed in water distribution system. The result shows that the proposed approach can be a good performance evaluation method by simply measuring pressures for the PRVs.
PURPOSES: This study has been conducted to determine a homogeneous segment and integration to improve the efficiency of short-term traffic count. We have also attempted to reduce the traffic monitoring budget.
METHODS: Based on the statistical approach, a homogeneous segment in the same road section is determined. Statistical analysis using t-test, mean difference, and correlation coefficient are carried out for 10-year-long (2004-2013) short-term count traffic data and the MAPE of fresh data (2014) are evaluated. The correlation coefficient represents a trend in traffic count, while the mean difference and t-score represent an average traffic count.
RESULTS : The statistical analysis suggests that the number of target segments varies with the criteria. The correlation coefficient of more than 30% of the adjacent segment is higher than 0.8. A mean difference of 36.2% and t-score of 19.5% for adjacent segments are below 20% and 2.8, respectively. According to the effectiveness analysis, the integration criteria of the mean difference have a higher effect as compared to the t-score criteria. Thus, the mean difference represents a traffic volume similarity.
CONCLUSIONS : The integration of 47 road segments from 882 adjacent road segments indicate 8.87% of MAPE, which is within an acceptable range. It can reduce the traffic monitoring budget and increase the count to improve an accuracy of traffic volume estimation.
Among many potential problems associated with automobiles, the problem regarded as most sensitive and important to the customers is the automobile’s quietness. In particular, because the trend toward the high-performance automobiles is increasing, the quietness should be considered reflecting the increasing demand of the customers for the comfort of automobile ride. Road noise is the low-frequency range in the region of 20Hz to 350Hz, generated when the tires are making contacts with the rough road surface while the automobile is running, in which the noises are resonating within the passenger compartment or with the automobile suspension. In this research, among the factors related to the road noise, the influencing factors associated with the suspension and the tire design were investigated. In particular, among the tire design factors, the structure and the rubber material were investigated as the influencing factors, and for the investigative purpose, experimental tires were manufactured and road noise evaluations were conducted thorough actual feeling tests. Then the test results and correlations were analyzed using the 6-Sigma statistical method. Results from this study shows that, among the tire design factors, the apex is the most influencing factor, in which the height of the apex is the key. The influential factors were found out to be apex height, belt angle, and tread hardness, in that order, and when the suspension is of a same kind, the tendency of the road noise was found to be similar.
For evaluating participation in collaboration project, the peer assement method is mostly used and various scoring methods have been proposed. But, the reliability and validity of the peer assessment method are still doubted for all most method. In order to overcome these weaknesss, some guidelines and training methods have been recommended. In this article, however, statistical technique is proposed for measuring individual contributions to collaboration projects considering each assessor’s reliability. The gist of our proposed algorithm is that an assessor’s reliability depends on the evaluation policy, and this reliability is evaluated by an analysis of variance of the scores assigned by the assessor. We also show that the proposed method is very efficient by case study in university class.
오늘날 통계적 사고와 통계적 기법의 활용은 학문분야에 있어 보편화되고 있는 추세이다. 또한, 국내 학술지가 국제 학술지로 격상되고 있는 현재, 논문에서의 통 계 기법 사용의 적정성을 점검해 볼 필요가 있을 것이다. 본 논문에서는 응용곤충 학 관련 학술논문집간 통계적 기법의 사용빈도를 비교해봄으로써 국내논문의 통 계 기법 사용의 현재 위치에 대해 고찰하고, 국내논문이 나아갈 방향에 대해 모색 해보았다. 본 연구에는 통계 빈도에 대한 조사를 비교하는 데에는 2005년에서 2009년까지 5년간 국내·외 학술논문에 기재된 논문 대상으로 Fisher's exact test를 사용하였다. 우선 국내와 일본 학술논문집간 비교 결과, 2007년까지는 통계적 처 리기법의 사용빈도에서 유의한 차이를 보였으나 그 이후에는 유의한 차이가 나타 나지 않았다. 국내와 네덜란드의 학술논문집간 비교에서는 2009년을 제외하고는 통계적 처리기법의 사용빈도에서 모두 차이가 있는 것으로 나왔다. 참고적으로 일 본과 네덜란드의 비교에서는 통계적 처리기법의 사용빈도에서 차이가 없었다. 이 러한 결과를 토대로, 국내 학술논문집에서의 통계적 기법의 사용빈도가 점차 국외 학술논문집들과 비슷해지는 과정에 있다는 것을 알 수 있었다. 따라서 논문에서의 통계적 기법을 사용하는 것에 더욱 신중하고 노력을 기울일 필요가 있겠다.
본 연구는 충북도내 도심부/도시외곽부/지방부 신호교차로에서의 신호위반에 관한 것이다. 연구의 목적은 신호위반과 다양한 인적, 차량 및 도로환경요인의 관계를 이해하고자 함에 있다. 본 연구의 기술통계와 로지스틱 분석을 위해서 SPSS 12.0을 이용하였다. 분석된 주요 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 신호위반은 도시외곽부보다는 지방부와 도심부에서 많이 발생하는 것으로 분석되었다. 둘째, 신호위반 운전자의 81.1%가 제한속도 이하로 주행하였으며, 77.3%는 적색등화후 2.0초 이내에 교차로에 진입하다 단속되었다. 마지막으로, 로지스틱 회귀분석에 의해 통계적으로 유의한 모형식이 개발 되었다(chi-square=0.000, McFadde=0.265). 개발된 모형의 독립변수로는 지역(도심부/도시외곽부/지방부), 운전자 성별, 계절, 차종, 주야간, 주행속도를 포함하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 신호위반 운전자의 연령과 신호교차로 접근부에서의 운전행태 간의 밀접한 관련성은 발견하지 못하였다.
The risk assessment for heavy metal pollutions were analyzed by using statistical techniques including correlation and cluster analyses. The contamination data in this investigation obtained were from the Chungcheongnam-do abandoned mines. The descriptive statistical analysis showed that the values of Pb and Zn were relatively higher than other heavy metal values. The detection of heavy metals by distance from abandoned mines within 1,000m were mostly As, Cd, Pb, and Zn. It was noted, especially, that Zn was even detected at 4,000m The results of coefficient correlation showed that Zn to Cd was the highest values. The cluster and dendogram analyses were generated. The results showed the two clear groups by heavy metal characteristics.
The purpose of this study is to develop a guideline of process capability evaluation and to apply this guideline improving the quality of products, especially in the small and medium enterprises. In this study we deal in the concept of process capability evaluation, the calculation of process capability index, and the application of a case study. Man must compare the state of process with the standards in evaluating of the process capability. Control chart can be used as a yardstick for judgement for the long term period and the distribution shape of histogram for the short term period. Man should regard to the significant figure by the calculation of process capability index.
Engineer and quality statistician use different terms and techniques but they have same meaning and concept. The terms accuracy and precision are frequently used by engineer and scientist in the department of R&D and production technology. This paper makes a contribution to the interpretation of statistical quality techniques by the use of accuracy and precision. Engineer and scientist who have six sigma black belt and statistical background can use efficiently and effectively accuracy and precision in a manner consistent with statistical usage according to this study.
기후변화는 홍수의 가장 큰 원인이 되는 극치강우의 빈도와 크기에 매우 큰 영향을 미치고 있다. 특히, 우리나라에서 발생하는 대규모 재해는 강우에 의한 홍수피해가 대부분을 차지하고 있다. 이러한 홍수피해는 기후변화에 의한 극한강우의 발생 빈도가 높아짐에 따라 새로운 재해양상으로 전개되고 있다. 하지만, 미래 기후변화 시나리오 자료는 해상도의 한계로 인하여 중소규모 하천 및 도시유역에 요구되는 수준의 자료 수집이 불가능한 상태이다. 이러한 문제점을 개선하기 위하여 본 연구에서는 전지구모형에서 생산된 기후변화 시나리오에 대해서 여러 단계의 통계적 상세화 기법을 통하여 우리나라 전역에 대하여 미래 시나리오에 대한 빈도해석이 가능하도록 각 지점의 특성에 따라 시간적으로 상세화하기 위해 개발된 방 법 및 과정을 소개하였다. 이를 통해, 시간상세화 자료를 토대로 미래 강우에 대한 빈도해석과 기후변화에 따른 방재성능 목표강우량을 산정하는데 활용할 수 있도록 하였다.
Rainfall-runoff model of Jeju Oedo Stream was used to compute the optimal unit hydrograph by HEC-HMS model that reflecting on watershed characteristics. Each rainfall event was comparatively analyzed with the actual flow measurement using Clark, Snyder and SCS synthetic methods for derived unit hydrograph. Subsequently, the null hypothesis was established as p-value for peak flow and peak time of each unit hydrograph by one-way ANOVA(Analysis of variance) was larger than significance level of 0.05. There was no significant difference in peak flow and peak time between different methods of unit hydrograph. As a result of comparing error rate with actual flow measurement data, Clark synthetic unit graph best reflected in Oedo Stream as compared to other methods, and error rate of Clark unit hydrograph was 0.02~1.93% and error rate at peak time was 0∼2.74%.
In this study, quartile control chart method is tried to apply to determine limit values of dam instrumentation data for dam safety, show asymmetric distributed data, and the example of application is presented. The determined limit values of concrete stress meter and concrete non-stress meter by Shewhart method and quartile method show that the determined limit values by Shewhart method indicate that the majority of instrumentation are on abnormal condition, although the measured values are normal behavior. But, in case of the result of quartile method has such an error. Like this, it is judged that the determination of the limit values of dam instrumentation, show asymmetric and abnormal distributed data, by the quartile method is appropriate. Therefor The quartile method is applied to the determination of limit values of dam instrumentation of K-water.