The punctuality of containerships has become the prevalent issue in container liner shipping operations, as the on-time arrival of a containership at the next port of call is paramount. When a delay occurs at the previous port of call, it may also cause a delay at the next port of call. This paper proposes a departure punctuality model of analysis. This model employs a Fuzzy Rule-Based Bayesian Belief Network (FRBBN) for predicting the departure punctuality of a containership. To ensure the reliability of the model, two containerships were tested. The results show that the prediction values from the model are between 95.6% and 99% accurate provided that no tactical strategy is implemented during the voyage. In addition, the most significant factors that determine the punctuality of departure were found to be punctuality of arrival at the same (base) port prior to departure, dangerous events and other unexpected delays during the port stay. It is expected that this model is capable of helping researchers and practitioners to understand the influence of the dynamic environment and to make predictions on the departure punctuality of containerships.
본 연구의 목적은 군사작전 지형분석에 활용할 수 있는 오픈소스 GIS SW가 무엇인지를 파악하는 것이다. 야전 군사작전에 있어서 지형분석 또는 지형분석체계가 무엇인지를 살펴본 후 야전 군사작전을 비롯한 다양한 국방분야에서 오픈소스 GIS SW를 도입하여 활용한 선행사례를 살펴보았다. 이를 바탕으로 우리나라 군사작전 지형분석에서 요구되는 환경과 조건을 살펴보고, 8개의 오픈소스 GIS SW의 지형분석에 필요한 기능뿐만 아니라 개발과 및 사용자 커뮤니티, 연계활용성, 개발의 용이성, 발전속도 등 다양한 기준으로 확인하였다. 비교결과 QGIS와 GRASS GIS가 군사작전 지형분석에 장점이 많은 것으로 나타났다. 빠르게 변하는 군사작전 지형분석 여건과 다양한 기능을 활용해야 하는 수요를 고려할 때, GRASS 뿐만 아니라 SAGA, R 등 다양한 오픈소스 SW를 연계하여 활용할 수 있는 QGIS가 유리할 것으로 판단된다.
The tension of warp from trawler and sea-floor contact can generate tilt and wake turbulence around otter boards. Preliminary measurements of otter board tilt and 3-D flow velocity during bottom trawl operations were taken using a vector instrument to investigate the effects of wake turbulence at the trailing edge of the otter board. Tilt data (i.e., yaw, pitch, and roll) at 1 Hz and flow data (velocities in the towing, lateral, and vertical directions) at 16 Hz were analyzed to determine their periods and amplitudes using global wavelet and peak event analyses. The mean period (±standard deviation) of the tilt from the peak event analysis (5±2 s) was longer or double than that of flow velocity (3±2 s). The two periods also had a significant linear relationship. The turbulence rate of flow was 30-50% at the trailing edge and was closely related to roll deviation. The frequency of phase difference ratios (i.e., peak time differences between tilts and flow periods) was significantly different from random occurrence in two trials, possibly due to side tidal effects. However, in the other trials, flow peaks were random, as shown by the even peak times between tilts and flows. Future studies should focus on reducing tilt variation, wake turbulence, and bottom contact to stabilize otter board motion.
Since flight operations are determined by real-time weather conditions, the importance of weather information utilization in the airline industry is absolutely critical. Especially, abnormal flight operations due to the weather phenomenon is directly linked to a loss of airline, and also causes a deterioration in the quality of customer service. Therefore, this study analyzes occurrence conditions and correlates abnormal flight operations by the meteorological phenomenon at 4 major airports in Korea. Based on these results, it is aimed to provide a basis for stable flight operation to make the best decisions.
In recent years, business environment is faced with multi uncertainty that have not been suffered in the past. As supply chain is getting expanded and longer, the flow of information, material and production is also being complicated. It is well known that development service industry using application software has various uncertainty in random events such as supply and demand fluctuation of developer’s capcity, project effective date after winning a contract, manpower cost (or revenue), subcontract cost (or purchase), and overrun due to developer’s skill-level. This study intends to social contribution through attempts to optimize enterprise’s goal by supply chain management platform to balance demand and supply and stochastic programming which is basically applied in order to solve uncertainty considering economical and operational risk at solution supplier. In Particular, this study emphasizes to determine allocation of internal and external manpower of developers using S&OP (Sales & Operations Planning) as monthly resource input has constraint on resource’s capability that shared in industry or task. This study is to verify how Stochastic Programming such as Markowitz’s MV (Mean Variance) model or 2-Stage Recourse Model is flexible and efficient than Deterministic Programming in software enterprise field by experiment with process and data from service industry which is manufacturing software and performing projects. In addition, this study is also to analysis how profit and labor input plan according to scope of uncertainty is changed based on Pareto Optimal, then lastly it is to enumerate limitation of the study extracted drawback which can be happened in real business environment and to contribute direction in future research considering another applicable methodology.
Main cause of accidents is just not always bad luck. Literature on safety has emphasised on the facts that accident finally leads to unfortunate consequence. The first step of risk assessment is to identify the hazards that are present. The Routine Ship Towage, also called harbour towage, is potentially a hazardous operation. The main objective of this research is to identify and quantify the important factors impacting on the safety of routine ship towage operations in Indian coast. In doing so, initially, the existing literature on factors influencing safety of harbour towage operation was analysed to design questionnaire. Rest necessary data was collected through questionnaires. Finally, the factor analysis (Principal Component analysis) was applied to find grouped dimensions from identified hazard variables from literature and subsequently the critical analysis of incident type frequency, cause and consequences to get a clear picture of critical safety risk factors. As a result, the research found 20 criteria in 6 dimensions safety risk factors such as Crew Incompetency, Rough Weather, Poor Work Process, Suitability of Tug Type, Poor Safety Management System, and Poor Navigational Risk Assessment.
The USS Lassen’s October 2015 South China Sea freedom of navigation operation was exemplary in some respects and cautionary in others. This article argues the Lassen’s mission to sail within 12 nautical miles of one of China’s artificial islands was a successful albeit exploratory challenge because the operation has helped to clarify maritime claims in the region and garnered international support for continued operations. This paper examines the US Freedom of Navigation Program’s broader goals of benefiting the international community with a rules-based system. It also argues that increased transparency is essential if these goals are to be achieved. This article analyzes China’s unclarified claims in the South China Sea and explores the concept of “psycho-legal boundaries” in relation to the so-called nine-dash line. It concludes by presenting suggestions for plotting a proper path forward for FONOPs in the region with an emphasis on protecting the marine environment.
본 연구는 2009 개정 수학 교과서가 이전의 2007 개정 수학 교과서와 비교하여 스토리텔링의 요소가 어떻게 얼마나 반영되었는지를 분석하는 것을 목표로, 2007 개정 교육과정에 따른 두 출판사의 교과서 와 익힘책을 동일한 출판사의 2009 개정 교육과정에 따른 교과서와의 문항을 비교 분석하였다. 구체적 으로 두 교과서는 전체적인 교과서 구조 측면에서, 그리고 실생활연계, 수학적 흥미, 창의성과 의사소통 이라는 세가지 스토리텔링형 유형 측면에서 분석되었다.
연구 분석 결과, 새로 개정된 2009 A와 2009 B에서 다음과 같은 공통적인 특징을 발견할 수 있다. 첫 째, 스토리텔링을 반영한 전체적인 문제의 수나 스토리텔링적 요소에서는 2009 개정 교과서와 이전 교 과서간에 큰 차이가 발견되지 않았다. 둘째, 2009 개정 교과서는 학생들의 참여를 유도하는 활동이 증 가하였다. 셋째, 2009 개정 교과서는 자기주도적 학습의 요소가 증가하였다. 이상에서 분석한 결과를 토대로, 2009 개정 교육과정과 「수학 교육 선진화 방안」이 추구하는 스토리 텔링이 잘 구현된 수학 교과서 개발을 위해 첫째, 개정 교육과정에서 강조하는 스토리텔링이 무엇인지, 현재의 교과서가 어떤 점에서 변화되었는지를 명확히 한 후 이에 대한 연수가 필요하며 둘째, 수학 교 과 내용과 일상생활과의 연계를 위한 다양한 소재를 발굴할 필요가 있으며 셋째, 이야기적 요소를 보충 하고 넷째, 다양한 활동을 이끌고 다섯째, 공학적 도구를 다양하게 사용하는 기회가 주어져야 함을 제 안하였다.
PURPOSES : Expressways experience chronic and recurring congestion, especially during weekends and holidays, because of the increased demands for leisure-related travel. The alternatives to solve chronic and recurring congestion may be three-fold: (1) physical expansion of expressway capacities, (2) road pricing, and (3) temporal and spatial distribution of traffic demands. Among these, the third alternative may be the most cost-effective method for the Korea Expressway Corporation (KEC) that can be achieved by using the existing ITS infrastructure.
METHODS : KEC initiated a pilot study in which the traffic on congested expressways was managed by providing traffic condition information (i.e., travel times) of neighboring national highways for taking detours via variable message signs (VMS). This study aimed to estimate the detour rate, and the two pilot studies on Seohaean and Yeongdong expressways yielded many benefits.
RESULTS: It was revealed that the total length of congestion segments decreased by 7.8 km, and the average travel speed increased by 5.3 km/h.
CONCLUSIONS: Based on these findings, it was concluded that the propagation of detour information via VMSs during congestion hours can help reduce congestion on expressways and increase the benefits of the entire network.
본 연구는 한국 해군의 해난구조능력 향상을 위해 임무수행의 주요 수단이 되는 잠수체계를 개선하는 방안에 대한 연구이다. 특히 구조작전시 잠수체계별 임무 가능구역이 제한되는 문제를 해결하기 위하여 이동식 포화잠수 체계를 중심으로 연구를 진행하였다. 연구는 먼저 임무의 범위를 확인하였고, 기존 연구결과와 현용 잠수체계를 분석한 결과를 활용하여 이동식 포화잠수체계의 요구조건과 표준구성을 정리 및 제안하였으며, 이동식 포화잠수체계를 활용한 기존 잠수체계의 보완 및 개선 가능성에 대하여 군의 전략 선택 기법인적·가·용 판단에 따라 검토하였다. 또한, 도입방안에 대해서는 상용제품의 해외수입과 국내 개발로 구분하여 장·단점을 분석하고, 설치 및 운용방안에 대해서는 각 플랫폼별로 실효성을 분석하였다. 연구결과로 먼저, 200 m 이상에서 6명 이상의 잠수사가 약 17일 이상 포화잠수를 정상적으로 실시할 수 있도록 요구조건 및 표준구성안을 제안하였으며, 기존 잠수체계의 보완 및 개선 가능성에 대해서는 예비장비 공급 및 병행사용 등 다양한 보완이 기대되나 혼합기체잠수체계를 포화잠수체계로 개선하는 것은 경제성이 떨어졌다. 설치방안은 ATS-Ⅱ후속사업에서 이동식 포화잠수체계를 탑재가 가능하도록 제작하는 것을 제안하였으며 운용은 평시 교육 훈련 및 ARS 대체전력으로 사용하다 전시에 별도의 플랫폼에 탑재하여 추가적인 구조전력으로 활용해야 한다.
The paper examines the impact of international expansion of retail operations on the choice of performing internally or outsourcing some strategic activities in order to cope with the demands of retail outlets in domestic and foreign markets, providing a case analysis of Italian luxury fashion companies.
In recent years, the surroundings of Fire have rapidly changed and citizens need for Fire have been demanding very high. Under these situations, in order for satisfaction to all these demands, Seoul Emergency Operations Center have made improvements as the core fire operational center in Korea. However, There have been so many problems happening in the middle of receiving calls from malice citizens of Seoul. The purpose of this study is to scrutinize current operations focused on fire fighters in Seoul Emergency Operations Center and to cope with how to overcome these problem by using AMOS 21 & SPSS Statistics 21. The result of this study presents that how we can find to be Seoul Emergency Operations Center running well. And This study is applied to seoul fire policies or helped to setting them up.
해상교통안전진단제도가 도입(2009.11)된 후 운영 중 나타난 제도상·운영 측면에서의 개선사항을 반영하고, 제도의 효율성 제고 및 종합 관리를 위해 해상교통안전진단시행지침 전부개정(2012.3)을 통해 선박안전기술공단내 해사안전연구센터가 전문기관으로 지정되었다. 하지만, 개정된 관련 해사안전법령에는 안전진단서 사전검토, 진단대상사업에 대한 검토 의견 제시 등 유사 국내 평가제도에서의 전문기관과 비교하면 역할과 업무가 명확하지 제시되지 않았다. 이에 본 연구에서는 먼저 SWOT분석을 통해 전문기관 발전을 위한 추진전략을 수립하고, 처분기관, 사업자, 안전진단대행업자 등 관련 전문가 의견수렴 및 국내 유사 평가제도의 전문기관의 역할 및 운영현황을 비교분석하였다. 이를 통해 진단제도가 효율적으로 운영되고, 진단사업에 대한 환경변화에 능동적으로 대응 할 수 있도록 스크린·스코핑, 컨설턴트 시스템 도입을 위한 전문기관의 조직 구성과 운영체제 개선과 진단관련 주체들의 책임과 역할을 명확화하기 위해 해사안전법 개정 등 전문기관의 발전과 해양개발사업에 대한 통합관리를 위한 제도상·운영상의 개선사항 도출하여 제시하였다.
PURPOSES: This study provides a methodology for estimating proper number of equipment for ordinary road management works. METHODS: Utilizing a computerized data of record systems (KAMIS) in 18 regional offices, two evaluation indicators were calculated and then normalized for objective comparison. Applied magnifying factor to the outputs, the proper number of equipment can be estimated. RESULTS: As a result, proper number of equipment by regional offices were required 28% more than current conditions. CONCLUSIONS: Using the proposed a methodology, fundamental data for scientific and reasonable strategies can be stored as well as be used for the future plan for budget allocation.
This paper’s aim is to suggest the Expert System for analyzing relative combat power in ground operations. Since relative combat power analysis in terms of comparing combat power of friendly forces with one of the enemy can determine how the commander and staffs operate their unit afterwards, it requires fast and rational decision-making process. However, it has relied on manual method so far though Tactical Information Communications Network(TICN) into which numbers of applications can be loaded has been developed over a decade. The Expert System that will be built using EXSYS Corvid tool is expected to lessen error rate, provide faster decision- making, and reflect intangible combat power as well as tangible one by using an appropriate weights in analyzing relative combat power.