This paper chronicles the evolution of load-sharing parameter estimation methodologies, with a particular focus on the significant contributions made by Kim and Kvam (2004) and Park (2012). Kim and Kvam's pioneering work underscored the inherent challenges in deriving closed-form solutions for load-share parameters, which necessitated the use of sophisticated numerical optimization techniques. Park's research, on the other hand, provided groundbreaking closed-form solutions and extended the theoretical framework to accommodate more general distributions of component lifetimes. This was achieved by incorporating EM-type methods for maximum likelihood estimation, which represented a significant advancement in the field. Unlike previous efforts, this paper zeroes in on the specific characteristics and advantages of closed-form solutions for load-share parameters within reliability systems. Much like the basic Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) model enhances the understanding of real-life inventory systems dynamics, our analysis aims to thoroughly explore the conditions under which these closed-form solutions are valid. We investigate their stability, robustness, and applicability to various types of systems. Through this comprehensive study, we aspire to provide a deep understanding of the practical implications and potential benefits of these solutions. Building on previous advancements, our research further examines the robustness of these solutions in diverse reliability contexts, aiming to shed light on their practical relevance and utility in real-world applications.
해상공사에서 발생하는 부유사는 해수의 탁도를 증가시키고 광량을 감소시켜 해양생물에 악영향을 미치므로 해양환경영향평 가에서 중요한 요소이다. 하지만 평가에 적용되는 인자에 대한 공식적인 자료의 부족과 평가자의 능력에 따라 그 영향이 달리 평가되고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 해역이용영향평가센터에서 검토한 3년간(2012–2014)의 매립, 준설, 외곽시설물 설치 등 총 58건 사업에 대한 부유사 확산 평가에 대한 실태를 진단하고 개선방안을 제시하였다. 개선방안 제시를 위해 4가지의 평가지표(격자체계의 적정성, 원단위의 적정성, 대표입경 및 침강속도의 적정성)를 적용하였다. 각 항목별 신뢰도에 평균점수 분석결과, 격자체계는 25점, 원단위는 60점, 대표입 경은 34점 그리고 침강속도는 17점으로 평가항목에 대한 개선방안이 필요한 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서는 부유사 확산 평가상태에 대 한 진단 및 신뢰도 평가 결과를 활용하여 부유사 확산예측에 대한 개선방안을 제안하였다. 먼저, 부유사 발생원단위 및 대표입경별 침강 속도에 대한 공신력 있는 값이 가이드라인을 통해 제공해야 한다. 그리고 실무에선 신뢰성 향상을 위해 격자체계의 적정성과 결과의 검 증을 철저히 해야 한다.
PURPOSES : This study defines travel time reliability as a concept that explains the change in travel time that passengers can hardly predict and calculates the value of travel time reliability based on travel objectives.
METHODS : Because the reliability of passage time is difficult to estimate from actual passenger data, standard quantification measures have not been established despite various interests. In this study, the reliability of transit time was defined as the expense that passengers did not recognize in advance, such as an accidental delay caused by unforeseen circumstances. For analysis based on the individual behavior of users, the data were constructed using the optional experiment method (marginal rate of substitution method) of the stated preference survey, which has the advantage of controlling the correlation between attribute variables and maintaining the independence of the data of the study.
RESULTS : Consequently, the reliability value of travel time in mandatory-purposed traffic was almost identical to the value of travel time, and the reliability value of travel time in return and shopping/leisure, which is not mandatory during non-business-purpose traffic, is lower than the value of travel time. Comparing and analyzing with existing studies on estimating the reliability value of transit time, both work/ non-work purposes are in line with the overall research results. CONCLUSIONS : Estimating the reliability value of transit time for each purpose of passage was the first attempt, and it is meaningful to suggest a direction for quantifying and applying the reliability value of transit time along with the passage time value of this study.
According as radiation therapy technique develops, standardization of radiation therapy has been complicated by the plan QA(Quality Assurance). However, plan QA tools are two type, OADT (opposite accumulation dose tool) and 3DADT (3 dimensional accumulation dose tool). OADT is not applied to evaluation of beam path. Therefore tolerance error of beam path will establish measurement value at OADT. Plan is six beam path, five irradiation field at each beam path. And beam path error is 0 degree, 0.2 degree, 0.4 degree, 0.6 degree, 0.6 degree, 0.8 degree. Plan QA accomplishes at OADT, 3DADT. The more path error increases, the more plan QA error increases. Tolerance error of OADT path is 0.357 using tolerance error of conventional plan QA. Henceforth plan QA using OADT will include beam path error. In addition, It will increase reliability through precise and various plan technique.
신뢰성 해석을 수행할 때 정보부족으로 인해 발생하는 인식론적 불확실성(epistemic uncertainty)은 고유의 변동성에 의해 존재하는 내재적 불확실성(aleatory uncertainty)보다 더 중요하게 다뤄야 한다. 그러나 그동안 개발된 확률이론은 주로 내재적 불확실성을 모델링하는데 이용된 반면, 인식론적 불확실성의 모델링에 대해서는 아직 확실한 접근법이 없었다. 최근 이를 위해 probability theory를 포함한 여러 접근법들이 제시되고 있지만 이들은 서로 다른 통계적 이론들을 바탕으로 도출되었기 때문에, 각 방법들의 결과들을 이해하는데 어려움이 있었다. 본 연구에서는 고장 확률을 계산하는 문제를 가지고 이러한 방법들이 인식론적 불확실성을 어떻게 다루는지를 비교, 분석하였다. 이를 위해 probability method, combined distribution method, interval analysis method 그리고 evidence theory를 대상으로 신뢰도 분석문제에 대해 각 방법들의 특징들을 비교하였으며, 그 결과는 다음과 같다. 입력변수의 확률분포 형태를 알 수 있다면 probability method가 가장 우수하나, 이를 전혀 모르면 interval method를 사용해야 한다. 그러나 계산비용 면에서는 두 방법이 유사하므로 결국 입력변수의 확률특성 정보가 얼마나 있느냐에 따라 방법을 선택한다. Combined distribution method는 failure probability의 평균만 제공하므로 사용하지 않는 것이 좋다. 다만 이 방법은 계산비용이 매우 적게 드는 장점이 있다. Evidence theory는 probability와 interval 방법의 중간에 해당하며, 구간별 probability assignment를 세분화 할수록 probability결과에 접근한다. 이 방법은 계산비용이 가장 높은 것이 문제이다.
Reliability tools such as QFD and FMEA identify voice of customer related to product design, its use, how failures may occur, the severity of such failures, and the probability of the failure occurring. With these identified items, a development team can
The existing reliability evaluation models which have already developed by the corporations are so various because of using Maximum Likelihood Method. The existing models are very complicated owing to using system designing methods Therefore, it is very d
For a mobile robot that travels along a terrain consisting of various geology, information on tire force and friction coefficient between ground and wheel is an important factor. In order to estimate the lateral force between ground and wheel, a lot of information about the model and the surrounding environment of the vehicle is required in conventional method. Therefore, in this paper, we are going to estimate lateral force through simple model (Minimal Argument Lateral Slip Curve, MALSC) using only minimum data with high estimation accuracy and to improve estimation reliability of the friction coefficient by using the estimated lateral force data. Simulation is carried out to analyze the correlation between the longitudinal and transverse friction coefficients and slip angles to design the simplified lateral force estimation model by analysing simulation data and to apply it to the actual field environment. In order to verify the validity of the equation, estimation results are compared with the conventional method through simulation. Also, the results of the lateral force and friction coefficient estimation are compared from both the conventional method and the proposed model through the actual robot running experiments.
본 연구에서는 HSPDA모형을 기반으로 한 상수관망의 신뢰도분석 방안을 제안하였다. 대표적인 상수관망의 신뢰도분석 방법으로는 수량과 수압의 확보가 불가능한 수요절점을 산정하고 필요수량/공급가능수량 혹은 압력확보절점수/전체절점수 등을 계산하여 상수관망이 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는가를 판단하는 것이 있다. 이를 계산하기 위해서는 수리모형을 이용한 상수관망의 모의가 필요하나 절점의 압력과는 상관없이 항상 모든 용수량은 공급가능하다는 가정을 사용하는 Demand-