PURPOSES : This study aims to calculate the estimation of travel time saving benefits from smart expressway construction by considering the willingness to pay for automated vehicles. METHODS : In this study, data were collected from 809 individual drivers through a stated preference survey. A multinomial logit model was constructed to analyze the choice behavior between arterial roads, expressways, and smart expressways. Through this, the values of time and benefits were estimated. RESULTS : The value of time was calculated at 19,379 won per vehicle per hour for arterial roads and expressways and 23,061 won per vehicle per hour for smart expressways. Applying these values to the Jungbu Naeryuk expressway, we evaluated the demand change and benefits resulting from the improvement to the smart expressways. The results show that the traffic volume on the Jungbu Naeryuk expressway is expected to increase by 4.7% to 20.7% depending on the changes in capacity. CONCLUSIONS : The travel time saving benefits are estimated as positive, resulting from the construction of smart expressways. The benefits resulting from the construction of new smart expressways are expected to be enhanced due to the anticipation of more significant time-saving effects.
PURPOSES : The purpose of this study is to review a method to estimate the average travel speed of the Bus Rapid Transit(BRT) section using the bus departure and arrival time data collected using the Korean bus information system (BIS).
METHODS : To determine an average travel speed estimation model suitable for the BRT system in Korea, the speed estimated using the speed estimation model of TCQSM, which is used in the U.S., and that using the proposed speed estimation model that used the bus departure and arrival time data were compared with the actual travel speed using a t-test.
RESULTS : The average travel speed estimated using the proposed method was more suitable for the actual average travel speed than that estimated using the TCQSM model.
CONCLUSIONS : As a result of estimating the average travel speed, if the length of the link is 900 m, SBRT can be constructed on the existing road, but at least 1,200 m must be ensured to build SBRT in the new city. The proposed bus average travel speed estimation model can be used to review the BRT operational efficiency considering the speed limit, traffic signal, and dwelling time at bus stops in the planning and operation stages of the BRT.
PURPOSES : This study defines travel time reliability as a concept that explains the change in travel time that passengers can hardly predict and calculates the value of travel time reliability based on travel objectives.
METHODS : Because the reliability of passage time is difficult to estimate from actual passenger data, standard quantification measures have not been established despite various interests. In this study, the reliability of transit time was defined as the expense that passengers did not recognize in advance, such as an accidental delay caused by unforeseen circumstances. For analysis based on the individual behavior of users, the data were constructed using the optional experiment method (marginal rate of substitution method) of the stated preference survey, which has the advantage of controlling the correlation between attribute variables and maintaining the independence of the data of the study.
RESULTS : Consequently, the reliability value of travel time in mandatory-purposed traffic was almost identical to the value of travel time, and the reliability value of travel time in return and shopping/leisure, which is not mandatory during non-business-purpose traffic, is lower than the value of travel time. Comparing and analyzing with existing studies on estimating the reliability value of transit time, both work/ non-work purposes are in line with the overall research results. CONCLUSIONS : Estimating the reliability value of transit time for each purpose of passage was the first attempt, and it is meaningful to suggest a direction for quantifying and applying the reliability value of transit time along with the passage time value of this study.
This study suggested a new real-time traffic signal operation algorithm using combined data of travel time and occupancy rate. This study applied the travel time data to traffic signal control system, and developed the signal operation algorithm based on saturation degree that was calculated using the travel time data. This algorithm calculates a queue length using a delay model, and converts the queue length to the saturation degree. Moreover, it calculates signal timing variables using this combined saturation degree. This study conducted a microscopic simulation for effectiveness evaluation. We checked that the average intersection delay decreased by up to 27 percent. Moreover, we checked that this signal operation algorithm could respond to a traffic condition of oversaturation and loop detector error effectively and usefully. In korea, sectional traffic detection systems are being installed in various ITS projects, such as Advanced Transportation Management System(ATMS) and Urban Transportation Information System(UTIS). This study has important significance in the sense that it is new methodology to accept the sectional detection system in traffic signal control system.
PURPOSES: This investigational survey is to observe a proper spatial aggregation method for path travel time estimation using the hi-pass DSRC system. METHODS: The links which connect the nodes of section detectors location are used for path travel time estimation traditionally. It makes some problem such as increasing accumulation errors and processing times. In this background, the new links composition methods for spatial aggregation are considered by using some types of nodes as IC, JC, RSE combination. Path travel times estimated by new aggregation methods are compared with PBM travel times by MAE, MAPE and statistical hypothesis tests. RESULTS : The results of minimum sample size and missing rate for 5 minutes aggregation interval are satisfied except for JC link path travel time in Seoul TG~Kuemho JC. Thus, it was additionally observed for minimum sample size satisfaction. In 15, 30 minutes and 1 hour aggregation intervals, all conditions are satisfied by the minimum sample size criteria. For accuracy test and statistical hypothesis test, it has been proved that RSE, Conzone, IC, JC links have equivalent errors and statistical characteristics. CONCLUSIONS : There are some errors between the PBM and the LBM methods that come from dropping vehicles by rest areas. Consequently, this survey result means each of links compositions are available for the estimation of path travel time when PBM vehicles are missed.
학자들의 긍정적 평가를 모티브로 어쉰의 방황에 나타난 시간여행을 다루었다. 그의 시간여행은 과거로의 여행이었다. 과거의 민족혼을 현대에 되살리려는 의도를 가지고 그는 고대 아일랜드로 회귀하는 과거로의 여행을 시도하였다. 또한 어 쉰의 시간여행은 영원한 생명을 탐색하는 탐색여행이었다. 이 시가 독립적으로의 가치 보다는 후기시의 원형으로서의 가치가 더욱 크다는 점을 밝히려고 하였다.
PURPOSES : Benefits for improvement of travel time reliability obtained from construction of new highways should be considered as a major factor in the feasibility study for highway constructions. The purpose of this study is to develop a method of estimation for the value of travel time reliability. METHODS : Highway type (urban/rural highway) and traffic flow type(interrupted/uninterrupted) was considered to estimate he value of travel time reliability. And Double-bounded Dichotomous Choice among Contingent Valuation Method(CVM) was applied to survey the willingness-to-pay of drivers when travel time reliability is improved. Finally the value of travel time reliability was estimated using the results of survey and logit model. The value of travel time reliability was estimated considering travel objectives, time constraint travel and non-time constraint travel. RESULTS: The value of travel time reliability of business trip is higher than that of non-business trip. The value of travel time reliability of time constraint travel is higher than that of non-time constraint travel. The value of travel time reliability in urban area is higher than that in rural area. CONCLUSIONS: It was concluded that the proposed method in this study is more realistic and proper to estimate the value of travel time reliability because it reflects the situations of time constraint travel and non-time constraint travel.
PURPOSES : The accuracy of travel time information is a key measure of effectiveness and reliability of advanced traveler information systems. This study aims at investigating drivers' perception on the acceptable level of information accuracy and their corresponding valuations. METHODS : A questionnaire survey was executed for collecting driver perception data to capture the expectation level of travel time information provided and their willingness to pay for the information. A Tobit model was adopted for exploring the relationship among the acceptable level, driver socioeconomic characteristics and travel attributes. Since drivers' willingness to pay for accurate travel time information can be different according to their travel lengths, a piecewise linear regression model was developed to capture the sensitivity of values of travel time information to travel length. RESULTS : The analysis results suggest that trip purpose and travel time are two dominant factors to determine drivers' acceptable level of travel time information. For business and short trips, drivers want more accurate information than for non-business and long trips. Drivers' willingness to pay for travel time information also varies depending on their incomes, trip purposes and travel lengths. The results also show that drivers' valuation of travel time information provided is sensitive to their travel length. For longer trips, drivers are less sensitive to travel time information and then put less value on the information provided. CONCLUSIONS : Censored nonlinear regression models are developed to estimate drivers' acceptable accuracy for travel time information and their valuation using questionnaire survey data. The findings on drivers perception to the required accuracy of travel time information and their corresponding willingness to pay can be used in the design and deployment of advanced traveler information system to improve its effectiveness and usefulness through high compliance.
PURPOSES : Two-lane highways have one lane in each direction, and lane changing and passing maneuvers take place in the opposing lane depending on the availability of passing sight distance. 2001 Korea Highway Capacity Manual (KHCM) is classified into two classes of two-lane highways (Type I, II), and average travel speed and time-delayed rate are used as measures of effectiveness (MOEs). However, since existing two-lane highways have both uninterrupted and interrupted traffic flow-system elements, a variety of free-flow speeds exhibits in two-lane highways. In addition, it is necessary to check if the linear-relationship between volumes and time-delayed rate is appropriate. Then, this study is to reestablish the relationship between average travel speed, time-delayed rate, and flow. METHODS : TWOPAS model was selected to conduct this study, and the free-flow speeds of passenger cars and the percentage of following vehicles observed in two-lane highways were applied to the model as the input. The revised relationships were developed from the computer simulation. RESULTS : In the revised average travel speed vs. flow relationship, the free-flow speed of 90km/h and 70km/h were added. It shows that the relationship between time delayed-rate and flow appeared to be appropriate with the log-function form and that there was no difference in time-delayed rate between the free flow speeds. In addition to revise the relationships, the speed prediction model and the time-delayed rate prediction model were also developed. CONCLUSIONS : The revised relationships between average travel speed, time-delayed rate, and flow would be useful in estimating the Level of Service(LOS) of a two-lane highway.
본 연구에서는 운전자의 일관성 있는 교통 정보 학습과정을 기반으로 한 일별 동적 모형을 개발하였다. 개발된 모형은 교통 정보 서비스의 효과 분석이 가능한 형태의 체계를 갖추었다. 즉, 교통 시스템에는 교통 정보 서비스 업체(ISP, Information Service Provider)가 존재하며, ISP의 가입자는 과거 실시간 교통 정보를 제공받으며, 이를 바탕으로 경로를 선택한다. 반면, 교통 정보 미가입자는 개인의 경험 또는 친구, 교통방송 등을 통해서만 교통 정보를 학습하게 된다. 운전자의 경로 선택은 Boundedly-rational 모형으로 표현되었으며, 주어진 동적 통행 수요와 경로 선택에 따른 도로 교통망의 성능을 평가하기 위해 미시 교통 시뮬레이션 모형 (파라믹스)이 사용되었다. 개발된 모형은 실제 도로망에 적용되었으며, 도출된 결과는 개발된 모형의 수렴성과 일관성있는 교통 정보 학습 모형의 효과를 입증하였다.
사회 경제적 변화에 따라 통행자 패턴은 상당한 변화를 가져왔다. 통행자 패턴 중 통행시간은 통행자에게 제한된 자원에 해당한다. 통행자들은 이 제한된 자원을 자신의 활동에 적절히 투입하여 효용을 극대화 하려고 한다. 즉 통행에 대해서 지불 할 수 있는 혹은 개인의 효용극대화를 위해 선택할 수 있는 고유의 통행시간예산을 가지고 통행한다. 본 연구는"2002년 가구통행실태조사"에서 수집된 통행자 특성 변수들을 토대로 상호관련성 및 특성분류가 가능한 CART 분석방법을 이용하여 통행시간예산에 영향을 미치는 특정 요인에 대한 그룹화 및 추출화를 수행하며, 그에 따른 통행자 통행시간예산 추정 모형을 도출하고자 하였다. CART 분석 결과, 통행시간예산에 영향을 미치는 요인으로는 나이, 주택규모, 주택종류, 고용형태, 직업, 세대주 관계 등으로 나타났고, 도출된 영향요인들의 특성을 고려하여 추정모형을 개발하였으며, 그 결과 나이, 주택규모, 주택종류가 전반적으로 양(+)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다, 고용형태에서 상대적으로 통행의 빈도가 낮은 재택근무가 음(-)의 값으로 나타났다. 특히, 직업의 경우 주부 무직 미취학아동과 농업 어업 수산업에 종사하는 사람이 음(-)의 값을, 행정 사무 관리직이 양(+)의 값을 가지는 것으로 나타났다.
최근 들어 널리 확대되는 ITS시설과 장비의 효율적인 활용을 위해서는 실시간 통행시간예측과 같은 핵심기술의 개발이 매우 중요하다. 실시간 통행시간 예측기술을 통해 도로 이용자에게 통행시간 정보를 제공해줌으로써 운전자가 정보에 기반을 둔 선택을 할 수 있게 되며, 이에 따라 도로이용자의 통행 효용 및 도로시설 이용효율을 극대화할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 자료 성질이 다른 VDS정보와 AVI정보를 하나의 틀 안에서 융합하는 모형을 제시하였으며, 이를 통해 VDS정보의 실시간성과 AVI 정보의 현실반영 특성을 반영한 통행시간추정이 가능하게 되었다. 또한 실시간 교통정보 제공을 위해 알고리즘의 수치연산 처리량이 실시간 현장 적용이 가능한 수준이 되도록 모형을 개발하였다. 본 연구에서 제시된 통행시간 추정 모형의 적용가능성과 신뢰성은 실제 국도 교통량자료를 이용하여 검증하였다. 실험결과에 따르면 본 모형은 연산처리 효율성이 매우 우수하여 실시간 운영 이 가능할 뿐만 아니라 실시간으로 수집되는 검지정 보를 사용함으로써 예측의 정확도를 향상시켰다. 특히 본 연구에서 제시한 이질적 자료의 융합방법은 향후 새로운 형태의 검지자료를 활용하는데 있어서 매우 유용하게 사용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.
본 연구의 목적은 출발시각기준 실시간 링크통행시간 추정정보의 질을 평가하는 것이다. 이에 본 연구는 통행시간 정보의 질을 정확성(추정오차)과 신속성(시간처짐) 측면에서 평가하였다. 그리고 통행시간 정보의 질과 링크길이 및 혼잡수준과의 관계를 규명하였다. 분석결과, 출발시각기준 실시간 링크통행시간 추정정보의 정확성과 신속성은 서로 상충관계임을 알 수 있었다. 또한 정확성을 나타내는 '추정오차' 는 계통오차(systematic error)와 혼잡수준을 반영하는 평균자승오차(MSEE)로 구성되는 것으로 분석되었다 시간처짐은 '최소시간처짐', '혼잡에 의한 시간처짐', '갱신간격에 의한 시간처짐'으로 구분하여 평가하였다. 이를 실제 AVI자료에 적용한 결과, 링크길이와 혼잡수준에 관계없이 추정오차가 5%일 때, 시간처짐은 약 10분 정도 발생하는 것으로 나타났다.
우리나라에서의 심부 소형 터널의 탐사에는 주로 탄성파 탐사법이나 지오레이다 탐사법이 사용되어 왔으며, 그중에서 탄성파 탐사는 주로 주시나 진폭을 이용하여 터널의 위치를 해석하였다. 그러나 측정 시추공간의 짧은 거리와 초동의 피킹 오차 등에 의해서 터널의 정확한 위치 해석은 매우 불안정하였다. 이러한 문제를 극복하기 위하여, 본 연구에서는 주시 자료와 진폭 자료의 시뮬레이션에 의한 위치 추적을 시도하였다.
This paper considers automated storage and retrieval systems with double shuttle. We develop the travel time model based on the first come first service rule. We evaluate the performance of the double shuttle system working on the four command cycle.
The purpose of this study is to inquire and analyse the relation between traveltime (Tc) and watetshed physical characteristics surveyed such as river length (L), Lea, river main slope (s), base length of time area diagram, and storage constant (k). The results obtained in this study are as follows. The average widths of watersheds were with the range from 4.6 kilometers to 16.7 kilometers. The shape factors of main stream ranged from 0.08 to 0.37. The average slopes to main 8tream were within the range of 1.7-5.5 meter per kilometer. The relation between the base length and traveltime from S. C. S. method, Rational method, and RZIHA+KRAVEN method were derived (r=0.98), , (r=0.98), (r=0.97). The base length of the time-area diagram (c) for the IUH was derived as and correlation coefficient was 0.98 which defined a high significance. The storage constant K, derived in this study was with correlation coefficient (0.96). The relation between storage Constant and conventional formula were figured out (r=0.97). (r=0.99) and (r=0.963). The base length (c) and storage constant (k) of time-Area Diagram were very important parts that determined traveltime for flood events. In the estimate of travel time for predicting flood volume, the formula of that would be available to apply the Nak - Dong river watershed area and homogeneous watershed characteristics was found.
하도홍수추적 방법에서 많이 사용되고 있는 Muskingum 방법의 가장 중요한 매개변수는 저류상수와 가중인자이다. Muskingum 방법은 상류 유입지점에서 하류 유출지점까지 측방유입량이 고려되지 않지만, 실제 유역에는 강우로 인하여 측방유입유량이 발생한다. 이로 인해 상하류 실측 자료를 이용하여 저류상수 및 가중인자를 산정하는 것이 매우 어려운 상황이다. 이에 본 연구는 HEC-RAS 1차원 부정류 해석모형을 이용한 수리학 적 홍수추적을 통해 측방유입유량이 제외된 상태에서의 하도에서 전파되는 유량을 산정하였고, 이를 이용하여 저류상수 및 가중인자를 산정하는 방법을 제시하였다. 이와 함께 저류상수가 유하시간과 관계있음을 감안하여 국내 하천기본계획 수립 시 사용되는 유하시간 경험 공식들을 저류상수로 적용한 결과를 비교 분석하였다. 마지막으로 유량이 고려된 유하시간 산정식을 개발하고, 유입량의 변화에 맞춰 유하시간을 업데이트하여 모의를 수행하는 방법을 제시하였다. 유량을 고려한 유하시간을 저류상수로 적용한 경우, 유량의 상승 및 하강 과정, 첨두 유량, 그리고 첨두 시간에 대해서 잘 모의하는 것으로 분석되었다.
대하천사업 이후 낙동강 유역의 수문환경이 변화함에 따라 낙동강 전 유역에 대한 도달시간 재산정도 필요한 상황이며 보와 보 사이 구간에 대한 홍수도달시간 산정도 필요한 현실이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 대하천사업 이후의 지형을 반영하여 창녕함안보에서 하구둑까지 홍수도달시간을 수리학적 모형을 이용하여 산정하였으며, 유량조건과 수위조건의 경우로 나누어 분석하였다. 본 연구에서는 방류유량, 방류형식, 하류단 경계조건, 지류의 유무에 따라 총 84개의 시나리오를 구성하여 유량과 수위에 대해 초기홍수도달시간과 첨두홍수도달시간을 각각 산정하였다. 본 연구에서 분석된 다양한 시나리오들은 홍수예경보시스템, 조류배제운영 등 현장에서 활용 가능할 것으로 사료된다.