본 논문에서는 볼트로 체결된 구조체에 대하여 초기 볼트풀림 상태에서의 볼트 체결력 예측 합성곱 신경망 훈련 방법을 제시한다. 8개의 볼트의 체결력이 변경된 상태에서 계산한 주파수응답들을 완전 체결된 상태의 초기 모델과의 크기 및 모양 유사성을 표현하는 유사성 지도로 생성한다. 주파수응답 데이터들의 생성에는 크리로프 부공간법 기반의 모델차수축소법을 적용하여 효율적인 방법으 로 수행할 수 있도록 한다. 합성곱 신경망 모델은 회귀 출력 계층을 사용하여 볼트의 체결력을 예측하도록 하였으며, 훈련 데이터의 개 수와 합성곱 신경망 계층의 개수를 다르게 준비하여 훈련시킨 네트워크들을 비교하여 그 성능을 평가하였다. 주파수응답에서 파생되 는 유사성 지도를 입력 데이터로 사용하여 초기 볼트풀림 영역에서 볼트 체결력의 진단 가능성과 유효성을 제시하였다.

본 연구에서는 대파의 가락시장 도매가격을 이용하여 기존 시계열 모형인 ARIMA 모형, 홀트-윈터스 평활법과 대표적인 기계학습 방법인 랜덤 포레스트(Random forest) 분석 기법의 가격 예측력을 비교하였다. 세 모형의 예측력을 분석한 결과는 다음과 같다. 가장 예측력이 높게 나타난 모형은 3년(36개월)을 주기로 설정한 ARIMA 모형이었다. 또한 ARIMA 모형과 홀트-윈터스 평활법은 일별 데이터보다 월별 데이터를 이용한 예측 결과의 정확도가 더 높아 훈련 데이터에 대한 과적합(overfitting)이 오히려 예측력을 낮추는 현상을 보였다. 반면, 랜덤 포레스트는 월별 데이터 보다 일별 데이터를 사용한 모형의 예측력이 더 높았다. 이는 학습량이 많을수록 높은 예측력을 보여주는 기계학습의 특징을 보여주었다. 그러나 기계학습 방법을 활용한 가격 예측에는 가격에 영향을 주는 설명변수를 찾고, 양질의 훈련 데이터 축적이 필요하다는 것을 알 수 있었다. 향후 연구에서는 다양한 설명변수와 기계학습 및 딥러닝 기법을 적용한다면 농축산물 가격 예측력을 높이는데 도움이 될 것으로 판단된다.

PURPOSES : Due to the frequent occurrence of accidents on icy roads during nighttime, it would be advantageous to notify road managers and drivers about the most perilous areas. This would allow road managers to treat the icy roads with de-icing chemicals and enable drivers to be better prepared for potential hazards. Essential information about pavement temperature is required to identify icy spots on the road. METHODS : With the goal of estimating nighttime pavement temperature on the National Highways in Korea using atmospheric data, the current study investigated a widely recognized forecasting method known as deep neural network (DNN). To achieve this objective, the input data for the models were gathered from the weather agency's website. The dataset comprised of relative humidity, air temperature, dew point temperature, as well as the differences in air temperature and humidity between two consecutive days. RESULTS : In order to assess the effectiveness of the built DNN model, a comparison was made using baseline pavement temperature data gathered through an infrared-based pavement temperature sensor installed in a highway patrol car. The results indicated that the DNN model achieved a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.42 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.62. In comparison, a conventional regression model yielded an MAE of 2.07 and an RMSE of 2.64. Thus, the DNN model demonstrated superior performance in comparison to the conventional regression model. CONCLUSIONS : Considering the increasing focus on preventive maintenance, these newly developed prediction models can be implemented proactively as a preventive measure against icing. This proactive approach has the potential to significantly improve traffic safety on winter roads.

In this study, based on the saturation magnetic flux density experimental values (Bs) of 622 Fe-based bulk metallic glasses (BMGs), regression models were applied to predict Bs using artificial neural networks (ANN), and prediction performance was evaluated. Model performance evaluation was investigated by using the F1 score together with the coefficient of determination (R2 score), which is mainly used in regression models. The coefficient of determination can be used as a performance indicator, since it shows the predicted results of the saturation magnetic flux density of full material datasets in a balanced way. However, the BMG alloy contains iron and requires a high saturation magnetic flux density to have excellent applicability as a soft magnetic material, and in this study F1 score was used as a performance indicator to better predict Bs above the threshold value of Bs (1.4 T). After obtaining two ANN models optimized for the R2 and F1 score conditions, respectively, their prediction performance was compared for the test data. As a case study to evaluate the prediction performance, new Fe-based BMG datasets that were not included in the training and test datasets were predicted using the two ANN models. The results showed that the model with an excellent F1 score achieved a more accurate prediction for a material with a high saturation magnetic flux density.

수소는 다양한 신재생에너지 중 환경친화적인 에너지로 각광받고 있지만 농업에 적용된 사례는 드물다. 본 연구는 수소 연료전지 삼중 열병합 시스템을 온실에 적용하여 에너지를 절 약하고 온실가스를 줄이고자 한다. 이 시스템은 배출된 열을 회수하면서 수소로부터 난방, 냉각 및 전기를 생산할 수 있다. 수소 연료 전지 삼중 열 병합 시스템을 온실에 적용하기 위해 서는 온실의 냉난방 부하 분석이 필요하다. 이를 위해서는 온 실의 형태, 냉난방 시스템, 작물 등을 고려해야 한다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 건물 에너지 시뮬레이션(BES)을 활용하여 냉 난방 부하를 추정하고자 한다. 전주지역의 토마토를 재배하 는 반밀폐형 온실을 대상으로 2012년부터 2021년까지의 기 상데이터를 수집하여 분석했다. 온실 설계도를 참고하여 피 복재와 골조를 모델화하여 작물 에너지와 토양 에너지 교환을 실시했다. 건물 에너지 시뮬레이션의 유효성을 검증하기 위 해 작물의 유무에 의한 분석, 정적 에너지 및 동적 에너지 분석 을 실시했다. 또한 월별 최대 냉난방 부하 분석에 의해 평균 최 대 난방 용량 449,578kJ·h-1, 냉방 용량 431,187kJ·h-1이 산정 되었다.

Numerous studies have attempted to predict the energy output of solar-powered vehicles based on different parameters such as road conditions, driver characteristics, and weather. However, since these studies were conducted on stationary vehicles, they are limited in their accuracy when applied to driving vehicles. This study aimed to improve the accuracy of electric power prediction for a solar-powered bus by applying a technique that improves energy efficiency without affecting driving performance. A comparative analysis of power generation and solar irradiance data was conducted for the bus driven on different roads to forecast its power generation, and a high-accuracy power generation prediction equation was derived. A comparison with actual test results revealed that a power generation forecast accuracy of at least 90% was achieved, validating the equation used for forecasting. With this power generation prediction process, it is possible to forecast the amount of energy generated in advance when a solar bus is operated in a specific area.

In this study, the thermal equilibrium of a motor operated in the sea and the temperature in the equilibrium were studied. To predict the equilibrium temperature in the sea, the cooling performance of the motor was studied by comparing results of analysis and experimental results in the air condition. By this study, the method of prediction of the cooling performance of a motor in various environments could be useful.

The cutting process, which is a key processing technology in various industrial fields is achieving continuous growth, and the demand for high-quality cutting surfaces is continuously demanded. Plasma cutting continues to be studied for its excellent workability and productivity, but problems with cutting surface quality such as dross formation occur, so research to secure excellent cutting surface quality through appropriate control of process variables is essential. In this study, we propose a method for predicting surface roughness using real-time current and cutting speed data obtained while performing plasma cutting on A106 B steel pipe. Surface roughness was predicted based on the RBF algorithm applicable to prediction and control models. It was shown that the surface roughness of the plasma cutting surface can be predicted with the arc current waveform and process speed data. This study can be used as a basic study to control the surface roughness of the cut surface in real time.

In this study, machine learning models are proposed to predict the Vickers hardness of AlSi10Mg alloys fabricated by laser powder bed fusion (LPBF). A total of 113 utilizable datasets were collected from the literature. The hyperparameters of the machine-learning models were adjusted to select an accurate predictive model. The random forest regression (RFR) model showed the best performance compared to support vector regression, artificial neural networks, and k-nearest neighbors. The variable importance and prediction mechanisms of the RFR were discussed by Shapley additive explanation (SHAP). Aging time had the greatest influence on the Vickers hardness, followed by solution time, solution temperature, layer thickness, scan speed, power, aging temperature, average particle size, and hatching distance. Detailed prediction mechanisms for RFR are analyzed using SHAP dependence plots.

Aluminum alloy-based additive manufacturing (AM) has emerged as a popular manufacturing process for the fabrication of complex parts in the automotive and aerospace industries. The addition of an inoculant to aluminum alloy powder has been demonstrated to effectively reduce cracking by promoting the formation of equiaxed grains. However, the optimization of the AM process parameters remains challenging owing to their variability. In this study, the response surface methodology (RSM) was used to predict the crack density of AM-processed Al alloy samples. RSM was performed by setting the process parameters and equiaxed grain ratio, which influence crack propagation, as independent variables and designating crack density as a response variable. The RSM-based quadratic polynomial models for crack-density prediction were found to be highly accurate. The relationship among the process parameters, crack density, and equiaxed grain fraction was also investigated using RSM. The findings of this study highlight the efficacy of RSM as a reliable approach for optimizing the properties of AM-processed parts with limited experimental data. These results can contribute to the development of robust AM processing strategies for the fabrication of highquality Al alloy components for various applications.

건설기계와 특장차의 상부와 하부 구조를 연결하는 로터리 조인트는 축과 하우징이 회전하면서 유압을 전달하는데 오일의 유로에 누유를 방지하기 위해 여러 개의 시일이 조립된다. 시일재료는 강성이 커서 조립에 어려움이 있기 때문에 자른 후 조립하는 방법을 모 색하였다. 절단면의 모양은 L형과 /형으로 하였고 유압이 작용할 때 누유 기준은 절단면에 발생하는 접촉압력으로 하였다. 시일의 구 조와 재료는 이중 탄성중합체로 구성되며 강성이 큰 PE 재질만 절단한 경우에 대하여 비선형 접촉 구조해석을 수행하였다. 연구결과 절단 길이가 짧을수록 누유 방지에 유리하며 PE와 하우징이 접촉하는 윗면보다 NBR과 PE가 접촉하는 아랫면으로 누유될 가능성이 큰 것으로 나타났다.

The entire industry is increasing the use of big data analysis using artificial intelligence technology due to the Fourth Industrial Revolution. The value of big data is increasing, and the same is true of the production technology. However, small and medium -sized manufacturers with small size are difficult to use for work due to lack of data management ability, and it is difficult to enter smart factories. Therefore, to help small and medium -sized manufacturing companies use big data, we will predict the gross production time through machine learning. In previous studies, machine learning was conducted as a time and quantity factor for production, and the excellence of the ExtraTree Algorithm was confirmed by predicting gross product time. In this study, the worker's proficiency factors were added to the time and quantity factors necessary for production, and the prediction rate of LightGBM Algorithm knowing was the highest. The results of the study will help to enhance the company's competitiveness and enhance the competitiveness of the company by identifying the possibility of data utilization of the MES system and supporting systematic production schedule management.

본 연구는 서울교육청 교육연구정보원의 「서울교육종단연구(SELS)」에 서 수집된 자료를 활용하여, 고등학생 3학년인 9차(2018년) 자료에서 학 생 2,793명을 연구 대상자로 정하였다. 청소년의 학교만족도와 관련한 예측요인을 확인하기 위해 SPSS 26.0을 사용하여 의사결정나무모형 분 석을 실시하였다. 연구결과를 살펴보면, 첫째, 청소년의 학교만족도의 분 류에서 개인적인 요인으로는 성별, 자아개념, 자기평가, 사회적 관계 요 인으로 보호자, 학교교사, 학교 특성/문화 요인으로는 학교에 대한 평가, 학교풍토가 유의한 변인으로 확인되었다. 둘째, 학교만족도 분류에 영향 을 주는 변인들 중에서는 학교에 대한 평가가 가장 영향력을 가진 변인 으로 나타났다. 셋째, 학교교사 수치가 높은 집단에서는 학교풍토, 자아 개념이 분류의 중요한 의미 있는 변인이었고, 학교교사 수치가 낮은 집 단에서는 자기평가, 학교풍토, 학교에 대한 평가가 영향력 있는 변인이었 다. 넷째, 학교에 대한 평가 수준 및 학교풍토가 바람직하고 좋으면 학교 만족도가 긍정적으로 상승하는 것으로 확인되었다. 본 연구결과는 청소 년의 학교만족도 증진을 위한 방안 모색, 교육정책 수립 및 프로그램 운 영에 도움이 될 것으로 사료된다.

Gate valves are hydraulic components used to shut-off the water flow in water distribution systems. Gate valves may fail owing to various aspects such as leakage through seats, wearing of packing, and corrosion. Because it is considerably challenging to detect valve malfunctioning until the operator identifies a significant fault, failure of the gate valve may lead to a severe accident event associated with water distribution systems. In this study, we proposed a methodology to diagnose the faults of gate valves. To measure the pressure difference across a gate valve, two pressure transducers were installed before and after the gate valve in a pilot-scaled water distribution system. The obtained time-series pressure difference data were analyzed using a machine learning algorithm to diagnose faults. The validation of whether the flow rate of the pipeline can be predicted based on the pressure difference between the upstream and downstream sides of the valve was also performed.

Conventional flipped learning instructional models are operated in a blended learning environment online and offline. In contrast, this study moved onto fully online systems and explored how a sense of presence worked for students’ learning outcomes at university English writing courses. The two research questions for this study are: 1) What is the relationship between a sense of presence (teaching, cognitive, social presence) and learning outcomes (group cohesion, class satisfaction)? and 2) What are the variables among a sense of presence that affect group cohesion and class satisfaction? For the purposes of this study, 46 university students from English composition courses answered student questionnaires in the spring of 2021. Correlation and multiple-regression analyses were conducted to look into the relationships among the variables. Additionally, focus-group interviews were conducted and teaching journals were analyzed. The major findings were revealed as follows: Firstly, a sense of presence was significantly related to group cohesion and satisfaction. Secondly, social presence and cognitive presence only had a predictive power of group cohesion. Thirdly, cognitive presence and teaching presence were significant predictors of class satisfaction. Pedagogical implications are discussed for those interested in applying flipped learning in a fully online setting.

Due to COVID-19, changes in consumption trends are taking place in the distribution sector, such as an increase in non-face-to-face consumption and a rapid growth in the online shopping market. However, it is difficult for small and medium-sized export sellers to obtain forecast information on the export market by country, compared to large distributors who can easily build a global sales network. This study is about the prediction of export amount and export volume by country and item for market information analysis of small and medium export sellers. A prediction model was developed using Lasso, XGBoost, and MLP models based on supervised learning and deep learning, and export trends for clothing, cosmetics, and household electronic devices were predicted for Korea's major export countries, the United States, China, and Vietnam. As a result of the prediction, the performance of MAE and RMSE for the Lasso model was excellent, and based on the development results, a market analysis system for small and medium sellers was developed.

The large process plant is currently implementing predictive maintenance technology to transition from the traditional Time-Based Maintenance (TBM) approach to the Condition-Based Maintenance (CBM) approach in order to improve equipment maintenance and productivity. The traditional techniques for predictive maintenance involved managing upper/lower thresholds (Set-Point) of equipment signals or identifying anomalies through control charts. Recently, with the development of techniques for big analysis, machine learning-based AAKR (Auto-Associative Kernel Regression) and deep learning-based VAE (Variation Auto-Encoder) techniques are being actively applied for predictive maintenance. However, this predictive maintenance techniques is only effective during steady-state operation of plant equipment, and it is difficult to apply them during start-up and shutdown periods when rises or falls. In addition, unlike processes such as nuclear and thermal power plants, which operate for hundreds of days after a single start-up, because the pumped power plant involves repeated start-ups and shutdowns 4-5 times a day, it is needed the prediction and alarm algorithm suitable for its characteristics. In this study, we aim to propose an approach to apply the optimal predictive alarm algorithm that is suitable for the characteristics of Pumped Storage Power Plant(PSPP) facilities to the system by analyzing the predictive maintenance techniques used in existing nuclear and coal power plants.