씨고자리꽃파리(Delia platura)는 온대지역의 해충으로 콩과, 백합과, 십자화과 작물뿐만 아니라 옥수수, 감자, 당근 등 기주범위가 매우 넓 은 해충으로 알려져 있다. 씨고자리꽃파리는 여름철 이후 발생이 급격히 감소하거나 사라지는 것으로 알려져 있다. 본 연구는 이러한 씨고자리꽃 파리의 특이한 연간 발생양상을 이해하기 위하여 몇 가지 온도와 광조건에서 발육실험과 야외에서 성충발생양상을 조사하였다. 광조건(16L:8D, 12L:12D)과 관계없이 처리온도 21, 24, 27°C에서 하면증상 없이 성충까지 성공적으로 발육하였다(번데기 생존률 : 93.5~100.0%). 고온(광조 건 16L:8D)인 30 및 33°C에서도 하면이 유도된 발육단계는 관찰되지 않았다. 따라서 씨고자리꽃파리의 여름철 후 감소현상은 하면가설로 설명 이 어려웠다. 2021년과 2022년 포장조사(제주)에서 7월 중순부터는 성충이 점착트랩에 거의 유살되지 않는 양상을 보였다. 고도별 트랩을 설치 한 2023년 조사에서 높은 고도인 620미터 트랩에서는 전체적으로 발생량이 적었고 연간 특별한 양상을 보이지 않았다. 저고도 70미터와 중간고 도 300미터는 2개의 발생최성기(peak)가 관측되었으며, 보다 서늘한 지점의 300미터 트랩의 발생최성기는 70미터 트랩과 비교하여 약 40일 정 도 지연되어 나타났다. 특히 300미터 트랩에서는 여름철 이후 9월 중순까지도 트랩에 유살되는 성충이 관찰되었다. 아직은 완벽하지 않지만 고온 회피설이 씨고자리꽃파리의 후기 발생을 부분적으로 설명할 수 있었다. 더 정확한 해석을 위해서는 앞으로 고온 산란임계온도와 더불어 생식적 휴면(하면)의 여부, 고온회피행동의 구체적 양상 등에 대한 추가 연구가 필요할 것으로 판단되었다.
Distractive marking, as conceptualized by Abbott H. Thayer, refers to diminutive patterns of contrasting colors on an animal’s body. Thayer hypothesized that these patterns augment camouflage by diverting predatory focus from the outline of the prey, however, the evidence was insufficient. In this study, we verified the hypothesis that the presence of distractive markings confers a survival advantage under specific conditions. Specifically, the experiment aimed to ascertain whether the existence of lichens on trees hinders the visual detection of prey, given that lichens resemble distractive markings. The experimental design involved human subjects as predators and artificial moth images on a monitor as prey. The survival of moths with and without distractive markings was compared, also considering the influence of the presence of lichens in the background. As an analysis result, the survival likelihood of moths was statistically significantly hindered when the distractive marking was present. This result contradicts Thayer‘s hypothesis and implies the presence of a function distinct other than the enhancement of camouflage.
Fen(分°) is the proportional dimension unit of the standard timber section on Yingzaofashi(營造法式), and there is a phrase that not only structural members but the whole structural design of a building also use Fen as the dimension unit on the book. But in fact only the section dimensions of structural members are recorded by Fen, but the design dimensions are recorded by Chi(尺) on the book. Other historical records also described the building size by Chi. So there has been long-standing debate on the phase in Chinese architectural history society, including the recent confrontation on the analysis of survey figures of the east great hall of Foguangsi temple(佛光寺東大殿). This paper analyzes all the records about the size of structural members and section planning on the book to make various calculation and evaluation. And it makes a survey of Cai(材) as the dimension and design unit between Chi and Fen through geometric analysis. Cai might be a rough unit of measurement in terms of structural and proportional scheming on Yingzaofashi, and the full size Cai(足材) had been a building scheming module before the Song dynasty.
This study investigates the claim that task-induced involvement load has an effect on vocabulary learning and examines the effect of task types and word concreteness on intentional vocabulary learning in the Korean EFL context. This study aims at testing whether productive word-focused tasks lead to equally effective vocabulary learning when the total involvement load index is equal but the distribution of index levels of each component (need, search, and evaluation) is different. The three productive word-focused task types are gap-fillig, sentence writing, and gap-filling through word transformation. In addition, in order to investigate the effect of word concreteness on vocabulary learning, two groups of target words were selected based on the level of word concreteness. In sum, the results of this study generally supported involvement load hypothesis (Laufer & Hulstijin, 2001) and test types and proficiency levels proved to be important variables that affect vocabulary learning. Moreover, the findings also indicated that word concreteness was not a major factor in vocabulary learning. The pedagogical implications and further suggestions are discussed.
본 연구는 주요 한국교회 내 탈북민 부서의 현황을 조사하고 선교적 교회론과 접촉 가설을 바탕으로 향후 탈북민 부서 사역의 과제를 살펴보았다. 이를 위하여 사례연구로 총 일곱 개 교회의 탈북민 부서를 검토하였다. 본 연구에서 살펴본 탈북민 부서 사역의 쟁점으로는 탈북 민의 호칭과 탈북민의 정체성, 탈북민 부서의 예배 방식, 탈북민에 대한 재정 지원의 문제 등이 있다. 이를 토대로 본 연구는 한국교회 내 탈북민 부서 사역이 나아가야 할 방향을 다음과 같이 제시하였다. 먼저 교회의 탈북민 부서 사역은 교회 내에서 북한과 통일에 관심 있는 몇몇 사람들의 특수한 봉사 영역으로만 제한되어서는 안 되며, 전체 교회의 선교적 정체성과 긴밀히 연결되어야 함을 밝혔다. 또한 교회 내의 탈북민 부서 사역이 탈북민에 대한 이해와 접촉 경험을 늘리는 통로가 되어야 함을 제안하였다. 이외에도 탈북민 성도가 복음 으로 신앙을 가지게 될 때 궁극적인 변화가 일어난다는 사실도 강조하였다. 마지막으로 교회 내의 탈북민 부서가 탈북민 리더십을 세워가는 공간이 되어야 함을 주장하였다.
This study examines the claim that vocabulary learning and retention are dependent on a task's involvement load (i.e., need, search, evaluation), as proposed by Hulstijn and Laufer (2001a). The study aims at comparing the effects of task types and task involvement load on vocabulary retention for Korean EFL university students. More specifically, this study was designed to test whether differential levels of task involvement loads lead to equally effective results to vocabulary retention when the total involvement index being equal. Three types of productive word-focused tasks (gap-filling using a dictionary, writing original sentences, and gap-filling through word transformation) were used to examine the interplay of involvement index and task types. The result indicated that there were significant main effects of task types, test types, and proficiency levels. The results also indicated that there were significant interaction effects of task types on the retention tests, proficiency levels on the retention tests, and task types×proficiency levels on the retentions. The pedagogical implications and further research directions are discussed.
이 논문은 Sweetser(1990)의 개념영역(概念域) 이론과 Traugott(1995)의 주관성 이론으로 중국어 ‘如果’와 한국어 ‘-(으)면, -거든’ 가정조건문의 의미적 특성을 고찰하고 대조하였다. 의미의 개념영역은 현실 세계 영역(行域), 인식 영역(知域)과 화행 영역(言域) 등 세 개의 하위분류로 나눌 수 있다. ‘如果’ 조건문과 ‘-(으)면’ 조건문은 현실 세계 영역에서 조건-결론 관계를 나타낼 수 있다. 이때 ‘如果’ 조건문은 ‘-(으)면’ 조건문보다 인과 관계의 객관성이 더 엄격하게 요구되고 주관성도 더 약하다. 인식 영역으로의 의미 확장은 범주 은유의 작용 결과이다. 인식 영역에서 ‘如果’ 조건문과 ‘-(으)면’ 조건문은 의미적 기능이 비슷하다. 화행 영역에서 ‘如果’와 ‘-(으)면’에 비해 ‘-거든’ 조건문은 조건과 결론에 대한 제약이 더 많다. 대부분 경우에 ‘-거든’은 화행 영역에서만 조건 의미가 있고 인식 영역과의 의미 중첩 현상을 가끔 보인다.
The present research examines the Uncertainty-Prediction Asymmetry (UPA) hypothesis, that low certainty incidental emotions, compared to their high certainty counterparts, lead to utility overprediction and to lower forecasting error.
Introduction
Cognitive appraisals of emotion have been included in the state-of-the-art theory of emotion and decision-making (Lerner & Keltner, 2000; Lerner, Li, Valdesolo, & Kassam, 2015). For instance, Tiedens & Linton (2001) discuss how happiness involves appraisals of high certainty, and sadness involves appraisals of low certainty. In terms of forecasting, systematic processing is generally considered to lead to less forecasting error compared to heuristic processing. Tiedens & Linton (2001) argue that, if accuracy is the ultimate goal the individual needs to rely on more thoughtful processes. Seeking a state of certainty is more cognitively engaging and requires more cognitive resources. But how do people predict future utilities in the first place?
Theoretical background
Kahneman & Thaler (2006) analyze forecasting as a two-step procedure, encompassing a current prediction as well as a future event. Breaking down the present and future situation allows researchers to assess accuracy and detect how errors occur. Kahneman & Snell (1992) report that people tend to underpredict future utilities. Typically, the experienced utility is higher (i.e. more liked or less disliked) compared to the earlier prediction. In the present paper we argue that emotional uncertainty leads to utility overprediction and thus reduces forecasting error. This hypothesis is in line with the Appraisal-Tendency Framework (ATF-overview in Lerner et al., 2015). According to the ATF, an emotion may trigger a cognitive predisposition to assess future events in line with the central appraisal dimensions that triggered that emotion. Such appraisals provide a perceptual schema for interpreting subsequent situations. In the context of the present research, the certainty-uncertainty cognitive appraisal is hypothesized to trigger a predisposition that affects the utility prediction mechanism and leads to utility overprediction. This hypothesis is also in line with the uncertainty intensification hypothesis (Bar-Anan, Wilson, & Gilbert, 2009), according to which the uncertainty of experienced emotions makes unpleasant events more unpleasant and pleasant events more pleasant. The present research examines an Uncertainty-Prediction Asymmetry (UPA) hypothesis. In three experimental studies we test the hypotheses that low certainty incidental emotions, compared to their high certainty counterparts, lead to utility overprediction (H1) and to lower forecasting error (H2). Emotional certainty, as an appraisal dimension of emotions, is expected to create a prediction asymmetry through its effect on both predicted utility and forecasting error. The mediating role of heuristic processing in the relationship between emotional certainty and forecasting error is also investigated.
Experiment 1
The first experiment examines the hypothesis that low emotional certainty leads to utility overprediction (H1). Eighty postgraduate students were randomly assigned to a high emotional certainty (disgust) vs. a low emotional certainty (fear) condition. Emotion induction involved exposure to pretested video clips (see Han et al., 2012). Following this manipulation, the experimental utility (a small candy bar) was distributed and participants were encouraged to consume it (see Kahneman & Snell, 1992). They were then asked to report on 13-point scales how much they liked the utility and to predict how much they would like it in the future consumption occasion (a week later). The results revealed a significant difference in predicted utility between the high (M = 2.22, SD = 1.33) and low (M =3.65, SD = 1.37) emotional certainty conditions (F = 4.43, p = 0.04, partial eta squared = 0.10).
Experiment 2
The second experiment includes a “future event”, that is measures of the utility that was originally predicted, in order to also estimate forecasting error. The experiment therefore tests if (a) the main effect of emotional uncertainty on predicted utility is confirmed (H1) and (b) there is a significant main effect of emotional uncertainty on forecasting error (H2). In addition, this experiment examines whether these effects are independent of the valence appraisal dimension of emotions. Given that Experiment 1 involved two negatively valenced emotions, emotional valence (positive vs. negative) was included in the experimental design. Seventy three postgraduate students participated in a five-consecutive-days experiment. During the first day, participants were randomly assigned to a fear (negative valence, low certainty), disgust (negative valence, high certainty), hope (positive valence, low certainty) or happiness (positive valence, high certainty) condition. Specifically, participants were asked to report an experience in which they had felt this particular emotion through an Autobiographical Emotional Memory Task (AEMT) (as in Smith & Ellsworth, 1985). Following this experimental manipulation, the experimental utility (a small chocolate bar) was distributed and they were again encouraged to consume. Subsequently, they were asked to rate how much they liked and how much they would like the utility on the fifth day. Depth of processing was assessed with four items (α=0.77), adjusted from Griffin et al. (2002). Specifically, these items measured the heuristic processing performed during the prediction process. Participants were contacted again on each of the remaining four days and were asked to consume the utility and to complete a short questionnaire (comprising ratings of the consumption experience and of the predicted utility on the fifth day). The results reported here involve only the data obtained on the first and final day of the experiment, and the forecasting error was estimated as the difference between the experienced utility of the last day and the predicted utility of the first day. In line with hypothesis H1, emotional certainty had a significant main effect on predicted utility (F = 6.18, p = 0.002, partial eta squared = 0.08). Specifically, predicted utility in the low emotional certainty condition was higher (M = 2.69, SD = 1.09), compared to that of the high certainty condition (M = 0.78, SD = 1.66). There was no significant interaction effect between certainty and valence. These findings provide further support for our H1 and indicate that emotional certainty influences utility prediction irrespective of the valence of incidental emotions. Moreover, a significant main effect of certainty on forecasting error was observed (F = 4.16, p = 0.045, partial eta squared = 0.06). Forecasting error was lower in the low certainty condition (M = 0.59, SD = 1.28) compared to the high certainty condition (M = 2.19, SD = 1.48). There was no significant interaction effect. Moreover, a mediation analysis revealed that heuristic processing mediated the effect of certainty on forecasting error (p**<0.05).
Experiment 3
The previous two experiments indicate that the effects of incidental emotional states on predicted utility and forecasting error may be due to the certainty-appraisal dimension of these emotional states. A possible criticism and an inherent limitation of Experiments 1 and 2 might lie on the possibility that these effects are not independent of the other appraisal dimensions. This is related to a key methodological issue. In Experiments 1 and 2, the induced emotions were different in terms of certainty or uncertainty, but these emotions might have differed in other ways and across other appraisal dimensions as well. To eliminate this possibility and to strengthen our argument, we employ here a manipulation of the certainty appraisal of the same emotion. We therefore compare predicted utility and forecasting error in the same emotional state under conditions of low and high certainty. In Experiments 1 and 2 the emotions induced are strong representatives of each side of the certainty appraisal dimension. However, emotions located in the middle of this dimension provide an interesting opportunity since they might allow us to compare their effects when they are associated with lower or higher levels of certainty. In this experiment we have chosen to focus on the emotional state of sadness. Sadness was selected because it is near the middle of the certainty-uncertainty dimension (Smith & Ellsworth, 1985). Similar manipulations of sadness have been reported in the literature (Tiedens & Linton, 2001). Sixty postgraduate students were randomly assigned to a low vs. high certainty sadness condition. High certainty participants were asked to recall and report an experience or event in which they had felt high certainty sadness (i.e. during which they understood what was happening and could predict what was going to happen next), through an Autobiographical Emotional Memory Task (AEMT) as in Experiment 2. Similarly, low certainty participants were asked to recall and report an event or experience that had generated low certainty sadness. Following the experimental manipulation, the experimental utility (a small chocolate bar) was served. Participants were again encouraged to consume some of it and were asked to complete 13-point ratings of how much they liked it and how much they would like it in the future occasion (a week later). Eight items (α=0.81), adapted from Griffin et al. (2002), measured the heuristic processing performed during the prediction process. Participants also completed ten items adjusted from PANAS questionnaire (Watson et al., 1988). A week later, participants consumed the utility and completed a short questionnaire. The results revealed a significant main effect of certainty on the predicted utility (F = 4.00, p = 0.05, partial eta squared = 0.06). Predicted utility in the low certainty sadness condition was higher (M = 4.21, SD = 1.55) compared to that of the high certainty condition (M = 3.35, SD = 1.78). A significant main effect of certainty on forecasting error was also observed (F = 5.04, p = 0.03, partial eta squared = 0.10). Forecasting error in the low certainty condition (M = -0.10, SD = 1.65) was lower compared to that of the high certainty condition (M = 1.02, SD = 1.81). A mediation analysis revealed that heuristic processing again mediated the effect of certainty on forecasting error (p**<0.05).
Conclusion
The contribution of this research is mostly highlighted by the counter-intuitive findings that lower certainty emotions lead to judgment with higher accuracy, as well as to an overprediction of utilities, related to their certainty counterparts. Therefore, the current findings provide support for the proposed Uncertainty-Prediction dual Asymmetry (UPA) hypothesis. Future research needs to corroborate these findings, to clarify the mechanisms underlying the observed asymmetry and to identify boundary conditions.
Korean oak wilt (KOW) caused by Raffaelea quercus-mongolicae and its vector, Platypus koryoensis is one of the most severe forest pests in Korea. In spite of its importance, information about dispersal of P. koryeonsis is very limited. In here, a hypothesis related to long distance dispersal (LDD) of KOW reflecting behavior of P. koryoensis is proposed. When attack density of P. koryoensis increased, location of entry holes in the trunk moved to upward. The individuals which escaped from entry holes in upper trunk had potential to fly upper part of trees and they flew longer distance probably by aid of winds. We suggested that this density dependent dispersal of the beetle explain the spatial dynamics of KOW in large scale.
Calaphidinae is one of the most species rich group in Aphididae. However their phylogenetic relationship is poorly understood. In this study, we reconstructed phylogenetic relationship of Calaphidinae and closely related groups to confirm the taxon boundary and ingroup relationship such as tribe and genera. In addition, evolutionary hypothesis of ancestral host-plant relationship was tested. We performed Bayesian inference and maximum likelihood analyses of combined 4 mitochondrial (ATP6, COI, COII, CytB) and 1 nuclear (EF1α) sequences. Phylogenetic results suggested that Calaphidinae is not a monophyletic and Saltusaphidinae is nested in Calaphidinae. Phyllaphidinae forms a basal clade as the most primitive group of Calaphidinae. Reconstruction of ancestral host plant of Calaphidinae indicated that Calaphidinae might have evolved on members of Fagales plants.
The Oecophoridae is a mega-diverse microlepidopteran family within the Gelechioidea (Lepidoptera) comprising more than 3,300 described and numerous undescribed species. Based on comprehensive phylogenetic analysis using eight genes for 82 taxa, the results indicated that (i) Casmara, Tyrolimnas and Pseudodoxia did not belong to Oecophoridae; (ii) other oecophorids dividing into two subfamilies, Pleurotinae and Oecophorinae, were nested within the same clade, and (iii) Martyringa, Acryptolechia and Periacmini were clustered with core Xyloryctide. Reconstruction of ancestral microhabitat of oecophorids indicated that they might have evolved from dried plant feeders and further convergently specialized. The ancestral larva sheltering strategy of oecophorids might have used a silk tube by making itself, shifting from mining leaves.
With an effort to verify the involvement load hypothesis, this study investigates the effects of three different vocabulary learning tasks - reading, filling in blanks, and sentence writing - on learners' short and long term memory when they are provided with the theoretically identical level of involvement tasks. It is also to examine whether there are any differences of learning effects between input and output vocabulary learning tasks. The experiments were conducted with 86 Korean middle school students grouped by three different task types. Pre-/post-tests and delayed tests were administered and analyzed. It was found that three vocabulary tasks with theoretically identical levels of involvement do not have the same learning effects: the involvement load hypothesis was not completely proved in the case of Korean students' vocabulary learning. The findings implied that (i) the difference of vocabulary learning tasks should be considered even though they have the same involvement load; (ii) given that EFL students learn new words in a limited amount of time in class, the reading task using a dictionary is found to be very helpful; and (iii) it is important to study target vocabulary repeatedly during class and to expose the vocabulary with different tasks to enhance students' retention of the newly learned vocabulary.
This paper aims to propose a new steps of hypothesis testing using analysis process and improvement process in the six sigma DMAIC. The six sigma implementation models proposed in this paper consist of six steps. The first step is to establish a research hypothesis by specification directionality and FBP(Falsibility By Popper). The second step is to translate the research hypothesis such as RHAT(Research Hypothesis Absent Type) and RHPT(Research Hypothesis Present Type) into statistical hypothesis such as H0(Null Hypothesis) and H1(Alternative Hypothesis). The third step is to implement statistical hypothesis testing by PBC(Proof By Contradiction) and proper sample size. The fourth step is to interpret the result of statistical hypothesis test. The fifth step is to establish the best conditions of product and process conditions by experimental optimization and interval estimation. The sixth step is to draw a conclusion by considering practical significance and statistical significance. Important for both quality practitioners and academicians, case analysis on six sigma projects with implementation guidelines are provided.
Most useful statistical techniques in six sigma DMAIC are hypothesis testing and interval estimation. So this paper reviews and derives sample size formula by considering significance level, power of detectability and effect difference. The quality practioners can effectively interpret the practical and statistical significance with the rational sample sizing.
The paper reviews properties of hypothesis decision approaches using rejection region and significance probability. The study also presents the guidelines for quality practioners to implement most useful hypothesis testing techniques such as RR(Rejection Region) approach and P-Value approach.
Haplodiploid sex determination occurs in a wide range of animals, especially in Hymenoptera, where a fertilized egg develops into a diploid female and unfertilized into a haploid male. However, recent studies on diploid functional males in some wasps suggest that the simple addition of paternal gene by fertilization may not be enough to explain female offspring production in the sex determination system. Recently, activation of sex determination gene (tra) was found to have a pivotal role in determining the sex of Nasonia vitripennis. In N. vitripennis, tra is activated only on the paternal genome (i.e. sperm) not on the maternal counterpart (i.e. egg). Such parent specific activation of a gene is controlled by a epigenetic factor, DNA methylation. However, in Trichogramma kaykai, Wolbachia induces female offspring production without sperm. Therefore all female offspring are clonal to the maternal gene. This violates the role of activated sex determination gene (tra) from sperm in the wasp. We hypothesize that Wolbachia has an ability to activate the gene by demethylation. This hypothesis indicates that the target of sex ratio distorting endosymbionts may be an upstream gene. It will enhance our understanding of evolution of haplodiploid sex determination.
The paper contributes deriving the confidence intervals according to the use types of hypothesis tests. The guidelines of usuage on the types of hypothesis tests and interval estimation are proposed. These formulars can be used to evaluate the effects of quality improvement activity.