In this study, We aim to provide design data for a low-temperature refrigeration system to select operating conditions for predicting maximum performance of an eco-friendly binary refrigeration system based on changing operating conditions The operating variables considered in this paper are evaporating temperature, condensing temperature, superheating degree, subcooling degree, and compression efficiency. The main results are summarized as follows: In the low temperature range of -50℃ to -30℃, the COP of the system increased as the evaporating temperature and subcooling degree of the binary refrigeration system for R744-R717 increased, but the COP decreased as the condensing temperature and superheating degree increased. It was confirmed that factors such as superheating, subcooling, condensing temperature, evaporating temperature, cascade temperature difference, and compression efficiency affect the performance coefficient of the binary refrigeration cycle for R744 and R717, and it was found that each of these factors has a cascade evaporating temperature that maximizes the performance of the binary refrigeration cycle.

본 연구는 부식에 취약한 강재의 대체 보강재로써 주목받는 CFRP 보강재의 피로 예측에 머신러닝을 적용하는 것이 타당한지 검토하였다. 이를 위해 선행 연구의 피로 시험 결과를 바탕으로 섬유-체적 비율 40, 50, 60, 80%의 데이터를 수집하였으며, 이 중 40, 50, 60% 섬유 함침율을 학습 데이터, 80% 섬유 함침율을 검증 데이터로 활용되었다. 머신러닝 학습에는 랜덤 포레스트 알고리즘 이 활용되었으며, K-폴드 교차 검증을 통해 알고리즘 내부의 하이퍼파라미터를 추정하였다. 그 결과, 최종 하이퍼파라미터는 결정 나무 200, 최대 깊이 20등으로 결정되었다. 해당 하이퍼파라미터를 적용한 피로 성능 예측 결과, 전반적으로 0.92∼0.97의 높은 결정 계수를 보여 충분한 예측 성능을 기대할 수 있을 것으로 나타났지만, 예측값과 실험값을 비교하는 산점도 분석 결과에서 3 mm 변위 수준의 예측값이 약 117만 사이클의 MAE를 보였다. 이는 적은 표본 수로 인해 학습 데이터에 과적합 되었음을 의미하는 명백한 증거 이며, 향후 지속적인 연구를 통해 개선할 필요가 있다.

최근 고도화된 딥러닝 모형을 이용하여 하천 수질에 영향을 줄 수 있는 과도한 조류(algae) 발생을 예측하는 연구에 대한 관심이 지속되고 있으며, 모형의 구축에 사용되는 현장 측정 자료의 특성상 다양한 이상치를 포함할 수 있어 데이터의 이상치 관리 필요성이 높아지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 현장 자료의 이상치가 딥러닝 모형의 성능에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위해 딥러닝 Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM) 모형을 이용하여 하천 조류 발생을 정량적으로 평가하는 지표인 클로로필-a를 예측하는 모형을 구축하였으며, 10%의 이상치를 포함한 자료와 이상치가 포함되지 않은 원본 자료로 학습된 모형의 성능을 비교하였다. 또한 딥러닝 기반 이상치 탐지 알고리즘인 Autoencoder(AE)를 이용하여 이상치를 제거한 후 모형의 성능에 미치는 영향을 비교하였다. 분석 결과 이상치를 포함하지 않은 자료로 학습된 Base 모형과 10%의 이상치를 포함한 자료로 학습된 모형의 Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency(NSE)가 각각 0.882 및 0.858로 나타나 이상치가 모형의 성능을 저하시킬 수 있음을 확인하였다. 한편 AE를 이용하여 이상치를 다양한 비율로(5–20%) 제거한 자료로 학습된 모형의 성능을 분석한 결과 NSE가 0.883–0.896으로 이상치의 제거에 따라 모형의 성능이 Base 모형과 유사한 수준으로 개선되는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서는 이상치가 딥러닝 모형에 미치는 영향을 분석하고 이상치 탐지 모형의 활용에 따른 조류 발생 예측 딥러닝 모형의 성능 향상이 가능함을 확인하였다.

This study evaluated the germination characteristics and predicted longevity of Weigela subsessilis, an endemic plant in Korea, under long-term seed bank storage. Seeds from 16 accessions were stored at –18 °C for 0, 5, 10, and 20 years, and their germination performance was assessed. The initial germination percentage (78.75%) remained stable after five years (79.67%) but declined significantly after ten years (62.90%). Two accessions tested after 20 years showed a steep reduction to 14.86%. MGT and T50 were stable, GI increased slightly, but PV and GV declined, suggesting dormancy release alongside reduced vigor. Seed longevity was predicted using Probit analysis The estimated initial viability (Ki) was 1.15, with a slope of –0.092, yielding a predicted P50 of 12.5 years (95% CI: 11.2–13.8 years). The confidence interval broadened with longer extrapolations, underscoring the uncertainty of projections beyond 15–20 years where empirical data remain limited. These results provide the first empirical evidence of viability decline in W. subsessilis seeds over two decades of storage. They highlight the need for systematic monitoring in seed banks, with testing recommended at five-year intervals beyond ten years of storage. Regeneration or recollection strategies should also be implemented as viability approaches critical thresholds. This study offers essential baseline data for developing conservation strategies for Korean endemic species and contributes to the sustainable management of native plant genetic resources.

과도한 조류 발생은 수생태계 교란과 수질 악화를 초래하는 대표적인 환경 문제로, 효과적인 관리와 대응을 위해 정확한 예측이 필요하다. 우리나라는 사계절의 기후 특성이 뚜렷하며, 수온이 상승하는 하절기에 조류 발생이 집중되는 경향을 보인다. 이에 따라 실시간 모니터링 자료는 대부분 저농도 상태가 유지되어 데이터 불균형 문제가 발생한다. 본 연구에서는 chlorophyll-a 농도를 기준으로 하천 현장의 조류 발생 수준을 Class 1 (Chl-a ≤ 10 ㎍/L), Class 2 (10 < Chl-a ≤ 50 ㎍/L), Class 3 (Chl-a > 50 ㎍/L)와 같이 3개의 class로 구분하고, 대표적인 앙상블 머신러닝 모형인 extreme gradient boosting (XGB) 알고리즘을 이용하여 조류 발생 수준을 예측하는 분류 모형을 구축하였다. 데이터 불균형 해소를 위해 생성형 인공지능 기반 알고리즘인 conditional generative adversarial network (CGAN)과 전통적인 데이터 보강 알고리즘인 synthetic minority over-sampling technique (SMOTE), 그리고 딥러닝 기반 기법인 autoencoder (AE)를 활용한 3가지 데이터 보강 알고리즘을 활용하여 데이터의 불균형을 개선한 자료를 생성하고 이를 XGB 모형에 적용하여 성능 변화를 비교하였다. 분석 결과 macro average 기준으로 원본 데이터를 사용한 모형의 recall은 0.606이었으나 SMOTE, AE 및 CGAN의 recall은 각각 0.666, 0.682, 0.720으로 크게 개선되었고, F1 score도 데이터 불균형 해소를 통해 약 7–13%의 성능이 향상되는 등 전체적으로 데이터 불균형 해소로 모형의 성능이 향상되었으며 CGAN이 가장 우수한 성능 개선 효과를 보이는 것으로 나타냈다. 본 연구의 결과를 통해 데이터 불균형 해소를 통한 머신러닝 모형 성능 개선 가능성을 확인하였다.

Existing reinforced concrete buildings with seismically deficient columns experience reduced structural capacity and lateral resistance due to increased axial loads from green remodeling or vertical extensions aimed at reducing CO2 emissions. Traditional performance assessment methods face limitations due to their complexity. This study aims to develop a machine learning-based model for rapidly assessing seismic performance in reinforced concrete buildings using simplified structural details and seismic data. For this purpose, simple structural details, gravity loads, failure modes, and construction years were utilized as input variables for a specific reinforced concrete moment frame building. These inputs were applied to a computational model, and through nonlinear time history analysis under seismic load data with a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years, the seismic performance evaluation results based on dynamic responses were used as output data. Using the input-output dataset constructed through this process, performance measurements for classifiers developed using various machine learning methodologies were compared, and the best-fit model (Ensemble) was proposed to predict seismic performance.

This study evaluated the short- and long-term prediction performances of a transformer-based trajectory-forecasting model for urban intersections. While a previous study focused on developing the basic structure of a transformer model for future trajectory prediction, the present study aimed to determine a practical prediction sequence length. To this end, multiple transformer models were trained with output sequence lengths ranging from 1 s to 10 s, and their performances were compared. The trajectory data used for training were generated through a microscopic traffic simulation, and the model accuracy was assessed using the metrics average displacement error (ADE) and final displacement error (FDE). The results demonstrate that the prediction accuracy decreases significantly when the output trajectory length exceeds 3 s. Specifically, straight-driving trajectories exhibit rapidly increasing errors, while turning trajectories maintained a relatively stable accuracy. In contrast, for turning-driving trajectories, prediction errors increased sharply during short-term forecasting, but the increase was more gradual in long-term forecasts. Additionally, the long-term prediction models produced higher errors even in the initial 1-second outputs, implying a tendency toward conservative inference under uncertain future scenarios. This conservative behavior is likely influenced by the model’s effort to minimize the overall loss across a broader prediction window, especially when trained with Smooth L1 loss function. This study provides practical insights into model design for edge-computing environments and contributes to the development of reliable short-term trajectory prediction systems for urban ITS applications.

기후 변화로 인해 해수면 상승과 폭풍해일 발생 빈도가 증가하면서, 해안 지역에서의 재난 위험이 심화되고 있다. 본 연구는 NOAA의 GFS(Global Forecast System) 모델과 일본 기상청의 JMA-MSM(Japan Meteorological Agency Meso-Scale Model) 데이터를 기반으로 딥 러닝 기술을 활용하여 폭풍해일 예측 알고리즘을 개발하고, 두 모델에서 제공하는 대기 데이터를 입력 변수로 사용하여 예측 성능을 비 교하는 것을 목표로 한다. CNN(Convolutional Neural Network), LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory), Attention 메커니즘을 결합한 모델을 설계하고, 조위관측소의 관측 자료를 학습 데이터로 사용하였다. 과거 한반도에 직접적인 영향을 미쳤던 네 개의 태풍 사례를 통해 모델 성능을 검 증한 결과, JMA-MSM 기반 모델이 GFS 기반 모델에 비해 서해, 남해, 동해에서 각각 평균 RMSE를 0.34cm, 0.73cm, 1.86cm, MAPE를 0.15%, 0.36%, 0.68% 개선하였다. 이는 JMA-MSM의 고해상도 자료가 지역적 기상 변화를 정밀하게 반영했기 때문으로 분석된다. 본 연구는 해안 재난 대비를 위한 폭풍해일 예측의 효율성을 높이고, 추가 기상 데이터를 활용한 향후 연구의 기반 제공이 기대된다.

This study explores the application of Blade Element Theory (BET) to predict the aerodynamic performance of three-dimensional propellers, addressing the computational challenges associated with traditional methods like moving mesh and Multiple Reference Frame (MRF). By utilizing two-dimensional flow analysis to compute lift and drag coefficients, this approach enables rapid and efficient aerodynamic performance predictions with significant reductions in computational time. Comparative analysis with three-dimensional simulations reveals BET's accuracy, with thrust predictions showing slight overestimation at higher RPMs. Findings highlight BET's potential for preliminary propeller design, particularly for low-solidity, low-speed applications. This method provides an efficient alternative for optimizing propeller performance in electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) systems, pivotal for advancing Urban Air Mobility (UAM) solutions.

This study aimed to develop a pavement management system suitable for the climate and traffic characteristics of Gangwon Province. This research focused on analyzing the asphalt pavement performance characteristics of national highways in Gangwon Province by region and developing prediction models for the current pavement performance and annual changes in performance. Quantitative indicators were collected to evaluate the condition of national highway pavements in Gangwon Province, including factors affecting road performance, such as weather data and traffic volume. The Gangwon region was then classified according to its topography, climate, weather, traffic volume, and pavement performance. Prediction models for the current pavement performance and annual changes in performance were developed for national highways. This study also compared the predicted values for the Gangwon region using a nationwide pavement performance-prediction model from other studies with the predicted values from the developed annual changes in the performance prediction model. This study established a foundation for implementing a pavement management system tailored to the unique climate and traffic characteristics of Gangwon Province. By developing region-specific performance prediction models, this study provided valuable insights into more effective and efficient pavement maintenance strategies in Gangwon Province.

Dynamic responses of nuclear power plant structure subjected to earthquake loads should be carefully investigated for safety. Because nuclear power plant structure are usually constructed by material of reinforced concrete, the aging deterioration of R.C. have no small effect on structural behavior of nuclear power plant structure. Therefore, aging deterioration of R.C. nuclear power plant structure should be considered for exact prediction of seismic responses of the structure. In this study, a machine learning model for seismic response prediction of nuclear power plant structure was developed by considering aging deterioration. The OPR-1000 was selected as an example structure for numerical simulation. The OPR-1000 was originally designated as the Korean Standard Nuclear Power Plant (KSNP), and was re-designated as the OPR-1000 in 2005 for foreign sales. 500 artificial ground motions were generated based on site characteristics of Korea. Elastic modulus, damping ratio, poisson’s ratio and density were selected to consider material property variation due to aging deterioration. Six machine learning algorithms such as, Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), were used t o construct seispic response prediction model. 13 intensity measures and 4 material properties were used input parameters of the training database. Performance evaluation was performed using metrics like root mean square error, mean square error, mean absolute error, and coefficient of determination. The optimization of hyperparameters was achieved through k-fold cross-validation and grid search techniques. The analysis results show that neural networks present good prediction performance considering aging deterioration.

The ocean is linked to long-term climate variability, but there are very few methods to assess the short-term performance of forecast models. This study analyzes the short-term prediction performance regarding ocean temperature and salinity of the Global Seasonal prediction system version 5 (GloSea5). GloSea5 is a historical climate re-creation (2001-2010) performed on the 1st, 9th, 17th, and 25th of each month. It comprises three ensembles. High-resolution hindcasts from the three ensembles were compared with the Array for Real-Time Geostrophic Oceanography (ARGO) float data for the period 2001-2010. The horizontal position was preprocessed to match the ARGO float data and the vertical layer to the GloSea5 data. The root mean square error (RMSE), Brier Score (BS), and Brier Skill Score (BSS) were calculated for short-term forecast periods with a lead-time of 10 days. The results show that sea surface temperature (SST) has a large RMSE in the western boundary current region in Pacific and Atlantic Oceans and Antarctic Circumpolar Current region, and sea surface salinity (SSS) has significant errors in the tropics with high precipitation, with both variables having the largest errors in the Atlantic. SST and SSS had larger errors during the fall for the NINO3.4 region and during the summer for the East Sea. Computing the BS and BSS for ocean temperature and salinity in the NINO3.4 region revealed that forecast skill decreases with increasing lead-time for SST, but not for SSS. The preprocessing of GloSea5 forecasts to match the ARGO float data applied in this study, and the evaluation methods for forecast models using the BS and BSS, could be applied to evaluate other forecast models and/or variables.