Given the hazards posed by black ice, it is crucial to investigate the conditions that contribute to its formation. Two ensemble machinelearning algorithms, Random Forest (RF) and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), were employed to forecast the occurrence of black ice using atmospheric data. Additionally, explainable artificial intelligence techniques, including Feature Importance (FI) and partial dependence Plot (PDP), were utilized to identify atmospheric conditions that significantly increase the likelihood of black ice formation. The machinelearning algorithms achieved a forecasting accuracy of 90%, demonstrating reliable performance. FI analysis revealed distinct key predictors between the algorithms: relative humidity was the most critical for RF, whereas wind speed was paramount for XGBoost. The PDP analysis identified the specific atmospheric conditions under which black ice was likely to form. This study provides detailed insights into the atmospheric precursors of frost/fog-induced black ice formation. These findings enable road managers to implement proactive winter road maintenance strategies, such as optimizing anti-icing patrol routes and displaying warnings on various message signs, thereby enhancing road safety.
This study quantitatively assess the risk of ice-related accidents on road facilities such as bridges and tunnels, and examines the influence of road facility characteristics on ice-related accidents. Ice-related accident data from expressways and national highways in South Korea were collected over a 10-year period (2013–2022). Geographic information systems (GIS) and node-link systems were employed to classify accidents based on road facility types. The number of ice-related accidents per unit length and per individual segment was examined according to the road classification. Furthermore, the fatality rate and fatality-weighted indicator (FWI) were calculated to evaluate the severity of icerelated accidents.The number of ice-related accidents per unit length of road facilities is higher on national highways than on expressways. For both expressways and national highways, the incidence rate of ice-related accidents on bridges was higher than those on ordinary sections and tunnels. A greater number of ice-related accidents occurred on long-span bridges and tunnels for both road classifications. The fatality rate of ice-related accidents on expressways was approximately 1.5 times higher than that on national highways. The fatality rate of ice-related accidents occurring on road facilities within expressways was approximately three times higher than the overall fatality rate of ice-related accidents on expressways. On national highways, the fatality rate of ice-related accidents on bridges was higher than the overall fatality rate of ice-related accidents, whereas the fatality rate of ice-related accidents in tunnels was lower than that on national highways. The FWI of ice-related accidents on bridges and tunnels was more than twice that on ordinary sections on both expressways and national highways. Among expressway facilities, tunnels exhibited the highest FWI, whereas on national highways, the FWI values for bridges and tunnels were similar. The findings of this study suggest that the influence of road facilities on ice-related accidents should be considered in winter road maintenance strategies. This could contribute to reducing not only the frequency of ice-related accidents, but also the number of fatalities and injuries resulting from such incidents.
Road infrastructure development and biodiversity conservation are essential for sustainable development. However, many developing countries struggle to balance them. This study examines the impact of road construction in 24 African countries and evaluates strategies for achieving sustainability. Using a case study approach, road construction variables from individual country reports (2024) were quantitatively analyzed alongside Red List Index (RLI) scores from the Yale University's 2024 Environmental Performance Index Report. Descriptive statistics and regression analyses were applied to assess the relationship between road development and biodiversity conservation to provide insights into effective mitigation strategies. Results indicate that in 2024, the average RLI score for the 24 African countries was 64.74, with a 10-year mean decline of -2.85. On average, 17,162.21 ha of biodiversity habitats were cleared for road construction, emphasizing the vulnerability of biodiversity. Burkina Faso (95.4), Mali (92.9), and Botswana (92.2) exhibited strong biodiversity health, whereas Kenya (24.9), South Africa (24.4), Uganda (15.7), and Tanzania (0) faced critical challenges. Wildlife crossing was the most significant predictor in lower-income economies (R² = 0.49, p < 0.0001), traffic volume in lower-middle income economies (R² = 0.35, p = 0.0007), and road width in upper-middle income economies (R² = 0.83, p = 0.0054). Habitat clearance exhibited a weak correlation. These findings highlight the crucial role of road construction variables—particularly wildlife crossings, road width, and traffic volume—in biodiversity conservation across income groups. Targeted road planning is required to mitigate biodiversity loss. These findings contribute to the emerging literature on the impact of infrastructure on conservation, policy guidance, and mitigation efforts in developing countries.
This study aims to identify latent classes among shared e-scooter users based on their characteristics and analyze the differences in personal and usage characteristics across these classes. Specifically, the study has the following key objectives: (1) to select variables related to the personal and usage characteristics of shared e-scooter users; (2) to collect data on the personal and usage characteristics of shared e-scooter users; (3) to derive the latent classes of shared e-scooter users; and (4) to test the differences in personal and usage characteristics across the identified latent classes. Variables related to the personal and usage characteristics of shared e-scooter users were selected based on a literature review. Through a survey, data on the personal and usage characteristics of shared e-scooter users were collected. A latent class analysis (LCA) was performed to derive the latent classes of shared e-scooter users. Finally, a chi-square analysis was conducted to test the differences in personal and usage characteristics across the latent classes of shared e-scooter users. The results of this study are as follows. The personal characteristics of shared e-scooter users were identified as age and sex, whereas the usage characteristics were identified as usage frequency, time periods of e-scooter usage, return/rental zones, return/rental places, and types of roads used. Data on sex, age, usage frequency, periods of e-scooter usage, and return/rental locations were collected from 278 shared e-scooter users. Based on information criterion, statistical validation, and the entropy index, four latent classes of shared e-scooter users were identified: “male users with a commuting purpose in business zones,” “male users with a homeward commuting purpose in residential zones,” “female users with a leisure purpose in park/green zones,” and “users in their 20s with a commuting purpose in residential zones.” The results of a chisquare analysis revealed statistically significant differences (p < 0.05) in the personal and usage characteristics across the latent classes. Shared e-scooter user types were classified through Latent Class Analysis (LCA), and differences in personal and usage characteristics were identified across the classes. The preferred usage environments and conditions for each class of shared e-scooter users are determined. Variables related to the return/rental zone and periods of e-scooter usage showed the most significant differences among the classes. These findings can contribute to the development of customized user policies and the improvement of services based on the characteristics of shared e-scooter users.
Korea has many test beds where various mobility services are provided by automated vehicles. The test beds are operated in their operational design domain (ODD). However, disengagement frequently occurs, even in the ODDs of automated vehicles. In particular, human drivers have to take control of the automated vehicles at SAE Level 3 whenever the vehicles cannot drive by themselves because of an emergency or unknown factors. This study analyzed the driving safety of right turning at signalized intersections where automated vehicles face selfdriving issues because of potential conflicts with other vehicles, crossing pedestrians, and geometric factors. To conduct this analysis, we categorized right-turning intersections into two types with right-turning lanes and channelization islands and divided them into three sections, with a total of six sections. Subsequently, the six sections were compared with each other by disengagements of the automated vehicles as the key index to investigate their self-driving safety. Their significant differences indicate that ODD-related variables must be considered when designing and updating target test beds for automated vehicles.
This study empirically analyzes the factors influencing the commuting time of households with multiple commuters in Chungnam Province. In particular, we examined how the commuting time varies between commuters depending on their wage gaps. A regression equation, in which the dependent variable was the difference in commuting time, was used. The key independent variable was the wage gap for households with two commuters. Further estimations were performed on samples restricted to dual-income couples with additional variables such as the wife’s household work burden, number of preschool children, and number of caregivers for children. Based on the results of the empirical analyses using the Chungnam Social Survey, the larger the wage gap between two commuters in a household, the longer the commuting time for high-wage commuters than for low-wage commuters. This contradicts the argument that a higher opportunity cost of commuting for higher wages should reduce the commuting time. In the analysis of dual-income couples, the wife’s commuting time was relatively shorter than that of the husband’s because of the burden of housework; however, the influence of childcare was not observed. As households with multiple commuters or dual-income couples become increasingly common, and the structure of cities changes from monocentric to multicentric, deciding where to live has become more complicated. Long-time and long-distance commuting can lead to wasteful commuting, and this needs to be considered as a social cost owing to the possibility of traffic congestion beyond the loss for the individual concerned. Therefore, the government’s urban policies, including housing and transportation policies, must be improved.
This study evaluated the safety impact of automated traffic enforcement cameras targeting tailgating behavior at signalized intersections by comparing traffic conditions shortly after installation and one year later. The Kukkiwon intersection in Gangnam-gu, Seoul, South Korea was selected as the study site. Individual vehicle speeds, accelerations, and subsequent distances were extracted from video data using YOLOv8 and ByteTrack, which are advanced deep learning-based object detection and tracking algorithms. Surrogate safety measures (SSM), such as time to collision (TTC), modified time to collision (MTTC), and proportion of stopping distance (PSD), were calculated to assess changes in traffic safety. Every SSM indicated an improvement one year after the installation of enforcement cameras, suggesting a reduction in collision risks. In particular, the PSD indicator showed a notable improvement, reflecting a better maintenance of safe following distances. These results highlight the effectiveness of automated enforcement in improving intersection safety and suggest its scalability to other intersections with similar tail-gating issues. Future research should explore the long-term and multisite effects using diverse intersection types and behavioral indicators.
As the transportation paradigm shifts from vehicle-oriented to pedestrian-oriented, active research has been conducted on road designs that consider the safety of pedestrians, cyclists, and personal mobility users. This study aims to respond to this change by developing installation warrant factors and improving the minimum size design standards for triangular islands. This study involved reviewing domestic and international laws and guidelines, analyzing the current installation status of triangular islands, examining case studies of improvements, and assessing policy changes. Based on the findings, important insights were derived, and improvement plans to enhance the safety of pedestrians, vulnerable users, and other road users were proposed. This study identified several issues and confirmed that policies in both domestic and international contexts are shifting towards minimizing or removing the triangular islands. Based on these findings, this study developed 24 factors for installation warrants to determine the installation of triangular islands, such as the design speed and peak-hour volume for pedestrians. In addition, the proposed improvements suggest increasing the minimum size design standards from 9m2 to 22m2 to ensure the safety of users. The factors of installation warrants and improved minimum size design standards proposed in this study are expected to help shift the operation of triangular islands from a vehicle-oriented to a pedestrian-oriented approach.
Autonomous vehicle technology is targeted for commercialization in 2027. However, a mixed traffic environment of conventional vehicles and autonomous vehicles is expected to be inevitable. In mixed traffic, conventional vehicles drive at reduced speeds due to limited visibility, while autonomous vehicles can drive at normal speeds using sensors. The difference in driving speeds between the two vehicles creates a mismatch in traffic flow, and the risk of congestion and accidents is likely to increase. It is necessary to analyze the impact of the interaction between autonomous vehicles and regular vehicles on traffic safety in advance and develop management measures to mitigate it. In this study, we aim to analyze the effect of reducing the speed deviation between general vehicles and autonomous vehicles by providing the driving speed deceleration level information to autonomous vehicles in the event of fog to induce the same traffic flow and improve the safety level accordingly. We examined the method of delivering the driving speed deceleration level information to autonomous vehicles. When providing speed limit information to autonomous vehicles through systems such as VMS, each country has different ways of recognizing regulatory symbols. Due to these differences, it may not be easy to provide regulatory information to overseas vehicles through external systems such as VMS in Korea. For this reason, there is a possibility that autonomous vehicles may violate laws and regulations by not recognizing them properly, and there are still limitations in defining the responsibility for applying laws and regulations between countries. Therefore, we adopted an information provision approach that encourages autonomous vehicles to maintain a harmonious traffic flow with regular vehicles by sharing safe driving speed information to be encouraged at the public center level. To analyze the effectiveness of these safe driving speed management measures, we used a quantitative indicator, the number of observable conflicts, to distinguish the mixing ratio of regular vehicles and autonomous vehicles. The analysis was divided into early (30%), mid (50%), and late (80%) periods of autonomous vehicle introduction. As a result of giving autonomous vehicles the same traffic flow as regular vehicles, the number of collisions decreased by 128 collisions/hour in the early period, 393 collisions/hour in the mid period, and 337 collisions/hour in the late period. This indicates that the interaction between autonomous vehicles and conventional vehicles becomes more complex as the mixing ratio increases, and the effectiveness of the safe speed management measures proposed in this study increases accordingly. These results can be used as an important basis for transportation policy and design.
This study aims to evaluate traffic safety facilities in school zones in Busan Metropolitan City through Importance-Performance Analysis. This study investigated the traffic safety facilities in nine school zones, which have relatively more traffic accidents in Busan Metropolitan City from 2020 to 2022, through a field study and an Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP). It identified their performance(i.e., compliance rate) and importance to derive measures for the improvement of traffic safety facilities in school zones. The field study showed that the compliance rate of starting points among traffic safety signs was low, and no speed limits were complied with the installation regulations among traffic road markings, but road safety facilities were generally well managed and operated. As a result of AHP, the order of importance was road safety facilities, traffic safety signs, and traffic road markings. More specifically, speed bumps, safety signs, and crosswalks were found to be more important than others in road safety facilities, traffic safety signs, and traffic road markings, respectively. Importance- Performance(compliance) Analysis revealed that the traffic safety facilities necessary to be most urgently improved are starting points. This result can be resorted to underlying measures to determine priorities for installing and operating traffic safety facilities in school zones.
This study evaluated the short- and long-term prediction performances of a transformer-based trajectory-forecasting model for urban intersections. While a previous study focused on developing the basic structure of a transformer model for future trajectory prediction, the present study aimed to determine a practical prediction sequence length. To this end, multiple transformer models were trained with output sequence lengths ranging from 1 s to 10 s, and their performances were compared. The trajectory data used for training were generated through a microscopic traffic simulation, and the model accuracy was assessed using the metrics average displacement error (ADE) and final displacement error (FDE). The results demonstrate that the prediction accuracy decreases significantly when the output trajectory length exceeds 3 s. Specifically, straight-driving trajectories exhibit rapidly increasing errors, while turning trajectories maintained a relatively stable accuracy. In contrast, for turning-driving trajectories, prediction errors increased sharply during short-term forecasting, but the increase was more gradual in long-term forecasts. Additionally, the long-term prediction models produced higher errors even in the initial 1-second outputs, implying a tendency toward conservative inference under uncertain future scenarios. This conservative behavior is likely influenced by the model’s effort to minimize the overall loss across a broader prediction window, especially when trained with Smooth L1 loss function. This study provides practical insights into model design for edge-computing environments and contributes to the development of reliable short-term trajectory prediction systems for urban ITS applications.