2024년 기준으로 서울특별시의 자전거 이용률과 자전거 도로 인프라가 모두 증가하는 경향을 보이고 있는 반면 자전거 사고건수 및 자전거 사고로 인한 사망자수와 중상자수는 매년 감소하고 있는 추세를 보이고 있어 현행 자전거 관련 안전 정책이 어느 정도 실효성 이 있음을 시사한다. 그러나 중상 및 사망사고는 여전히 지속적으로 발생하고 있어 이에 대한 효과적인 정책이 필요한 상황이지만 현 재 국내 자전거 안전 정책은 사고 예방에만 집중되어 있어 사고의 특성을 종합적으로 반영하지 못한다는 큰 문제점이 있다. 이에 본 연구는 서울특별시 자전거 사고 데이터를 기반으로 자전거 도로 유형별로 서로 다른 값의 가중치를 부여하여 자전거 도로 자체의 특 성을 반영한 사고 심각도를 산출하고, 사고 심각도와 사고 건수를 각각 표준화하여 단위를 통일한 후 이를 통합한 종합적 사고 위험 도 점수를 도출하는 방법론을 사용하였다. 본 연구의 목적은 실제 서울특별시의 공유자전거 사고데이터를 활용하여 자전거 도로 유형 에 따라 사고 심각도와 사고 건수를 종합적으로 고려한 사고 위험도 지표를 개발하는 방법론을 제안하고, 이를 자전거 위험도 분석 및 도로 유형별 맞춤형 안전 대책 마련을 위한 정책적 근거로 제공할 수 있도록 그 기준을 검토하는 것이다. 데이터수집의 경우, 2021 년~2023년 3년간 서울특별시에서 발생한 자전거 교통사고 데이터와 자전거 교통사고가 발생하는 지점의 도로 유형, 경사, 노면상태 등 자전거 도로 인프라 자체적 특성과 자전거 사고 발생 시 기상상황 등 환경적 특성이 포함된 자전거 사고 발생 도로환경요인 데이터를 확보하였다 분석방법론의 경우, 자전거 교통사고에 영향을 미치는 다양한 요인들을 계층적으로 고려하기 위한 방법론인 Hierarchical Modeling을 적용하였으며, 3개의 계층으로 구성된 프레임워크를 구축하여 사고 심각도, 자전거 도로 유형별 사고 심각도를 반영한 공 간 위험도, 종합적 사고 위험도 점수를 체계적으로 도출하였다. Level 1에서는 사고 데이터를 기반으로 사고 심각도를 정량화하고, 도 로 유형에 따른 가중치를 적용하여 사고 심각도를 평가하였다. Level 2에서는 MCAR(Model for Conditional Autoregressive Effects) 모델 을 활용하여 시공간적 상관성을 반영하고, 이를 바탕으로 도로 유형별 사고 심각도를 조정하였다. Level 3에서는 Level 2에서 도출된 도로 유형별 사고 심각도 점수에 사고 발생 빈도를 반영하여 최종적인 종합 사고 위험도 점수를 산출하고, 안전 정책 적용이 시급한 지점을 도출하였다. 향후에는 머신러닝 기반의 예측 모델을 활용하여 도출된 종합적 사고 위험도 점수와 비교 분석할 예정이다.

The fishing industry is globally recognized as a high-risk sector with substantial safety challenges. This study analyzes Norway's fishing vessel safety management legislation and risk management practices. The goal is to derive insights that can enhance South Korea's safety management for fishing vessels. Norway has established a culture of safety through regular inspections, mandatory safety training, the implementation of safety management systems, and active involvement of fishermen in risk assessments. These measures have significantly reduced maritime accidents. This study suggests incorporating effective elements of Norway’s safety management into the South Korean context, emphasizing a participatory approach that actively involves fishers.

본 연구에서는 ALOHA와 Bow-tie를 활용하여 메탄올 추진 선박의 저장 탱크가 울산항에서의 누출 시나리오를 가정하여 위험도 평가하였다. ALOHA를 이용하여 대안 및 최악의 시나리오를 산정하여 피해 범위를 예측하였다. 독성 영향 범위의 결과(ERPG-2 기준)로는 대안(629m), 최악(817m)로 육상 탱크 터미널의 부두 시설 및 거주 지역까지 포함되는 것으로 확인되었다. 인화성 영향 범위(LEL 10% 기준) 는 대안(126m), 최악(218m) 선박에서만 발생하였으며, 열복사 영향 범위(5.0kW/m2 기준)는 대안(56m), 최악(56m)로 선박에서만 영향을 미쳤 다. 또한, 전문가 집단을 구성하여 Bow-tie 기법을 통하여 예방 대책과 완화 대책을 평가하였다. 대책 유형 분류에서는 Hardware와 Human 으로 구분되었으며, 안전 유효성과 위험 심각성의 결과에서는 “Gas Freeing System”, “Ventilation System”, “Fire-Fighting System이 가장 높은 평가를 받았다. 위의 평가를 토대로 위험도 평가를 도식화하였다.

In the context of the Ministry of Environment’s 2022 Climate Change Adaptation Plan for Public Institutions, public sewage treatment plants are one of the important targets for climate change response aimed at sustainable water management. In this study, it is applied a modified methodology to four water regeneration centers (public sewage treatment facilities) in charge of sewage treatment in Seoul to analyze the impacts and risks of climate change and discuss priorities for adaptation measures. The results of the study showed that heavy rains, heat waves, and droughts will be the key impacts of climate change, and highlighted the need for measures to mitigate these risks, especially for facility managers.

This study proposes a methodology for the regional seismic risk assessment of structural damage to buildings in Korea based on evaluating individual buildings, considering inconsistency between the administrative district border and grid lines to define seismic hazard. The accuracy of seismic hazards was enhanced by subdividing the current 2km-sized grids into ones with a smaller size. Considering the enhancement of the Korean seismic design code in 2005, existing seismic fragility functions for seismically designed buildings are revised by modifying the capacity spectrum according to the changes in seismic design load. A seismic risk index in building damage is defined using the total damaged floor area considering building size differences. The proposed seismic risk index was calculated for buildings in 29 administrative districts in 'A' city in Korea to validate the proposed assessment algorithm and risk index. In the validation procedure, sensitivity analysis was performed on the grid size, quantitative building damage measure, and seismic fragility function update.

In this study, in order to establish a strategy for developing an fire following earthquake risk assessment method that can utilize domestic public databases(building datas, etc.), the method of calculating the ignition and fire-spread among the fire following earthquake risk assessment methodologies proposed by past researchers is investigated After investigating and analyzing the methodology used in the HAZUS-MH earthquake model in the United States and the fire following earthquake risk assessment methodology in Japan, based on this, a database such as a domestic building data utilized to an fire following earthquake risk assessment method suitable for domestic circumstances (planned) was suggested.

This study aims to present a method to evaluate the relative risk of failure due to liquefaction of domestic small to medium-sized earthfill dams with a height of less than 15 m, which has little information on geotechnical properties. Based on the results of previous researches, a series of methods and procedures for estimating the probability of dam failure due to liquefaction, which calculates the probability of liquefaction occurrence of the dam body, the amount of settlement at the dam crest according to the estimation of the residual strength of the dam after liquefaction, the overtopping depth determined from the amount of settlement at the dam crest, and the probability of failure of the dam due to overtopping was explicitly presented. To this end, representative properties essential for estimating the probability of failure due to the liquefaction of small to medium-sized earthfill dams were presented. Since it is almost impossible to directly determine these representative properties for each of the target dams because it is almost impossible to obtain geotechnical property information, they were estimated and determined from the results of field and laboratory tests conducted on existing small to medium-sized earthfill dams in previous researches. The method and procedure presented in this study were applied to 12 earthfill dams on a trial basis, and the liquefaction failure probability was calculated. The analysis of the calculation results confirmed that the representative properties were reasonable and that the overall evaluation procedure and method were effective.

최근 해상풍력발전단지 등의 구조물 설치를 추진하는 사업이 증가하고 있는 추세이며, 이러한 해상장해물의 설치는 인근 해역 을 통항하는 선박에게 영향을 미칠 수 있다. 이에 본 연구는 통항로 내 장해물에 따라 통항하는 선박에게 주는 위험도를 정량적으로 평가 하는 것이 목적이다. 이를 위해 위험도에 영향을 미치는 파라미터를 선정하고, 파라미터를 기반으로 시나리오를 설정하였다. 본 연구는 위험도 평가 모델인 ES 모델을 통해 시나리오 평가를 실시하였으며, 장해물의 크기가 커지고, 장해물과의 이격거리가 커지고, 통항 속력 이 느리고, 통항량이 증가할수록 위험 비율이 높아짐을 확인하였다. 또한, 교통흐름 방향이 지정된 경우에 일반적인 교통흐름에 비해 낮 은 위험 비율을 보임을 파악하였다. 본 연구는 수행된 시나리오 결과를 기반으로 일반화 모형을 제시하여 다대포 해상풍력발전단지에 적 용하였으며, 일반화 모형을 통해 대략적인 위험 비율을 추정하는 것이 가능함을 나타냈다. 본 연구에서 제시된 일반화 모형은 해상장해물 설치에 있어 사전 참고자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

In this study, dual drainage system based runoff model was established for W-drainage area in G-si, and considering the various rainfall characteristics determined using Huff and Mononobe methods, the degree of flooding in the target area was analyzed and the risk was compared and analyzed through the risk matrix method. As a result, the Monobe method compared to the Huff method was analyzed to be suitable analysis for flooding of recent heavy rain, and the validity of the dynamic risk assessment considering the weight of the occurrence probability as the return period was verified through the risk matrix-based analysis. However, since the definition and estimating criteria of the flood risk matrix proposed in this study are based on the return period for extreme rainfall and the depth of flooding according to the results of applying the dual drainage model, there is a limitation in that it is difficult to consider the main factors which are direct impact on inland flooding such as city maintenance and life protection functions. In the future, if various factors affecting inland flood damage are reflected in addition to the amount of flood damage, the flood risk matrix concept proposed in this study can be used as basic information for preparation and prevention of inland flooding, as well as it is judged that it can be considered as a major evaluation item in the selection of the priority management area for sewage maintenance for countermeasures against inland flooding.

In this study, dual drainage system based runoff model was established for W-drainage area in G-si, and considering the various rainfall characteristics determined using Huff and Mononobe methods, the degree of flooding in the target area was analyzed and the risk was compared and analyzed through the risk matrix method. As a result, the Monobe method compared to the Huff method was analyzed to be suitable analysis for flooding of recent heavy rain, and the validity of the dynamic risk assessment considering the weight of the occurrence probability as the return period was verified through the risk matrix-based analysis. However, since the definition and estimating criteria of the flood risk matrix proposed in this study are based on the return period for extreme rainfall and the depth of flooding according to the results of applying the dual drainage model, there is a limitation in that it is difficult to consider the main factors which are direct impact on inland flooding such as city maintenance and life protection functions. In the future, if various factors affecting inland flood damage are reflected in addition to the amount of flood damage, the flood risk matrix concept proposed in this study can be used as basic information for preparation and prevention of inland flooding, as well as it is judged that it can be considered as a major evaluation item in the selection of the priority management area for sewage maintenance for countermeasures against inland flooding.

Recently, advanced countries assessment the risk of fire to prevent large-scale damage to high-rise buildings, In addition, performance-Based design, which is a fire risk assessment, is being conducted in Korea to prevent massive damage to high-rise buildings. However, unlike advanced countries, fire risk assessment in Korea is subject to fire risk assessment only for objects subject to consent from fire-fighting facilities such as building permits, When building engineers and fire-fighting engineers assessment the risk of fire, It has always been discussed because the results vary depending on which part of the evaluation is focused between economic feasibility and safety. Therefore, in this study, we would like to propose a fire risk assessment process suitable for domestic conditions by comparing the process of performance-based design, which is a domestic fire risk assessment, and the process of Iso/TC 16732 which is an overseas fire risk assessment.

Tuna fisheries were applied to an integrated ecosystem-based fishery risk assessment method using indexes of target species status, inhabited species in a target ecosystem, habitat quality and socio-economic benefit of affected fisheries. This study suggested more effective and efficient management measures to break away from traditional management methods, such as limitation of catch and fishing effort. The results presented that the objective risk index (ORIS) on sustainability of bigeye and yellowfin tunas by purse seine fishery was estimated high due to the high catch ratio of small fishes. The ORIs of biodiversity (ORIB) and habitat quality (ORIH) of purse seine fishery were also estimated at a high level from using fish-aggregating devices (FAD). However, due to skipjack tuna’s high catches, the ORI of socio-economic benefit (ORIE) was estimated at a very low level. Due to the high bycatch rate, ORIB was high, and ORIS and ORIH were evaluated at a low level in longline fishery. Due to strengthern of fishing restrictions and increase of fishing costs, the ORIE was assessed to be very high. The ecosystem risk index (ERI) for two tuna fisheries was assessed low, but the overall FAD management by purse seine fishery is necessary at the ecosystem level.

In seismic design standards such as KDS 41 17 00 and ASCE 7, three procedures are provided to estimate seismic demands: equivalent lateral force (ELF), response spectrum analysis (RSA), and response history analysis (RHA). In this study, two steel special moment frames (SMFs) were designed with ELF and RSA, which have been commonly used in engineering practice. The collapse probabilities of the SMFs were evaluated according to FEMA P695 methodology. It was observed that collapse probabilities varied significantly in accordance with analysis procedures. SMFs designed with RSA (RSA-SMFs) had a higher probability of collapse than SMFs designed with ELF (ELFSMFs). Furthermore, RSA-SMFs did not satisfy the target collapse probability specified in ASCE 7-16 whereas ELF-SMFs met the target probability.