In this study, a drifting test using a experimental vessel (2,966 tons) in the northern waters of Jeju was carried out for the first time in order to obtain the fundamental data for drift. During the test, it was shown that the average leeway speed and direction by GPS position were 0.362 m/s and 155.54° respectively and the leeway rate for wind speed was 8.80%. The analysis of linear regression modes about leeway speed and direction of the experimental vessel indicated that wind or current (i.e. explanatory variable) had a greater influence upon response variable (e.g. leeway speed or direction) with the speed of the wind and current rather than their directions. On the other hand, the result of multiple regression model analysis was able to predict that the direction was negative, and it was demonstrated that predicted values of leeway speed and direction using an experimental vessel is to be more influential by current than wind while the leeway speed through variance and covariance was positive. In terms of the leeway direction of the experimental vessel, the same result of the leeway speed appeared except for a possibility of the existence of multi-collinearity. Then, it can be interpreted that the explanatory variables were less descriptive in the predicted values of the leeway direction. As a result, the prediction of leeway speed and direction can be demonstrated as following equations. However, many drift tests using actual vessels and various drifting objects will provide reasonable estimations, so that they can help search and rescue fishing gears as well.
Identifying the water circulation status is one of the indispensable processes for watershed management in an urban area. Recently, various water circulation models have been developed to simulate the water circulation, but it takes a lot of time and cost to make a water circulation model that could adapt the characteristics of the watershed. This paper aims to develop a water circulation state estimation model that could easily calculate the status of water circulation in an urban watershed by using multiple linear regression analysis. The study watershed is a watershed in Seoul that applied the impermeable area ratio in 1962 and 2000. And, It was divided into 73 watersheds in order to consider changes in water circulation status according to the urban characteristic factors. The input data of the SHER(Similar Hydrologic Element Response) model, a water circulation model, were used as data for the urban characteristic factors of each watershed. A total of seven factors were considered as urban characteristic factors. Those factors included annual precipitation, watershed area, average land-surface slope, impervious surface ratio, coefficient of saturated permeability, hydraulic gradient of groundwater surface, and length of contact line with downstream block. With significance probabilities (or p-values) of 0.05 and below, all five models showed significant results in estimating the water circulation status such as the surface runoff rate and the evapotranspiration rate. The model that was applied all seven urban characteristics factors, can calculate the most similar results such as the existing water circulation model. The water circulation estimation model developed in this study is not only useful to simply estimate the water circulation status of ungauged watersheds but can also provide data for parameter calibration and validation.
While the vehicle has a wide front view, making it easy to recognize obstacles while driving, the rear side has a narrow view and the inconvenience of having to turn its head to check. A side mirror developed to address this discomfort is mounted outside the front door of a passenger car and used to identify rear objects. In this study, heat transfer analysis was performed and analyzed in order to obtain optimal defrost conditions using regression analysis method for removing mirror condensation and frost. As a result of this study, the coefficient of determination, R2, which represents the regression to the total variation through regression analysis, showed a good reliability of 85.3%. Comparing the predicted and interpreted values of the maximum temperature distribution in the regression equation established in this study, it was included in the 95% confidence interval, enabling the prediction of the maximum temperature distribution over the heat conduction time.
The prediction of Jominy hardness curves and the effect of alloying elements on the hardenability of boron steels (19 different steels) are investigated using multiple regression analysis. To evaluate the hardenability of boron steels, Jominy end quenching tests are performed. Regardless of the alloy type, lath martensite structure is observed at the quenching end, and ferrite and pearlite structures are detected in the core. Some bainite microstructure also appears in areas where hardness is sharply reduced. Through multiple regression analysis method, the average multiplying factor (regression coefficient) for each alloying element is derived. As a result, B is found to be 6308.6, C is 71.5, Si is 59.4, Mn is 25.5, Ti is 13.8, and Cr is 24.5. The valid concentration ranges of the main alloying elements are 19 ppm < B < 28 ppm, 0.17 < C < 0.27 wt%, 0.19 < Si < 0.30 wt%, 0.75 < Mn < 1.15 wt%, 0.15 < Cr < 0.82 wt%, and 3 < N < 7 ppm. It is possible to predict changes of hardenability and hardness curves based on the above method. In the validation results of the multiple regression analysis, it is confirmed that the measured hardness values are within the error range of the predicted curves, regardless of alloy type.
본 연구에서는 서울지역의 지상 미세먼지(PM2.5) 농도를 산출하기 위하여 경험적인 모델들을 개발하였다. 연구에 이용한 자료는 2012년 1월 1일부터 2013년 12월 31일까지이며 Terra와 Aqua위성의 MODIS센서에서 산출되는 에어로 졸 광학두께, 옹스트롬 지수, 기상변수들과 행성경계층두께와 관련된 6개의 다중 선형 회귀모델들의 차이를 분석하였다. 그 결과 에어로졸 광학두께와 옹스트롬 지수, 상대습도, 풍속, 풍향, 행성경계층두께, 기온 자료를 입력 자료로 사용한 M6모델이 가장 좋은 결과를 보였다. 통계적인 분석에 따르면 M6 모델을 사용하여 계산된 PM2.5와 관측된 PM2.5농도 사 이의 결과는 상관계수(R=0.62)와 평균제곱근오차(RMSE=10.70 μg m−3)이다. 또한 산출된 계절별 지표면 PM2.5농도는 여름철(R=0.38)과 겨울철(R=0.56)보다 봄(R=0.66)과 가을철(R=0.75)에 상대적으로 더 좋은 상관 관계를 보였다. 이러한 결과는 에어로졸 광학두께의 계절별 관측 특성으로 인한 것으로써 다른 계절에 비하여 여름과 겨울철 에어로졸 광학두께 관측이 구름과 눈/얼음 표면에 의한 관측 제한과 오차를 가져온 것으로 분석되었다. 따라서 본 연구에서 사용한 경 험적 다중선형회귀 모델은 위성에서 산출된 에어로졸 광학두께 자료가 지배적인 변수로 작용하며 PM2.5산출 결과들을 향상시키기 위해서는 추가적인 기상 변수를 이용해야 할 것이다. 또한 경험적 다중선형회귀 모델을 이용하여 PM2.5를 산출한 결과는 인공위성 자료로부터 대기환경 감시를 가능하게 하는 방법이 될 수 있어 유용할 것이다.
국내 수출입 물동량의 증가와 해운산업의 발달에 따라 항만시설물의 사용빈도 또한 증가 추세에 있으나, SOC의 해운항만 부문의 투입 정부예산은 감축되어 왔다. 증가하는 사용빈도에 반하여 줄고 있는 예산으로 인해 항만시설물의 체계적이고 효율적인 유지관리 및 운영이 필요하다. 효율적인 유지관리 시스템 구축을 위해서 항만시설물이 위치한 지역, 구조물의 형태 및 취급화종, 시공 및 유지관리 수준과 같은 특성을 고려한 열화모델 개발이 필요하다. 항만시설물의 열화모델 개발은 시설물의 열화요인 분석과 열화데이터 수집 및 열화 모델 개발의 과정으로 수행하였다. 열화 모델 개발기법은 변수 특성에 따른 시간 의존적 상태변화를 반영할 수 있는 결정론적 방법인 다중 회귀분석과 변동성이 큰 자료들의 상태이력을 반영할 수 있는 확률론적 방법인 마코브 체인 이론을 이용하였다. 각 방법을 통해 잔교식 구조물과 블록식 구조물의 Project level의 상태 열화모델을 제시하였다.
In this paper, we investigate how the power consumption of a heat pump dryer depends on various factors in the drying process by analyzing variables that affect the power consumption. Since there are in general many variables that affect the power consumption, for a feasible analysis, we utilize the principal component analysis to reduce the number of variables (or dimensionality) to two or three. We find that the first component is correlated positively to the entrance temperature of various devices such as compressor, expander, evaporator, and the second, negatively to condenser. We then model the power consumption as a multiple regression with two and/or three transformed variables of the selected principal components. We find that fitted value from the multiple regression explains 80~90% of the observed value of the power consumption. This results can be applied to a more elaborate control of the power consumption in the heat pump dryer.
The purpose of this report is to discuss the obtained findings gathered from ultrasound screenings of the liver. After running diagnostic tests health, screens were then conducted to analyze and compare the gained results. This data was then charted and used to strengthen our theorized hypothesis. From January 2013 to June 2013 a recorded 2906 people over the age of 20 visited Health Promotion Centers in various areas throughout Daejeon. Of those 2906 participants 1789 underwent screenings for abdominal ultrasonography; these participants as well as their ultrasound results were used as the bases of our study. For the establishment of our baseline and the comparison of our results, we gathered case-controlled studies from various reputable sources. Both the control and the experimental groups were tested to measure the following liver enzymes (AST, ALT, r-GTP, ALP, and etc.). Kidney functions were measured as well enzymes such as BUN, Creatinine, and Uric Acids levels were analyzed and recorded to see if any relationships existed between the levels documented in the liver and those in the kidneys. It was shown that the two primary causes of fat build up within the liver were significantly connected to obesity BMI(OR=4.14) and waist circumference(OR=3.88).
Multivariate control charts are widely needed to monitor the production processes in various industry. Among the several multivariate control charts, control chart have been used of the typical technique. The control chart shows a statistic that represents observed variables and monitors the process through the statistic. In this case, the statistic generally have the limit that any variables affect to that statistic. To solve this problem, some studies have been progressed in the meantime. The representative method is to disassemble total statistic into each of the variable value and make a decision the parameters with large values than threshold value as a main cause. However, the means is requested to follow the normal distribution. To settle this problem, the bootstrap technique that don't be needed the probability distribution was introduced in 2011. In this paper, I introduced the detection technique of the fault variables using multiple regression analysis. There are two advantages; First, it is possible to use less samples than the ascertainment technique applying to bootstrap. Second, the technique using the regression analysis is easy to apply to the actual environment because the global threshold value is used.
In the ALC(Autoclaved lightweight concrete) manufacturing process, if the pre-cured semi-cake is removed after proper time is passed, it will be hard to retain the moisture and be easily cracked. Therefore, in this research, we took the research by multiple regression analysis to find relationship between variables for the prediction the hardness that is the control standard of the removal time. We study the relationship between Independent variables such as the V/T(Vibration Time), V/T movement, expansion height, curing time, placing temperature, Rising and C/S ratio and the Dependent variables, the hardness by multiple regression analysis. In this study, first, we calculated regression equation by the regression analysis, then we tried phased regression analysis, best subset regression analysis and residual analysis. At last, we could verify curing time, placing temperature, Rising and C/S ratio influence to the hardness by the estimated regression equation.
Wastewater treatment plant(WWTP) has been recognized as a high energy consuming plant. Usually many WWTPs has been operated in the excessive operation conditions in order to maintain stable wastewater treatment. The energy required at WWTPs consists of various subparts such as pumping, aeration, and office maintenance. For management of energy comes from process operation, it can be useful to operators to provide some information about energy variations according to the adjustment of operational variables. In this study, multiple regression analysis was used to establish an energy estimation model. The independent variables for estimation energy were selected among operational variables. The R2 value in the regression analysis appeared 0.68, and performance of the electric power prediction model had less than ±5% error.
본 연구에서는 다중회귀분석을 이용하여 산악효과를 야기하는 지형인자와 강수와의 관계를 파악하였다. 섬 전체가 산악지형인 제주도의 연평균강수량과 지수홍수법으로 산출한 확률강우량을 강수자료로 사용하여 산악효과를 야기하는 지형인자로 선정한 고도, 위 경도와 회귀모형을 구성하였다. 회귀분석 결과 연평균강수량과 고도와의 선형관계가 확률강우량에서도 동일하게 나타났으며, 고도이외에 위도, 경도를 각각 추가인자로 고려할 경우 강우량과 더욱 강한 상관성을 보였다. 또한,
본 연구는 저수량 지역 빈도분석(regional low flow frequency analysis)을 수행하기 위하여 일반최소자승법(ordinary least squares method)을 이용한 Bayesian 다중회귀분석을 적용하였으며, 불확실성측면에서의 효과를 탐색하기 위하여 Bayesian 다중회귀분석에 의한 추정치와 t 분포를 이용하여 산정한 일반 다중회귀분석의 추정치의 신뢰구간을 비교분석하였다. 각 재현기간별 비교결과를 보면 t 분포를 이용하
Air quality monitoring data and meteorology data which had collected from 1995. 1. to 1999. 2. in six areas of Daegu, Manchondong, Bokhyundong, Deamyungdong, Samdukdong, Leehyundong and Nowondong, were investigated to determine the distribution and characteristic of ozone. A equation of multiple regression was suggested after time series analysis of contribution factor and meteorology factor were investigated during the day which had high concentration of ozone.
The results show the following; First, 63.6% of high ozone concentration days, more than 60 ppb of ozone concentration, were in May, June and September. The percentage of each area showed that; Manchondong 14.4%, Bokhyundong 15.4%, Deamyungdong 15.6%, Samdukdong 15.6%, Leehyundong 17.3% and Nowondong 21.6%.
Second, correlation coefficients of ozone, SO2, TSP, NO2 and CO showed negative relationship; the results were respectively -0.229, -0.074, -0.387, -0.190(p<0.01), and humidity were -0.677. but temperature, amount of radiation and wind speed had positive relationship; the results were respectively 0.515, 0.509, 0.400(p<0.01).
Third, R2 of equation of multiple regression at each area showed that; Nowondong 45.4%, Lee hyundong 77.9%, Samdukdong 69.9%, Daemyungdong 78.8%, Manchondong 88.6%, Bokhyundong 77.6%. Including 1 hour prior ozone concentration, R2 of each area was significantly increased; Nowondong 75.2%, Leehyundong 89.3%, Samdukdong 86.4%, Daemyungdong 88.6%, Manchondong 88.6%, Bokhyundong 88.0%. Using equation of multiple regression, There were some different R2 between predicted value and observed value; Nowondong 48%, Leehyundong 77.5%, Samdukdong 58%, Daemyungdong 73.4%, Manchondong 77.7%, Bokhyundong 75.1%. R2 of model including 1 hour prior ozone concentration was higher than equation of current day; Nowondong 82.5%, Leehyundong 88.3%, Samdukdong 80.7%, Daemyungdong 82.4%, Manchondong 87.6%, Bokhyundong 88.5%.
Statistical SO_2 forecasting technique by multiple regression analysis was designed and developed to predict SO_2 concentration in Wonju City.
SO_2 concentration data measured from air pollution monitoring system and meteorological factors data such as : wind speed, atmospheric stability, surface temperature, relative humidity and precipitation were used in Wonju City during the 1996∼1997.
As the results, correlation model for forecasting was well fitted with some parameters including minimum temperature, wind speed and the SO_2 concentration of the previous day.
In rural planning, the cost estimation of project is a key factor for planning. Therefore, development of reliable cost estimation method is essential. Recently, new techniques are suggested for determination of project cost using historical cost data. In this study, a multiple-regression analysis was used to determine the cost of the farm land consolidation. The results demonstrated that multiple regression analysis using historical cost data can be applicable to project cost estimation.