PURPOSES : This study aimed to predict the number of future COVID-19 confirmed cases more accurately using public and transportation big data and suggested priorities for introducing major policies by region. METHODS : Prediction analysis was performed using a long short-term memory (LSTM) model with excellent prediction accuracy for time-series data. Random forest (RF) classification analysis was used to derive regional priorities and major influencing factors. RESULTS : Based on the daily number of COVID-19 confirmed cases from January 26 to December 12, 2020, as well as the daily number of confirmed cases in Gyeonggi Province, which was expected to occur on December 24 and 25, depending on social distancing, the accuracy of the LSTM artificial neural network was approximately 95.8%. In addition, as a result of deriving the major influencing factors of COVID-19 through random forest classification analysis, according to the number of people, social distancing stages, and masks worn, Bucheon, Yongin, and Pyeongtaek were identified as regions expected to be at high risk in the future. CONCLUSIONS : The results of this study can help predict pandemics such as COVID-19.

자율주행에 관한 관심은 전 세계적으로 증가하고 있으며, 글로벌 자동차 제조사들과 기술기업들이 자율주행 분야에 대한 투자를 늘 리고 있어 향후 자동차 산업과 교통체계 전반에 큰 변화가 전망된다. 이처럼 자율주행 관련 연구와 개발은 끊임없이 진보하고 있으며, 관련 연구 수행은 계속해서 이루어질 것으로 보인다. 연구 수행에 있어 동향 파악은 필수 요소이며, 본 연구에서는 국내 자율주행 연 구 동향을 분석하고자 한다. 연구 동향을 분석한 다양한 분야의 선행연구 검토 결과, 각각 연구 목적에 맞는 다양한 데이터베이스를 이용하여 데이터를 수집하였으며 연구 주제어 혹은 초록을 분석데이터로 활용하였음을 확인하였다. 자율주행 연구 동향에 대해 분석 한 선행연구 검토 결과, 기존 연구들은 분야를 구분하지 않고 연구를 수집·분석하였음을 확인하였다. 자율주행은 도로, 교통, 자동차, 기계, 컴퓨터, 전자, 전기 등 다양한 분야를 포함하고 있기에 분야별 연구 동향 분석이 필요하다. 이에 본 연구에서는 도로·교통 분야 의 동향 분석을 위해 최근 5년간(2019년~2023년) 국내 도로·교통 분야 등재 학술지에 게재된 학술 논문을 대상으로 연구 동향을 분석 하였으며, 보다 많은 텍스트 데이터를 활용하기 위해 주제어가 아닌 초록을 활용하였다. 키워드 출현 빈도 분석을 통해 주요 키워드를 도출하였으며, 토픽 모델링을 통해 주요 연구주제를 도출하였다. 본 연구에서 수행한 자율주행 연구 동향 파악은 도로·교통 분야에서 향후 수행될 자율주행 연구 방향 수립에 시사점을 제공할 것이라 기대된다.

국토교통부는 2020년 '결빙 취약구간 평가 세부 배점표’에 따라, 전국의 고속국도와 일반국도를 대상으로 410개 구간의 결빙 취약구 간을 선정하였다. 그러나, 2021년 감사원의 결빙 취약구간 지정 적정성 감사 결과에서 감사원은 현재 지정ㆍ관리 중인 결빙 취약구간 및 결빙 취약구간 평가 세부 배점표의 적정성에 문제를 제기하였다. 이에, 국토교통부는 결빙 취약구간을 재지정하여 발표하였으나 그 에 대한 평가 및 지정 적정성 검증이 아직 이루어지지 않았다. 본 연구에서는 결빙 취약구간과 결빙사고 데이터의 위치정보를 수집하여 GIS(Geographic Information System) 데이터로 구축하고 맵핑(Mapping)하여 결빙 취약구간 내 결빙사고이력을 확인함으로서 결빙 취약구간의 결빙사고 예측성능을 평가하였다. 또한, 각 결빙 사고 발생지점에서 도로시설, 교통, 선형구조, 환경인자 데이터를 수집하여 분석한다. 이를 통해 결빙사고와 각 인자 간의 상관성을 파 악하고, 그 결과에 따라 결빙 취약구간 평가 세부 배점표의 평가항목 및 각 항목별 배점을 수정하고 보완함으로써 결빙 취약구간의 신뢰성을 제고한다.

In this study, an experimental analysis of noise reduction in road traffic by applying the Micro Grooving technique to concrete highway pavements is explored. Initiated in 1984 to address the aging and damage issues observed in South Korea's concrete highways, Micro Grooving is known for creating fine grooves on the cement pavement surface to increase friction, prevent hydroplaning, and inhibit ice formation, while reducing vehicle friction noise by 3∼5dB(A). It is determined from noise measurement results that the application of the Micro Grooving method can be expected to reduce roadside noise and enhance the safety of drivers' driving experience.

PURPOSES : This study is to initiated to estimate the impact of mixed traffic flow on expressway section according to the market penetration rate(MPR) of automated vehicles(AVs) using a enhanced intelligent driver model(EIDM). METHODS : To this end, microscopic traffic simulation and EIDM were used to implement mixed traffic flow on basic expressway section and simulation network was calibrated to understand the change of impact in mixed traffic flow due to the MPR of AVs. Additionally, MOEs of mobility aspects such as average speed and travel time were extracted and analyzed. RESULTS : The result of the impact of mobility MOEs by MPR and level of service indicated that 100% MPR of AVs normally affect positive impact on expressway at all level of service. However, it was analyzed that improvements in the level of service from LOS A to C are minimal until the MPR of AVs reaches 75% or higher. CONCLUSIONS : This research shows that impact of MPR of AVs using EIDM of mixed traffic flow on basic expressway. Increasing MPR of AVs affects positive impact on expressway at all level of services. However, MPR from 25% to 75% of AVs in LOS A to C shows minimal impacts. Therefore, to maximize the effectiveness of AVs, appropriate traffic operation and management strategies are necessary.

PURPOSES : This study aims to analyze the causes of pedestrian traffic accidents on community roads. METHODS : This study collected variables affecting pedestrian traffic accidents on community roads based on field surveys and analyzed them using negative binomial regression and zero-inflated negative binomial regression models. RESULTS : Model analysis results showed that the negative binomial regression model is more suitable than the zero-inflation negative binomial regression model. Additionally, the segment length (m), pedestrian volume (persons/15 min), traffic volume (numbers/15 min.), the extent of illegal parking, pedestrian-vehicle conflict ratio, and one-way traffic (one: residential, two: commercial) were found to influence pedestrian traffic accidents on community roads. Model fitness indicators, comparing actual values with predicted values, showed an MPB of 1.54, MAD of 2.57, and RMSE of 7.03. CONCLUSIONS : This study quantified the factors contributing to pedestrian traffic accidents on community roads by considering both static and dynamic elements. Instead of uniformly implementing measures, such as pedestrian priority zones and facility improvements on community roads, developing diverse strategies that consider various dynamic factors should be considered.

PURPOSES : Traffic volume, an important basic data in the field of road traffic, is collected from traffic survey equipment installed at certain locations, which sometimes results in missing traffic volume data and abnormal detection. Therefore, this study presents various missing correction techniques using traffic characteristic analysis to obtain accurate traffic volume statistics. METHODS : The fundamental premise behind the development of a traffic volume correction and prediction model is to set the corrected data as the reference value, and the traffic volume correction and prediction process for the outliers and missing values in the raw data were performed based on the set values. RESULTS : The simulation results confirmed that the algorithm combining seasonal composition, quantile AD, and aggregation techniques showed a detection performance of more than 91% compared with actual values. CONCLUSIONS : Raw data collected due to difficulties faced by traffic survey equipment will result in missing traffic volume data and abnormal detection. If these abnormal data are used without appropriate corrections, it is difficult to accurately predict traffic demand. Therefore, it is necessary to improve the accuracy of demand prediction through characteristic analysis and the correction of missing data or outliers in the traffic data.

PURPOSES : This study aims to examine actual cases of providing detour information in accidental situations such as traffic accidents and road construction through a VMS installed on national highways in metropolitan areas with alternative routes, as well as cases of simultaneously providing travel time information on parallel paths such as national and regular highways. For each case, we analyzed whether the provision of VMS traffic information leads to route changes and substantial effects. METHODS : To analyze traffic changes on the main and detour roads based on the detour information provided on traffic accidents in actual cases, the traffic volume and speed on the accident day were compared with those on the same days and at the same time of the day (regular days) based on the VDS data of the main and detour roads. Cases providing more detour information on road construction were investigated by examining three time periods: one week from construction initiation and one week before and after the construction period (regular days). The traffic volume and speed on the main road were compared based on the VDS data, and those on the detour road were compared based on data made available by private entities. Regarding the cases of simultaneously providing drivers with comparative information on travel time over parallel sections of national and regular highways, traffic situation changes in highways were analyzed in the following special traffic control periods (New Year's Day, NY Day), during which congestion is expected due to heavy traffic: before and after the provision of comparative information for 2015 New Year's Day and 2016 NY Day. RESULTS : The detour rate related to route changes based on the detour information for traffic accidents was 35%. On the detour route, the traffic volume increases as traffic from the main road is absorbed. However, the average travel speeds did not differ significantly. When further detour information regarding a road construction project was provided, the detour rate from the main road was 21%. The travel speeds were similar, except on the first day of construction. Almost no changes were observed in the first section of the detour. The speed slightly decreased in the second section but did not significantly hinder the traffic flow. When comparative traffic time information on parallel routes (national highways and expressways) was provided, the traffic volume increased to some extent after the report was provided for every case. However, the data frequency rate in the 5-min unit, which was still under the congestion speed standard (40 km/h), decreased. This indicates that traffic congestion was significantly relieved. CONCLUSIONS : Previous studies on detour rates or route changes based on VMS traffic information have focused on VMS instruments on expressways. Although their estimates were based on simulated situations, this study used actual VMS installed on national highways. In addition, this study utilizes the existing case records of national highway ITS centers, covering traffic situation monitoring, measures for accidental situations, etc., in regular times or special traffic control periods, as well as statistical data, including ITS real-time traffic information. The analysis results of this study accurately represent situations on actual roads and can be utilized to analyze future ITS operation and installation project effects.