As occurrence of gradually increasing extreme temperature events in Jeju Island, a hybrid downscaling technique that simultaneously applies by dynamical method and statistical method has implemented on design rainfall in order to reduce flood damages from severe storms and typhoons.As a result of computation, Case 1 shows a strong tendency to excessively compute rainfall, which is continuously increasing. While Case 2 showed similar trend as Case 1, low design rainfall has computed by rainfall in A1B scenario. Based on the design rainfall computation method mainly used in Preventive Disaster System through Pre-disaster Effect Examination System and Basic Plan for River of Jeju Island which are considering climatic change for selecting 50-year and 100-year frequencies. Case 3 selecting for Jeju rain gage station and Case 1 for Seogwipo rain gage station. The results were different for each rain gage station because of difference in rainfall characteristics according to recent climatic change, and the risk of currently known design rainfall can be increased in near future.
Differential scanning calorimetry of the aggregated impregnated with PCM indicates 4~10 J/g of the amount of heat storage capacity. The results show that it is considered that lightweight aggregate concrete impregnated with PCM may have thermal energy storage capacity.
In this paper, the length change of mortar substituted the crushed heavy weight waste glass as fine aggregate are evaluated. From the results, when waste glass substitution ratio increase, ASR expansion increase. However, the dry shrinkage decrease. So, the length change of mortar are significantly affected by waste glass substitution ratio.
This study dealt with the change in the clamping force of bolt in the friction joint depending on the sectional damage of bolt. Based on the study of the clamping axial force of bolt and sectional damage, clamping force of bolt was affected by sectional damage of bolt head. Thus, relationship between clamping axial force of bolt and corrosion damage of bolt should be considered for maintenance of steel structures.
In this study, tensile behavior of friction joint with high strength bolt was examined according to sectional damage of bolt which cause the reduction of clamping force in the bolt. Thus, tensile strength test was conducted for bolt joint specimen with the decreased clamping force developed by the sectional damage of bolt.
Base on Korean design code, previous design code had not considered the effect of pavement on the orthotropic steel deck, however recent design code(Limit State Design Method, 2012) allowed to consider the effect of pavement on the orthotropic steel deck, and efforts to apply the stiffness of pavement to the deck continue. Meanwhile, research on the effect of ultra thin bridge deck overlay on the orthotropic steel deck is inadequate, previous study was limited in about fatigue stress and performance between pavement layer and the orthotropic steel deck. In this study, according to changing of pavement layer stiffness application, pavement materials, pavement thickness and steel deck thickness, analysis of shear stress. In addition to base on this result, consider effectiveness of ultra-thin pavement stiffness application on the orthotropic steel deck.
This study was conducted to determine the stress response [ethological (operculum movement number (OMN)), hematological (hematocrit and hemoglobin), biochemical (glucose, cortisol and glutamic oxaloacetic transaminase (GOT))] in red spotted grouper, Epinephelus akaara during exposure of different water temperature in winter season. This species (Total length, 18.56±0.34 cm) previously maintained in water temperature of 15°C were transferred to 15, 20 and 25°C. During experimental period (7 days), OMN, hematocrit (Ht), glucose and GOT values were significantly high in 15°C when compared to 20 and 25°C. Hemoglobin value was also increased at 15°C, but no significant differences. There was no differences in cortisol levels among the temperature groups. No fish mortality was observed during the experimental period. From these results, 15°C is likely more stressful to red spotted grouper than 20°C and 25°C. These observations confirm that red spotted grouper adapts better to temperatures between 20 and 25°C during the winter season.
Centennial- to millennial-scale climate change since the last glacial needs to be revealed to improve the overall predictability of future environmental change. Special attention has been paid to short-term climate oscillations because they usually occurred rapidly enough to cause noticeable change in the average expected lifespan of human. Recently, short-term climate change during the late last glacial was successfully reconstructed from Hanon maar paleolake in Jeju island. In this study, centennial- to millennial-scale climate signals transferred via atmospheric teleconnection were detected for the first time in South Korea. Possible future presence of abrupt climate shifts such as Younger Dryas or 8.2 ka event would not seriously influence the Korean peninsula, especially not Jeju island, due to the Kuroshio warm currents. The study of climate variabilities in Korea could provide essential paleoclimatic information for the entire East Asian monsoon region since the climate of the Korean peninsula is driven significantly by coupled land-atmosphere-ocean dynamics.
The necessity of climate change adaptation has steadily increased due to the increasing meteorological disasters. The authority supports the vulnerability assessment tools for tuning the local governments’ countermeasure. However, the results by the vulnerability assessment tools have not been clear enough. The current study aims to collect and analyse a variety of raw data for proving the unclear assessments. The paper identifies climate change-vulnerable areas by overlapping the modified results and pervious results. The climate change-vulnerable areas included the regions having high impacts on meteorological disasters.
In a nutshell, the paper contributes to the identification of the vulnerable areas for the local government’s planning the provision against climate change. The local governments are obliged to establish the climate change action plan by 2015. The results of the current paper would help providing reliable data and planning the countermeasure against climate change. Korea is exposed to the climate change vulnerability such as increasing elderly population, high density of urban areas. In order to respond the climate change vulnerability efficiently, this study potentially suggests a primary research method for resolving the climate change vulnerability.
Change of weather disaster having occurred in Korea since 1960s was analyzed using newspaper articles recording objective facts and reflecting consciousness of the times. The analysis was carried out on 6 disasters: heavy rainfall, cold wave, heavy snowfall, typhoon, heat wave and drought. To focus on the events having great social impacts, articles were chosen among top articles on the front page and general page of the newspapers. Dong-A Daily News articles were sampled from 1960 to 2013, for 54 years. A total of 315 articles were analyzed, among which typhoon accounted for the largest proportion of 36%. Heavy rainfall, heavy snowfall, drought and cold wave followed typhoon, and the topics of heat wave accounted for the lowest percentage of 6%. Articles of typhoon and heavy rainfall accounted for 57%, which is more than half of all. Drought and cold wave are concentrated in the 60s to 70s, and heavy snowfall and heat wave have sharply increased since 2010, due to the tendency of global warming. Articles have decreased over time because the importance of those articles has declined as a result of social development.
본 연구에서는 황룡강 유역에 유역모델 HSPF (Hydrological Simulation Program - Fortran)를 적용하여 기후변화에 따른 오염부하 유출 변화량을 분석하였다. 황룡강 유역을 7개 소유역으로 분할하고 2011년에 관측된 유량, SS, BOD, TN, TP 농도자료를 이용하여 모델 보정 및 검정을 실시하였다. 기후변화에 따른 황룡강 유역의 환경변화를 예측하기 위해 RCP 4.5와 8.5 시나리오를 이용하였으며, 과거 기간 동안의 강우와 기온에 대한 모의치와 관측치간 월별 평균을 비교하여 미래 기상 자료에 대한 편의보정을 수행하였다. 기후변화 시나리오의 기상 자료 분석 결과, 21세기 전반기와 비교하여 중, 후반기에 상대적으로 많은 연강수량과 연평균기온을 보이는 것으로 분석되었다. 기후변화에 따른 황룡강 유역에서의 오염물질 유출량 분석 결과, RCP 4.5 시나리오에서는 2020년대 대비 2080년대에 평균 연간 강우, BOD, TN, TP 유출량이 각각 47%, 24%, 21%, 27% 증가율을 보여 21세기 후반기로 갈수록 연간 오염부하 유출량이 전반적으로 증가하는 것으로 분석되었다. RCP 8.5 시나리오에서는 2020년대 대비 2050년대에 평균 연간 강우, BOD, TN, TP 유출량이 각각 34%, 20%, 20%, 21% 증가율을 보이며 21세기 중반기에 연간 오염부하 유출량이 상대적으로 가장 많이 증가할 것으로 분석되었다. 이는 연강수량 변화와 동일한 패턴의 변화로서 기후변화에 따른 강우량 변화가 오염물질 유출량에 그대로 반영된 결과를 보여준다. 한편, 월별 오염물질 유출량은 RCP 4.5에서는 9월에, RCP 8.5에서는 2월에 상대적으로 크게 증가할 것으로 분석되었다.
본 연구에서는 여주 분말(bitter melon powder, BMP) 첨 가 청국장 발효 중 β-glucosidase 활성 변화, 총 phenolics와 isoflavone 함량, 항산화 활성 변화 및 관능평가를 조사하였 다. 청국장 발효 중 β-glucosidase 활성은 48 hr까지는 증가 한 후 72 hr에는 감소하였으며, 총 phenolics, isoflavonemalonylglycoside 및 isoflavone-aglycone 함량은 증가하였 고 이에 상응하여 항산화 활성 역시 증가하였으나, 총 isoflavone 및 isoflavone-glycoside 함량은 감소하였다. 한편, 발효종기 5% BMP 첨가 청국장은 또 다른 시료들과 비교하 여 가장 높은 항산화 활성을 나타내었다. 특히, 발효 72 hr 후 5% BMP 첨가 청국장의 총 phenolics와 daidzein 함량 및 DPPH 라디칼 소거 활성, ABTS 라디칼 소거 활성 및 환원력은 각각 13.5 mg/g, 390.57 μg/g, 90.74%, 99.79% 및 1.705(OD593 nm) 있었다. 부가적으로 여주 분말이 첨가될수 록 청국장의 이취도는 감소하였다. 이들 결과로부터 여주 분말 첨가로 기호성과 항산화 활성이 개선된 새로운 타입의 청국장 제조가 가능할 것으로 판단되었다.
슬래밍은 선체가 파도와 부딪히며 선수, 선미에서 강한 충격압력을 받아 급격한 진동이 발생되는 현상이다. 이러한 슬래밍은 사람에 게는 승선감의 불쾌감을 주고, 선체에는 구조적인 위험을 주며 화물의 안전과도 깊은 관계가 있다. 따라서 선박 설계기준에는 슬래밍에 의한 충격압력을 충분히 고려한 구조설계를 해야 한다. 본 연구에서는 자유낙하 하는 쐐기형 구조물의 중량 및 낙하높이의 변화에 따른 슬래밍 충격 압력 및 유동장의 유동특성을 알아보고자 실험을 수행하였다. 유동장의 계측은 2-프레임 그레이레벨 상호상관 PIV기법을 이용해 접수와 이수 로 구분하여 실험하였으며, 충격압력의 계측은 압력계측장비인 Dewetron System을 이용하였다. 실험에서 모델과 자유수면간 이루는 각도는 15°를 적용하였으며 이때, 중량의 변화는 1.5, 1.8 및 2.0kg이고 자유낙하높이는 100, 200 및 300mm로 하여 실험하였다. 실험값을 통한 중량의 변화에 따른 충격압력은 중량의 증가하는 것에 비례하여 충격압력 또한 증가했으며, 이러한 경향은 자유낙하 높이가 높을수록 영향을 많이 받 았다.
Purpose: The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship of stage of exercise behavior change and physical self-efficacy, gratitude, psychological well-being for young children’s parents. Methods: Using cluster sampling was adopted by the study participants who are 340 young children’s parents of kindergarten located in the P city. Frequence analysis, confirmatory factor analysis, reliability analysis, multivariate analysis of variance, correlation analysis, and structural equating model were conducted for this study. Results: First, the results of analysis of the physical self-efficacy, gratitude, psychological well-being according to stage of exercise change, showed a significant difference in the physical self-efficacy and gratitude, psychological well-being in only a sub-factors, self-acceptance and environmental mastery, there were significant differences. Second, the results of analysis causal relationship of the physical self-efficacy, gratitude and psychological well-being, physical self-efficacy to gratitude, gratitude to psychological well-bing, physical self-efficacy to psychological well-being affected all positively to each variables. And gratitude partially mediated the relationship of physical self-efficacy and psychological well-being. Conclusion: It is better for Physical Self-Efficacy, Gratitude, Psychological Well-being to be exercise more and these variables are related to each others positively.
The impacts of climate change and land use change are still causing changes in natural patterns as increase of temperature, rainfall intensity, and frequency of rainfall. Also, urbanization is well known to impact hydrology of basins because of its creation of impervious surfaces. This study has been investigated developing method being able to estimate changes of hydrological properties and assessing these changes on each city. For this study, it used three land use scenarios in 1975, 1990, and 2009 for considering impervious changes and future climate change scenario based on RCP 8.5 for impacts of climate change. Three clusters by k-means clustering method were formed by variables shown high correlations from results of Spearman’s order-rank method and Kendall Tau for various variables as rate of each land cover over area of each subwatershed on 145 subwatersheds in Nakdong River, difference of rate of land cover area and CN (Curve Number) between scenarios based on scenario in 1975, and rate of hydrological properties like rate of evaporation, surface runoff, and groundwater. An assessment method using the results from correlation and cluster analysis was developed for deriving the weighted index in accordance with sensitive degree of hydrological property and increase of impervious area. The assessment method for sensitive city applied principal component analysis (PCA) method. Results show that Daegu is greatly sensitive on impacts of hydrological property and increase of impervious area. Consequently, linear regression equations on Daegu are derived by analysis of hydrologic response unit. Urbanization appeared to increase of surface runoff and decrease of evaporation and groundwater in accordance with change of land uses, also the results are considerably important and useful in case of development and design of city.
Present day, 1.1 billion people face the lack of water; 1.3 billion people cannot access modern energy and 1.02 billion people are still starving. Meanwhile, the number of human population keeps increasing and this will induce the water, energy, and food scarcity in the future even worse. Increasing the stock or finding new alternative resources of water, energy and food individually is the most practical way to avoid the scarcity. Behind this improvement, it must be realized that these resources are connected each other. Water needs energy to be treated and distributed; in opposite way energy production requires water for cooling system or as the sources in hydropower plant. Food is in needed water and energy for growing, producing and delivering. Food can also become new energy source from biofuel but the food intensification will deteriorate water quality. Therefore, the integrated development and management, known as Water-Energy-Food (WEF) Nexus, is needed to reach the balance and optimal development.
Fulfilling the human need faces another challenge when the climate change influences the availability of these resources. Many researchers report that climate change causes increase in the earth temperature alters the rainfall pattern and magnitude which affect the safe water availability. Further, it can affect the food and energy production. Taking an inappropriate use of water, energy and food will threaten the amount of resources itself. As it is a complex and complicated interconnection, it is difficult to determine the appropriate uses solely based on human judgment. Many researchers have developed computer models to simulate the correlation between each element and aid the decision maker. Due to its complexity, most of models only focus on one or two elements such as water-energy or water-food and put other element as the secondary parameter. This study provides overview of the WEF Nexus and inter-connections among the three elements. Furthermore, we will envision a development of an evaluation model that can simulate and optimize the use of water, energy and food efficiently under the climate change condition. If succeed, this model could be a decision support system for government or stakeholder to implement a regulation related to efficient use of water, energy and food.
Future climate change is expected to raise the mean sea level of Korea by about 0.85m-1.29m. Consequently, flood damage in the coastal area would likewise increase and the scale of damage would also become much larger. Various researches have been conducted to efficiently respond to natural disasters caused by climate change. However, there haven’t been many researches related to the analysis and evaluation of coastal area flood vulnerability caused by the rise in sea level. Hence, this study selected Gilsan River basin, a branch of Geum River as the subject matter and tried to evaluate the effect of sea level rise caused by climate change on the coastal area and adjacent rivers. This study also calculated the change in water quantity in the coastal area by considering the sea level rise as well as the future precipitation according to climate change. It also prepared/compared the relevant flood inundation map. The study result showed that the overall flood level increased as the elevation of the water surface rose due to the rise in sea level. In addition, the extent of increase in flood level caused by sea level rise was greater at a location nearer the outlet and it was smaller at a place farther from the outlet. Based on this result, it could be verified that in coastal rivers, climate change can have an effect not only on the precipitation increase but also on the flood water level and flood inundation due to the rise in sea level. The result of this study could be used as basic data for creating technology that would assess the flood vulnerability of coastal urban regions and evaluate preventive measures for coastal disaster risks.
According to a recent analysis of NASA, the year 2014 now ranks as the warmest on record since 1880. Africa is widely held to be highly vulnerable to future climate change related hazards, and Ethiopia is often cited as one of the most extreme examples. The country’s economy is highly exposed to climate variability and extremes and the nature of agriculture, primarily rain-fed is sensitive to fluctuations in rainfall, which forms the basis of the economy supporting roughly 42% GDP and 85% employment. Wahlström M (2009) reported that over the last two decades (1988-2007), 76% of all disaster events were hydrological, meteorological or climatological in nature. In this review, a great concern is given for extreme conditions (flood and drought) particularly climate change related hazards and tries to look at the challenges, mitigation and policies. Climate change, drought and flood will continue to be a primary concern for many Ethiopian and even agricultural production and water supplies will become more severely diminished. Starting from 1970-1996 droughts and the resulting food shortage have affected millions and cause for the death of a significant number of people and in 2009 Ethiopia has experienced a delay in the main rainy season, particularly in northeastern areas, resulting in 50-70 % of agricultural land being sown for cropping. Ethiopia has also experienced a major flood in 1988, 1993, 1994, 1995, 1996 and 2006 and climate change, including extreme events like drought and flood affected areas will likely become more widely spread. Recently, flash floods affected big cities, including Addis Ababa and Dire Dawa (death of 300 people) and result in considerable damage to lives, livelihoods and property. Despite the hugely damaging effect that natural and man-made disasters have on Ethiopia’s economic development, little is done to prevent them. There are significant challenges to reduce climate change related hazards, but linking of climate change adaptation with disaster risk reduction and effective strategies to prevent hazards from becoming disasters and managing those disasters that do occur would make a lasting contribution to the quality of life and sustainable livelihoods. Several factors contribute to Ethiopia’s high vulnerability to disasters, but here the authors will focus on institutional frameworks and policy. There are several NGO and governmental climate change actors in Ethiopia. The country’s National Policy on Disaster Prevention and Management (NPDPM) was prepared in 1993. Ethiopia has also ratified the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and under the mechanism, a National Adaptation Program of Action (NAPA) was produced in 2001 with an ambition to identify ‘immediate and urgent’ adaptation activities that address current and anticipated adverse effects of climate change and extreme climate events. The Environmental policy of Ethiopia indicates that environmental sustainability to be recognized in policies and strategies as a key prerequisite. In line with this the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), was established and mainly assumes a regulatory role and coordinates various activities and included policy on climate change and pollution, particularly on promoting climate monitoring programs as the country is sensitive to changes in climate, identifying a firm and demonstrable commitment to the principle of containing climate change and fostering to use hydro, geothermal and solar energy to minimize an emission of greenhouse gases.
최근 극심한 기후변화로 인하여 재해기상 현상의 발생 빈도와 강도가 증가하고 있다. 우리나라의 자연재해 피해는 대부분 극한 강수 현상과 연관되어 있기 때문에 미래 재해 피해를 줄이기 위해서는 기후변화로 인한 극한 강수 현상의 변화를 정확히 예측해야 한다. 이를 위하여 본 연구에서는 지역기후모델을 이용하여 생산한 한반도 상세 기후변화 시나리오의 미래 극한 강수 지수 변화를 분석하였다. 5개의 지역기후모델로 생산한 현재 25년 실험값과 RCP8.5 기후변화 시나리오 기반의 미래 25년 실험값을 비교해 STARDEX 극한 강수 지수의 변화를 산출하였다. 지역기후모델이 모의한 격자 강수값을 230개 시군구 단위로 2중 선형 내삽한 후, 각 단위의 STARDEX 극한 강수 지수를 계산하였다. 그 결과 기상청 HadGEM3-RA 모델을 제외한 4개의 지역기후모델이 남한지역의 미래 극한 강수가 현재보다 증가한다고 예측하였는데, 특히 한반도 남부 지역에서 증가폭이 크게 나타났다. 또한 중부 지방의 가뭄지속기간이 현재보다 더욱 길어질 것으로 모의되었다. 본 연구를 통하여 산출된 미래 극한 강수 지수의 변화가 남부 지방의 집중 호우와 중부 지방의 가뭄과 같은 풍수해 대책 수립에 중요한 기초 자료로 이용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.