본 논문에서는 천리안(Communication, Ocean and Meteorological Satellite; COMS)과 TRMM(Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission)을 통하여 관측한 위성영상자료를 이용한 극치강우(Extreme Rainfall) 추정 알고리즘을 개발하였으며, 2011년 7월 집중호우를 대상으로 그 적용성을 평가하였다. TRMM/PR(TRMM/Precipitation Radar)과 AWS (Automatic Weather System) 자료를 이용하여 고도에 따른 멱급수 회귀방정식으로 Z-R관계식을 추정한 결과 Z=303R0.72를 산출하였으며, 지상관측 자료와 비교한 결과 상관계수가 0.57로 분석되었다. 이 값과 TRMM/VIRS(TRMM/Visible Infrared Scanner)와의 관계를 이용하여 극치강우 알고리즘을 개발하였으며, 천리안 위성에 적용하여 10분 강우를 추정한 결과 강우강도가 큰 경우에는 과소 추정하는 경향이, 작은 경우에는 과대 추정하는 경향이 있는 것으로 분석되었으나, 전반적인 패턴은 관측과 유사한 경향이 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 또한 이 알고리즘을 같은 센서를 이용하는 천리안 위성에 적용하여 AWS의 상관관계를 분석한 결과, 10분 강우량의 경우 상관계수는 0.517로 평균제곱근오차는 3.146으로 분석되었고, 공간상관행렬 오차의 평균은 -0.530～-0.228의 음의 상관을 보이는 것으로 분석되었다. 위성자료를 이용한 극치강우량 추정의 오차 발생 원인은 여러 가지 외부적인 요인으로 판단되며, 지속적인 알고리즘 개선 및 오차보정을 통한 정확도 개선이 필요한 것으로 사료된다. 본 연구의 결과는 추후 다양한 정지궤도 위성의 이용을 통한 다중 원격탐사 자료의 활용으로 보다 정확한 미계측 유역 수문자료 확충 및 실시간 홍수 예․경보 시스템 구축에 활용이 가능할 것으로 사료된다.

최근 기후변화로 인한 집중호우와 돌발홍수로 인한 도심지의 침수피해가 빈번하게 발생하고 있다. 특히, 인구밀도와 자산가치가 높은 도시지역에서는 침수에 따른 피해규모가 크기 때문에 이를 방지하기 위한 대책마련 등이 요구되고 있다. 이러한 도시지역 중 내륙에 위치한 도시지역과 달리 해안과 접해있는 연안 도시지역은 하천연장이 짧고 경사가 급하여, 조위에 따라 홍수위가 달라지기에 동일한 강우라도 피해가 크게 발생하는 특성을 가진다. 대표적 연안 도시인 창원(구 마산)시의 경우 지난 2003년 9월 태풍 매미로 인해 상당한 침수피해 및 인명 피해가 발생하였다. 당시 일강우량은 157mm로 창원시 하수관거의 설계강우량보다 낮았고, 창원기상관측소 확률강우량과 비교하였을 때 3년 빈도로 극단적으로 많은 호우는 아니었다. 하지만, 태풍 상륙 당시 호우와 함께 남해안의 만조 시각과 겹쳐 태풍에 의한 해일은 예측치를 훨씬 뛰어넘는 최대 439cm 에 달하여 피해가 발생하였다. 이는 단순히 집중호우 하나의 재해 요인에 따른 피해가 아닌 집중호우 발생시 만조위까지 영향을 미친 복합적인 재해발생에 의한 피해로 볼수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 1차원 도시범람해석 모형인 XP-SWMM 모형을 이용하여 2003년 9월 태풍 매미의 영향을 받아 침수피해가 발생한 마산지역 배수유역에서의 침수범람 모의를 수행하고, 유역 하류지점에서 만조위가 발생하는 경우와 발생하지 않는 경우의 유출량을 분석하여 조위의 발생 여부가 유출 및 침수에 얼마나 영향을 주는지 분석하여보았다.

The objective of this paper is compare to landuse type for calculating peak flood and soil loss in rapidly expansion urban area. This study compares two landuse maps, including numerical landuse map and aerial photograph landuse map, for calculating the ratio of urban and agriculural area, curve number, time of concentration, peak flood discharge, and soil loss. It is found that flood discharge calculated using aerial photograph landuse map are larger than that calculated using numerical landuse map, and soil loss calculated using aerial photograph landuse map are smaller than that calculated using numerical landuse map. Results also indicate that landuse chage in rapidly expansion urban area significantly influences flood discharge and soil loss.

최근 도시지역에서는 호우로 인한 침수피해가 빈번하게 발생하고 있다. 특히 치수계획 수립의 기초가 되는 확률강우량을 초과한 국지적인 집중호우는 도시지역 침수피해의 주요 원인이 된다. 따라서 강우의 지역적인 특성을 고려한 신뢰도를 향상시킨 확률강우량 산정이 요구된다. 그러나 현재의 확률강우량 산정에는 강우의 시･공간적인 특성을 고려하지 않고 기상청 강우관측소 지점의 자료를 모든 지역에 동일하게 적용하고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화 영향 및 강우의 시･공간적인 특성을 고려한 확률강우량을 예측하였다. 강우의 공간적인 특성을 고려하기 위하여 AWS의 자료를 활용하였으며, 부족한 강우자료를 확보하기 위하여 강우발생 모형인 WGR 모형을 적용하였고, 기후변화 시나리오는 RCP 4.5와 RCP 8.5를 적용하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 향후 치수대책 수립을 위한 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

The annual variations of the urban heat island in Busan is investigated using surface temperature data measured at 3 automatic weather stations(AWSs) for the 5 years period, 2006 to 2010. Similar to previous studies, the intensity of the urban heat island is calculated using the temperature difference between downtown(Busanjin, Dongnae) and suburb(Gijang). The maximum hourly mean urban heat island are 1.4℃ at Busanjin site, 2300LST and 1.6 ℃ at Dongnae site, 2100LST. It occurs more often at Dongnae than Busanjin. Also the maximum hourly mean urban heat island appears in November at both sites. The urban heat island in Busan is stronger in the nighttime than in the daytime and decreases with increasing wind speed, but it is least developed in summer. Also it partly causes the increasement of nighttime PM10 concentration.

This study is conducted to estimate the air temperature decreasing effects by restoring urban streams using WRF/CALMET coupled system. The types of land use on covered streams are constructed with the land cover map from Korea ministry of environment. Restoring covered streams changes the types of land use on covered areas to water. Two different types of land use(CASE 1 and CASE 2) are inputted to the WRF/CALMET coupled system in order to calculate the temperature difference. The results of the WRF/CALMET coupled system are similar to the observed values at automatic weather stations(AWS) in Busan area. Restoring covered streams causes temperature to be decreased by about 0.34～2℃ according to the locations of streams and the regions that temperature is reduced are widely distributed over the restored area. Reduction of temperature is increased rapidly from morning and maximus at 13LST. Natural restoration of streams will reduce the built-up area within urban. With this, temperature reductions which are the cause to weaken the urban heat island appear. Relief of urban heat island will help to improve the air quality such as accumulation of air pollutants in within urban area.

The purpose of this study is to analyze psychological and physiological effects accordance with viewing and walking in the forest and urban area. In the result of measurement of physiological reactions in nervous system, viewing of the forest had a calming effect on the nervous system by reducing blood pressure and heart rate. The other hand, viewing and walking in the urban area compared to the forest area raised stress by increasing blood pressure and heart rate. In addition, viewing in forest area was effective in stress relief by noticeable reduction of the amylase concentration. In contrast, walking in the urban area was also confirmed an increase of stress by increasing the concentration of the amylase. A viewing and walking in forest area was effective in alleviating depressed on anxiety, anger, fatigue and confusion.

본 연구는 상습침수가 발생하는 도시의 소규모유역에서 flow nomograph를 작성하여 실시간 침수예측의 적용 가능성을 평가하고자 하였다. 하수관망에 의하여 배수가 되고 있는 소규모 도시유역에 대하여 지속시간별 강우량 자료를 SWMM 모형을 이용하여 유출모의를 수행하여 상습침수지역에서의 강우량에 따른 surcharge 발생, 침수발생시점 및 침수발생 등을 확인하여 flow nomograph를 작성하였다. 작성된 노모그래프에 대하여 기존 주요호우 및 동래예보 강우에 의한 침수예측과 이들 호우사상을 SWMM에 의하여 분석하여 비교하는 방법으로 홍수경보 가능성을 확인하였다. 소규모 도시유역특성상 강우에 의한 홍수도달시간이 짧고 빠르게 침수가 발생하는 특성상 실시간 호우에 의한 충분한 침수경보의 시간확보가 쉽지 않으나 작성된 모노그래프에 의한 침수경보 예측가능성이 있는 것으로 판단되었다. 동래예보의 경우 3시간 호우를 예보하고 있어서 보다 예보시간 확보가 수월하나 강우의 시간분포의 불확실성과 예측강우의 오차에 의한 유출의 오차를 극복해야 하는 문제가 있었다. 그럼에도 소규모 유역의 침수예측은 현재의 시점에서 볼 때 진보된 실무활용성이 있다고 판단된다.

The study analyzes groundwater balance with regard to the water recharge and discharge which contain urbanization components in Suyeong-gu, Busan. It also verifies the reliability and accuracy improvement on the analysis of the balance. The result of the study is viewed as preliminary data which are useful to develop, utilize and manage groundwater. The average quantity of groundwater recharge is 6,014.1 ㎥/day in the research area during the last ten year period(from 1998 to 2007). The outflow from drainage areas to rivers and coasts is 149.3 ㎥/day, the inflow from rivers and coasts to drainage area is 439.9 ㎥/day. The use of the water is 4,243.0 ㎥/day. The outflow caused by subway in line No.2 and No.3 through Suyeong-gu and the one by building an underground electric complex is 1,500.0 ㎥/day. The leakage of water works is 6514.9 ㎥/day. The inflow and outflow of sewerage is 5082.2 ㎥/day from groundwater to sewer. The amount of groundwater recharge, the inflow from rivers and coasts to drainage area, and the leakage of water works belong to the amount of groundwater inflow and the total amount is 12,968.9 ㎥/day. The amount of outflow from drainage area to rivers and coasts, the use of groundwater, outflow by subway and underground electric complex tunnel and the amount of inflow of the water to sewerage belong to the amount of outflow of groundwater and the sum amount is 13,031.5 ㎥/day. The gap between the amount of inflow and outflow of groundwater is 62.6 ㎥/day, which is considered to reflect the trend that the short term drop in the amount of rainfall results in the amount of groundwater recharge and that the amount of outflow from drainage area to rivers and coasts decreases.

Daily living area can be delimited differently depending on what area is to be focused. Based on regional interaction, the present study empirically analyzed the difference between living areas focusing on rural area and ones relying on urban area. We established two types of living areas in Busan-Ulsan mega city with different focus areas (rural versus urban), using travel OD data (2006). According to the result, the fonn of spatial clusters in urban living area differed from that of spatial clusters in rural area; the boundaries of living area were not fit to those of administrative areas in both types; and living areas in both types tended to extend over more than two administrative areas. The results cast some implications concerning spatial planning and policy for living area delimitation. First, since the spatial structure and interconnection of urban area differs to those of rural area, it is required to delimit living areas discriminatively depending on the objectives of the spatial plan. Additionally, the living area should be established more specifically and systematically by further subdividing the form of spaces depending on the objectives and types of the plan. Second, the administrative areas should be consolidated now that the difference of boundaries of administrative and living areas lead to inconvenience of residents, increased administration costs and scale diseconomy. Lastly, the living areas should be delimited by the metropolitan or mega city planning and thus be reflected to its offsprings.

This study was conducted to investigate runoff characteristics of non-point pollutants source at the urban area in boeun area, Chungbuk Province. The monitoring site covering the watershed of 2.11 km 2 contains about 40.3 % of total watershed with the urban area. The monitoring was conducted with six events for five months and Event Mean Concentration(EMC) and Site Mean Concentration(SMC) of SS, BOD, CODMn, T-N, T-P were calculated on the result of the water quality parameters. As a result of the comparion between Arithmetic Mean Concentration and Event Mean Concentration, it showed that over all Event Mean Concentration was higher than Arithmetic Mean Concentration. And it showed that SS, BOD, T-P featured the first-flushing effect, showing relatively high concentration in early-stage storm event.

철근콘크리트의 내구성을 저하시키는 주요 원인중의 하나는 콘크리트 탄산화로 인하여 철근이 부식되는 것이다. 탄산화속도는 구조물이 위치한 환경의 이산화탄소 농도, 콘크리트 품질, 구조물의 형상 등에 의해 영향을 받게 되는데 특히, 도심지 콘크리트 구조물의 탄산화에 대한 문제가 증가되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 국내에서 광범위하게 시공된 교량구조물에 대한 실태조사를 이용하여 탄산화가 교량구조물에 미치는 영향을 파악하였다. 또한 계측결과들을 바탕으로 탄산화에 의한 구조물의 내구적 파괴확률을 신뢰성 이론을 기반으로 하여 분석하였다. 도심지 환경에 따른 탄산화의 분석결과 콘크리트 강도가 증가함에 따라 탄산화 속도가 감소하고, 교량의 사용년수가 증가함에 따라 탄산화깊이는 증가함을 보였다. 또한 신뢰성이론을 기반으로 도심지 교량의 내구적 파괴확률을 분석한 결과, 대부분의 경우 내구적 파괴확률이 10%이상으로 분석되었고, 목표내구수명을 만족하기 위해 최소 피복두께가 70-80mm이상 확보되어야 할 것으로 분석되었다.

In this study, we analyzed the impact of orographic and thermal forcing on the atmospheric flow field over the urban metropolitan areas on urban artificial buildings and future development plan. Several numerical experiments have been undertaken in order to clarify the impacts of the future development plan on urban area by analyzing practical urban ground conditions, we revealed that there were large differences in the meteorological differences in each case. The prognostic meteorological fields over complex areas of Seoul, Korea are generated by the PSU/NCAR mesoscale model(MM5). we carried out a comparative examination on the meteorological fields of topography and land-use that had building information and future development plan. A higher wind speed at daytimes tends to be forecasted when using new topography and land use data that have a high resolution with an appropriate limitation to the mixing height and the nocturnal boundary layer(NCB). During nighttime periods, since radiation cooling development is stronger after development plan, the decreased wind speed is often generated.

Aerosol physical properties have been measured at Pusan National University by using the 16-channel LPC(Laser Particle Counter), and particle characteristics have been examined for the period from Aug. 4 2007 to Dec. 30, 2008. Annual total average, seasonal average, and other averages of the meteorologically classified four categories such as Asian dust, precipitation, foggy, and clear days are respectively described here. Both annually and seasonally averaged number concentration show three peaks at the particle diameter of 0.3, 1.3, and 4㎛, respectively. However, the first peak for summer season tends to be shifted toward smaller size than other seasons, implying the strong fine particle generation. Meteorological condition shows strong contrast in aerosol concentrations. In Asian dust case, relatively lower number concentrations of fine particles(i.e., smaller than 0.5㎛) were predominant, while higher concentrations of coarse particles were found particularly for the size bigger than 0.5㎛. In precipitation day, number concentrations were decreased by approximately 30% due to the removal process of precipitation. Foggy day shows significantly higher concentrations for fine particles, implying the importance of the aerosol condensation process of micro-fine-particle growing to fine-particle. Finally the regressed particle size distribution function was fitted optimally with two log-normal distribution, and discussed the similarities and differences among four categorized cases of the Asian dust, precipitation, foggy, and clear days.

Actual evapotranspiration (AET) in the Suyeong-gu was estimated and correlations between AET and meteorological factors were analyzed. The study area was Suyeong-gu lay at the east longitude 129° 05′40″∼ 129° 08′08″ and north latitude 35° 07′59″∼ 35° 11′01″. The Kumryun mountain, the Bae mountain, the Suyeong river and the Suyeong bay are located on west, north, northeaster and south side in the study area, respectively. AET was estimated using precipitation (P), potential evapotranspiration (PET) and plant-available water coefficient. Meteorological factors to estimate PET were air temperature, dewpoint temperature, atmospheric pressure, duration of sunshine and mean wind speed (MWS). PET and AET were estimated by a method of Allen et al. (1998) and Zhang et al. (2001), respectively. PET was the highest value (564.45 mm/yr) in 2002 year, while it was the lowest value (449.95 mm/yr) in 2003 year. AET was estimated highest value (554.14 mm/yr) in 2002 year and lowest value (427.91 mm/yr) in 2003 year. Variations of PET and AET were similar. The linear regression function of AET as PET using monthly data was and coefficient of determination was high, 0.75. In order to analyze relationship between the evapotranspiration and meteorological factors, correlation analysis using monthly data were accomplished. Correlation coefficient of AET-PET was 0.96 high, but they of AET-P and PET-P were very low. Correlation coefficients of AET-MWS and PET-MWS were 0.67 and 0.73, respectively. Thus, correlation between evapotranspiration and MWS was the highest among meteorological factors in Suyong-gu. This means that meteorological factor to powerfully effect for the variation of evapotranspiration was MWS. The linear regression function of AET as MWS was and coefficient of determination was 0.54. The linear regression function of PET as MWS was and coefficient of determination was 0.45.

The relationship between air temperatures and the fraction of urban areas (FUA) and their linear regression equation were estimated using land-use data provided by the water management information system (WAMIS) and air temperatures by the Korea Meteorology Administration (KMA) in the Seoul metropolitan area (SMA) during 1975 through 2000. The future FUA in the SMA (from 2000 to 2030) was also predicted by the urban growth model (i.e., SLEUTH) in conjunction with several dataset (e.g., urban, roads, etc.) in the WAMIS. The estimated future FUA was then used as input data for the linear regression equation to estimate an annual mean minimum air temperature in the future (e.g., 2025 and 2030). The FUA in the SMA in 2000 simulated by the SLEUTH showed good agreement with the observations (a high accuracy (73%) between them). The urban growth in the SMA was predicted to increase by 16% of the total areas in 2025 and by 24% in 2030. From the linear regression equation, the annual mean minimum air temperature in the SMA increased about 0.02℃/yr and it was expected to increase up to 8.3℃ in 2025 and 8.7℃ in 2030.

In less favored areas, it is getting more difficult to manage Satoyama according to aging of rural residents and depopulation. Some support of urban residents are necessary for management of Satoyama. In this paper, the role of Satoyama management activities was clarified through the analysis of the feature of activities for managing Satoyama. The questionnaire and interview surveys were done in order to clarify the actual conditions for management of Satoyama and activities of urban residents who are participating in NPO in Hyogo Prefecture. The results of analysis are as follows. (1)The form of rural-urban exchange in Satoyama is different in each Satoyama. (2)The urban residents are contributing to the region very much on both sides of the manager and the visitor in Satoyama. (3)Many urban residents visit Satoyama for the purpose of enjoying the variety of nature and culture programs in rural area. (4)There are some urban residents who participate in activities for managing Satoyama even if Satoyama is far from their residence. So it is important for rural residents to arrange the condition that they can visit rural area without difficulty.

The urban microscale wind field around the air quality monitoring station was investigated in order to check how a building complex influences it. For this study as the high density areas Jwa-dong and Yeonsan-dong monitoring sites in Busan were chosen. As the direction of inflow which is perpendicular to the building of the monitoring station was expected to cause the considerable variation of the wind field, that direction was selected. The model Envi-met was used as the diagnostic numerical model for this study. It is suitable for this investigation because Envi-met has the microscale resolution. After simulating it, on the leeward side around a building complex the decrease of flow velocity and some of vortexes or circulation area were discovered. In addition, on the edge of the top at the building and at the back of the building the upward flow was developed. If the sampling hole of monitoring site were located in this upward flow, it would be under the influence of upward flow from the near street.

Development of an artificial neural network model was presented to predict the daily maximum SO2 concentration in the urban-industrial area of Ulsan. The network model was trained during April through September for 2000-2005 using SO2 potential parameters estimated from meteorological and air quality data which are closely related to daily maximum SO2 concentrations. Meteorological data were obtained from regional modeling results, upper air soundings and surface field measurements and were then used to create the SO2 potential parameters such as synoptic conditions, mixing heights, atmospheric stabilities, and surface conditions. In particular, two-stage clustering techniques were used to identify potential index representing major synoptic conditions associated with high SO2 concentration. Two neural network models were developed and tested in different conditions for prediction: the first model was set up to predict daily maximum SO2 at 5 PM on the previous day, and the second was 10 AM for a given forecast day using an additional potential factors related with urban emissions in the early morning. The results showed that the developed models can predict the daily maximum SO2 concentrations with good simulation accuracy of 87% and 96% for the first and second model. respectively, but the limitation of predictive capability was found at a higher or lower concentrations. The increased accuracy for the second model demonstrates that improvements can be made by utilizing more recent air quality data for initialization of the model.