In the case of a die-casting process, defects that are difficult to confirm by visual inspection, such as shrinkage bubbles, may occur due to an error in maintaining a vacuum state. Since these casting defects are discovered during post-processing operations such as heat treatment or finishing work, they cannot be taken in advance at the casting time, which can cause a large number of defects. In this study, we propose an approach that can predict the occurrence of casting defects by defect type using machine learning technology based on casting parameter data collected from equipment in the die casting process in real time. Die-casting parameter data can basically be collected through the casting equipment controller. In order to perform classification analysis for predicting defects by defect type, labeling of casting parameters must be performed. In this study, first, the defective data set is separated by performing the primary clustering based on the total defect rate obtained during the post-processing. Second, the secondary cluster analysis is performed using the defect rate by type for the separated defect data set, and the labeling task is performed by defect type using the cluster analysis result. Finally, a classification learning model is created by collecting the entire labeled data set, and a real-time monitoring system for defect prediction using LabView and Python was implemented. When a defect is predicted, notification is performed so that the operator can cope with it, such as displaying on the monitoring screen and alarm notification.

Many manufacturers applying third party logistics (3PLs) have some challenges to increase their logistics efficiency. This study introduces an effort to estimate the weight of the delivery trucks provided by 3PL providers, which allows the manufacturer to package and load products in trailers in advance to reduce delivery time. The accuracy of the weigh estimation is more important due to the total weight regulation. This study uses not only the data from the company but also many general prediction variables such as weather, oil prices and population of destinations. In addition, operational statistics variables are developed to indicate the availabilities of the trucks in a specific weight category for each 3PL provider. The prediction model using XGBoost regressor and permutation feature importance method provides highly acceptable performance with MAPE of 2.785% and shows the effectiveness of the developed operational statistics variables.

The recent earthquake in Korea caused a lot of damage to reinforced concrete (RC) columns with non-seismic details. The nonlinear analysis enables predicting the hysteresis behavior of RC columns under earthquakes, but the analytical model used for the columns must be accurate and practical. This paper studied the nonlinear analysis models built into a commercial structural analysis program for the existing RC columns. The load-displacement relationships, maximum strength, initial stiffness, and energy dissipation predicted by the three analysis models were compared and analyzed. The results were similar to those tested in the order of the fiber, Pivot, and Takeda models, whereas the fiber model took the most time to build. For columns subjected to axial load, the Pivot model could predict the behavior at a similar level to that of the fiber model. Based on the above, it is expected that the Pivot model can be applied most practically for existing RC columns.

PURPOSES : In this study, surface distress (SD), rutting depth (RD), and international roughness index (IRI) prediction models are developed based on the zones of Incheon and road classes using regression analysis. Regression analysis is conducted based on a correlation analysis between the pavement performance and influencing factors. METHODS : First, Incheon was categorized by zone such as industrial, port, and residential areas, and the roads were categorized into major and sub-major roads. A weather station triangle network for Incheon was developed using the Delaunay triangulation based on the position of the weather station to match the road sections in Incheon and environmental factors. The influencing factors of the road sections were matched Based on the developed triangular network. Meanwhile, based on the matched influencing factors, a model of the current performance of the road pavement in Incheon was developed by performing multiple regression analysis. Sensitivity analysis was conducted using the developed model to determine the influencing factor that affected each performance factor the most significantly. RESULTS : For the SD model, frost days, daily temperature range, rainy days, tropical nights, and minimum temperatures are used as independent variables. Meanwhile, the truck ratio, freeze–thaw days, precipitation days, annual temperature range, and average temperatures are used for the RD model. For the IRI model, the maximum temperature, freeze–thaw days, average temperature, annual precipitation, and wet days are used. Results from the sensitivity analysis show that frost days for the SD model, precipitation days and freeze–thaw days for the RD model, and wet days for the IRI model impose the most significant effects. CONCLUSIONS : We developed a road pavement performance prediction model using multiple regression analysis based on zones in Incheon and road classes. The developed model allows the influencing factors and circumstances to be predicted, thus facilitating road management.

PURPOSES : To efficiently manage pavements, a systematic pavement management system must be established based on regional characteristics. Suppose that the future conditions of a pavement section can be predicted based on data obtained at present. In this case, a more reasonable road maintenance strategy should be established. Hence, a prediction model of the annual surface distress (SD) change for national highway pavements in Gangwon-do, Korea is developed based on influencing factors. METHODS : To develop the model, pavement performance data and influencing factors were obtained. Exploratory data analysis was performed to analyze the data acquired, and the results show that the data were preprocessed. The variables used for model development were selected via correlation analysis, where variables such as surface distress, international roughness index, daily temperature range, and heat wave days were used. Best subset regression was performed, where the candidate model was selected from all possible subsets based on certain criteria. The final model was selected based on an algorithm developed for rational model selection. The sensitivity of the annual SD change was analyzed based on the variables of the final model. RESULTS : The result of the sensitivity analysis shows that the annual SD change is affected by the variables in the following order: surface distress ˃ heat wave days ˃ daily temperature range ˃ international roughness index. CONCLUSIONS : An annual SD change prediction model is developed by considering the present performance, traffic volume, and climatic conditions. The model can facilitate the establishment of a reasonable road maintenance strategy. The prediction accuracy can be improved by obtaining additional data, such as the construction quality, material properties, and pavement thickness.

PURPOSES : A mechanistic-empirical (ME) predictive design logic that can compute the reflective cracking life of hot-mix asphalt (HMA) overlaid on top of a composite pavement is proposed herein. METHODS : The overlay thickness design and analysis logic of the HMA were formulated based on the ME concept of reflection crack propagation. Climate data, traffic load data, the pavement material properties, and the thickness of each layer of the pavement are the main inputs for the ME-Reflective Cracking Rate (RCR) prediction algorithm. An Microsoft Excel Virtual Basic for Application (VBA) program was created to aid designers in assessing the expected performance of an HMA overlay design. Calibration was done using data from the Long-Term Pavement Performance (LTPP) sections. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to compare the results yielded by the program and data from a report by the Texas Transportation Institute. RESULTS : The predictive model performance effectively generates the dynamic and relaxation modulus curves. The correlation value of the calibration factors, R2, is 0.79. The calibration factors used for the Asphalt Overlay Thickness Design (AOTD) program and the sensitivity analysis, i.e., k1, k2,, and k3,, are set to 5, 5, and 150, respectively. The sensitivity of the AOTD program affords reasonable results. Additionally, the program yields results similar to the trends presented in a report by the Federal Highway Administration. CONCLUSIONS : The proposed ME design logic is successfully translated into an Excel VBA program, AOTD, which can perform routine assessments of laboratory tests for HMA overlays. The program can effectively perform numerous iterations and computations to predict an HMA overlay. The predictive model can generate reasonable dynamic modulus and relaxation modulus curves for the characterization of HMA overlays. Under the same asphalt binder grade and HMA type, doubling the HMA overlay thickness yields three times the expected reflective cracking service life.

사출성형공정은 열가소성 수지를 가열하여 유동상태로 만들어 금형의 공동부에 가압 주입한 후에 금형 내에서 냉각시키는 공정으로, 금형의 공동모양과 동일한 제품을 만드는 방법이다. 대량생산이 가능하고, 복잡한 모양이 가능한 공정으로, 수지온도, 금형온도, 사출속도, 압력 등 다양한 요소들이 제품의 품질에 영향을 미친다. 제조현장에서 수집되는 데이터는 양품과 관련된 데이터는 많은 반면, 불량품과 관련된 데이터는 적어서 데이터불균형이 심각하다. 이러한 데이터불균형을 효율적으로 해결하기 위하여 언더샘플링, 오버샘플링, 복합샘플링 등이 적용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 랜덤오버샘플링(ROS), 소수 클래스 오버 샘플링(SMOTE), ADASTN 등의 소수클래스의 데이터를 다수클래스만큼 증폭시키는 오버샘플링 기법을 활용하고, 데이터마이닝 기법을 활용하여 품질예측을 하고자 한다.

In this paper, we propose a dynamic stability prediction method for heavy vehicles based on Lateral Load Transfer Ratio. The key factors influencing vehicle roll motion are the vehicle's load, the position of the center of mass, the tread and the vehicle speed. Using these factors, we derive the lateral load transfer ratio (LTR) formula. In addition, we investigated LTR changes and vehicle rollover of heavy vehicles in various scenarios using TruckSim. As a result, the threshold value of the change rate of the LTR at which the vehicle rolls over was 0.68-0.72. Finally, we performed a numerical experiment to prevent rollover by calculating the optimal speed in the rollover situation.

For a plastic diffusion lens to uniformly diffuse light, it is important to minimize deformation that may occur during injection molding and to minimize deformation. It is essential to control the injection molding condition precisely. In addition, as the number of meshes increases, there is a limitation in that the time required for analysis increases. Therefore, We applied machine learning algorithms for faster and more precise control of molding conditions. This study attempts to predict the deformation of a plastic diffusion lens using the Decision Tree regression algorithm. As the variables of injection molding, melt temperature, packing pressure, packing time, and ram speed were set as variables, and the dependent variable was set as the deformation value. A total of 256 injection molding analyses were conducted. We evaluated the prediction model's performance after learning the Decision Tree regression model based on the result data of 256 injection molding analyses. In addition, We confirmed the prediction model's reliability by comparing the injection molding analysis results.

해상공사에서 발생하는 부유사는 해수의 탁도를 증가시키고 광량을 감소시켜 해양생물에 악영향을 미치므로 해양환경영향평 가에서 중요한 요소이다. 하지만 평가에 적용되는 인자에 대한 공식적인 자료의 부족과 평가자의 능력에 따라 그 영향이 달리 평가되고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 해역이용영향평가센터에서 검토한 3년간(2012–2014)의 매립, 준설, 외곽시설물 설치 등 총 58건 사업에 대한 부유사 확산 평가에 대한 실태를 진단하고 개선방안을 제시하였다. 개선방안 제시를 위해 4가지의 평가지표(격자체계의 적정성, 원단위의 적정성, 대표입경 및 침강속도의 적정성)를 적용하였다. 각 항목별 신뢰도에 평균점수 분석결과, 격자체계는 25점, 원단위는 60점, 대표입 경은 34점 그리고 침강속도는 17점으로 평가항목에 대한 개선방안이 필요한 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서는 부유사 확산 평가상태에 대 한 진단 및 신뢰도 평가 결과를 활용하여 부유사 확산예측에 대한 개선방안을 제안하였다. 먼저, 부유사 발생원단위 및 대표입경별 침강 속도에 대한 공신력 있는 값이 가이드라인을 통해 제공해야 한다. 그리고 실무에선 신뢰성 향상을 위해 격자체계의 적정성과 결과의 검 증을 철저히 해야 한다.

Ball stud parts are manufactured by a cold forging process, and fastening with other parts is secured through a head part cutting process. In order to improve process quality, stabilization of the forging quality of the head is given priority. To this end, in this study, a predictive model was developed for the purpose of improving forging quality. The prediction accuracy of the model based on 450 data sets acquired from the manufacturing site was low. As a result of gradually multiplying the data set based on FE simulation, it was expected that it would be possible to develop a predictive model with an accuracy of about 95%. It is essential to build automated labeling of forging load and dimensional data at manufacturing sites, and to apply a refinement algorithm for filtering data sets. Finally, in order to optimize the ball stud manufacturing process, it is necessary to develop a quality prediction model linked to the forging and cutting processes.

낙동강 하구 기수생태 복원이 본격으로 논의가 진행 전인 2016년까지는 하류 수위의 예측을 위해 하구에서 수km 떨어진 기존 조위관측소(부산 및 가덕도)의 측정 자료를 활용하여 분석을 수행하였지만, 조위와 위상 차이로 인해 예측이 용이하지 않았다. 따라서, 낙 동강 하굿둑 인접 외해역에서 조석 영향을 받는 수위관측치를 이용하여 조석조화분해를 통한 정밀한 조위 예측 산정의 필요성이 대두되 어 본 연구를 수행하였다. 연구의 방법으로는 낙동강하굿둑 인근 외해역에서 10분 간격으로 기간별 관측자료의 저장상태 및 이상자료 유 무를 확인하고, 조석조화분해 프로그램인 TASK2000(Tidal Analysis Software Kit) Package를 이용하여 관측조위와 예측조위를 1대 1 비교하여 회귀상관분석을 수행하였다. 분석 결과, 관측조위와 예측조위간의 상관도는 0.9334로 높게 나타났으며, 당해 연도의 조위예측 분석시 직전 연도의 1년 조석관측 자료를 조화분해하여 산출된 조화상수를 이용하여 조위예측을 실시하면 보다 정확한 결과를 산출할 수 있음을 확인 하였다. 이를 바탕으로 2022년 예측조위를 생성하여 낙동강 하구 기수생태 복원의 해수유입량의 산정에 활용 중이다.