Seismic fragility curves present the conditional probability of damage to target structures due to external seismic load and are widely used in various ways. When constructing such a seismic fragility curve, it is essential to consider various types and numbers of ground motions. In general, the earthquake occurrence characteristics of an area where the target structure of the seismic fragility curve exists are analyzed, and based on this, appropriate ground motions are selected to derive the seismic fragility curve. If the number of selected ground motions is large, the diversity of ground motions is considered, but a large amount of computational time is required. Conversely, if the number of ground motions is too small, the diversity of ground motions cannot be considered, which may distort the seismic fragility curve. Therefore, this study analyzed the relationship between the number of ground motions considered when deriving the seismic fragility curve and the parameters of the seismic fragility curve. Using two example structures, numerical analysis was performed by selecting a random number of ground motions from a total of two hundred, and a seismic fragility curve was derived based on the results. Analysis of the relationship of the parameter of the seismic fragility curve and the number of selected ground motions was performed. As the number of ground motions considered increases, uncertainty in ground motion selection decreases, and when deriving seismic fragility curves considering the same number of ground motions, uncertainty increases relatively as the degree of freedom of the target structure increases. However, considering a relatively large number of ground motions, uncertainty appeared insignificant regardless of increased degrees of freedom. Finally, it is possible that the increase in the number of ground motions could lower the epistemic uncertainty and thus improve the reliability of the results.
Existing reinforced concrete (RC) building frames constructed before the seismic design was applied have seismically deficient structural details, and buildings with such structural details show brittle behavior that is destroyed early due to low shear performance. Various reinforcement systems, such as fiber-reinforced polymer (FRP) jacketing systems, are being studied to reinforce the seismically deficient RC frames. Due to the step-by-step modeling and interpretation process, existing seismic performance assessment and reinforcement design of buildings consume an enormous amount of workforce and time. Various machine learning (ML) models were developed using input and output datasets for seismic loads and reinforcement details built through the finite element (FE) model developed in previous studies to overcome these shortcomings. To assess the performance of the seismic performance prediction models developed in this study, the mean squared error (MSE), R-square (R2), and residual of each model were compared. Overall, the applied ML was found to rapidly and effectively predict the seismic performance of buildings according to changes in load and reinforcement details without overfitting. In addition, the best-fit model for each seismic performance class was selected by analyzing the performance by class of the ML models.
지반운동의 입사방향 변화에 따라 구조물의 지진응답도 그 방향에 따라 변화할 것이다. 지반운동의 입사되는 방향에 따른 예제교 량의 지진응답의 영향을 분석하기 위하여 다양한 입사각에 대하여 구한 1초 주기에 대응하는 가속도응답스펙트럼을 구하였다. 이를 이용하여 5가지 종류의 백분위수에 해당하는 1쌍의 직교하는 수평성분 지진파를 40세트 생성하였다. 지반운동의 입사방향에 따른 예 제교량의 지진응답을 구하여 교각에 대한 지진취약도 해석을 수행하였다. 5가지 종류의 백분위수에 대응하는 지진파에 대한 지진취 약도 해석을 분석하여 지진파의 입사방향에 따라서 지진취약도 곡선의 중앙값이 약 1.2~2.6배 정도 차이가 남을 알 수 있었다. 다시 말 하면 지진파의 입사방향에 따라서 교량 구조물의 손상정도가 약 1.2~2.6배 정도 차이가 날 수 있음을 의미한다.
일반적으로 속도 펄스를 가진 지반운동이 속도 펄스가 없는 지반운동에 비하여 구조물에 보다 큰 손상을 줄 수 있다고 알려져 있다. 지진가속도기록으로부터 속도 펄스의 유무의 판정과 이를 정량화하는 연구가 현재 많이 진행되어 오고 있다. 기존 지진기록들을 단 층으로 떨어진 거리를 기준으로 원거리 지진과 근거리 지진으로 구분하였다. 또한, 근거리 지진은 속도 펄스의 유무를 정량화하여 펄 스를 가진 지진과 펄스를 가지지 않은 지진으로 구분하였다. 최종적으로 각 지진그룹별로 40개의 원거리지진, 40개의 속도 펄스를 가 진 근거리 지진과 40개의 속도 펄스를 가지지 않은 근거리 지진을 선정하였으며, 총 120개 지진가속도 기록을 지진취약도 평가를 위 한 지진해석에 사용하였다. 세 그룹의 지진을 이용하여 납-고무받침과 탄성받침을 가진 두 종류의 예제교량에 대한 지진응답을 평가 하여 확률론적 지진요구도 모델을 작성하였다. 확률론적 지진요구도 모델을 이용하여 지진취약도 해석을 수행하여 속도 펄스의 유무 에 따른 지진취약도 영향을 분석하였다. 지진파의 속도 펄스 유무에 따른 지진취약도 곡선의 비교 결과로부터, 속도 펄스를 가진 지진 의 지진취약도가 속도 펄스가 없는 지진의 지진취약도가 약 3배~5배 정도 정도 크게 나타난다. 이는 속도 펄스를 가진 지진의 경우가 그렇지 않은 지진의 경우에 비하여 교량의 손상 피해가 크다는 것을 의미한다.
As climate change and population growth raise the likelihood of natural disasters, it becomes crucial to comprehend and mitigate these risks in vital infrastructure systems, especially nuclear power plants (NPPs). This research addresses the necessity for evaluating multiple hazards by concentrating on slope failures triggered by earthquakes near NPPs over a timeframe extending up to a return period of 100,000 years. Utilizing a Geographical Information System (GIS) and Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS), the research conducts a comprehensive fragility assessment to predict failure probability under varying ground-shaking conditions. According to the Newmark displacement method, factors such as Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA), slope angle, soil properties, and saturation ratio play significant roles in determining slope safety outcomes. The investigation aims to enhance understanding seismic event repercussions on NPP-adjacent landscapes, providing insights into long-term dynamics and associated risks. Results indicate an increase in slope vulnerability with longer return periods, with distinct instances of slope failures at specific return periods. This analysis not only highlights immediate seismic impacts but also underscores the escalating risk of slope displacement across the extended return period scales, crucial for evaluating long-term stability and associated hazards near nuclear infrastructure.
지진취약도를 산정하기 위해서는 목표 부지의 특성을 제대로 표현할 수 있는 입력 지진파의 산정이 중요하다. 본 논문에서는 국내 외 강진 및 중‧약진 지역에서의 입력 지진파에 대한 단자유도 모델의 지진취약도를 분석하였다. 분석을 위한 첫 번째 단계로, 국외 강 진 기록 중 근/원거리에서 측정한 2개의 입력 지진파 세트와 국내 중·약진 지역 특성에 적합한 입력 지진파 2개의 세트, 총 4개의 입력 지진파 세트를 선정하였다. 대상 구조물로는 3가지 고유주기에 대한 비선형 단자유도 모델을 적용하였고, 취약도 분석을 위해 증분동 적해석을 이용하였다. 또한, 4가지 손상 상태를 정의하고, 손상 상태 각각에 대해 4가지 입력 지진파 세트의 고유주기별 지진취약도 결과를 제시하였다.
Unlike other facilities, maintaining processes is essential in industrial facilities. Pipe racks, which support pipes of various diameters, are important structures used in industrial facilities. Since the transport process of pipes directly affects the operation of industrial facilities, a fragility curve should be derived based on considering not only the pipe racks' structural safety but also the pipes' transport process. There are several studies where the fragility curves have been determined based on the structural behavior of pipe racks. However, few studies consider the damage criteria of pipes to ensure the transportation process, such as local buckling and tensile failure with surface defects. In this study, an analysis model of a typical straight pipe rack used in domestic industrial facilities is constructed, and incremental dynamic analysis using nonlinear response history analysis is performed to estimate the parameters of the fragility curve by the maximum likelihood estimation. In addition, the pipe rack's structural behavior and the pipe's damage criteria are considered the limit state for the fragility curve. The limit states considered in this paper to evaluate fragility curves are more reasonable to ensure the transportation process of the pipe systems.
In general, the design response spectrum in seismic design codes is based on the mean-plus-one-standard deviation response spectrum to secure high safety. In this study, response spectrum analysis was performed using seismic wave records adopted in domestic horizontal design spectrum development studies, while three response spectra were calculated by combining the mean and standard deviation of the spectra. Seismic wave spectral matching generated seismic wave sets matching each response spectrum. Then, seismic fragility was performed by setting three damage levels using a single-degree-of-freedom system. A correlation analysis was performed using a comparative analysis of the change in the response spectrum and the seismic fragility concerning the three response spectra. Finally, in the case of the response spectrum considering the mean and standard deviation, like the design response spectrum, the earthquake load was relatively high, indicating that conservative design or high safety can be secured.
This study proposes a methodology for assessing seismic liquefaction hazard by implementing high-resolution three-dimensional (3D) ground models with high-density/high-precision site investigation data acquired in an area of interest, which would be linked to geotechnical numerical analysis tools. It is possible to estimate the vulnerability of earthquake-induced geotechnical phenomena (ground motion amplification, liquefaction, landslide, etc.) and their triggering complex disasters across an area for urban development with several stages of high-density datasets. In this study, the spatial-ground models for city development were built with a 3D high-precision grid of 5 m x 5 m x 1 m by applying geostatistic methods. Finally, after comparing each prediction error, the geotechnical model from the Gaussian sequential simulation is selected to assess earthquake-induced geotechnical hazards. In particular, with seven independent input earthquake motions, liquefaction analysis with finite element analyses and hazard mappings with LPI and LSN are performed reliably based on the spatial geotechnical models in the study area. Furthermore, various phenomena and parameters, including settlement in the city planning area, are assessed in terms of geotechnical vulnerability also based on the high-resolution spatial-ground modeling. This case study on the high-precision 3D ground model-based zonations in the area of interest verifies the usefulness in assessing spatially earthquake-induced hazards and geotechnical vulnerability and their decision-making support.
Seismic fragility curves play a crucial role in assessing potential seismic losses and predicting structural damage caused by earthquakes. This study compares non-sampling-based methods of seismic fragility curve derivation, particularly the probabilistic seismic demand model (PSDM) and finite element reliability analysis (FERA), both of which require employing sophisticated finite element analysis to evaluate and predict structural damage caused by earthquakes. In this study, a three-dimensional finite element model of API 5L X65, a buried gas pipeline widely used in Korea, is constructed to derive seismic fragility curves. Its seismic vulnerability is assessed using nonlinear time-history analysis. PSDM and a FERA are employed to derive seismic fragility curves for comparison purposes, and the results are verified through a comparison with those from the Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS). It is observed that the fragility curves obtained from PSDM are relatively conservative, which is attributed to the assumption introduced to consider the uncertainty factors. In addition, this study provides a comprehensive comparison of seismic fragility curve derivation methods based on sophisticated finite element analysis, which may contribute to developing more accurate and efficient seismic fragility analysis.
강진에 대한 다양한 비선형 거동을 하는 부재요소들로 이루어진 교량시스템의 현재까지의 일반적인 지진취약도 평가방법은 부재- 수준에서 평가하는 것이다. 본 연구의 목적 부재-수준의 지진취약도 평가결과로부터 구조시스템을 대표하는 시스템-수준의 지진취 약도 평가방법을 개발하는 것이다. 교량의 지진 거동을 일반적으로 교축방향과 교축직각방향으로 구분하기 때문에 본 연구에서도 시 스템-수준 지진취약도를 두 방향에 대하여 구분해 평가하였다. 길이 방향에 대한 부재-수준의 지진취약도평가는 교각, 교량받침, 충 돌, 교대, 낙교에 대하여 수행하였다. 교축직각 방향에 대해서는 충돌, 교대, 낙교의 손상이 영향을 주지 않으므로 부재-수준의 지진취 약도평가는 교각과 교량받침에 대하여만 수행하였다. 다양한 구조부재의 비선형모델을 이용한 지진해석은 OpenSEES 프로그램을 사용하여 수행하였다. 시스템-수준의 지진취약도는 부재-수준 사이의 손상이 직렬연결이라고 가정하고 평가하였다. 교각의 손상이 다른 부재-수준의 손상보다 시스템-수준의 지진취약도에 지배적인 영향을 주는 것을 알 수 있었다. 다시 말하면 가장 취약한 부재-수 준의 지진취약도가 시스템-수준의 지진취약도에 가장 지배적인 영향을 주는 것을 의미한다.
Existing reinforced concrete (RC) frame buildings have seismic vulnerabilities because of seismically deficient details. In particular, since cumulative damage caused by successive earthquakes causes serious damage, repair/retrofit rehabilitation studies for successive earthquakes are needed. This study investigates the repair effect of fiber-reinforced polymer jacketing system for the seismically-vulnerable building structures under successive earthquakes. The repair modeling method developed and validated from the previous study was implemented to the building models. Additionally, the main parameters of the FRP jacketing system were selected as the number of FRP layers associated with the confinement effects and the installation location. To define the repair effects of the FRP jacketing system with the main parameters, this study conducted nonlinear time-history analyses for the building structural models with the various repairing scenarios. Based on this investigation, the repair effects of the damaged building structures were significantly affected by the damage levels induced from the mainshocks regardless of the retrofit scenarios.
Structural vibration induced by earthquake hazards is one of the most significant concerns in structure performance-based design. Structural hazards evoked from seismic events must be properly identified to make buildings resilient enough to withstand extreme earthquake loadings. To investigate the effects of combined earthquake-resistant systems, shear walls and five types of dampers are incorporated in nineteen structural models by altering their arrangements. All the building models were developed as per ACI 318-14 and ASCE 7-16. Seismic fragility curves were developed from the incremental dynamic analyses (IDA) performed by using seven sets of ground motions, and eventually, by following FEMA P695 provisions, the collapse margin ratio (CMR) was computed from the collapse curves. It is evident from the results that the seismic performance of the proposed combined shear wall-damper system is significantly better than the models equipped with shear walls only. The scrutinized dual seismic resisting system is expected to be applied practically to ensure a multi-level shield for tall structures in high seismic risk zones.
The recent increase in earthquake activities has highlighted the importance of seismic performance evaluation for civil infrastructures. In particular, the container crane essential to maintaining the national logistics system with port operation requires an exact evaluation of its seismic response. Thus, this study aims to assess the seismic vulnerability of container cranes considering their seismic characteristics. The seismic response of the container crane should account for the structural members’ yielding and buckling, as well as the crane wheel’s uplifting derailment in operation. The crane’s yielding and buckling limit states were defined using the stress of crane members based on the load and displacement curve obtained from nonlinear static analysis. The derailment limit state was based on the height of the rail, and nonlinear dynamic analysis was performed to obtain the seismic fragility curves considering defined limit states and seismic characteristics. The yield and derailment probabilities of the crane in the near-fault ground motion were approximately 1.5 to 4.7 and 2.8 to 6.8 times higher, respectively, than those in the far-fault ground motion.
In Korea, most nuclear power plants were designed based on the design response spectrum of Regulatory Guide 1.60 of the NRC. However, in the case of earthquakes occurring in the country, the characteristics of seismic motions in Korea and the design response spectrum differed. The seismic motion in Korea had a higher spectral acceleration in the high-frequency range compared to the design response spectrum. The seismic capacity may be reduced when evaluating the seismic performance of the equipment with high-frequency earthquakes compared with what is evaluated by the design response spectrum for the equipment with a high natural frequency. Therefore, EPRI proposed the inelastic energy absorption factor for the equipment anchorage. In this study, the seismic performance of welding anchorage was evaluated by considering domestic seismic characteristics and EPRI's inelastic energy absorption factor. In order to reflect the characteristics of domestic earthquakes, the uniform hazard response spectrum (UHRS) of Uljin was used. Moreover, the seismic performance of the equipment was evaluated with a design response spectrum of R.G.1.60 and a uniform hazard response spectrum (UHRS) as seismic inputs. As a result, it was confirmed that the seismic performance of the weld anchorage could be increased when the inelastic energy absorption factor is used. Also, a comparative analysis was performed on the seismic capacity of the anchorage of equipment by the welding and the extended bolt.
교량은 사용년한이 증가함에 따라 노후화로 인해 역학적인 성질과 구조적인 성능이 저하되고, 이로 인해서 강진 시에 내진성능이 저하된다. 교각과 교량받침에 대한 노후화를 몇 가지 단계로 정량화하여 해석모델에 반영하였고, 노후화된 교각과 교량받침에 대하 여 부재-수준의 지진취약도를 평가하였다. 교량 시스템의 파괴 메카니즘을 직렬시스템으로 가정하여, 부재-수준의 지진취약도 해석 결과로부터 시스템-수준의 지진취약도를 평가하는 방법을 제안하였다. 노후도에 취약한 부재인 교각과 교량받침에 대하여 5가지 정 량적인 노후도(0, 5, 10, 25, 40%)를 가정하여 부재-수준의 지진취약도를 평가하였고, 이 결과로부터 시스템-수준의 지진취약도 평가 를 수행하였다. 시스템-수준의 지진취약도는 교량받침 보다는 교각이 지배적인 영향을 줌을 알 수 있었다. 이는 보다 취약한 구조부재 의 지진취약도가 전체 교량시스템의 지진취약도에 지배적인 영향을 주는 것을 의미한다.
The 2017 Pohang earthquake caused severe damage to low-rise piloti buildings. The damage was caused mainly by column shear failure, and some core walls were as well. The damaged piloti buildings in Pohang City could be relieved if they were designed correctly according to the standards at that time. However, the post-earthquake investigation revealed design, construction, and permission problems. To solve the problems, the Piloti Building Structure Design Guidelines that include strict specifications were published in 2018. Separately, KDS 41 17 00, the seismic design standard for buildings, was enacted in 2019 and it included the guideline contents. Therefore, at least after the publication of the guidelines, piloti buildings, designed by the standard and guidelines, can be expected to possess better seismic performance than existing piloti buildings. To confirm this, the probability of exceedance for several damage state thresholds was estimated for existing and designed piloti buildings. As a result, the probability of damage of designed piloti buildings was very low compared to existing ones. Consequently, it was confirmed that the guideline and standard adequately supplement the structural fragility of existing piloti buildings.
배전기 캐비닛은 발전소와 같은 플랜트 시설에서 전자기기 혹은 시스템 컨트롤러 등을 보관하는 역할을 한다. 전기 캐비닛이 지진과 같은 외부하중에 의해 손상될 경우 시스템 장애 혹은 운영 중단이 발생할 수 있다. 안정적이고 지속가능한 에너지 공급을 위해 외부 하중에 의한 전기 캐비닛의 안전성 평가는 매우 중요하다. 전기 캐비닛은 주로 콘크리트 슬래브에 앵커 로 지지되기 때문에 앵커의 지지력 상실로 인해 전기 캐비닛이 손상될 수 있다. 콘크리트 재료는 다양한 불확실성이 존재하며 변동성이 다른 재료에 비해 큰 편이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 선행연구에서 개발된 전기 캐비닛-앵커 시스템의 유한요소 모델을 이용하여 콘크리트 재료의 불확실성을 고려한 지진 취약도 평가를 수행하였다. 30개의 콘크리트 재료 모델을 라틴 하이퍼큐브 샘플링을 이용하여 샘플링하였으며 울진 지역의 등재해도 스펙트럼을 만족하는 인공지진을 적용하여 시간이력 해석을 수행하였다. 앵커의 응력과 캐비닛 최상단의 변위를 한계상태로 정의하였다. 지진 취약도 분석 결과 0.2g를 초과할 때 앵커의 응력 및 캐비닛 최상단 변위가 정해진 한계상태를 초과하는 것으로 나타났으며 대부분 0.5g에서 파괴되는 것으로 나타났다. 추후 연구에서는 지진의 불확실성과 재료의 불확실성을 동시에 고려하여 지진 취약도 평가를 수행하고자 한다.
Seismic fragility functions for unreinforced masonry buildings were derived based on the incremental dynamic analysis of eight representative inelastic numerical models for application to Korea's earthquake damage estimation system. The effects of panel zones formed between piers and spandrels around openings were taken into account explicitly or implicitly regarding stiffness and inelastic deformation capacity. The site response of ground motion records measured at the rock site was used as input ground motion. Limit states were proposed based on the fraction of structural components that do not meet the required performance from the nonlinear static analysis of each model. In addition to the randomness of ground motion considered in the incremental dynamic analysis explicitly, supplementary standard deviation due to uncertainty that was not reflected in the fragility assessment procedure was added. The proposed seismic fragility functions were verified by applying them to the damage estimation of masonry buildings located around the epicenter of the 2017 Pohang earthquake and comparing the result with actual damage statistics.
Seismic fragility analysis of a structure is generally performed for the expected critical component of a structure. The seismic fragility analysis assumes that all the components behave independently in a structural system. A bridge system consists of many inter-connected components. Thus, for an accurate evaluation of the seismic fragility of a bridge, the seismic fragility analysis requires the composition of probabilities considering the correlation between structural components. This study presented a procedure to obtain the seismic fragility curve of a bridge system, considering the correlation between bridge components. Seismic fragility analysis was performed on a PSC bridge that is considered as the central infrastructure. The analysis results showed that the probability of the seismic fragility curve of the bridge system was higher than that of each bridge component.