산지재해는 1차적으로 산지사면에서 산사태가 발생되어 2차적으로 계류를 따라 토석류로 이동 및 확산되면서 산지 하부지역의 시설지와 주거지에 피해를 발생시킨다. 따라서 본 연구는 전라북도 지역의 토석류 발생지 79개소를 조사 대상으로 현장조사를 통한 발생 길이에 영향을 미치는 인자를 구명하고, 수량화이론(I)을 이용하여 발생 길이에 대한 각 인자의 기여도 분석을 통해 예방적인 측면에서 전라북도 지역 내 토석류 발생 위험지역에 대한 예측기준을 작성하였다. 토석류의 발생 길이에 영향을 미치는 인자는 모암(화성암), 횡단사면(복합사면), 입목 흉고직경(6cm 이하), 표고(501m 이상), 발생위치(산록) 등이었다. 각 인자의 범위를 추정한 결과, 모암(0.5633)이 가장 높게 나타나 전라북도 지역의 토석류 발생 위험도에 큰 영향을 미치는 것으로 추정되었으며, 다음으로는 횡단사면(0.4565), 사면위치(0.3568), 흉고직경(0.3274), 표고(0.3052)순으로 나타났다. 전라북도 지역 산지에서 토석류 발생 위험도 판정식을 기준으로 5개 인자의 카테고리별 점수를 계산한 추정치 범위는 0점에서 2.0092점 사이에 분포하였다. 중앙값인 1.0046점을 기준으로 토석류 위험도 예측을 위한 등급을 분류한 결과 Ⅰ등급은 1.5070 이상, Ⅱ등급 1.0047 ∼ 1.5069, Ⅲ등급 0.5023 ∼ 1.0046, IV등급 0.5022 이하로 나타났고, Ⅰ등급과 Ⅱ등급에서 토석류 발생비율이 76%로서 비교적 높은 적중률을 보였다. 따라서 본 판정표는 전라북도의 산지에서 지역의 위험 비탈면에 있어서 토석류 발생 위험도 판정에 유용하게 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

PURPOSES : This study aimed to estimate road pavement life expectancy using Bayesian Markov Mixture Hazard Model, to support infrastructure asset management. In addition, the life expectancies for the pavement condition index were compared among regional construction and management administrations. METHODS : Eleven years of National Highway road pavement monitoring data fused with ESAL (Equivalent Single Axle Loads), SNP (Structural Number of Pavement, an indicator of structural capacity), and average low temperature, total rainfall, and de-icing were used for the deterioration modeling. Deterioration modeling was performed through the Bayesian Markov Mixture Hazard Model. RESULTS : The expected life expectancy of the crack was estimated at 12.28 to 18.51 years, rut depth was estimated at 15.93 to 25.3 years, and the International Roughness Index was estimated at 10.44 to 14.33 years. It was also confirmed that the heterogeneity factor proposed in the Bayesian Markov Mixture Hazard Model could be used to analyze group characteristics and differences in the benchmark. CONCLUSIONS: This study provided important information in that it compared the life expectancies and structural characteristics of the pavement condition indexes among regional construction and management administrations. Based on this result, it is expected that a pavement structure design and maintenance strategy suitable for deterioration characteristics among regional construction and management administrations will be established.

교량에서의 화재는 최근까지도 빈번하게 발생되고 있으며, 특히 케이블교량에서 화재가 발생될 시 케이블에 높은 온도상승으로 인해 케이블에 손상 및 파단이 발생될 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 케이블교량에서 발생될 수 있는 화재 시나리오를 설정하였다. 또한 실물차량 화재실험 결과를 토대로 화재강도모델을 제안하여 대상교량 케이블의 열전달 해석을 수행하였다. 해석 결과 단면적이 작은 케이블에서 더 높은 온도상승이 발생되며, 유조차를 제외한 차종의 경우 내화 성능 기준을 초과하지 않는 결과를 나타내었다. 유조차 화재의 경우 갓길에서 발생될 때 최소 단면적 케이블에서 내화 성능 기준을 초과하는 결과 를 보이며, 기준을 초과하는 케이블의 높이는 약 14m로 나타나 이에 따른 대책 및 내화 보강의 필요성을 확인하였다. 본 연구결과를 통해 케이블교량에서 화재가 발생될 때 케이블의 온도변화에 대한 간접적인 평가가 가능한 것을 확인하였으며, 향후 화재 발생 시 바람에 영향을 고려한 열전달 해석과 케이블의 온도상승 시 교량의 사용성에 대한 추가적인 연구가 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

One of the most effective methods to consistently ensure the safety of a tap water supply can be achieved by application of a comprehensive risk assessment and risk management approach for drinking water supply systems. This approach can be termed water safety plans(WSP) which recommended by WHO(world health organization) and IWA(international water association). For the introduction of WSP into Korea, 150 hazards were identified all steps in drinking water supply from catchment to consumer and risk assessment tool based on frequency and consequence of hazards were developed. Then, developed risk assessment tool by this research was implemented at a water treatment plant(Q=25,000 m3/d) to verify its applicability, and several amendments were recommended; classification of water source should be changed from groundwater to stream to strengthen water quality monitoring contaminants and frequencies; installation of aquarium to monitor intrusion of toxic substances into raw water; relocation or new installation on-line water quality analyzers for efficient water quality monitoring; change of chlorination chemical from solid phase(Ca(OCl)2) to liquid phase(NaOCl) to improve soundness of chlorination. It was also meaningful to propose hazards and risk assessment tool appropriate for Korea drinking water supply systems through this research which has been inconsistent among water treatment authorities. Key words: Hazard, Reliability, Risk management, Water safety plan, Tap water

본 연구는 중부권역에서 발생한 산사태를 중심으로 수량화이론을 이용하여 산림환경인자가 발생면적에 미치는 영향 분석을 통해 예방적인 측면에서 산사태 발생 위험성에 대한 예측기준을 작성하였 다. 산사태 재해로 발생면적에 영향을 미치는 각 인자의 기여도는 토심(0.3606)이 가장 높았으며, 다음으로 고도(0.2065), 종단사면(0.2065), 경사(0.1297), 사면방위 0.1154)순으로 높게 나타났다. 산사태 발생 위험 기여도가 높은 6개 인자의 category별 상대점수 범위는 0점에서 1.5122점 사이에 분포하고 있었고 중앙값은 0.7561점이었다. 이 점수를 기준으로 산사태 발생 위험성을 4개 등급으로 구분한 예측 판정표를 작성하였다. Ⅰ등급의 점수는 1.1343 이상, Ⅱ등급은 0.7562~1.1342, Ⅲ등급 은 0.3782~0.7561, IV등급은 0.3781 이하로 나타나 1등급, 2등급, 3등급에서 산사태 발생 비율이 96%로서 비교적 높은 적중률을 보였다. 따라서 본 판정표는 중부권역의 위험 비탈면에 있어서 산사 태 발생 위험도 판정에 유용하게 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

The purpose of this study is to enhance heat insulation effect and to decrease fire hazard by attaching aluminum foil to expanded polystyrene, which is mainly used for insulating materials, to have fire retardant. The result of the test confirmed that the insulating materials, expanded polystyrene of 10 kg/m3 and 14 kg/m3 of density attached aluminum foil on both sides, showed 12%, 14% of improved heat transfer coefficient respectively compared to existing expanded polystyrene of the same density. Besides, they met all the standards for the testing of heat release and gas hazard. On the other hand, the one made of general expanded polystyrene could not meet the standards of the heat release test and the gas hazard test.

A connected control method for the adjacent buildings has been studied to reduce dynamic responses. In these studies, seismic loads were generally used as an excitation. Recently, multi-hazards loads including earthquake and strong wind loads are employed to investigate control performance of various control systems. Accordingly, strong wind load as well as earthquake load was adopted to evaluate control performance of adaptive smart coupling control system against multi-hazard. To this end, an artificial seismic load in the region of strong seismicity and an artificial wind load in the region of strong winds were generated for control performance evaluation of the coupling control system. Artificial seismic and wind excitations were made by SIMQKE and Kaimal spectrum based on ASCE 7-10. As example buildings, two 20-story and 12-story adjacent buildings were used. An MR (magnetorheological) damper was used as an adaptive smart control device to connect adjacent two buildings. In oder to present nonlinear dynamic behavior of MR damper, Bouc-Wen model was employed in this study. After parametric studies on MR damper capacity, optimal command voltages for MR damper on each seismic and wind loads were investigated. Based on numerical analyses, it was shown that the adaptive smart coupling control system proposed in this study can provide very good control performance for Multi-hazards.

Food hazards caused by Hazard Analysis Critical Control Point(HACCP) products are closely related to the failure of prerequisite program. ISO 22000 introduced the Operational Prerequisite Program (OPRP) to enhance management of the prerequisite program. This program has started to strengthen discriminatory management of hazards identified as high in risk analysis but not selected as Critical Control Points. In addition, the US-FDA has begun to apply Food Safety Modernization Act (FSMA) obligations to all foods manufacturing and distribution including imported foods. The basic concept of the FSMA is Hazard Analysis and Risk-based Preventive Control (HARPC), which is similar to the OPRP. It is necessary to strengthen the management of the prerequisite program by using the OPRP or HARPC concept, which will improve the effectiveness of HACCP operation.

In this paper, we address some issues in existing seismic hazard closed-form equations and present a novel seismic hazard equation form to overcome these issues. The presented equation form is based on higher-order polynomials, which can well describe the seismic hazard information with relatively high non-linearity. The accuracy of the proposed form is illustrated not only in the seismic hazard data itself but also in estimating the annual probability of failure (APF) of the structural systems. For this purpose, the information on seismic hazard is used in representative areas of the United States (West : Los Angeles, Central : Memphis and Kansas, East : Charleston). Examples regarding the APF estimation are the analyses of existing platform structure and nuclear power plant problems. As a result of the numerical example analyses, it is confirmed that the higher-order-polynomial-based hazard form presented in this paper could predict the APF values of the two example structure systems as well as the given seismic hazard data relatively accurately compared with the existing closed-form hazard equations. Therefore, in the future, it is expected that we can derive a new improved APF function by combining the proposed hazard formula with the existing fragility equation.

The The purpose of this study is to investigate the actual liquefaction occurrence site in Pohang area and to analyze the ground characteristics of Pohang area using the data of the National Geotechnical Information DB Center and to calculate the liquefaction potential index. Based on the results, the distribution of soil classification in Pohang area and the risk of liquefaction under various earthquake accelerations were prepared. As a result of the study, soils in Pohang has the soil characteristics that can cause the site amplification phenomenon. In the analysis through liquefaction hazard maps under earthquake scenarios, it is found that the liquefaction occurred in the area of Heunghae town is more likely to be liquefied than other areas in Pohang. From these results, it is expected that the study on the preparation of liquefaction hazard maps will contribute to the preparation of countermeasures against liquefaction by predicting the possibility in the future.

PURPOSES: The occurrence of unexpected disasters, including fire events, increases as the road network becomes complicated and traffic volume increases. When a fire event occurs on and under bridges, the damage extensively influences direct damage to structures, vehicles, and human life and secondary socioeconomic issues owing to traffic blockage. This study investigated potential fire-hazard risks on bridges of the Korean national route roadMETHODS: The investigation was conducted using field investigation and analysis with satellite pictures and road views from commercial websites and the Bridge Management System (BMS). From the filed investigation, various potential fire resources were identified. The satellite pictures and road views were helpful in measuring and recognizing conditions underneath bridges, stowage areas, etc.RESULTS : There are various potential fire resources underneath bridges such as piled agricultural products, parked petroleum tanks, construction equipment, and attached high-voltage cables. A total of 94.6% of bridges have underneath clearances of less than 15 m. A bridge underneath volume that can stow a potential fire hazard resource was 7,332 m3 on average, and most bridges have about 4,000 m3 of space. Based on the BMS data, the amounts of PSC and steel girders were 29% and 25%, respectively.CONCLUSIONS : It was found that the amount of stowed potential fire hazard resources was proportional to the underneath space of bridges. Most bridges have less than 15 m of vertical clearance that can be considered as a critical value for a bridge fire. The fire risk investigation results should be helpful for developing bridge fire-protection tools.

미국의 내진설계기준인 ASCE/SEI 7-10은 구조물 붕괴성능에 대한 불확실성을 고려하지 않는 등재해도 기반 내진설계의 문제점을 해결하기 위해 위험도 기반 내진설계 개념을 도입하였다. 하지만 현행 국내 내진설계기준의 경우 한반도 내에서 발생한 큰 규모의 지진기록과 구조물의 붕괴성능과 관련된 연구의 부족으로 위험도 기반 내진설계 개념을 반영하지 않고 있 다. 본 연구에서는 철골 보통중심가새골조를 표본건물로 선정하여 위험도 기반 내진성능평가를 수행하였다. 건물이 위치한 지역, 높이, 지반조건을 변수로 바탕으로 표본건물에 대한 붕괴성능 평가를 수행하였으며, 국내 지진기록의 특성을 반영할 수 있는 경험적 스펙트럴 형상 예측 모델을 활용하여 지진재해도 곡선을 작성하였다. 이를 활용하여 국내 주요 도시에 위치 한 철골 보통중심가새골조의 붕괴확률을 위험도 적분 개념에 따라 평가하였다. 국내 주요 도시에 위치한 철골 보통중심가새 골조의 붕괴확률을 평가한 결과, 현행 건축구조기준에 따라 설계된 표본건물은 본 연구에서 고려한 해석 변수에 따라 붕괴 확률에 상당한 차이를 보였다. 특히 국내 건축구조기준의 경우 철골 보통중심가새골조에 대한 높이제한이 없어 일부 고층 표본건물에서 목표 위험도인 50년간 1%의 붕괴확률을 초과하는 것으로 평가되었다.

Introduction of invasive species into a new ecosystem may have various impacts such as including environmental harm,economic harm, or impact human health. After the establishment of population in a new area, a range of its habitat isexpanded. Hazard assessment for invasive species provides fundamental information for identifying current or future hazardouscondition, and it is important for the surveillance of pest occurrence as well as the development of control strategy. Itcan be also used for determining control areas and methods. Various approaches have been used in the hazard assessmentfor forest invasive species including statistical model, aerial approaches, and machine learning models. In this study, wepresent some approaches in the hazard assessment for forest pests including pine needle gall midge and pine wilt disease.

Process Hazard Analysis(PHA) have been performed for a risk management of process (petrochemical) industry for nearly 50 years. There are many PHA methods for application in the process industry, Hazop Study method has been recognized as a good method used typically in most of phase of process plant. And also there was inconvenient opinion that Hazop Study is too resource (man power, time etc.) consuming comparing its result performance (a quality of recommendations) for a good operating and existing plant. In this study, two types of PHA method - checklist and K-PSR - were performed respectively for a new para-xylene(PX)plant and 30 year old PX plant. Past history and experience of incident, operation, maintenance and so on are very important in PHA by those two methods. The higher effectiveness were realized in PHA by a checklist and K-PSR Method than prior Hazop study. And also some suggestions including PHA cycle determination, RBPS application, Follow-up plan of PHA result etc. were proposed about PHA improvement measures for a best risk management.

In order to develop an HNS safety management system to assess and visualize hazard levels via an automated method, we have conceptualized and configured a sample system. It is designed to quantify the risk of a vessel carrying HNS with a matrix method along navigational route and indicate hazards distribution with a contour map. The basic system which provides a visualized degree of hazards in real time has been introduced for the safe navigation of HNS ships. This is useful not only for decision making and circumstantial judgment but may also be utilized for HNS safety management with a risk base. Moreover, this system could be extended to address the navigational safety of marine traffic as well as of autonomous vessels in the near future if the sensors used are connected with IoT technology.

본 연구에서는 강풍 위험 모델과 강풍 취약도 모델을 개발하여 옥외 광고물의 강풍 위험도를 정량적으로 평가하였다. 강풍 위험 모델과 강풍 취약도 모델 모두 확률론적 접근법인 몬테카를로 모사 모형을 적용하여 개발되었으며, 강풍 위험도 모델은 평가된 강풍 위험과 강풍 취약도의 수학적 계산을 통해서 평가되었다. 강풍 위험은 국내 내륙과 해안지역의 대도시인 서울과 부산 지역에 대하여 평가되었으며, 강풍 취약도 모델은 현장 조사와 문헌 조사를 통하여 파악된 10종의 벽면 이용형, 8종의 돌출형 옥외 광고물을 대상으로 개발되었다. 강풍 위험도에 영향을 미치는 요인을 파악하기 위하여 지표조도구분, 옥외 광고물의 형태, 설치 지역, 설치 높이 등에 따른 강풍 위험도를 정량적으로 평가하였다. 본 연구에서 제안한 강풍 위험도 평가 방법은 강풍으로 인한 옥외 광고물의 손실 추정 및 피해 저감 대책 수립을 위하여 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.