PURPOSES : The purpose of this study is to derive implications by comparing overseas and domestic cases on the management of demand forecast risks in public-private partnerships (PPP) projects. METHODS : Demand forecast risk management measures of PPP were classified into three categories: Expected project IRR, Minimum income guarantee, and LPVR mechanism. According to the classification method, the overseas demand risk sharing method was introduced. The risk methods of demand risk for PPP projects in Korea were classified and compared with that of overseas cases. RESULTS : 1. The domestic PPP was developed from the perspective of investors rather than overseas. 2. The risk-sharing model was not considered during the bidding process. 3. The models for the demand forecasting errors were not diverse. CONCLUSIONS : The domestic BTO project includes several risk factors, among which the burden on demand forecast risks is critical. Future studies will be required to quantitatively evaluate risk factors in PPP projects and properly share the risks between the government and the private sector.

In general, companies operate systematically in response to financial risks such as exchange rates and liquidity, while they are vulnerable to risks in the manufacturing and sales processes. In particular, logistics refers to the activities for planning, managing and implementing efficient flows from the starting point of goods and products to the point of consumption, The purpose of this study was to develop key risks and key risk management indicators (KRIs) for risks that undermine logistics efficiency so that logistics risks can be effectively prevented and managed. As a result, 40 risk management indicators (KRIs) were developed in a total of six categories in the logistics sector, and the definition, calculation method and early warning grade of each KRI were presented so that companies could prevent risks in advance in logistics activities and contribute to enhancing efficiency of their work.

In the maritime industry, most perceptions, frameworks and methodologies of dealing with hazards are for their risk assessment rather than their risk management. This tendency discloses the reality that within the maritime sectors in areas like shipping, logistics, oil and gas there is a lack of coherent Quantitative Risk Management (QRM) methodology from which to understand the risk-based decisions especially for appropriate risk management such as in seaports’ terminals. Therefore, in this paper initially, during priority assessment of the identified hazards, Fuzzy Set Theory was applied to handle imprecision of the uncertain risk-based statistics to get an accurate result. In the next stage, Fuzzy Fault Tree and Fuzzy Event Tree methods were used to achieve the sequence of quantitative risk analysis. In the final step, a Fuzzy Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution tool was used for the implementation of the mitigation phase to complete and conclude the proposed QRM cycle.

When the foundation work of the underground part of the building structure or the excavation work of the civil engineering structure is carried out, there is the earthwork work by the inevitable process. As the economic situation continues to develop, construction in urban areas is becoming bigger and higher in scale due to the expansion of infrastructure and the rescue of urban dwellings in urban areas, and excavation of underground roads is inevitable. Excavation of the underground part may cause problems in the process difficulty and safety of the earthworks due to the complexity and various characteristics of the ground selected without consideration of the ground characteristics and site conditions. In order to complete the required facilities, it is necessary to secure the design and construction of the retaining walls. In order to complete the required construction, It is an important factor satisfying construction period and economical efficiency.

The strategy for the management of earthquakes is shifting from post recovery to prevention; therefore, seismic performance management requires quantitative predictions of damage and the establishment of strategies for initial responses to earthquakes. Currently, seismic performance evaluation for seismic management in Korea consists of two stages: preliminary evaluation and detailed evaluation. Also, the priority of seismic performance management is determined in accordance with the preliminary evaluation. As a deterministic method, preliminary evaluation quantifies the physical condition and socio-economic importance of a facility by various predetermined indices, and the priority is decided by the relative value of the indices; however, with the deterministic method it is difficult to consider any uncertainty related to the return-year, epicenter, and propagation of seismic energy. Also this method cannot support tasks such as quantitative socio-economic damage and the provision of data for initial responses to earthquakes. Moreover, indirect damage is often greater than direct damage; therefore, a method to quantify damage is needed to enhance accuracy. In this paper, a Seismic Risk Assessment is used to quantify the cost of damage of road facilities in Pohang city and to support decision making.

One of the most effective methods to consistently ensure the safety of a tap water supply can be achieved by application of a comprehensive risk assessment and risk management approach for drinking water supply systems. This approach can be termed water safety plans(WSP) which recommended by WHO(world health organization) and IWA(international water association). For the introduction of WSP into Korea, 150 hazards were identified all steps in drinking water supply from catchment to consumer and risk assessment tool based on frequency and consequence of hazards were developed. Then, developed risk assessment tool by this research was implemented at a water treatment plant(Q=25,000 m3/d) to verify its applicability, and several amendments were recommended; classification of water source should be changed from groundwater to stream to strengthen water quality monitoring contaminants and frequencies; installation of aquarium to monitor intrusion of toxic substances into raw water; relocation or new installation on-line water quality analyzers for efficient water quality monitoring; change of chlorination chemical from solid phase(Ca(OCl)2) to liquid phase(NaOCl) to improve soundness of chlorination. It was also meaningful to propose hazards and risk assessment tool appropriate for Korea drinking water supply systems through this research which has been inconsistent among water treatment authorities. Key words: Hazard, Reliability, Risk management, Water safety plan, Tap water

이염화이소시아뉼산나트륨(NaDCC) 주입 선박평형수처리설비(BWMS, ballast water treatment system)에 의해 처리된 배출수 내에는 브롬 및 염소계열의 활성물질과 소독부산물질(DBPs, disinfection by-products)들이 포함되어 있다. 본 연구에서는 NaDCC로 처리된 선박평형수가 해양환경에 미치는 생태위해성을 파악하기 위하여 생태독성시험(WET test, whole effluent toxicity test)과 생태위해성평가(ERA, ecological risk assessment)를 수행하였다. 배출수독성 시험종은 규조류(Skeletonema costatum, Navicula pelliculosa), 녹조류(Dunaliella tertiolecta, Pseudokirchneriella subcapitata), 로티퍼(Brachionus plicatilis, Brachionus calyciflorus) 및 어류(Cyprinodon variegatus, Pimephales promelas)로 8개의 해양 및 담수종을 이용하였다. 생태독성시험결과, 규조류 및 녹조류를 이용한 성장저해시험에서만 명확한 독성영향이 나타났으며 해수의 시험 조건에서 무영향농도(NOEC, no observed effect concentration), 최저영향농도(LOEC, lowest observable effect concentration) 및 반수영향농도(EC50, effect concentration of 50%)는 각각 25.0 %, 50.0 % 및 > 100.0 %로 가장 민감한 영향을 나타냈다. 하지만 로티퍼 및 어류를 이용한 독성시험의 경우 모든 염분 구간에서 독성영향이 나타나지 않았다. 한편, 배출수에 대한 화학물질분석결과, bromate, isocyanuric acid, formaldehyde, chloropicrin과 trihalomethanes (THMs), halogenated acetonitriles (HANs), halogenated acetic acid (HAAs) 등 총 25개의 소독부산물질들이 검출되었다. ERA결과, 25 개의 소독부산물질들 중, 지속성(P), 생물축척성(B) 및 생물독성(T)의 특성을 모두 보이는 물질은 없었다. 예측환경농도(PEC, predicted environmental concentration) /예측무영향농도(PNEC, predicted no effect concentration) 비율은 일반적인 항구 환경에서는 모든 물질이 1.0을 초과 하지 않았지만 선박 최 인접지역의 경우 Isocyanuric acid, Tribromomethane, Chloropicrin 및 Monochloroacetic acid가 1.0을 초과하여 위해성이 있을 것으로 나타났다. 하지만 실제 배출수를 이용한 생태독성시험결과의 NOEC (25.0%)를 적용한 결과 NaDCC로 처리된 선박평형수가 해양에 배출되었을 때 선박 최 인접지역을 포함한 일반적인 항구 환경에 수용 불가한 생태위해성을 가지지 않는 것으로 판단된다.

The International Organization for Standardization published ISO 9001 Quality Management System – Requirements in 1987 and has revised four times since then. ISO 9001:2015 is the latest edition and organizations are supposed to obtain the certificate of the new version registration by late 2018. This latest edition has two most noticeable changes. The first major change of new edition focuses on performance with an emphasis on Risk-Based Thinking (RBT) to enhance the process approach. The new edition consists of ten clauses whose first three clauses are largely same as older edition but risks are clearly stated and stressed in last seven clauses, emphasizing on Plan-Do-Check-Act cycle at all levels in the organization. The second major change is that the new edition has the same overall structure as other ISO management system standards known as High Level Structure with Annex SL.In this article we pursue to explain the basic concept of Risk-Based Thinking and describe six steps of Risk-Based Thinking using a realistic example. We enumerate all possible risks that can be occurred in organizations and propose a specific risk management procedure that the quality managers of organizations can systematically implement.

ISO 9001 Quality Management Systems-Requirements has been revised in 2015. It has been updated four times since its publication in 1987. It is the most widely used International Standard in the world. There are over one million companies and organizations in over 170 countries certified to ISO 9001 from an ISO survey. Organizations are supposed to be certified to this new version by late 2018. The key changes in ISO 9001:2015 are to establish a High Level Structure (HLS) and focus on Risk-Based Thinking (RBT). Risk-Based Thinking means the process approach to decide how risk is addressed in establishing the processes to improve process outputs and prevent undesirable results. It pursues process planning and controls based on risks so that organizations can improve the effectiveness of the quality management system. It maintains and manages a Quality Management System that inherently addresses risks and meets objectives. In this article we firstly attempt to explain how to understand the fundamental concept of Risk-Based Thinking which is a systematic approach to consider risks rather than treating prevention as a separate component of a Quality Management System. We comment on the detailed requirements that contain risks in ISO 9001:2015 clauses. We also summarize recent advances on the risk assessment and management in line with ISO 31000:2009 Risk Management-Principles and Guidelines. We finally propose the practical risk management procedures for implementing ISO 9001:2015 with an emphasis on RBT. This article would contribute to help quality managers and practitioners convert to ISO 9001:2015.

Process Hazard Analysis(PHA) have been performed for a risk management of process (petrochemical) industry for nearly 50 years. There are many PHA methods for application in the process industry, Hazop Study method has been recognized as a good method used typically in most of phase of process plant. And also there was inconvenient opinion that Hazop Study is too resource (man power, time etc.) consuming comparing its result performance (a quality of recommendations) for a good operating and existing plant. In this study, two types of PHA method - checklist and K-PSR - were performed respectively for a new para-xylene(PX)plant and 30 year old PX plant. Past history and experience of incident, operation, maintenance and so on are very important in PHA by those two methods. The higher effectiveness were realized in PHA by a checklist and K-PSR Method than prior Hazop study. And also some suggestions including PHA cycle determination, RBPS application, Follow-up plan of PHA result etc. were proposed about PHA improvement measures for a best risk management.

In the industrial field, various type of fuel have been used for product processing facilities. Recent for 10 years, the usage of natural gas (NG) was gradually increased. Because it has many merits; clean fuel, no transportation, storage facility and so on. There are common safety concept that strict explosion protection approaches are needed for facilities where explosive materials such as flammable liquid, vapor and gases exist. But some has an optimistic point of view that the lighter than air gases such as NG disperse rapidly, hence do not form explosion environment upon release into the atmosphere, many parts has a conventional safety point of view that those gases are also inflammable gases, hence can form explosion environment although the extent is limited and present. In this paper, the heating equipments (Hot Oil Heater) was reviewed and some risk management measures were proposed. These measures include hazardous area classification and explosion-proof provisions of electric apparatus, an early gas leak detection and isolation, ventilation system reliability, emergency response plan and training and so on. This study calculates Hazardous Area Classification using the hypothetical volume in the KS C IEC code.

This study is intended to evaluate a risk of overseas construction companies. To achieve this, a survey was empirically carried out to overseas construction site experts. The results were as follows. The relative importance of parent factors showed that‘social culture’(0.157) was the highest, followed by ‘institutional regulation’(0.150),‘environment’(0.145),‘productivity’ (0.142),‘economic finance’(0.137),‘market condition’(0.136) and‘political policy’(0.133). As for the above-mentioned findings, the most important risk factor in overseas construction was social culture of entry countries, followed by construction-related legal system. All construction companies, contractors and design companies said that social culture was the most important parent factor, varying from construction industry. And they said that workforce availability was also the most important in the importance of sub-factors, followed by conflict due to the differences in lifestyle. Consequently, it is important to manage risk for socio-cultural factors in overseas construction, risk for double workforce, and risk for the differences in thinking or lifestyle by the participation of multinational workforce.

Agrometeorological information used in agriculture field depends heavily on productivity in accordance with analysis and forecasting accuracy. In this study, we used necessary weather information for potato crops during the growing season and developed a decision support system to help farmers' management activities. The core of the solution is to utilize the real-time weather data observed in my field. By using application weather information in agricultural field rather than simple weather information transmission, we understood control effect through various pest information services. These ICT (Information & Communication Technologies) solutions in the field of weather-based agriculture provide appropriate intention information for growing crops, thus it is expected that effective control will reduce the risk of insect pests and reduce direct costs of farmers. In addition, it is expected that it will contribute not only to reduce soil pollution but also to safe food production by controlling indiscriminate use of pesticides properly.

과학기술 전문가가 근거를 제시하고 정책관료가 결정을 내리던 기존의 정책결정체계와는 달리, 불확실성과 이해관계 대립으로 특징지어지는 기술위험 영역에서 참여적 의사결정방법이 바람직한 모델로 상정되어왔다. 이어 여러 가지 정책실험이 이루어졌다. 그러나 의사결정과정에 있어서 ‘누가 어떤 역할을 할 것인가’에 대해서는 여전히 다양한 견해가존재한다. 본 연구는 기술위험 거버넌스에 대한 사회적 배경이 다른 두 나라인 영국과 한국에서 각각 수행된 방사성폐기물 관리방안 모색을 위한 공론화 프로그램을 역할분담의 관점에서 분석한다. 본고는 영국과 한국의 공론화 프로그램이 전개되는 과정에서 다양한 참여자그룹이 어떻게 정의되고, 어떠한 근거로 역할이 상정되며, 적용된 의사결정방법은 무엇인지에 관해 논의한다. 공론화과정의 사례연구를 통해 많은 기술선진 민주주의 사회에서 지지 받고 있는 ‘참여를 통한 의사결정’이라는 기술위험 거버넌스의 규범이자 방법론이 실제 각기다른 정치사회 환경에서 어떻게 구현되는 지를 살펴본다. 방사성폐기물 관리와 공론화에 대한 오랜 경험을 가진 영국과의 비교분석은 한국의 방사성폐기물 관리정책과 나아가 기술위험 거버넌스를 위한 정책도구를 정교화 하는 데 기여할 것이다.