This paper presents a spreadsheet-based reliability prediction simulation framework for the conceptual product design stage to acquire system reliability information in timely manner. During early stage, reliability performance deals with both known and u

국내 고속도로의 교량은 2000년 이후 집중된 선형개량 및 신규 노선 증가 사업으로 10년 전과 비교하여 2배 이상 증가하였다. 이에 따라 유지관리 비용도 지속적으로 증가하고 있다. 현재 고속도로 유지관리 예산 비중이 가장 높은 항목은 아스팔트 교면 교량의 콘크리트 바닥판 열화에 의한 보강 부분이다. 2011년 고속도로 관리교량은 약 7,800여개에 도달한 시점에서 현재 방법으로는 향후 어느 정도 바닥판 보강 예산이 필요한지 어느 시기에 증액을 하여야되는지 명확하게 추정하기 어렵다. 본 연구에서는 신뢰도 분석 방법인 와이불 분포에 의한 생존 수명 예측 기법을 적용하여 현재 고속도로 아스팔트 계열의 교면 교량의 평균 수명을 추정하였고 이를 토대로 향후 예상 보강 비용을 추정하였다.

Recently, the manufacturers of life-jacket are very interested in the acquisition of USCG(US Coast Guard) approval because the acquisition of USCG approval has an important role in the purchasing decision of the buyer's. Be based on criterion of USCG, we studied how to predict the change of floating position of human model with life-jacket to verify the backside restore. For this, in this study, the human model and the lifejacket was modeled in three dimension, the application program for prediction of floating position was developed, and plugged-in commercial program.

Sheet aluminum alloys have been used in manufacturing of machine structures. In fatigue crack propagation behavior of thin sheet aluminum alloys, it is important that fatigue crack growth rate is affected by crack closure phenomenon. In this work, we analyzed the characteristics of fatigue crack propagation behavior in experiment of constant stress condition for thin sheet Al 2024-T3 alloys, and identified the retardation behavior of crack growth by comparing experimental results of thin and thick plate specimen. We attempt to operate the fatigue life estimating process using the fatigue related material constants from referred fatigue crack propagation analysis. And we analyzed the experimental and prediction results of fatigue life of thin sheet aluminum alloy in order to identify the relation between retardation behavior of fatigue crack growth and crack closure phenomenon.

Gas welding is a very important and useful technology in the fabrication of railroad cars and commercial vehicle structures. However, since the fatigue strength of gas-welded joints is considerably lower than that of the parent material due to stress concentration at the weld, the fatigue-strength assessment of gas-welded joints is very important for the reliability and durability of railroad cars and the establishment of a criterion for long-life fatigue design. In this paper, in order to save time and cost for the fatigue design, an accelerated life-prediction method that is based on the theory of statistical reliability was investigated. Its usefulness was verified by comparing the (Δσa)R-Nf relationship that was obtained from actual fatigue test results with the (Δσa)R-(Nf)ALP relationship that was derived from accelerated life testing. And the reliability of the predicted life was evaluated. The reliability of the accelerated life-prediction on the base of actual test data was analyzed to be (81～86)% of the actual test life of the fillet-type gas welded joint.

For the stress and vibration analysis of vehicle components by computer simulation, it is necessary to find the forces acting on the vehicle components due to the road profile undulation. A precise modeling of tires is not easy due to nonlinear effects between tire-ground. Instead of precise tire modeling, this paper proposes to regenerate the road profile, which preserves the measured wheel accelerations with a linear tire model in the computer simulations. From the full car example, the proposed method in this paper shows very nice results, and thus the new method seems well-suited in virtual driving simulations. The effort to improve durability of vehicle components has been continued during test and development process. Computer aided durability analysis techniques cut down time and money compared with experiment. In this paper, the dynamic simulation of vehicle model was carried out with the MSC/ADAMS program and the durability analysis of vehicle components was carried out with MSC/Fatigue program by using load profiles generated from dynamic simulation.

Based on microbiological-chemical test results under simulated time-temperature conditions, total plate count, coliform and volatile basic nitrogen were selected as effective quality indicators for estimating probable shelf-life of Kim Pab dosirak marketed in convenience stores, and shelf-life at each storage temperature was calculated from regression equation between effective quality indicator standard limit and storage time. Estimated shelf-lives of Kim Pab Dosirak were 27, 3 and 2 hours respectively under 10℃, 20℃ and 30℃. Because shelf-life was especially affected by initial values, regression analysis between initial effective quality indicator values and storage hours was performed for the estimation of probable shelf-life of Kim Pab during storage at 10, 20 or 30℃.

원자력발전소 콘크리트 구조물은 해안가에 접해 있으며, 해수를 취수하여 냉각수로 사용하기 때문에 염해에 의한 내구성은 매우 중요하다. 이를 위해 3년간의 염해 장기침지시험을 실시하여 염화물이온확산계수의 변화 및 재령계수(m)을 평가한 결과 4,000 Class인 구조물 기초의 m은 0.35~0.39로 KCI나 ACI 제안값과 유사한 결과를 나타내었고 5,000 Class인 필수 냉각수 구조물 및 터널은 0.44~0.53, 6,000 Class인 원자로 격납건물은 0.62로 FIB 제안값과 유사하였다. 실측된 재령계수로 내구수명을 예측한 결과 원전의 모든 안전관련 콘크리트 구조물은 설계수명 60년 이상을 만족하는 것으로 나타났다.

Chloride penetration into concrete is the main cause of the corrosion of steel in concrete structures exposed to chloride-rich environments. As a preventive or remedial method, surface treatments on concrete have been increasingly applied to both new and existing concrete structures to combat this problem. So far, knowledge of how a surface treatment reduces chloride diffusion is limited and the relationship between chloride diffusion resistance and surface treatment parameters, such as thickness, porosity and diffusion coefficient, has not been quantitatively identified. In this paper, chloride ion penetration modeling is performed to predict the service life of the surface treated concrete.

The present study proposes the definition of service life and the end-of- life criterion for bridge maintenance. Bridges begin to deteriorate as soon as they are put into service. Effective bridge maintenance requires sound understanding of the deterioration mechanism as well as the expected service life. In order to determine the expected service life of a bridge for effective bridge maintenance, it is necessary to have a clear definition of service life and end-of-life. However, service life can be viewed from several perspectives based on literature review. The end of a bridge’s life can be also defined by more than one perspective or performance measure. This study presents definition of service life which can be used for bridge maintenance and the end-of life criterion using the performance measure such as a damage score. The regression model can predict an average service life of bridges using the proposed end-of-life criterion.

The purpose of this study is to utilize the basic data and to propose the service life prediction method of RC structures. For this, we analyzed the existing programs used for service life prediction software in international such as U.S, Japan, Greece and Canada. The results of Analysis, the prediction of carbonation and chloride were common items in respectively programs.

본 연구에서는 기왕의 댐 붕괴 사례와 인명손실 결정인자들의 분석으로부터 유도된 상관관계를 이용하여 댐 붕괴 홍수파의 특성이 고려된 인명피해 예측을 위해 미국의 LIFESim 모형에 적용된 인명손실 모듈과 유럽연합에서 제시한 사망률 함수에 의한 인명손실 추정기법이 제시되었다. 극한홍수조건(PMF)하에서 댐 붕괴로 인한 대상지점의 수심, 유속 및 홍수도달시간 등과 같은 홍수특성치는 1차원 수리학적 모형인 FLDWAV에 의해 모의되었으며 범람수심을 이용하여 홍수취약 지역을 예측하였다. 이를 바탕으로 경보, 대피 및 피난처에 대한 가능성을 고려함으로써 홍수위험에 노출된 인구수를 추정하였다. 이러한 홍수위험 노출인구에 대한 사망률(치사율)을 추정하기 위해 홍수위험지역을 상이한 지대로 세분하여 지대별 치사율 또는 사망률 함수를 결정하였으며 이로부터 최종적인 사망자수를 예측하였다. 본 연구를 통해 제시된 댐 붕괴 홍수의 인명피해 예측기법은 향후 확률론적 홍수 시나리오에 적용하여 하류부의 홍수위험도를 정량적으로 평가하고 저감대책을 수립하는데 활용될 수 있다.

As the service period of bridges becomes increased the maintenance and management of existing bridges become also more important. Korea Expressway Corporation has collected data on the maintenance for a long period but those obtained data has rarely been thoroughly analyzed for the maintenance purposes. This study investigated the service life of extension joint of bridge among various bridge members and this attempt should be very meaningful as using the data obtained from the field. The service life of the extension joints can be used for the development of maintenance strategy in the future.

This study aims at classifying and interpreting on the vegetation structure, the correlation between a vegetation and an environment, a species diversity and a life-form of Evergreen Broad-Leaved Forest(EBLF) located in Gageo-do Island. It is also the objective that the estimation of vegetation change founded on the species composition and characteristics. The vegetation of EBLF was classified into three forests or four community units as Machilus thunbergii forest (Polystichum polyblepharon-M. thunbergii community and Phaenosperma globosum-M. thunbergii community), Ilex integra-Castanopsis sieboldii community, Quercus acuta community and Neolitsea sericea stand. The ordination analysis by DCA is analogous with the vegetation structure analysis. As a result of the correlation (Pearson's correlation coefficient) with environmental conditions, the Altitude has the significance with the distribution of communities. The total vegetation change by progress of succession will not be wandered away from the present vegetation structure practically, and the vegetation on the underlayers will be a little changed.

In this study, based on the field and laboratory experiments results of underground box culverts, a residual service life was numerically estimated via the statistical analysis and Monte Carlo simulation.