This study aims to develop a regression model using data from the Ammunition Stockpile Reliability Program (ASRP) to predict the shelf life of 81mm mortar high-explosive shells. Ammunition is a single-use item that is discarded after use, and its quality is managed through sampling inspections. In particular, shelf life is closely related to the performance of the propellant. This research seeks to predict the shelf life of ammunition using a regression model. The experiment was conducted using 107 ASRP data points. The dependent variable was 'Storage Period', while the independent variables were 'Mean Ammunition Velocity,' 'Standard Deviation of Mean Ammunition Velocity,' and 'Stabilizer'. The explanatory power of the regression model was an R-squared value of 0.662. The results indicated that it takes approximately 55 years for the storage grade to change from A to C and about 62 years to change from C to D. The proposed model enhances the reliability of ammunition management, prevents unnecessary disposal, and contributes to the efficient use of defense resources. However, the model's explanatory power is somewhat limited due to the small dataset. Future research is expected to improve the model with additional data collection. Expanding the research to other types of ammunition may further aid in improving the military's ammunition management system.

Cellulose has experienced a renaissance as a precursor for carbon fibers (CFs). However, cellulose possesses intrinsic challenges as precursor substrate such as typically low carbon yield. This study examines the interplay of strategies to increase the carbonization yield of (ligno-) cellulosic fibers manufactured via a coagulation process. Using Design of Experiments, this article assesses the individual and combined effects of diammonium hydrogen phosphate (DAP), lignin, and CO2 activation on the carbonization yield and properties of cellulose-based carbon fibers. Synergistic effects are identified using the response surface methodology. This paper evidences that DAP and lignin could affect cellulose pyrolysis positively in terms of carbonization yield. Nevertheless, DAP and lignin do not have an additive effect on increasing the yield. In fact, combined DAP and lignin can affect negatively the carbonization yield within a certain composition range. Further, the thermogravimetric CO2 adsorption of the respective CFs was measured, showing relatively high values (ca. 2 mmol/g) at unsaturated pressure conditions. The CFs were microporous materials with potential applications in gas separation membranes and CO2 storage systems.

In this study, a drifting test using a experimental vessel (2,966 tons) in the northern waters of Jeju was carried out for the first time in order to obtain the fundamental data for drift. During the test, it was shown that the average leeway speed and direction by GPS position were 0.362 m/s and 155.54° respectively and the leeway rate for wind speed was 8.80%. The analysis of linear regression modes about leeway speed and direction of the experimental vessel indicated that wind or current (i.e. explanatory variable) had a greater influence upon response variable (e.g. leeway speed or direction) with the speed of the wind and current rather than their directions. On the other hand, the result of multiple regression model analysis was able to predict that the direction was negative, and it was demonstrated that predicted values of leeway speed and direction using an experimental vessel is to be more influential by current than wind while the leeway speed through variance and covariance was positive. In terms of the leeway direction of the experimental vessel, the same result of the leeway speed appeared except for a possibility of the existence of multi-collinearity. Then, it can be interpreted that the explanatory variables were less descriptive in the predicted values of the leeway direction. As a result, the prediction of leeway speed and direction can be demonstrated as following equations. However, many drift tests using actual vessels and various drifting objects will provide reasonable estimations, so that they can help search and rescue fishing gears as well.

Identifying the water circulation status is one of the indispensable processes for watershed management in an urban area. Recently, various water circulation models have been developed to simulate the water circulation, but it takes a lot of time and cost to make a water circulation model that could adapt the characteristics of the watershed. This paper aims to develop a water circulation state estimation model that could easily calculate the status of water circulation in an urban watershed by using multiple linear regression analysis. The study watershed is a watershed in Seoul that applied the impermeable area ratio in 1962 and 2000. And, It was divided into 73 watersheds in order to consider changes in water circulation status according to the urban characteristic factors. The input data of the SHER(Similar Hydrologic Element Response) model, a water circulation model, were used as data for the urban characteristic factors of each watershed. A total of seven factors were considered as urban characteristic factors. Those factors included annual precipitation, watershed area, average land-surface slope, impervious surface ratio, coefficient of saturated permeability, hydraulic gradient of groundwater surface, and length of contact line with downstream block. With significance probabilities (or p-values) of 0.05 and below, all five models showed significant results in estimating the water circulation status such as the surface runoff rate and the evapotranspiration rate. The model that was applied all seven urban characteristics factors, can calculate the most similar results such as the existing water circulation model. The water circulation estimation model developed in this study is not only useful to simply estimate the water circulation status of ungauged watersheds but can also provide data for parameter calibration and validation.

The prediction of Jominy hardness curves and the effect of alloying elements on the hardenability of boron steels (19 different steels) are investigated using multiple regression analysis. To evaluate the hardenability of boron steels, Jominy end quenching tests are performed. Regardless of the alloy type, lath martensite structure is observed at the quenching end, and ferrite and pearlite structures are detected in the core. Some bainite microstructure also appears in areas where hardness is sharply reduced. Through multiple regression analysis method, the average multiplying factor (regression coefficient) for each alloying element is derived. As a result, B is found to be 6308.6, C is 71.5, Si is 59.4, Mn is 25.5, Ti is 13.8, and Cr is 24.5. The valid concentration ranges of the main alloying elements are 19 ppm < B < 28 ppm, 0.17 < C < 0.27 wt%, 0.19 < Si < 0.30 wt%, 0.75 < Mn < 1.15 wt%, 0.15 < Cr < 0.82 wt%, and 3 < N < 7 ppm. It is possible to predict changes of hardenability and hardness curves based on the above method. In the validation results of the multiple regression analysis, it is confirmed that the measured hardness values are within the error range of the predicted curves, regardless of alloy type.

본 연구에서는 서울지역의 지상 미세먼지(PM2.5) 농도를 산출하기 위하여 경험적인 모델들을 개발하였다. 연구에 이용한 자료는 2012년 1월 1일부터 2013년 12월 31일까지이며 Terra와 Aqua위성의 MODIS센서에서 산출되는 에어로 졸 광학두께, 옹스트롬 지수, 기상변수들과 행성경계층두께와 관련된 6개의 다중 선형 회귀모델들의 차이를 분석하였다. 그 결과 에어로졸 광학두께와 옹스트롬 지수, 상대습도, 풍속, 풍향, 행성경계층두께, 기온 자료를 입력 자료로 사용한 M6모델이 가장 좋은 결과를 보였다. 통계적인 분석에 따르면 M6 모델을 사용하여 계산된 PM2.5와 관측된 PM2.5농도 사 이의 결과는 상관계수(R=0.62)와 평균제곱근오차(RMSE=10.70 μg m−3)이다. 또한 산출된 계절별 지표면 PM2.5농도는 여름철(R=0.38)과 겨울철(R=0.56)보다 봄(R=0.66)과 가을철(R=0.75)에 상대적으로 더 좋은 상관 관계를 보였다. 이러한 결과는 에어로졸 광학두께의 계절별 관측 특성으로 인한 것으로써 다른 계절에 비하여 여름과 겨울철 에어로졸 광학두께 관측이 구름과 눈/얼음 표면에 의한 관측 제한과 오차를 가져온 것으로 분석되었다. 따라서 본 연구에서 사용한 경 험적 다중선형회귀 모델은 위성에서 산출된 에어로졸 광학두께 자료가 지배적인 변수로 작용하며 PM2.5산출 결과들을 향상시키기 위해서는 추가적인 기상 변수를 이용해야 할 것이다. 또한 경험적 다중선형회귀 모델을 이용하여 PM2.5를 산출한 결과는 인공위성 자료로부터 대기환경 감시를 가능하게 하는 방법이 될 수 있어 유용할 것이다.

이 연구에서는 Earth Observing System Terra 위성에 탑재된 Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) 협대역 방출율(채널 29, 30, 31) 자료와 다중선형회귀모형을 이용하여 지표면 광대역 방출율을 추정하였다. 다중선형회귀모형 도출 및 검증을 위한 분광 방출율 자료는 MODIS University of California, Santa Barbara와 Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer spectral library 의 307종(토양 123종, 식생 32종, 물 19종, 인위적 재료 43종, 바위 90종)을 사용하였다. 도출된 다중선형회귀모형의 결정계수(R 2 )는 0.95 (p< .001)로 높 게 나타났고 또한 이 모형 결과와 이론적 광대역 방출율 값의 평균제곱근오차(Root Mean Square Error)는 0.0070이었다. 그리고 이 연구 결과에 따라 계산된 지표면 광대역 방출율을 선행 연구 Wang et al. (2005)의 결과와 비교하였다. 그 결과 아시아, 아프리카, 오세아니아 지역에서 이 연구와 Wang et al. (2005)의 결과에 대한 1월 평균 지표면 광대역 방출율의 평균제곱근오차는 0.0054이었고 최소와 최대 편차는 각각 0.0027과 0.0067이었으며 이러한 통계 값은 8월에 도 유사하였다. 이 연구에서 다중선형회귀모형에 의하여 계산한 지표면 광대역 방출율은 Wang et al. (2005)의 값과 큰 차이가 없이 비교적 정확하게 산출되었으나 산출 정확성 향상을 위해서는 토지피복특성에 따른 차별화된 회귀모형 적 용 필요성이 제기된다.

The purpose of this study is to examine the impacts of the utilitarian, hedonic and symbolic benefits of consuming sportswear on consumers’ purchase intention and willingness to pay. Also, the potential moderating role of the type of brands (i.e., luxury vs. regular brands) is examined. A multiple regression was performed to examine the impacts of the perceived utilitarian-, hedonic-, and symbolic benefits on individuals’ purchase intention, while controlling for descriptive norm, financial constraints, prior brand attitude and familiarity, prestige sensitivity, fashion consciousness, and demographics. It appeared that respondents who indicated that the advertised sportswear fulfilled their hedonic, utilitarian, and symbolic benefit had greater purchase intention. A log-linear regression analysis was performed to examine the impacts of the perceived utilitarian-, hedonic-, and symbolic benefits on individuals’ willingness to pay for sportswear, while controlling for the descriptive norm, financial constraints, prior brand attitude and familiarity, prestige sensitivity, fashion consciousness, and demographics. As respondents’ willingness to pay was logarithmically transformed in order to correct its skewed bias from the normal distribution, the findings indicated that those who indicated that the utilitarian and symbolic benefits were fulfilled were likely to pay 35% and 19.4%, respectively, more for the sportswear. In order to explore the potential moderating role of the type of brands, we examined the influences of utilitarian, hedonic, and symbolic benefits on purchase intention and willingness to pay for two split samples—one for the two luxury sportswear brands, and the other for the regular sportswear brands. After estimating coefficients for luxury and regular sportswear brands, respectively, a series of z-tests was performed to examine whether the magnitude of coefficients varied across the luxury vs. regular brands. The impacts of hedonic and symbolic benefits on purchase intention were greater for the luxury brands than for the regular brands, whereas the opposite pattern was observed for the utilitarian benefits. Similar patterns of relationships were observed for consumers’ willingness to pay, although the hedonic benefits did not have any significant impact. Theoretical and practical implications are discussed along with future research directions.

국내 수출입 물동량의 증가와 해운산업의 발달에 따라 항만시설물의 사용빈도 또한 증가 추세에 있으나, SOC의 해운항만 부문의 투입 정부예산은 감축되어 왔다. 증가하는 사용빈도에 반하여 줄고 있는 예산으로 인해 항만시설물의 체계적이고 효율적인 유지관리 및 운영이 필요하다. 효율적인 유지관리 시스템 구축을 위해서 항만시설물이 위치한 지역, 구조물의 형태 및 취급화종, 시공 및 유지관리 수준과 같은 특성을 고려한 열화모델 개발이 필요하다. 항만시설물의 열화모델 개발은 시설물의 열화요인 분석과 열화데이터 수집 및 열화 모델 개발의 과정으로 수행하였다. 열화 모델 개발기법은 변수 특성에 따른 시간 의존적 상태변화를 반영할 수 있는 결정론적 방법인 다중 회귀분석과 변동성이 큰 자료들의 상태이력을 반영할 수 있는 확률론적 방법인 마코브 체인 이론을 이용하였다. 각 방법을 통해 잔교식 구조물과 블록식 구조물의 Project level의 상태 열화모델을 제시하였다.

In this paper, we investigate how the power consumption of a heat pump dryer depends on various factors in the drying process by analyzing variables that affect the power consumption. Since there are in general many variables that affect the power consumption, for a feasible analysis, we utilize the principal component analysis to reduce the number of variables (or dimensionality) to two or three. We find that the first component is correlated positively to the entrance temperature of various devices such as compressor, expander, evaporator, and the second, negatively to condenser. We then model the power consumption as a multiple regression with two and/or three transformed variables of the selected principal components. We find that fitted value from the multiple regression explains 80~90% of the observed value of the power consumption. This results can be applied to a more elaborate control of the power consumption in the heat pump dryer.

The purpose of this report is to discuss the obtained findings gathered from ultrasound screenings of the liver. After running diagnostic tests health, screens were then conducted to analyze and compare the gained results. This data was then charted and used to strengthen our theorized hypothesis. From January 2013 to June 2013 a recorded 2906 people over the age of 20 visited Health Promotion Centers in various areas throughout Daejeon. Of those 2906 participants 1789 underwent screenings for abdominal ultrasonography; these participants as well as their ultrasound results were used as the bases of our study. For the establishment of our baseline and the comparison of our results, we gathered case-controlled studies from various reputable sources. Both the control and the experimental groups were tested to measure the following liver enzymes (AST, ALT, r-GTP, ALP, and etc.). Kidney functions were measured as well enzymes such as BUN, Creatinine, and Uric Acids levels were analyzed and recorded to see if any relationships existed between the levels documented in the liver and those in the kidneys. It was shown that the two primary causes of fat build up within the liver were significantly connected to obesity BMI(OR=4.14) and waist circumference(OR=3.88).

Multivariate control charts are widely needed to monitor the production processes in various industry. Among the several multivariate control charts, control chart have been used of the typical technique. The control chart shows a statistic that represents observed variables and monitors the process through the statistic. In this case, the statistic generally have the limit that any variables affect to that statistic. To solve this problem, some studies have been progressed in the meantime. The representative method is to disassemble total statistic into each of the variable value and make a decision the parameters with large values than threshold value as a main cause. However, the means is requested to follow the normal distribution. To settle this problem, the bootstrap technique that don't be needed the probability distribution was introduced in 2011. In this paper, I introduced the detection technique of the fault variables using multiple regression analysis. There are two advantages; First, it is possible to use less samples than the ascertainment technique applying to bootstrap. Second, the technique using the regression analysis is easy to apply to the actual environment because the global threshold value is used.

이 연구는 북서태평양에서 여름철(7-9월) 동안 발생하는 태풍 빈도를 예측하기 위한 다중회귀모델을 4가지 원격패턴을 이용하여 개발하였다. 이 패턴은 4-5월 동안 동아시아 대륙에서의 시베리아 고기압 진동, 북태평양에서의 북태평양 진동, 호주근처의 남극진동, 적도 중앙태평양에서의 대기순환으로 대표된다. 이 통계모델은 이 모델로부터 예측된 높은 태풍발생빈도의 해와 낮은 태풍발생빈도의 해 사이에 차를 분석함으로써 검증되었다. 높은 태풍발생빈도의 해에는 다음과 같은 4가지의 아노말리 특성을 나타내었다: i) 동아시아 대륙에 고기압성 순환 아노말리(양의 시베리아 고기압진동), ii) 북태평양에 남저북고의 기압계 아노말리, iii) 호주 근처에 저기압성 순환 아노말리(양의 남극진동), iv) 봄부터 여름 동안 니뇨3.4 지역에 저기압성 순환 아노말리. 따라서 적도 서태평양에서 무역풍 아노말리는 양반구의 아열대 서태평양에 위치한 저기압성 순환 아노말리에 의해 약화되었다. 결국, 이러한 기압계 아노말리의 공간분포는 열대 서태평양에 대류를 억제하는 대신 아열대 서태평양에 대류를 강화시켰다.

In the ALC(Autoclaved lightweight concrete) manufacturing process, if the pre-cured semi-cake is removed after proper time is passed, it will be hard to retain the moisture and be easily cracked. Therefore, in this research, we took the research by multiple regression analysis to find relationship between variables for the prediction the hardness that is the control standard of the removal time. We study the relationship between Independent variables such as the V/T(Vibration Time), V/T movement, expansion height, curing time, placing temperature, Rising and C/S ratio and the Dependent variables, the hardness by multiple regression analysis. In this study, first, we calculated regression equation by the regression analysis, then we tried phased regression analysis, best subset regression analysis and residual analysis. At last, we could verify curing time, placing temperature, Rising and C/S ratio influence to the hardness by the estimated regression equation.

  Ultra-high voltage transformer industry has characteristic of small quantity batch production system by other order processing unlike general mass production systems. In this industry, observance of time deadline is very important in market competitive

We adapted association rules of data mining in order to investigate the relation among the factors of musculoskeletal disorders and proposed the method of preventing the musculoskeletal disorders associated with multiple logistic regression in previous study. This multiple logistic regression was difficult to establish the method of preventing musculoskeletal disorders in case factors can't be managed by worker himself, i.e., age, gender, marital status. In order to solve this problem, we devised association rules of factors of musculoskeletal disorders and proposed the interactive method of preventing the musculoskeletal disorders, by applying association rules with the result of multiple logistic regression in previous study. The result of correlation analysis showed that prevention method of one part also prevents musculoskeletal disorders of other parts of body.

강수는 다양한 대기 변수들의 영향으로 나타나기 때문에 비선형성이 매우 강하다. 따라서 역학 모형을 통해 예측된 강수의 보정은 비선형 모형인 인공 신경망 등을 통해 가능할 것이지만, 인공 신경망의 경우 초기 가중치 선택, 지역 최소화 문제, 뉴런의 수 결정 등의 문제로 인한 한계가 있다. 그러므로 본 연구에서는 가장 보편적으로 사용되는 다중 선형 회귀 모형을 이용하여 CGCM에 의해 모사된 강수를 보정하였으며, 예측성을 살펴보았다. 이를 위하여 우선 PNU/CME 접합 대순환 모형(Coupled General Circulation model, CGCM)(박혜선과 안중배, 2004)을 이용하여 1979년부터 2005년까지 매해 4월부터 8월까지 5개월간 앙상블 적분을 하였다. 적분 결과 중 한반도를 포함한 동북아시아 지역(110˚E-145˚E, 25˚N-55˚N)의 여름철인 6월(리드 2), 7월(리드 3), 8월(리드 4) 및 여름철 평균인 JJA(from June to August) 기간의 PNU/CME CGCM에 의해 모사된 강수를 보정하기 위해 다중 선형 회귀(Multiple Linear Regression, MLR)를 이용하였다. PNU/CME 접합 대순환 모형의 결과 중 강수, 500 hPa 연직 속도, 200 hPa 발산장, 지상 기온 등의 예측 인자와 관측 강수와의 선형적인 관계를 이용하여 MLR 모형을 구축하였다. 그리고 교차 검증(cross- validation)을 수행하여 PNU/CME 접합 대순환 모형의 결과와 교차 검증 결과를 비교하였다. 상관계수, 적중률 (hit rate), 오보율(false alarm rate) 그리고 Heidke 기술 점수(Heidke skill score) 등을 살펴본 바, 보정하지 않은 모형의 결과에 비해 MLR 모형을 이용하여 보정한 결과의 강수에 대한 예측성이 뛰어난 것을 알 수 있었다.

Purpose- This paper aims to examines the various factors Influencing Sales of Infant Formula Milk in China under the Covid-19 Pandemic, and base on this analysis, to present some measures for the sellers and consumers. Design/methodology- The 846 number of comments for 84 bands form e-commerce platform was taken as the index reflecting consumers’ purchasing behavior, and the properties of various types of infant formula milk (commodity name, gross weight and milk source) were taken as the independent variables to analyze the influencing factors of purchasing behavior of infant formula milk by multiple regression method. Findings- The important factors influencing the purchase behavior of infant formula milk are that product name, source of milk, domestic or imported products, applicable age, and packing unit. And then Consumers tend to buy 200-500yuan barrels of imported infant formula milk. Originality/value – The originality of this study can be found in its context, that is, under the Covid-19 Pandemic. At present, China has achieved the best epidemic control effects, which creates a great opportunity for Chinese brand infant formula milk to go abroad and realize internationalization in the future.

본 연구의 목적은 기상자료(강수량, 최고기온, 최저기온, 평균기온, 평균풍속) 기반의 다중선형 회귀모형을 개발하여 농업용저수지 저수율을 예측 하는 것이다. 나이브 베이즈 분류를 활용하여 전국 1,559개의 저수지를 지리형태학적 제원(유효저수량, 수혜면적, 유역면적, 위도, 경도 및 한발빈도)을 기준으로 30개 군집으로 분류하였다. 각 군집별로, 기상청 기상자료와 한국농어촌공사 저수지 저수율의 13년(2002~2014) 자료를 활용하여 월별 회귀모형을 유도하였다. 저수율의 회귀모형은 결정계수(R2)가 0.76, Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE)가 0.73, 평균제곱근오차가 8.33%로 나타났다. 회귀모형은 2년(2015~2016) 기간의 기상청 3개월 기상전망자료인 GloSea5 (GS5)를 사용하여 평가되었다. 현재저수율과 평년저수율에 의해 산정되는 저수지 가뭄지수(Reservoir Drought Index, RDI)에 의한 ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristics) 분석의 적중률은 관측값을 이용한 회귀식에서 0.80과 GS5를 이용한 회귀식에서 0.73으로 나타났다. 본 연구의 결과를 이용해 미래 저수율을 전망하여 안정적인 미래 농업용수 공급에 대한 의사결정 자료로 사용할 수 있을 것이다.