This study aims to estimate the scope of damage impact with a real-life explosion case and a damage prediction program (ALOHA) and suggest measures to reduce risk by comparing and analyzing the results using a Probit model. After applying it to the ALOHA program, the toxicity, overpressure, and radiant heat damage of 5 tons of storage scopes between 66 to 413 meters, and the real-life case also demonstrated that most of the damage took place within 300 meters of the LPG gas station. In the Probit analysis, the damages due to radiant heat were estimated as first-degree burns (13-50%), while structural damage (0-75%) and glass window breakage (94-100%) were expected from overpressure, depending on the storage volume. After comparing the real-life case and the damage prediction program, this study concluded that the ALOHA program could be used as the scope of damage impacts is nearly the same as the actual case; it also concluded that the analysis using the Probit model could reduce risks by applying calculated results and predicting the probability of human casualties and structural damages.
The purpose of this study is to compare and analyze the impact range of explosion damage due to gas leaks at LPG filling stations, focusing on propane and butane, which are components of vehicle LPG. The scenarios were designed based on the explosion incident at an LPG filling station in Gangwon-do, where an actual gas leak accident occurred, resulting in Scenario I and Scenario II. The ALOHA program, developed by the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), was used as the tool to analyze the impact range of the explosion damage for both substances. The results of the study indicated that, under identical conditions, propane had a wider impact range of damage than butane. This is presumed to be due to the greater explosion energy of propane, attributable to its physicochemical properties. Therefore, when preparing for LPG leak accidents, measures for propane need to be prioritized. As safety measures for propane, two suggestions were made to minimize human casualties. First, from a preventive perspective, it is suggested to educate workers about propane. Second, from the perspective of response measures and damage minimization, it is suggested to thoroughly prepare emergency evacuation and rescue plans, evacuation routes, designated shelters, and emergency response teams. This study compares and analyzes the impact range of radiative heat damage based on LPG components. However, hazardous accidents are critically influenced by the type of leaking substance, the form of the leak, and meteorological factors affecting the diffusion pattern of the substance. Therefore, for future research, it is proposed to model various leakage scenarios for the same substance to conduct a comprehensive risk assessment.
지형적인 이질성이 심한 강원도, 경상북도에 집중되고 있는 대형 산불을 관리하기 위해서는 위성 영상을 활용하여 효율적이고 신속한 피해 평가를 통한 의사 결정 과정이 필수적이다. 이에 본 연구는 2022년 3월 5일에 강원도 강릉 및 동해에서 발화하여 3월 8일 19시경 진화된 대형 산불을 대상으로, dNBR을 활용한 산불 심각도 산정과 등급에 영향을 미치는 환경요인을 도출하고자 하였다. 환경요인으로는 식생 또는 연료 유형을 대표하는 정규식생지수, 수종을 구분한 임상도, 수분함양을 나타내는 정규수분지수, 지형과 관련해서는 DEM 등을 수치화한 후 산불 심각도와의 상관 관계를 분석하였다. 산불 심각도는 산불 피해 없음(Unbured)이 52.4%로 가장 넓었고, 심각도 낮음 42.9%, 심각도 보통-낮음 4.3%, 심각도 보통-높음 0.4% 순이었다. 환경요인의 경우 dNDVI, dNDWI와는 음의 상관관계를, 경사도와 는 양의 상관관계를 나타내었다. 식생과 관련해서는 산불 심각도에 영향을 미치는 것으로 분석된 dNDVI, dNDWI, 경사도 모두에서 침엽수, 활엽수, 기타의 집단간 차이가 p-value < 2.2e-16로 유의미한 것으로 분석되었다. 특히, 침엽수 와 활엽수의 차이가 명확하였는데, 강원도 지역에서 우점종인 소나무를 비롯하여 잣나무, 리기다소나무, 곰솔 등의 산불 심각도가 높아 침엽수가 활엽수에 비해 피해를 받는 것이 확인되었다.
PURPOSES : This study analyzes the accident damage scale of hazardous material transportation vehicles not monitored in real time by the Hazardous Material Transportation Safety (HMTS) management center. METHODS : To simulate hazardous-material transportation vehicle accidents, a preliminary analysis of transportation vehicle registration status was conducted. Simulation analyses were conducted for hazardous substance and flammable gas transportation vehicles with a high proportion of small- and medium-sized vehicles. To perform a spill accident damage-scale simulation of hazardous-substance transportation vehicles, the fluid analysis software ANSYS Fluent was used. Additionally, to analyze explosion accidents in combustible gas transportation vehicles, the risk assessment software Phast and Aloha were utilized. RESULT : Simulation analysis of hazardous material transportation vehicles revealed varying damage scales based on vehicle capacity. Simulation analysis of spillage accidents showed that the first arrival time at the side gutter was similar for various vehicle capacities. However, the results of the cumulative pollution analysis based on vehicle capacity exhibited some differences. In addition, the simulation analysis of the explosion overpressure and radiant heat intensity of the combustible gas transportation vehicle showed that the difference in the danger radius owing to the difference in vehicle capacity was insignificant. CONCLUSIONS : The simulation analysis of hazardous-material transportation vehicles indicated that accidents involving small- and medium-sized transportation vehicles could result in substantial damage to humans and ecosystems. For safety management of these small and medium-sized hazardous material transportation vehicles, it is expected that damage can be minimized with the help of rapid accident response through real-time vehicle control operated by the existing HMTS management center.
현상학 연구는 질적 연구방법 중에서도 현상의 이면을 밝혀 그 본질을 도출하는 방법론이다. 이런 본래 의 현상학적 연구의 취지를 살려 연구의 성격에 맞춰 현상의 본질을 드러낼 수 있는 다양한 현상학적 방법 론이 적용될 필요가 있다. 하지만 현상학적 방법론은 현실적으로 지오르지(Giorgi)와 반마넨(Van Manen) 의 방법론에 치우쳐 있는 실정이다. 이런 문제의식을 바탕으로 본 연구자는 청소년의 학교폭력 경험에 적용 한 현상학적 자기평가방법의 분석방법을 고찰했다. 이 방법론은 환원과정이 4단계로 구체적이어서 현상학 의 본래 취지인 본질에 도달하는데 적합하다고 생각한다. 구체적으로 학교폭력 피해학생의 심층인터뷰를 활용해 현상학적 자기평가방법의 환원과정을 이 연구에서 보여주었다. 이 현상학적 자기평가방법은 사회복 지학이나 사회학에서 다루는 현상의 본질을 파악하기에 적합한 연구방법이라 할 수 있다.
Cnidium officinale M. is an important crop that is widely used as a raw material for health functional foods. However, it is experiencing cultivation difficulties due to climate change and abnormally high temperatures. In response to this problem, the characteristics and main causes of the high-temperature damage occurring in C. officinale M. cultivation fields were analyzed. A survey of five farmhouse fields in Jecheon and Bonghwa, major C. officinale M. cultivation areas in Korea in 2018, indicated that about 5% to 37% of the cultivation fields in Jecheon and 5% to 15% of the fields in Bonghwa died from wilting. The high-temperature damage of the C. officinale M. fields is divided into two categories: upper leaves drying due to solar radiation and temperature, and lower leaves dying serially to the radiant heat of the vinyl mulch. Damage caused by radiant heat was typically greater. This is due to the greenhouse effect that occurs in the small space between the black vinyl mulching and the soil. The heat radiated to the surface of the ridge creating an environmental condition that greatly exceeded the atmospheric temperature especially on hot days. As a result, short plants with underground parts, such as C. officinale M., can suffer more high-temperature damage than other plants, so it is considered that it is necessary to develop related technologies such as mulching materials that can reduce pavement temperature in the future.
This study aims to analyze the cost of climate change damages to laver and sea mustard aquaculture, which are considered to be highly vulnerable to climate change in Korea. For this purpose, the correlation between aquaculture production and climate factors such as water temperature, salinity, air temperature, and precipitation was estimated using a panel regression model. The SSP scenario was applied to predict the changes in production and damage costs due to changes in future climate factors. As a result of the analysis, laver production is predicted to decrease by 18.0-27.2% in 2050 and 20.6-61.6% in 2100, and damage costs are predicted to increase from 29.7-50.8 billion KRW in 2050 to 35.7-116.1 billion KRW in 2100. Sea mustard production is projected to decrease by 24.5-37.2% in 2050 and 24.0-34.5% in 2100, with similar damage costs of 41.1-61.8 billion KRW and 41.1-58.6 billion KRW, respectively. These damage costs are expected to occur in the short term as damage caused by fishery disasters such as high temperatures, and in the long term as a decrease in production due to changes in aquaculture sites. Therefore, measures such as strengthening the forecasting system to prevent high-temperature damage, developing high-temperature-resistant varieties, and relocating fishing grounds in response to changes in aquaculture sites will be necessary.
산불이 발생하면 수목은 산불의 직접 영향을 받는 1차 피해와 시간이 경과하면서 다양한 원인으로 고사하는 2차 피해를 입는다. 산불 발생 후 피해지 조사 시점에 따라서 산불 피해지의 분포 패턴이 달라지고 2차 피해 현상이 진행하는 과정도 지역마다 다르게 나타난다. 이 연구는 산불발생 후 산불피해지의 변화를 분석하는 방법을 제안하는 것이 목적이다. 이 연구에서 제안하는 방법은 시계열 군집 분석을 통해서 비슷한 피해 변화 양상을 보이는 산불 피해지를 구분할 수 있다. 2022년 3월 4일부터 3월 13일까지 산불이 진행한 울진・삼척 지역을 대상으로 산불 피해지를 분석하였다. 9개의 군집으로 분류한 결과를 보면, 세 개의 군집이 다양한 산불 피해지 변화 양상을 보여주고 있다. 이 연구에서는 각 군집의 지도화로 공간 분포 특성을 보여준다. 산불 피해지가 집중되어 있는 지역, 시기적으로 특정 시기에 산불이 발생한 지역 등에서 각 군집이 분포하는 것을 확인할 수 있다.
The purpose of this study is the impact of national fishing port investment and typhoons on fisheries disaster damage. The dependent variables were the amount of damage to fishing ports, fishing boats, fisheries enhancement, external facilities, mooring facilities, functional facilities, fishing port and typhoons. The analysis period is from 2002 to 2018. Since the error term is in a simultaneous correlation, it was efficiently estimated by analyzing it with a seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) method. As a result of the analysis, external facilities have not significance to all models. Investing in mooring facilities increased the amount of damage to fishing ports for five years. Investing in functional facilities reduced the amount of damage to fishing ports and aquaculture over five years. Typhoons have significance to all models, and the amount of damage increased every time a typhoon occurred. Based on these results, as the influence of typhoons increases, it seems necessary to establish preventive measures. Timely investment and maintenance to enable the role and function of national fishing ports are considered important.
최근 지구온난화에 의한 이상기상으로 겨울철 한파와 봄철 저온에 의한 농작물 피해가 심각하게 발생하고 있다. 특히 과수의 개화기 저온피해는 꽃눈의 생육단계에 따라 차이가 있으며 발육이 진전될수록 내한성이 약해져 개화 직전부터 낙화 후 1주까지 한계온도가 다르게 발생한다. 따라서 개화기가 빠른 사과 ‘홍로’가 ‘후지’보다 피해가 심각한 것이 일반적이나 2020년 4월 저온피해는 개화기가 늦은 ‘후지’의 피해가 심하게 발생하여 그 원인을 분석하고자 본 연구를 수행하였다. 충북 보은군 사과나무 ‘후지’와 ‘홍로’를 동시에 재배하는 2농가를 대상으로 품종 간 피해율 실태조사를 실시하였다. 또한 정확한 품종 간 비교 분석을 위하여 생육단계가 동일한 시료를 선택하여 인위적으로 저온처리(-2.0℃, -4.0℃)를 하여 피해 정도를 조사하고, 원인 분석을 위해 조직 내 유리당과 호르몬 함량을 분석하였다. 실태조사 결과 2농가 모두 ‘후지’가 ‘홍로’보다 피해율이 높았으며, 특히 B농가(저지대, 평지) ‘후지’의 경우 피해율이 60.5%로 가장 높았다. 또한 동일한 생육 단계의 시료를 사용한 인위적 저온 처리 시험결과에서도 ‘후 지’와 ‘홍로’ 품종 간 피해율에 유의한 차이가 있었다. 유리당 함량은 저온 피해율이 낮았던 ‘홍로’가‘후지’보다 높았으며, 호르몬 분석 결과 정상 꽃눈보다 손상된 조직에서 ABA, IAA 와 SA 함량이 높게 나타났다. 따라서 본 연구 결과 조직내 유리당 함량이 높으면 저온 피해율이 낮은 것을 확인할 수 있었으며, 특히 저온 피해율은 sorbitol 함량과 부의 상관관계를 이루고 있다.
원폭투하 당시 일본에 거주하여 영향을 받은 한국인 원폭피해자 문제는 오랫동안 외면 받았다. 생존자들의 지속적인 요구를 통해 최근에서야 특별법과 조례 제정이 이루어졌다. 본 연구에서는 길버트와 테렐의 정책 분석모형의 네 가지 차원인 대상, 급여, 전달, 재정에 따라 원폭피해자 지원 조례를 분석하였다. 그 결과 대상차원에서 원폭의 유전성을 인정하고 있었고, 급여는 실태조사와 추모 등 기념사업과 같은 피해자들의 욕구를 적절히 반영하지 않았다. 전달에 있어서 피해자 네트워크가 자체적으로 활발하게 활동하고 있으나, 정작 지원은 이루어지지 않고 있으며 재정차원에서는 일본정부로부터 재원이 제공되면서 예산확보가 의료비에 국한되어 있다. 이러한 문제해결을 위해 조례 내에 실태조사, 추모에 해당하는 항을 별도 제정하고 당사자의 욕구를 실질적으로 지원할 수 있도록 구체적으로 개정되어야 하며 조례 제·개정 시 원폭피해자들의 참여와 행동의 영향력을 인정하고 지원해야 한다.
Mold grows more easily when humidity is higher in indoor spaces, and as such is found more often on wetted areas in housing such as walls, toilets, kitchens, and poorly managed spaces. However, there have been few studies that have specifically assessed the level of mold in the indoor spaces of water-damaged housing in the Republic of Korea. We investigated the levels of airborne mold according to the characteristics of water damage types and explored the correlation between the distribution of mold genera and the characteristics of households. Samplings were performed from January 2016 to June 2018 in 97 housing units with water leakage or condensation, or a history of flooding, and in 61 general housing units in the metropolitan and Busan area, respectively. Airborne mold was collected on MEA (Malt extract agar) at flow rate of 100 L/min for 1 min. After collection, the samples were incubated at 25oC for 120 hours. The cultured samples were counted and corrected using a positive hole conversion table. The samples were then analyzed by single colony culture, DNA extraction, gene amplification, and sequencing. By type of housing, concentrations of airborne mold were highest in flooded housing, followed by water-leaked or highly condensed housings, and then general housing. In more than 50% of water-damaged housing, the level of airborne mold exceeded the guideline of Korea's Ministry of Environment (500 CFU/m3). Of particular concern was the fact that the I/O ratio of water-damaged housing was greater than 1, which could indicate that mold damage may occur indoors. The distribution patterns of the fungal species were as follows: Penicillium spp., Cladosporium spp. (14%), Aspergillus spp. (13%) and Alternaria spp. (3%), but significant differences of their levels in indoor spaces were not found. Our findings indicate that high levels of mold damage were found in housing with water damage, and Aspergillus flavus and Penicillium brevicompactum were more dominant in housing with high water activity. Comprehensive management of flooded or water-damaged housing is necessary to reduce fungal exposure.
There have been more than 40,000 cases of fires in Korea in the last three years. However, as ‘Accidental Fire Liability Act’ was judged to be non-conform to the Constitution in 2007, the damages by light mistakes should be compensated. Accordingly, disputes such as compensation claims, litigations and indemnification cases of the victims of fire increased. However, it is so difficult for victims of fire cases to take proper action. So, this study is to help victims of fire cases in the disputes and compensation claims of the victims, and to find actual and practical support system based on the analysis of compensation status. To help victims of fire cases, we need to survey about victims of fire cases with multiple victims. That survey is analyzed to find support plan for victims. Furthermore, to find support plan the current law is needed to be analyzed and reviewed to revision. It is also tried to identify problems in the operation of the Center for victims of Fire currently operated by fire stations and to find countermeasures. In addition, the status of subscription and problem of fire insurance for the compensation for the victims and the method to increase fire insurance subscription rate will be studied.
본 연구에서는 LNG 공급계통시스템의 재기화 공정에서 배관 손상으로 인한 누출사고 발생시 LNG 성분 및 누출공의 크기에 따른 연소특성에 대한 피해범위를 산출하고, 피해영향을 해석하였다. LNG 성분에 따른 연소특성을 확인하기 위하여 7곳의 LNG 산지별 위험도를 확인한 결과 산지별 큰 차이를 보이지 않았으나, LNG 구성성분 중 메탄의 함유량이 많을수록 플래시화재 발생범위 및 증기운 폭발에 의한 과압이 발생하는 위험범위 그리고 제트화재 발생에 의한 열 복사량 피해영향이 다른 산지에 비해 비교적 낮음을 알 수 있었다. 또한 배관 누출공의 크기에 따라 누설, 파공, 파괴 3단계에 나누어 위험 범위 및 폭발에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구를 수행하였으며, 플래시화재로 인한 피해영향범위를 계산하고, 이에 따라 LNG 누출시 화재가능 위험범위를 확인했으며, 과압의 영향 및 복사열로 부터의 피해범위를 예측할 수 있었다. 이를 통해 LNG 조성 및 배관 누출공의 크기가 화재 및 폭발에 미치는 영향을 예측할 수 있었다.