Blow-up in jointed concrete pavements refers to a type of distress caused by the excessive accumulation of compressive stress within concrete slabs, primarily resulting from internal expansion and elevated environmental temperatures. This phenomenon frequently leads to slab buckling and is challenging to predict in terms of both timing and location, thereby significantly threatening the long-term structural stability of the pavement. In the present study, the pavement growth and blow-up analysis (PGBA) model was employed to quantitatively predict the timing of blow-up events in jointed concrete pavements. The model estimates the maximum compressive stress within the slab throughout the pavement’s service life using input parameters such as reliability, climatic conditions, pavement structure, material properties, and expansion joint configurations. Subsequently, the model compares the estimated stress to the threshold stress associated with blow-up to determine the likely time of occurrence. A sensitivity analysis was performed on a range of design and environmental factors, including annual maximum temperature, annual maximum precipitation, coefficient of thermal expansion, ASR, pavement thickness, geometric imperfection, and expansion joint spacing and width. The influence of each factor on the predicted blow-up occurrence time was quantitatively evaluated. The analysis demonstrated that climatic conditions, pavement structure, material properties, and expansion joint characteristics, as considered in the PGBA model, collectively govern the timing of blow-up events. These findings offer critical insights for informing the design and maintenance strategies of jointed concrete pavements.

목적: 본 연구는 우세안에 10%의 부등상을 유발한 상태에서, 대비감도, 입체시, 조절용이성, 폭주근점을 측정하고 안구운동과 독서 능력, 주시데이터를 정량적으로 평가하고자 하였다. 방법 : 교정시력이 양안 1.0 이상인 20대 성인 남녀 40명을 대상으로 하였다. 완전 교정한 후 우세안에 10% 부 등상 유발렌즈를 가입하고, 40 cm 거리에서 대비감도(Adult Near Contrast Test #587700), 입체시(Titmus fly test), 조절용이성(±2.00 D 플리퍼), 폭주근점을 측정하였다. 안구운동과 독서 능력 평가는 아이트래커를 이용하 여 측정하였다. 피검자와 디스플레이거리는 70 cm로 두었고, 주시 횟수, 주시시간, 평균주시시간, 홱보기 수, 홱보 기 폭, 눈 깜빡임 및 동공크기를 측정하였다. 독서 능력은 총 읽기 시간과 독서오류를 측정하였다. 결과 : 등상시와 10% 유발부등상시 상태에서 대비감도가 25, 5, 2.5%에서 유의하게 감소하였다(p<0.050). 입 체시, 조절용이성, 폭주근점 모두 유발부등상시 때에 유의하게 증가 및 감소하였다(p<0.050). 안구 운동 변수 중 주시 횟수만 유발부등상시에 유의하게 증가되었다(p<0.050). 결론 : 안구 운동 평가에서는 주시, 독서오류가 유의하게 증가하였다. 10% 유발부등상시는 독서 능력을 저하시 키는 것으로 나타났다. 향후 연구에서는 자각적으로 느끼는 독서 어려움에 대한 설문이 필요할 것으로 사료된다.

Recent earthquakes in Korea, like Gyeongju and Pohang, have highlighted the need for accurate seismic hazard assessment. The lack of substantial ground motion data necessitates stochastic simulation methods, traditionally used with a simplistic point-source assumption. However, as earthquake magnitude increases, the influence of finite faults grows, demanding the adoption of finite faults in simulations for accurate ground motion estimates. We analyzed variations in simulated ground motions with and without the finite fault method for earthquakes with magnitude (Mw) ranging from 5.0 to 7.0, comparing pseudo-spectral acceleration. We also studied how slip distribution and hypocenter location affect simulations for a virtual earthquake that mimics the Gyeongju earthquake with Mw 5.4. Our findings reveal that finite fault effects become significant at magnitudes above Mw 5.8, particularly at high frequencies. Notably, near the hypocenter, the virtual earthquake’s ground motion significantly changes using a finite fault model, especially with heterogeneous slip distribution. Therefore, applying finite fault models is crucial for simulating ground motions of large earthquakes (Mw ≥ 5.8 magnitude). Moreover, for accurate simulations of actual earthquakes with complex rupture processes having strong localized slips, incorporating finite faults is essential even for more minor earthquakes.

신뢰성 있는 토양의 이산요소모델을 개발하기 위해서는 토양의 특성을 고려하여 매개변수를 교정해야 한다. 본 연구에서는 이산요소모델을 구성하는 각 매개변수가 토양 입자의 거동에 미치는 영향을 분석하였고, 분석된 결과를 이용하여 토양의 이산요소모델을 개발하였다. 민감도 분석의 대상이 되는 매개변수는 전단 계수, 마찰 계수, 표면 에너지 등으로 선정하였으며, 교정의 기준이 되는 토양의 특성은 가비중, 안식각, 점착력 및 내부마찰각으로 선정하였다. 또한, 토성이 서로 다른 해안가, 논 및 밭을 구성하는 토양을 대상으로 연구를 수행하여 다양한 토성에 대한 적용성을 확인하였다. 결과적으로 본 연구에서 수행한 민감도 분석 결과를 이용하여 각 토양의 거동을 모사할 수 있는 이산요소모델을 교정하였으며, 시험 결과와의 비교를 통해 교정된 이산요소모델을 검증하였다.

Bellows expansion joints enhance the displacement performance of piping systems owing to their unique geometrical features. However, structural uncertainties such as wall thinning in convolutions, a byproduct of the manufacturing process, can impair their structural integrity. This study addresses such issues by conducting a global sensitivity analysis to assess the impact of these uncertainties on the performance of bellows expansion joints under monotonic loading. Global sensitivity analysis, which examines main and nth order interaction effects, is computationally expensive. To mitigate this, we employed a surrogate model-based approach using an artificial neural network. This model demonstrated robust prediction capabilities, as evidenced by metrics such as the coefficient of determination. The sensitivity indices of the main effect for the 2-ply and 3-ply bellows at the sixth convolution were 0.3340 and 0.3233, respectively. The sensitivity index of the sixth convolution was larger than that of other convolutions because the maximum deformation of the bellows expansion joint under monotonic bending load occurs around it. Interestingly, the sensitivity index for the interaction effect was negligible (0.01%) compared to the main effect, suggesting minimal activity between uncertainty factors across convolutions. Notably, bellows expansion joints under repetitive loading exhibit more complex behaviors, with the initial leakage typically occurring at the convolution. Therefore, future studies should focus on the structural uncertainties of bellows expansion joints under cyclic loading and employ a surrogate model for comprehensive global sensitivity analysis.

PURPOSES : In this study, energy-consuming processes in asphalt plants were evaluated, and the drying and mixing processes were characterized using a thermal equilibrium equation-based model to quantitatively estimate the amount of energy consumed during the production of mixtures in asphalt concrete plants. METHODS : An energy consumption model based on the thermal equilibrium equation was used to estimate the energy consumption of the aggregate drying process that consumes the maximum energy; the energy consumed for material transportation, storage, and operation of other facilities was cited from the literature. The results were compared with the actual results obtained for recycled hot asphalt mixtures and recycled warm mix asphalt mixtures, and a sensitivity analysis was performed by varying the conditions. RESULTS : An analysis of the main processes required to produce asphalt mixtures showed that the water content had the largest impact on energy consumption (approximately 80%). This quantitatively supports the opinion of field practitioners that maximum energy is consumed during aggregate drying. Although some discrepancies were observed, the results were found to be reasonable and within the range of typical measurements. CONCLUSIONS : The thermal energy consumption estimation model provides consistent results that reflect the characteristics of the mixture and can be used to derive the thermal energy consumption rates for individual materials, such as aggregates and binders. This can be used to identify the priorities for process optimization within a plant.

IPCC에서 발표한 제6차 기후변화 보고서에 따르면 지구온난화에 따른 해수면 상승이 가속화되고 있으며, 2100년 예상 해수면 상승은 저탄소 시나리오(SSP 1~2.6)에서는 47cm, 고탄소 시나리오(SSP 5~8.5)에서는 82cm로 분석되었다. 해수면 상승은 항만 인프라에 심각 한 피해를 입히고, 항만 내에 정박 중인 선박의 계류안전성을 저하시킬 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 해수면 상승시 부두에 계류한 선박의 계류 안전성 향상 방안을 도출하기 위해 만조시 침수 피해가 잦은 목포항을 선정하여 해수면 상승 시나리오에 따른 실제 접안 선박에 대한 계 류 평가 요소의 민감도를 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 해수면이 상승함에 따라 동일한 환경조건에서 계류라인 장력, 계선주 하중, 계류라인 수 직각도, 선체 6자유도 운동값이 대체로 증가하는 것으로 분석되었다. 또한, 마루높이가 상향되면 모든 계류 평가 요소의 값이 대체로 감소 하여 선박 및 부두의 안전성 향상에 유리한 것으로 분석되었다. 본 연구 결과는 목포항 해수면 상승에 따른 항만 및 선박의 안전성 향상 방안을 확보하기 위한 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

PURPOSES : This study aims to conduct a sensitivity analysis to determine the major factors affecting traffic accidents involving elderly pedestrians. METHODS : In this study, a regression tree model was built based on a non-parametric statistical model using data on traffic accidents involving elderly pedestrians. Using this model, we analyzed the degree of change in the probability of pedestrian fatalities. RESULTS : Results of the model analysis show that the first major factor combination affecting traffic accidents involving elderly pedestrians is speeding, night time, and road markers. The second combination is night time and arterial roads (national and local highways). The last combination that may lead to such accidents is heavy vehicles and federally funded local highways. CONCLUSIONS : Preventive measures, such as speed control, proper lighting, median strips, designation of pedestrian protection zones, and guidance of detours, are necessary to manage high-risk combinations causing accidents of the elderly.

본 논문에서는 역전파 방법 기반 자동미분법을 이용하여 설계민감도를 구하고 이를 응력제한조건을 고려한 위상최적설계에 적용 하였다. 응력제한조건이 있는 위상최적화문제는 특이점(singularity)과 응력의 국부성(local nature of stress constraint)문제, 그리고 설 계 변수에 대한 비선형성의 문제를 포함하고 최적해를 얻기가 매우 힘들다. 특이점 문제를 해결하기 위해서 응력 완화(stress relaxation) 기법을 사용하였고, 응력의 국부성을 해결하기 위해 p-norm을 이용한 전역 응력치를 제한조건에 사용하였다. 설계 변수에 대한 비선 형성을 극복하기 위해 해석적인 방법으로 정확한 설계민감도를 구하는 것이 중요하다. 위상최적설계에서 기존에는 보조변수방법 (adjoint variable method)을 사용하여 빠르고 정확한 설계민감도를 구했지만, 설계민감도를 해석적으로 구해야 하고, 보조평형방정식 을 추가로 풀어야 하는 어려움이 있다. 이를 해결하기 위해서 인공신경망에서 최적 가중치(weights)와 편차(biases)를 구할 때 쓰이는 역전파 기법을 이용하여 설계민감도를 구하고 이를 응력제한조건을 고려한 위상최적설계에 적용하였다. 역전파 기법은 자동미분에 쓰이는 기법으로 목적함수나 제한조건에 대한 설계민감도를 별도의 수식유도 없이 간단하게 구할 수 있는 장점이 있다. 또한, 미분값 을 구하는 역전파의 과정이 보조평형방정식을 푸는 것보다 계산시간이 빠르고 해석적 방법으로 구한 설계민감도와 같은 정확도를 보 여준다

The study was aimed to investigate the operational meal costs by kindergarten size in Seoul and to analyze recognition for optimal meal prices. A survey (31.6% recovery rate) was conducted on all kindergartens (779 kindergartens) in Seoul on April 2021 using descriptive analysis, t-test, and dispersion method. A price sensitivity measurement (psm) method was used to determine optimal meal prices. Result showed an average food cost for kindergartens of 2,647 won, an average labor cost of 605 won, an average operating cost of 146 won, and the total meal cost of 3,506 won. Total meal cost decreased with increasing kindergarten size (p<0.001). On the other hand, kindergartens with more students decreased the ratio of food cost to total meal cost, and operating cost and labor costs (p<0.001) increased. The optimal price of kindergarten operators' meal cost (OPP) was KRW 3,673. Furthermore, the analysis showed the sensitivity of operators' meal costs to kindergarten size was insignificant.

CALMET (California Meteorological Model), which is a meteorological subroutine for an air quality dispersion mode (CALPUFF; California Puff Model), closely related with the land surface structure. In this study, the sensitivity of micro-meteorological parameters including wind speed and roughness height, Albedo, Bowen ratio, soil heat flux, and leaf area index were closely evaluated with change of land-use in relation to urban development. As a result, although no consistent dependence of roughness height on surface wind was found, it showed that high value of surface roughness could lead to the increase of friction velocity, influence the Monin-Obukhov length and the mixing height. At the same time, the increasing Albedo reduced friction velocity and mixing height. Thus, it was concluded for the CALMET modelling that it is necessary to first define the roughness height, Albedo, and Bowen ratio according to land-use.

The purpose of this study was to analyze the operators' perception of the allowable price range and the optimal price of kindergarten meals by using the PSM (price sensitivity measurement) technique and provide basic data on calculating kindergarten meal costs reflecting realistic meals. From April to May 2021, 779 kindergartens in Seoul were surveyed, based on 246 (31.6%) of the respondents. According to the survey, kindergarteners spent 3,506 won for meals on average, followed by 3,822 won for kindergarten attached to elementary school, 3,316 won for public kindergartens, and 2,896 won for private kindergartens (p<0.001). The allowed price range for the kindergarten meal service workers was estimated at 3,447~3854 won, 3,447 won for PMC (Point of Marginal Cheapness), and 3,854 won for PME (Point of Marginal Expensiveness). The appropriate cost of the kindergarten meal service provider was 3,950 won for kindergartens attached to elementary school, 3,425 won for public kindergartens, and 3,546 won for private kindergartens.

본 연구의 대상은 신축이음장치를 설치하지 않고 상부구조와 교대를 일체화하는 무조인트 교량이다. 무조인트 교량은 국내에 2009년 이후 본격적으로 도입되었다. 공용기간이 짧고 설계, 시공 및 유지관리 경험이 부족하여 장기거동에 대한 신뢰도가 아직은 부족하다. 수치해석을 통해 다수의 교량을 분석하는 경우 수치해석 모델은 안정적인 정확성 유지와 모델 구축의 편의성이 확보되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 다양한 형식을 가진 무조인트 교량의 수치해석 모델을 선정하기 위해 민감도 해석을 수행하였다. 민감도 해석은 상용 유한요소 프로그램인 MIDAS Civil과 ABAQUS를 사용하여 수행하였다. solid 요소 기반인 모델을 기준으로 하여 구조모델간 평균 및 최대 상대오차를 분석하였다. 해석결과 beam 요소 기반인 모델은 상대오차가 크게 발생하였고 shell 요소 기반인 모델은 상대오차가 아주 미소하였다. 따라서 무조인트 교량의 최적 수치해석 모델은 상대오차에 의한 변위 형상의 유사성과 정밀도를 유지하면서 실용적인 모델인 shell 요소 기반 모델이 가장 적합한 것으로 판단하였다.

The purpose of this study was to investigate the perception of the quality of school meals by parents of kindergarten children in Seoul, analyze the acceptance price and the optimal school meal cost using PSM (price sensitivity measurement) techniques, and provide basic data for improving the quality of kindergarten meals. The survey was conducted using descriptive statistics and PSM analysis of the responses of 1,272 parents of 779 kindergarten children belonging to the Seoul Metropolitan Office of Education from April to May 2021 and prior research analysis related to kindergarten meals. 74.1% of the parents surveyed were women, with 61% of children attending kindergartens attached to elementary schools, followed by private kindergartens (28.9%) and public kindergartens (10.1%). According to a study of the quality of meals, private kindergarten parents are highly satisfied with all the quality attributes of meals, such as “sanitation of dining environment” and “nutritionally balanced food” (p<0.001, p<0.01). The analysis of the acceptance price range and the optimal price for school meals showed that there was no significant variation based on the type of kindergarten establishment, with parents' acceptance price range ranging from 3,596 won to 4,454 won with an optimal price of 3,948 won.

육상풍력의 보급이 지연되는 가장 큰 원인인 입지애로 문제를 해결하기 위해 육상풍력 사업성 사전 검토 단계에서 입지적 합성을 검토할 수 있도록 육상풍력 입지지도가 개발되었다. 본 연구에서는 육상풍력 입지지도 고도화의 일환으로 산업부, 환경부, 산 림청의 부처간 협의에 따라 풍력자원, 생태·환경 입지요인 24종, 산림 입지요인 21종을 통합하여 육상풍력 입지 적합성을 종합적으로 평가할 수 있는 고려대상 지역 지도를 개발하였다. 고려대상 지역 지도를 분석한 결과 환경·산림 입지 적합성이 모두 상(high)이고 경제성이 확보되는 지역은 조사대상 면적의 4%인 4,032km2로 산정되었으며, 고려대상 지역의 민감도 분석에 의하면 생태·자연도 1등급 및 2등급과 겨울철 조류동시센서스 조사지역의 민감도가 가장 큰 것으로 확인하였다. 이를 통해 육상풍력 입지의 사전 검토를 위한 고려대상 지역 지도의 실효성을 확인하였다.