PURPOSES : This study aimed to investigate the factors affecting the severity of traffic crashes caused by personal mobility (PM) devices compared with those involving victims. METHODS : Traffic crashes involving PM devices were used to build a non-parametric statistical model using a classification tree. Based on the results, the factors influencing both at-fault and victim-related crashes caused by PM devices were analyzed. The factors affecting accident severity were also compared. RESULTS : Common factors affecting the severity of traffic crashes involving both perpetrators and victims using PM devices include occurrences at intersections, crosswalks at intersections, single roads, and inside tunnels. Traffic law violations by PM device users (perpetrators) influence the severity of crashes. Meanwhile, factors such as the behavior of perpetrators using other modes of transportation, rear-end collisions, road geometry, and weather conditions affect the severity of crashes where PM device users are the victims. CONCLUSIONS : To reduce the severity of traffic crashes involving PM devices, it is essential to extend the length of physically separated shared paths for cyclists and pedestrians, actively enforce laws to prevent violations by PM device users, and provide systematic and regular educational programs to ensure safe driving practices among PM device users.
본 연구는 2017년부터 2021년까지 고속도로에서 발생한 약 9,600건의 사고를 분석하여 자율주행 긴급차량의 신속한 대응 능력을 향 상시키고자 하였다. 조사 결과, 2차 사고가 전체 사망자의 16.8%를 차지하며, 이들 중 약 74%가 선행사고와 관련이 있다는 점이 강조 된다. 이러한 통계는 긴급차량의 신속한 대처 능력이 피해를 최소화하는 데 얼마나 중요한지를 보여준다. 연구에서는 사고의 영향권을 정의하고, 이를 기반으로 긴급차량이 보다 안전하고 효율적으로 사고 현장에 접근할 수 있도록 하는 알고리즘을 개발하였다. 실제 교 통사고 데이터를 활용하여 사고 지속 시간과 다양한 변수를 고려한 기초 분석을 실시하였으며, 도로 특성, 사고 종류, 점유 차로 등 여러 요소를 반영하여 대응 기준을 설정했다. 알고리즘은 자율주행 차량이 실시간으로 주변 정보를 수집하고 신속하게 대응 방안을 마련할 수 있도록 설계되었다. 향후 연구에서는 알고리즘의 실제 도로 환경에서의 적용 가능성을 검토하고, 다양한 변수들을 포함한 추가 연구를 통해 성능을 더욱 개선할 계획이다. 이러한 연구 결과는 교통사고로 인한 피해를 줄이는 데 기여하고, 자율주행 기술을 활용하여 2차 사고의 가능성을 감소시키는 데 중요한 역할을 할 것으로 기대된다.
2019년 12월, 상주-영천 고속도로 상행선에서 도로 노면 결빙에 의한 연쇄추돌사고로 48명의 사상자가 발생하였다. 이에, 국토교통부 는 2020년 1월 결빙 취약구간 선정기준을 마련하여 결빙 취약구간 403개소를 지정하고, 결빙 취약구간을 대상으로 2022년까지 1,699억 원의 예산을 투입하여 결빙사고 예방사업을 계획하였다(BAI, 2021). 하지만, 결빙 취약구간 선정기준에 대해 적정성 검토가 이루어지 지 않아 그 신뢰성과 실효성이 충분히 검증되지 않았다. 본 연구에서는 국가교통정보센터의 노드·링크(Node·Link) 체계를 기반으로 전국 고속국도 및 일반국도의 특성정보(시설, 선형구조, 기상, 교통 등)를 GIS(Geographic Information System) 데이터로 구축하였다. 최근 5년 결빙사고 발생이력이 있는 도로구간(Link)을 확인하고 Random Forest 알고리즘을 통해 도로 특성정보의 결빙사고에 대한 변수 중요도(Feature Importance)를 분석했다. 이를 통해 결빙사고와 각 인자의 상관성을 파악하여 ‘결빙 취약구간 평가 세부 배점표’의 항목별 배점을 수정, 보완함으로써 평가표의 신뢰성을 제고한다.
PURPOSES : This study analyzes the accident damage scale of hazardous material transportation vehicles not monitored in real time by the Hazardous Material Transportation Safety (HMTS) management center. METHODS : To simulate hazardous-material transportation vehicle accidents, a preliminary analysis of transportation vehicle registration status was conducted. Simulation analyses were conducted for hazardous substance and flammable gas transportation vehicles with a high proportion of small- and medium-sized vehicles. To perform a spill accident damage-scale simulation of hazardous-substance transportation vehicles, the fluid analysis software ANSYS Fluent was used. Additionally, to analyze explosion accidents in combustible gas transportation vehicles, the risk assessment software Phast and Aloha were utilized. RESULT : Simulation analysis of hazardous material transportation vehicles revealed varying damage scales based on vehicle capacity. Simulation analysis of spillage accidents showed that the first arrival time at the side gutter was similar for various vehicle capacities. However, the results of the cumulative pollution analysis based on vehicle capacity exhibited some differences. In addition, the simulation analysis of the explosion overpressure and radiant heat intensity of the combustible gas transportation vehicle showed that the difference in the danger radius owing to the difference in vehicle capacity was insignificant. CONCLUSIONS : The simulation analysis of hazardous-material transportation vehicles indicated that accidents involving small- and medium-sized transportation vehicles could result in substantial damage to humans and ecosystems. For safety management of these small and medium-sized hazardous material transportation vehicles, it is expected that damage can be minimized with the help of rapid accident response through real-time vehicle control operated by the existing HMTS management center.
국토교통부는 2020년 '결빙 취약구간 평가 세부 배점표’에 따라, 전국의 고속국도와 일반국도를 대상으로 410개 구간의 결빙 취약구 간을 선정하였다. 그러나, 2021년 감사원의 결빙 취약구간 지정 적정성 감사 결과에서 감사원은 현재 지정ㆍ관리 중인 결빙 취약구간 및 결빙 취약구간 평가 세부 배점표의 적정성에 문제를 제기하였다. 이에, 국토교통부는 결빙 취약구간을 재지정하여 발표하였으나 그 에 대한 평가 및 지정 적정성 검증이 아직 이루어지지 않았다. 본 연구에서는 결빙 취약구간과 결빙사고 데이터의 위치정보를 수집하여 GIS(Geographic Information System) 데이터로 구축하고 맵핑(Mapping)하여 결빙 취약구간 내 결빙사고이력을 확인함으로서 결빙 취약구간의 결빙사고 예측성능을 평가하였다. 또한, 각 결빙 사고 발생지점에서 도로시설, 교통, 선형구조, 환경인자 데이터를 수집하여 분석한다. 이를 통해 결빙사고와 각 인자 간의 상관성을 파 악하고, 그 결과에 따라 결빙 취약구간 평가 세부 배점표의 평가항목 및 각 항목별 배점을 수정하고 보완함으로써 결빙 취약구간의 신뢰성을 제고한다.
겨울철 국내 도로 결빙으로 인한 교통사고가 증가하는 추세를 보이고 있으며 2018년~2022년까지 총 4,609건의 결빙 교통사고가 발 생하였다. 결빙 교통사고의 치사율은 2.3으로 일반적인 교통사고와 비교하여 높은 치사율을 보이며 최근 5년(2018~2022)동안 결빙 교 통사고로 인하여 107명이 사망자와 7,728명의 부상자가 발생하였다. 현재 국토교통부에서 제시한 결빙 취약구간 평가기준표에 따라 결 빙 위험 구간을 지정하고 있으나, 해당 기준은 결빙의 주요 요인으로 고려되는 기상조건을 충분히 반영하지 못하고 있다. 도로 결빙은 노면온도가 0℃ 이하이며 노면에 수분이 공급될 때 형성되며 기온, 구름량, 풍속, 풍향, 상대습도, 강수량 등의 기상인자들이 복합적으 로 작용하여 결빙이 발생한다는 점을 고려하였을 때, 기상 특성은 도로 결빙의 주요 인자로 판단된다. 따라서 국내 결빙 취약구간 평 가기준의 개선이 필요하며 본 연구의 목적은 국내 결빙 교통사고 데이터를 분석하고 결빙이 형성되는 기상 조건을 구체화하는 것이다. 분석을 위한 데이터로 2018년~2022년까지 5년동안 발생한 결빙사고 사례와 기상청 방재기상관측소(AWS)에서 제공하는 기상 데이터 를 적용하였다. 이후, 박스도표, 확률밀도함수 등의 통계분석을 적용하여 결빙 형성 기상 조건을 구체화하였다. 이를 통하여 기존 결빙 취약구간 평가기준의 기상학적 개선 방향성을 제시할 수 있으며 더 나아가 도로 결빙 예측 로직 개발을 기대할 수 있다.
PURPOSES : This study aimed to identify factors affecting the duration of traffic incidents in tunnel sections, as accidents in tunnels tend to cause more congestion than those on main roads. Survival analysis and a Cox proportional hazards model were used to analyze the determinants of incident clearance times. METHODS : Tunnel traffic accidents were categorized into tunnel access sections versus inner tunnel sections according to the point of occurrence. The factors affecting duration were compared between main road and tunnel locations. The Cox model was applied to quantify the effects of various factors on incident duration time by location. RESULTS : Key factors influencing mainline incident duration included collision type, driver behavior and gender, number of vehicles involved, number of accidents, and post-collision vehicle status. In tunnels, the primary factors identified were collision type, driver behavior, single vs multi-vehicle involvement, and vehicles stopping in the tunnel after collisions. Incidents lasted longest when vehicles stopped at tunnel entrances and exits. In addition, we hypothesize that incident duration in tunnels is longer than in main roads due to the reduced space for vehicle handling. CONCLUSIONS : These results can inform the development of future incident management strategies and congestion mitigation for tunnels and underpasses. The Cox model provided new insights into the determinants of incident duration times in constrained tunnel environments compared to open main roads.
PURPOSES : The purpose of this study is to statistically analyze the meteorological factors that contribute to the formation of road surface icing based on actual cases of icing accidents and provide directions for improving icing evaluation criteria. METHODS : In this study, we collected cases of domestic road icing accidents by searching news articles with the keyword ‘icing collision accidents’. Subsequently, we determined the latitude, longitude, and altitude of accident locations using satellite map service. We applied the Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) method and temperature lapse rate to estimate meteorological data at each location. Finally, statistical analysis was conducted for temperature, humidity, and precipitation occurrence using probability density functions. RESULTS : As a result, road icing accident data points with identifiable location coordinates were collected. Among these, temperature, humidity, and precipitation occurrence from Automated Weather Stations (AWS) data were selected for analysis. During the process of correcting meteorological factors using the Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) method, the optimal Weighting Exponent (p) that minimizes the error was determined and applied. The results showed that accidents occurring in the morning indicated the highest accident occurrence rate. The average temperature at the time of the accidents was -1.4°C, with a humidity level of 85.1%. Precipitation was observed at the time of the accident in 19 cases. CONCLUSIONS : Icing on pavement can occur not only under extreme weather conditions but also under typical meteorological conditions. Typically, icing can occur when the relative humidity is above 70%. Accordingly, for future improvements in the evaluation criteria for icing-prone areas by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport, it is possible to incorporate the temperature and humidity ranges that generally lead to icing, taking into account climate characteristics.
This study analyzed the factors affecting the effectiveness of the Chemical Hazard Risk Management (CHARM). A survey was conducted on 104 learners who participated in the Risk Assessment training course at Occupational Safety and Health Training Institute. Through a self-administered questionnaire, the effect of personal characteristics, corporate characteristics, and safety and health level of the company on the effectiveness of chemical risk assessment was investigated. As a result of statistical analysis, the safety and health level of the company had a positive (+) effect on the effectiveness of Chemical Hazard Risk Management(CHARM), but personal characteristics and corporate characteristics had no relation to it. This study can be used as basic data for further research related to chemical risk assessment in workplaces.
PURPOSES : This study aims to analyze the causes of pedestrian traffic accidents on community roads. METHODS : This study collected variables affecting pedestrian traffic accidents on community roads based on field surveys and analyzed them using negative binomial regression and zero-inflated negative binomial regression models. RESULTS : Model analysis results showed that the negative binomial regression model is more suitable than the zero-inflation negative binomial regression model. Additionally, the segment length (m), pedestrian volume (persons/15 min), traffic volume (numbers/15 min.), the extent of illegal parking, pedestrian-vehicle conflict ratio, and one-way traffic (one: residential, two: commercial) were found to influence pedestrian traffic accidents on community roads. Model fitness indicators, comparing actual values with predicted values, showed an MPB of 1.54, MAD of 2.57, and RMSE of 7.03. CONCLUSIONS : This study quantified the factors contributing to pedestrian traffic accidents on community roads by considering both static and dynamic elements. Instead of uniformly implementing measures, such as pedestrian priority zones and facility improvements on community roads, developing diverse strategies that consider various dynamic factors should be considered.
PURPOSES : This study investigates the factors affecting extra-long tunnel accidents by integrating data on tunnel geometry, traffic flow, and traffic accidents and derives the underlying implications to mitigate the severity of accidents. METHODS : Two processes centered on three key data points (tunnel geometry, traffic flow, and traffic accidents) were used in this study. The first is to analyze the spatial characteristics of extra-long tunnel traffic accidents and categorize them from multiple perspectives. The other was to investigate the factors affecting extra-long tunnel traffic accidents using the equivalent property-damage-only (EPDO) of individual accidents and the aforementioned data as the dependent and independent variables, respectively, by employing an ordered logistic regression model. RESULTS : Gyeonggi-do, Gyeongsangnam-do, and Gangwon-do are three metropolitan municipalities that have a significant number of extra-long tunnel accidents; Busan and Seoul have the most extra-long tunnel accidents, accounting for 23.2% (422 accidents) and 18.6% (339 accidents) of the 1,821 accidents that occurred from 2007 to 2020, respectively. In addition, approximately 70% of extra-long tunnel traffic accidents occurred along tunnels with lengths of less than 2 km, and Seoul and Busan accounted for over 60% of the top 20 extra-long tunnels with accidents. Most importantly, the Hwangryeong (down) tunnel in Busan experienced the most extra-long tunnel traffic accidents, with 77 accidents occurring during the same period. As a result of the ordered logistic regression modeling with EPDO and multiple independent variables, the significant factors affecting the severity of extra-long tunnel traffic accidents were determined to be road type (freeway, local route, and metropolitan city road), traffic flow (speed), accident time (year, summer, weekend, and afternoon), accident type (rear end), traffic law violations (safe distance violation and center line violation), and offending vehicles (van, sedan, and truck). CONCLUSIONS : Based on these results, the following measures and implications for mitigating the severity of extra-long tunnel traffic accidents must be considered: upgrading the emergency response level of all road types to that of freeways and actively promoting techniques for regulating high-speed vehicles approaching and traversing within extra-long tunnels are necessary. In addition, the emergency response and preparation system should be reinforced, particularly when the damage from extra-long tunnel traffic accidents is more serious, such as during the summer, weekends, and afternoons. Finally, traffic law violations such as safe distance and centerline violations in extra-long tunnels should be prohibited.
This study would analyze a survey conducted with 609 workers to use the results as materials for the settlement of safety culture for the characteristics of the establishment by assessing the status of the workers’ exposure to harmful risks and the impact on safety culture to present the following conclusions. This study has significance in that it found that exposure to harmful/dangerous factors in the establishment and the workers’ experiences of occupational accidents affect their perception of safety culture and that in particular, ‘worker safety priority’ of the safety cultural factors was an important factor, and it is judged that continuous studies are necessary so that the perceptions of safety culture will spread in the establishment.
이 연구는 교도관들이 직무수행 중 경험하는 교정사고와 폭력피해의 유형과 규모를 측정하고, 교정사고와 폭력피해의 경험이 교도관들의 직무스트레스와 직무만족도에 미치는 영향에 대해 알아보고자 하는 목적으로 진행하였다. 4개 지방교정청 산하의 15개 교정시설을 선정한 후 총 385명의 교도관을 대상으로 그들의 각종 교정사고 경험에 대한 데이터를 수집하였으며 더불어서 직무스트레스 와 직무만족도를 측정하였다. 먼저 12개의 교정사고 유형별로 경험빈도를 측정하였는데, 빈도와 비율이 가장 높 은 것부터 5개를 순서대로 나열해 보면, 수용자 간 언어적 폭력, 수용자 간 정서적 폭력, 교도관에 대한 수용자의 언어적 폭력, 교도관에 대한 수용자의 정서적 폭력, 수 용자들의 소란과 난동의 순이었다. 교도관에 대한 수용자의 신체적 폭력은 수용자들 의 자해와 비슷한 빈도와 비율을 보였으며(60% 내외), 교도관의 직접 경험담을 통해알아 본 교도관의 폭력피해의 구체적 사례를 감안하면 교도관을 향한 수용자들의 폭 력의 심각성이 상당히 크다는 사실을 알 수 있었다. 교정사고 경험과 수용자로 부터의 폭력피해가 교도관의 직무스트레스와 직무만족도 에 미치는 영향에 대한 분석결과, 선행연구들의 결과와 일치하는 경향을 보였다. 다시 말해, 수용자들이 교정시설 안에서 일으키는 각종사고와 교도관에 대한 폭력은 교도 관들의 직무스트레스에 부정적인 영향을 준다는 것이 입증되었다. 특히 교도관들의 폭력피해가 직무스트레스에 미치는 영향이 상대적으로 크다는 것도 알 수 있었다. 교정사고 경험과 폭력피해가 직무만족도에 미치는 과정에서 직무스트레스의 효과 여부를 확인하기 위해 시행한 분석에서 직무스트레스는 교정사고 경험과 폭력피해 경 험이 직무만족도에 미치는 영향을 매개한다는 것도 경험적으로 지지되었다. 이러한 결과를 기반으로 교도소의 안전을 달성하고, 교도관들의 직무 위험을 낮추 며, 폭력피해의 트라우마를 회복하도록 도와주기 위해서는 교도소의 각종 폭력에 대 한 보다 본격적인 연구와 연구결과에 기반한 근거기반 정책의 수립과 집행이 필요하 다는 것을 제언하였다.
PURPOSES : The primary purpose of this study is to establish a crash probability model based on a statistical method that explains the relationship between regressor and explanatory variables using both fixed and random effects to control the heterogeneous characteristics of the observed data. In addition, an attempt was made to discover the leading cause of crashes by vehicle type, including passenger car, bus, truck, and trailer.
METHODS : The levels of each route and day of the week are grouped using raw expressway crash data for 10 years from 2012 to 2021, and a multilevel mixed-effect logit model is constructed for each vehicle type assuming that the error terms are derived from the hierarchical structure of the group to which they belong.
RESULTS : Speeding and obstacles on the road are significant factors that increase the probability of passenger car crashes, and bus crashes have a high rate at toll gates on weekdays.
CONCLUSIONS : The multilevel mixed-effect logit model derived in the study has higher accuracy than the general logit model, confirming that mixed-effect analysis is plausible.
This study examined the certification effects of safety and health management system (SHMS) on the establishment level of SHMS and accident statistics in construction industry. This study obtained the establishment level of SHMS for 106 construction companies surveyed from our previous study. In addition, three major accident statistics (mortality rate, accidental mortality rate, and injury rate) for the companies were collected from the database in Korean Occupational Safety and Health Agency. The statistical analysis results revealed that the establishment level for SHMS certified companies was significantly higher than those for uncertified or certification preparing companies. Furthermore, SHMS certified companies showed significantly smaller accident statistics compared to uncertified or certification preparing companies. The results of this study support the positive effects of SHMS on reducing major industrial accidents in construction companies.
본 연구의 목적은 비대면 온라인 강의를 경험한 간호대학생의 수업 만족도, 자기효능감, 비판 적 사고의 관계를 확인하고, 비판적 사고에 미치는 영향을 파악하기 위한 서술적 연구이다. 연구 대상자 는 G시 소재 간호대학생 191명으로 자료수집은 2022년 5월 2일부터 5월 31일까지 진행되었다. 수집된 자료는 기술통계, t-test, ANOVA 및 Scheffe‘ test로 분석하였다. 연구 결과, 비판적 사고는 수업 만족도 (r=.20, p=.005), 자기효능감(r=.61, p<.001)과 양의 상관관계가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 간호대학생의 비 판적 사고에 영향을 미치는 요인은 자기효능감(β=.66, p<.001), 전공에 대한 흥미도 중 매우 흥미 있는 경우(β=.41, p<.001), 수업 만족도(β=-.31, p<.001), 3학년(β=.26, p<.001), 전공에 대한 흥미도 중 흥 미 있는 경우(β=.21, p=.029), 2학년(β=.16, p<.001)순으로 나타났으며, 60.1%를 설명하였다. 본 연구 결과를 토대로 간호대학생의 비판적 사고 증진을 위해 전공에 대한 흥미도, 학년별로 개별적인 상담과 지도가 필요하며 자기효능감과 수업 만족도를 향상할 수 있는 다양한 프로그램을 개발하여 시행하는 것 이 필요하다.
PURPOSES : In this study, the factors affecting the severity of traffic accidents in highway tunnel sections were analyzed. The main lines of the highway and tunnel sections were compared, and factors affecting the severity of accidents were derived for each tunnel section, such as the tunnel access zone and tunnel inner zone.
METHODS : An ordered probit model (OPM) was employed to estimate the factors affecting accident severity. The accident grade, which indicates the severity of highway traffic accidents, was set as the dependent variable. In addition, human, environmental, road condition, accident, and tunnel factors were collected and set as independent variables of the model. Marginal effects were examined to analyze how the derived influential factors affected the severity of each accident.
RESULTS : As a result of the OPM analysis, accident factors were found to be influential in increasing the seriousness of the accident in all sections. Environmental factors, road conditions, and accident factors were identified as the main influential factors in the tunnel access zone. In contrast, accident and tunnel factors in the tunnel inner zone were found to be the influencing factors. In particular, it was found that serious accidents (A, B) occurred in all sections when a rollover accident occurred.
CONCLUSIONS : This study confirmed that the influencing factors and the probability of accident occurrence differed between the tunnel access zone and inner zone. Most importantly, when the vehicle was overturned after the accident occurred, the results of the influencing factors were different. Therefore, the results can be used as a reference for establishing safety management strategies for tunnels or underground roads.
본 논문은 CFD 해석법을 이용하여 사고 선박의 손상부 형상에 따른 기름 유출량 변화를 예측하고, 이론 추정식에서 이를 고려 할 수 있는 방출계수 도출 결과를 소개한다. Froude수와 Reynolds수 상사를 만족하는 조건에서 다상유동 해석법을 사용하여 모형선 크기의 기름 유출 문제를 다루었다. 수치해석 결과는 알려진 실험 결과와 비교하여 검증하였다. 수학적 형상들로 정의한 손상부 형상의 변화와 함께 손상부 가로세로비와 기름탱크 두께의 변화가 기름 유출 유동에 미치는 영향을 조사하였다. 보다 현실적인 상황을 고려하기 위해 손상부의 찧어진 철판의 영향에 대한 해석도 포함하였다. 수치해석 결과를 통해 사고 선박의 손상부 형상에 따른 기름 유출량의 변화를 확인하였으며, 다양한 손상부 형상이 가지는 점성 영향을 방출계수로 정량화하여 추출하였다. 본 논문에서 제시하는 방출계수에 대한 검 증을 위하여 알려진 기름 유출량 주정식에게 적용하였으며, CFD 해석과 좋은 일치를 얻었다.
PURPOSES : In this study, we quantitatively prove the rubber necking phenomenon for highway traffic accidents and develop a calculation model based on the influencing factors.
METHODS : Vehicle detector speed data in the opposite direction to the accident point were used based on the accident data on highways over the past three years, and a comparative verification was performed between nearby vehicle detector data to verify the reliability of the data. Accordingly, a binomial logistic model, ordinal probit regression model, and multilinear regression model were developed to compare the orientation.
RESULTS : There was a difference in the influencing factors based on the dependent variable, and the day of the week, vehicle type, weather, longitudinal slope, and median height had an effect. Through a regression analysis, an influence coefficient was derived to calculate the driving speed deceleration value by rubbernecking. The results of the model analysis proved that the speed reduction caused by rubbernecking was more evident during the daytime than at night, during weekends compared to weekdays, and the speed reduction was more obvious for heavy vehicles compared to other types of vehicles. It can also be concluded that longer clearance time, higher accident severity, and higher traffic volume affect traffic delay. To verify the data and model equation, the mean prediction bias (MPB) and mean absolute deviation (MAD) were calculated for hundred cases randomly extracted from the collected accident data. These results were excellent.
CONCLUSIONS : It can be developed into a human-engineered model that reflects various road/facility conditions, such as highways, other lanes, general roads, and roads without a median strip. This study is meaningful as a basic study on the quantitative effect of rubber necking.