2017년 7월 15일 서울과 수도권에 집중호우를 발생시킨 깊은 대류운과 강수 발달에 대한 종관 기상 메커니즘 을 규명하고 중국 동부지역으로부터의 PM2.5 에어로졸의 간접효과를 WRF-Chem 실험을 통해 분석하였다. WRF-Chem 모델에 에어로졸과 복사의 피드백, 구름 화학 과정, 습식 세정을 모두 포함한 ARI (Aerosol Radiation Interaction) 실험 과 에어로졸과 복사의 피드백을 제외하고 구름 화학 과정, 습식 세정만을 포함한 ACR (Aerosol Cloud Radiation interaction) 실험 결과의 차이로부터 PM2.5 에어로졸 간접효과를 산출하였다. 2017년 7월 15일 새벽에 황해와 한반도에 서는 동아시아 대륙에서 저기압-북서 태평양의 고기압 분포로 인해 중국 남동 지역과 동중국해로부터 덥고 습한 기류 가 수렴하고 있었다. 이러한 황해의 종관 기상에 의해 발달하는 대류운은 높이 12 km 이상이며 고체 수상체를 형성하 고 있었는데, 이는 주로 대륙 위에서 발달하는 한랭운(많은 빙정을 형성하며 운정고도가 8 km 이상)의 특성을 나타내고 있었다. 특히, WRF-Chem 모델 실험을 통해 중국 동부지역으로부터 확산하는 PM2.5 에어로졸이 구름물 형성에 5.7%, 고체 수상체 형성에 10.4%, 그리고 액체 수상체 형성에 10.8%로 대류운이 한랭운으로 발달하는 데 기여하고 있었다. 본 연구는 황해 위에서 깊은 대류운이 발달하는 과정에 대한 기상적 메커니즘과 더불어 중국 동부지역으로부터 에어로 졸에 의한 간접효과의 영향을 제시하였다.

In this study, we analyzed how the revenue water ratio(RWR) is affected by changes in conditions of the water supply area, such as the ratio of aging pipes, maintenance conditions, and revenue water. As a result of analyzing the impact of pipe aging and maintenance conditions on the RWR, it was confirmed that the RWR could be decreased if the pipe replacement project to improve the aging pipe ratio was not carried out and proper maintenance costs were not secured. It was also confirmed that an increase in the revenue water could be operated to facilitate the achievement of the project’s target RWR. In contrast, a decrease in the revenue water due to a population reduction could affect the failure of the target RWR. In addition to analyzing the causes of variation in the RWR, the calculation of estimated project costs was considered by using leakage reduction instead of RWR from recent RWR improvement project cost data. From this analysis, it was reviewed whether the project costs planned to achieve the target RWR of the RWR improvement project in A city were appropriate. In conclusion, the RWR could be affected by variations in the ratio of aging pipes, maintenance conditions, and revenue water, and it was reasonable to consider not only the construction input but also the input related to RWR improvement, such as leakage reduction, when calculating the project cost.

This study was conducted to investigate the growth characteristics of domestic 'Sulhyang' strawberry (Fragaria × ananassa Duch.) seedlings and to analyze their relationships in order to develop a growth prediction model. Fresh weight, dry weight, and leaf area were measured to validate the newly developed growth model. The relative growth rate (RGR) of ‘Sulhyang’ seedlings’ dry weight was an average of 0.026 g·g-1·d-1, and it increased to 0.066 g·g-1·d-1 on the 49th day after transplanting (DAT). The relationship between DAT and RGR was represented as RGR (dry weight)(g·g- 1·d-1) = 0.0392/(1 + exp(–(DAT – 34.9940)/5.8662)). The crop growth rate (CGR) was an average of 0.060 g·m-2·d-1, and it increased to 0.211 g·m-2·d-1 on the 70th DAT. The relationship between DAT and CGR was calculated as CGR (dry weight)(g·m-2·d-1) = 0.1293/(1 + exp(–(DAT – 49.3917)/6.0928)). The relationship between shoot fresh weight (y) and shoot dry weight (x) per plant showed a linear relationship of y = 4.3189x + 0.7812 (R2 = 0.9976). Fresh weight, dry weight, and leaf area with respect to DAT and cumulative temperature increased exponentially, and sigmoid curve models were developed based on these data. The model with the highest coefficient of determination was found for the relationship between shoot dry weight (y) and cumulative temperature (x), represented as y = 14.2285/(1 + exp(–(x – 1590.1295)/377.8112)) (R2 = 0.9715). The results of this study can be utilized as valuable information for establishing a systematic management system for seedling production using strawberry cutting propagation methods. For the development of a more precise growth prediction model in the future, it is necessary to analyze and apply a wider range of growth indicators and meteorological factors related to strawberry seedlings.

of hazardous risk factors, risk estimation and determination steps by reflecting the trend of overseas risk assessment. METHODS : In deriving, estimating and determining risk factors, comparing the procedures presented by the ILO with the domestic guidline to find out the differences in procedural. and, According to the domestic manual, after setting the criteria for determining a deterministic perspective, analyze the risk assessment data of a specific domestic company and three overseas risk assessment research data to analyze the differences in methodology domestic and abroad. RESULTS : Within the country, there is a possibility that a deterministic view may be applied to all stages of procedure, and certain corporate data to the risk estimation and determination stage. In the case of overseas, the trend of applying deterministic perspectives to the risk determination stage was confirmed. CONCLUSIONS : Present the need for a standard model for improving deterministic methods in the other two stages, excluding risk determination in the domestic evaluation procedure.

As a means to activate eco pastoral system in alpine grassland, the government can consider public pastures, which are currently unused, to scale them up into public ranches. Depending on ownership and operation, four management models proposed as follows: 1) Government-Owned and Operated with Balanced Profit and Loss 2) Government-Owned and Operated with Revenue Generation 3) Government-Owned but Privately Operated by Outsourced to Professional Manager 4) Full Privatization (Ownership and Operation by Private Individuals). The study outlined above proposes four management models for the activation of eco pastoral system in alpine grassland. It also suggests methods for the selection and performance evaluation of manager to establish a profitable structure. Additionally, the research provides management methods for the conservation of grazing ecology in pastoral ecosystems. Particularly, the adaptation of tools commonly used in South Korean business sector for the selection and performance evaluation of manager within the system of the proposed management models. This aspect is deemed valuable as it aligns these tools with the specific characteristics of eco pastoral system in alpine grassland, contributing not only to the effective implementation of the models but also to the enhancement of the revenue structure.

PURPOSES : Construction cost estimates are important information for business feasibility analysis in the planning stage of road construction projects. The quality of current construction cost estimates are highly dependent on the expert's personal experience and skills to estimate the arithmetic average construction cost based on past cases, which makes construction cost estimates subjective and unreliable. An objective approach in construction cost estimation shall be developed with the use of machine learning. In this study, past cases of road projects were analyzed and a machine learning model was developed to produce a more accurate and time-efficient construction cost estimate in teh planning stage. METHODS : After conducting case analysis of 100 road construction, a database was constructed including the road construction's details, drawings, and completion reports. To improve the construction cost estimation, Mallow's Cp. BIC, Adjusted R methodology was applied to find the optimal variables. Consequently, a plannigs-stage road construction cost estimation model was developed by applying multiple regression analysis, regression tree, case-based inference model, and artificial neural network (ANN, DNN). RESULTS : The construction cost estimation model showed excellent prediction performance despite an insufficient amount of learning data. Ten cases were randomly selected from the data base and each developed machine learning model was applied to the selected cases to calculate for the error rate, which should be less than 30% to be considered as acceptable according to American Estimating Association. As a result of the analysis, the error rates of all developed machine learning models were found to be acceptable with values rangine from 17.3% to 26.0%. Among the developed models, the ANN model yielded the least error rate. CONCLUSIONS : The results of this study can help raise awareness of the importance of building a systematic database in the construction industry, which is disadvantageous in machine learning and artificial intelligence development. In addition, it is believed that it can provide basic data for research to determine the feasibility of construction projects that require a large budget, such as road projects.

본 연구는 소나무재선충병 방제대상지 선정의 효율성을 높이기 위해 진주시를 대상으로 소나무재선충병 잠재분포를 예측하였다. 예측에 사용된 MaxEnt 모델은 회귀분석을 기반으로 종 발생 확률 평가 및 다양한 잠재분포 예측에 이용되고 있다. 종속변수로는 소나무재선충병 감염목 자료를 사용하였으며, 독립변수로는 지리 ‧ 지형 ‧ 기후적 요인으로 총 15개 인자를 사용하였다. 잠재분포 예측 결과, 모델의 성능은 AUC가 0.801로 우수한 수준의 정확도를 나타냈다. 독립변수 중에는 전년도 감염목과의 거리, 6월 하순 강우량, 5월 강우량, 화목보일러와의 거리 순으로 잠재분포에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 지속적인 소나무재선충병 감염목 DB 구축과 지리적 요인들에 대한 모니터링의 중요성이 크다는 것을 의미한다.

본 연구는 제5차 국가산림자원조사(2006-2010)에서 조사된 편백을 대상으로 흉고직경에 따른 수고 생장곡선식과 초기 수고생장 모델을 개발하여 편백의 초기 생장특성을 고려한 합리적인 산림경영계획 수립에 필요한 기초자료를 제공할 목적으로 실시하였다. 연구자료는 제5차 국가산림자원조사 자료 중 편백 표준목 353본에 대한 수고, 흉고직경, 연륜생장 자료를 이용하였다. 흉고직경에 따른 수고 생장곡선식은 Petterson 식, Log 식, Michailow 식을 이용하여 개발하였으며, 연령에 따른 초기 수고생장 모델은 Chapman-Richards 식, Gompertz 식, Schumacher 식을 이용하여 개발하였다. 본 연구 결과, 모델 검정을 통하여 흉고직경에 따른 수고 생장곡선식은 Petterson 식이 가장 적합한 것으로 나타났으며, 초기 수고생장 모델은 Gompertz 식이 가장 적합한 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서 개발한 초기 수고생장 모델을 그래프로 나타낸 결과 편백은 13년생일 때 연간 수고생장량이 0.54m로 가장 많은 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구 결과는 편백의 생장 특성 관련 연구에 활용할 수 있을 뿐 아니라 초기의 편백 조림지에 대하여 합리적인 산림경영계획 수립에 유용한 기초자료가 될 것으로 기대된다.

Bellows expansion joints enhance the displacement performance of piping systems owing to their unique geometrical features. However, structural uncertainties such as wall thinning in convolutions, a byproduct of the manufacturing process, can impair their structural integrity. This study addresses such issues by conducting a global sensitivity analysis to assess the impact of these uncertainties on the performance of bellows expansion joints under monotonic loading. Global sensitivity analysis, which examines main and nth order interaction effects, is computationally expensive. To mitigate this, we employed a surrogate model-based approach using an artificial neural network. This model demonstrated robust prediction capabilities, as evidenced by metrics such as the coefficient of determination. The sensitivity indices of the main effect for the 2-ply and 3-ply bellows at the sixth convolution were 0.3340 and 0.3233, respectively. The sensitivity index of the sixth convolution was larger than that of other convolutions because the maximum deformation of the bellows expansion joint under monotonic bending load occurs around it. Interestingly, the sensitivity index for the interaction effect was negligible (0.01%) compared to the main effect, suggesting minimal activity between uncertainty factors across convolutions. Notably, bellows expansion joints under repetitive loading exhibit more complex behaviors, with the initial leakage typically occurring at the convolution. Therefore, future studies should focus on the structural uncertainties of bellows expansion joints under cyclic loading and employ a surrogate model for comprehensive global sensitivity analysis.

이 연구는 초분광 영상으로 두 품종의 콩(청자 3호, 대찬)의 들불병을 진단할 수 있는 모델과 다중분광 영상센서를 개발하기 위해 수행되었다. 무처리구와 들불병 처리구에서 5 nm full width at half maximum (FWHM)으로 구성된 원시 초분광 중심파장들의 콩 식물 영역 반사율들을 추출하여 10 nm FWHM으로 병합한 후, t-test로 차이가 나타난 blue, green, red, red edge, NIR1 및 NIR2 각 영역에서 선정된 대표 밴드로 121개의 식생지수를 계산하였다. 식생지수를 입력변수로 support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), extra tree (EXT), extreme gradient boosting (XGB)의 머신러닝 기법과 shapley additive explanation 변수 선택 기법을 적용하여 들불병 진단에 가장 적절한 모델을 선정하고 사용된 식생지수와 파라미터를 나타내었다. T-test 결과 품종에 상관없이 blue 1개(420 nm), green 2개(500, 540 nm), red 1개(600 nm), red edge 2개(680, 700 nm), NIR1 2개(780, 840 nm), NIR2 1개(920 nm)의 총 9개 대표 밴드들이 선택되었고, 성능 평가를 통해 선정된 모델에 청자 3호의 경우 SVM모델(OA=0.86, KC=0.72, 10 VIs)이 선정되었으나 혼동행렬 분석 결과 정상오분류가 적은 RF모델이 선택되었다. RF모델(식 생지수 : RE/Blue, NSI, GDVI, Green/Blue, 파라미터 : max_depth=6, n_estimators=100)은 OA=0.81, KC=0.60, precision=0.86, recall=0.81, F1 score=0.80의 성능을 나타내었다. 대찬은 EXT모델(식생지수 : YVI, RE/Green, 2YVI, 파라미터 : max_depth=8, n_estimators=10)이 선정되 었고, OA=0.86, KC=0.72, precision=0.86, recall=0.86, F1 score=0.86의 성능을 나타내었다.

본 연구는 취약계층의 디지털 포용을 위한 기업들의 사례를 통해 탐색하고 비즈니스 모델 캔버스를 활용하여 연구·분석하였다. 취약계층에 중점을 두고, 사업 영역을 구축하고 활동하는 기업의 사례를 통 해 디지털 포용 분야의 핵심 기업 비즈니스 모델을 핵심 구성 요소별로 살펴보고 고찰하였다. 그 결과, 첫째, 디지털 포용기업의 특징으로 사업 활동의 대상이나 목표가 결코 취약계층에만 있는 것이 아니라, 사업의 모든 활동과 과정에서 취약계층을 참여시키거나 핵심 활동의 일원으로 고용을 창 출하는 것 또한 디지털 포용의 큰 의미라고 할 수 있겠다. 둘째, 정부의 노력에도 불구하고 취약계층의 사각지대는 엄연히 존재하며, 디지털 소외 계층의 해소 와 디지털 격차를 줄이는 디지털 포용기업에 대한 정부 주도의 정책이나 제도적인 보완이 필요할 때인 것으로 판단된다. 셋째, 공유가치의 등장과 사회적 가치 창출이 지속 가능한 경영의 전략으로 주목받는 현대 사회의 핵 심 이슈에 걸맞은 신 기업가 정신의 연구와 일선 기업들의 노력이 필요할 때이다. 끝으로 취약계층의 포용과 배려를 위한 기업의 노력과 확산을 바라며, 기업의 공유가치와 사회적 가 치 창출에 대한 후속 연구를 기대해 본다.

This study reports an experimental and analytical exploration of concrete columns laterally confined with Fe-based shape-memory alloy (Fe-SMA) spirals. For performing experiments, Fe-SMA rebars with a 4% prestrain and diameter of 10 mm were fabricated and concrete columns with internal Fe-SMA spiral reinforcement were constructed with a diameter of 200 mm and height of 600 mm. An acrylic bar with an attached strain gauge was embedded in the center of the specimen to measure local strains. Experimental variables encompassed the Fe-SMA spiral reinforcement, spacing, and activation temperature. Uniaxial compression tests were conducted after applying active confinement to the concrete columns through electrical-resistance heating. Notably, as the Fe-SMA spiral spacing decreased, the local failure zone length and compressive fracture energy of the prepared specimens increased. Additionally, a model incorporating compressive fracture energy was proposed to predict the stress–strain behavior of the. This model, accounting for active and passive confinement effects, demonstrated accurate predictions for the experimental results of this study as well as for previously reported results.

Maintaining sea superiority through successful mission accomplishments of warships is being proved to be an important factor of winning a war, as in the Ukraine-Russia war. in order to ensure the ability of a warship to perform its duties, the survivability of the warship must be strengthened. In particular, among the survivability factors, vulnerability is closely related to a damage assessment, and these vulnerability data are used as basic data to measure the mission capability. The warship's mission capability is usually measured using a wargame model, but only the operational effects of a macroscopic view are measured with a theater level resolution. In order to analyze the effectiveness and efficiency of a weapon system in the context of advanced weapon systems and equipments, a warship's mission capability must be measured at the engagement level resolution. To this end, not the relationship between the displacement tonnage and the weight of warheads applied in the theater level model, but an engagement level resolution vulnerability assessment method that can specify physical and functional damage at the hit position should be applied. This study proposes a method of measuring a warship’s mission capability by applying the warship vulnerability assessment method to the naval engagement level analysis model. The result can be used as basic data in developing engagement algorithms for effective and efficient operation tactics to be implemented from a single unit weapon system to multiple warships.

This study endeavors to enrich investment prospects in cryptocurrency by establishing a rationale for investment decisions. The primary objective involves evaluating the predictability of four prominent cryptocurrencies – Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, and EOS – and scrutinizing the efficacy of trading strategies developed based on the prediction model. To identify the most effective prediction model for each cryptocurrency annually, we employed three methodologies – AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Prophet – representing traditional statistics and artificial intelligence. These methods were applied across diverse periods and time intervals. The result suggested that Prophet trained on the previous 28 days' price history at 15-minute intervals generally yielded the highest performance. The results were validated through a random selection of 100 days (20 target dates per year) spanning from January 1st, 2018, to December 31st, 2022. The trading strategies were formulated based on the optimal-performing prediction model, grounded in the simple principle of assigning greater weight to more predictable assets. When the forecasting model indicates an upward trend, it is recommended to acquire the cryptocurrency with the investment amount determined by its performance. Experimental results consistently demonstrated that the proposed trading strategy yields higher returns compared to an equal portfolio employing a buy-and-hold strategy. The cryptocurrency trading model introduced in this paper carries two significant implications. Firstly, it facilitates the evolution of cryptocurrencies from speculative assets to investment instruments. Secondly, it plays a crucial role in advancing deep learning- based investment strategies by providing sound evidence for portfolio allocation. This addresses the black box issue, a notable weakness in deep learning, offering increased transparency to the model.

본 연구는 네트워크 이상 감지 및 예측을 위해 벡터 자기회귀(VAR) 모델의 사용을 비교 분석한다. VAR 모 델에 대한 간략한 개요를 제공하고 네트워크 이상 체크로 사용 가능한 두 가지 버전을 검토하며 두 종류의 VAR 모델을 통한 경험적인 평가를 제시한다. VAR-Filtered moving-common-AR 모델이 단일 노드 이상 감지 성능에서 우수하며, VAR-Adaptive Learning 버전은 몇 개의 노드 간 이상을 효과적으로 식별하는 데 특히 효 과적이며 두 가지 주요VAR 모델의 전반적인 성능 차이에 대한 근본적인 이유도 분석한다. 각 기술의 장단점 을 개요로 제공하고 성능 향상을 위한 제안도 제시하고자 한다.

본 연구에서는Stable Diffusion 프레임워크를 활용하여 게임 스타일의 스케치, 특히 도시 장면을 생성하는 방법 을 소개한다. 확산 기반의 모델인Stable Diffusion은 쉬운 접근성과 뛰어난 성능으로 많은 연구자와 일반인들에 게 선호되며, 텍스트-스케치, 이미지-스케치의 생성이 가능하다. Stable Diffusion의 몇 가지 문제는 이미지의 국 소성 보존 문제 및 미세 조정인데, 이를ControlNet과DreamBooth를 사용하여 해결한다. 결과적으로, 본 연구를 통 해 게임 제작에 사용될 수 있는 텍스트-스케치, 이미지-스케치 생성이 가능하며, 더 나아가 아티스트를 돕는 툴 로도 활용될 수 있다.

본 연구는 테이블 탑 보드게임 개발 방법론인 CDR 모델을 제안하여 보드게임 개발과정에서의 어려움을 일 부 해소하고 나아가 디자이너가 개발 경험을 지속할 수 있는 토대를 마련하는 것이 목적이다. 이를 위해 보 드게임 개발 방법론인 CDR 모델을 설계하고 보드게임 개발 경험이 있는 전문가 패널 15명을 대상으로 인터 뷰를 진행하였다. 연구 결과 CDR 모델이 기존의 개발 방법론보다 체계적인 개발이 가능하도록 설계되어 개 발 시 단계별 작업 내용을 확인하고, 오류를 줄이면서 누락내용 없이 개발이 가능한 것으로 나타났다. 본 연 구에 의한 CDR 모델을 통해 보드게임을 만들고자 하는 디자이너는 보드게임을 디자인하는 데 있어서 가장 중요한 게임요소와 그것을 어떻게 부각할지에 대한 고민을 해결하고 개발을 지속할 수 있는 토대를 마련하 는 데 도움이 될 것으로 기대한다.

Effects-Based Operations (EBO) refers to a process for achieving strategic goals by focusing on effects rather than attrition-based destruction. For a successful implementation of EBO, identifying key nodes in an adversary network is crucial in the process of EBO. In this study, we suggest a network-based approach that combines network centrality and optimization to select the most influential nodes. First, we analyze the adversary’s network structure to identify the node influence using degree and betweenness centrality. Degree centrality refers to the extent of direct links of a node to other nodes, and betweenness centrality refers to the extent to which a node lies between the paths connecting other nodes of a network together. Based on the centrality results, we then suggest an optimization model in which we minimize the sum of the main effects of the adversary by identifying the most influential nodes under the dynamic nature of the adversary network structure. Our results show that key node identification based on our optimization model outperforms simple centrality-based node identification in terms of decreasing the entire network value. We expect that these results can provide insight not only to military field for selecting key targets, but also to other multidisciplinary areas in identifying key nodes when they are interacting to each other in a network.

Numerous factors contribute to the deterioration of reinforced concrete structures. Elevated temperatures significantly alter the composition of the concrete ingredients, consequently diminishing the concrete's strength properties. With the escalation of global CO2 levels, the carbonation of concrete structures has emerged as a critical challenge, substantially affecting concrete durability research. Assessing and predicting concrete degradation due to thermal effects and carbonation are crucial yet intricate tasks. To address this, multiple prediction models for concrete carbonation and compressive strength under thermal impact have been developed. This study employs seven machine learning algorithms—specifically, multiple linear regression, decision trees, random forest, support vector machines, k-nearest neighbors, artificial neural networks, and extreme gradient boosting algorithms—to formulate predictive models for concrete carbonation and thermal impact. Two distinct datasets, derived from reported experimental studies, were utilized for training these predictive models. Performance evaluation relied on metrics like root mean square error, mean square error, mean absolute error, and coefficient of determination. The optimization of hyperparameters was achieved through k-fold cross-validation and grid search techniques. The analytical outcomes demonstrate that neural networks and extreme gradient boosting algorithms outshine the remaining five machine learning approaches, showcasing outstanding predictive performance for concrete carbonation and thermal effect modeling.