Distribution and logistics industries contribute some of the biggest GDP(gross domestic product) in South Korea and the number of related companies are quarter of the total number of industries in the country. The number of retail tech companies are quickly increased due to the acceleration of the online and untact shopping trend. Furthermore, major distribution and logistics companies try to achieve integrated data management with the fulfillment process. In contrast, small and medium distribution companies still lack of the capacity and ability to develop digital innovation and smartization. Therefore, in this paper, a deep learning-based demand forecasting & recommendation model is proposed to improve business competitiveness. The proposed model is developed based on real sales transaction data to predict future demand for each product. The proposed model consists of six deep learning models, which are MLP(multi-layers perception), CNN(convolution neural network), RNN(recurrent neural network), LSTM(long short term memory), Conv1D-BiLSTM(convolution-long short term memory) for demand forecasting and collaborative filtering for the recommendation. Each model provides the best prediction result for each product and recommendation model can recommend best sales product among companies own sales list as well as competitor’s item list. The proposed demand forecasting model is expected to improve the competitiveness of the small and medium-sized distribution and logistics industry.
서초구가 진행하고 있는 사법정의 허브 조성사업에서 법원도서관은 ‘사법정의 허브’의 랜드마크로서의 역할과 기능을 모색해야 할 것이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 법원도서관이 ‘사법부 지식정보 공유 복합센터 역할 을 할 수 있는 방안을 모색하고자 하였으며, 이를 위해 법률분야를 포함 한 전문가 면담 및 이용자 인식조사를 실시하였다. 연구결과, 법원도서관 은 첫째, 국가대표 법률 전문도서관으로서 복합문화공간 기능 및 역할을 확대해야 할 것으로 파악되었다. 둘째, 법률전문가 대상 온라인 서비스, 각종 법률자료의 디지털화와 온라인 서비스 확대, 다양한 법률 관련 도 서관과의 협력 네트워킹, 어디서든 판례 정보를 열람할 수 있는 네트워 크 시스템 구축 및 서비스가 제공해야 할 것이다. 셋째, 복합문화공간에 대한 높은 수요가 있었으며, 국가법률문헌보존관의 기능을 할 수 있는 공동보존자료관의 건립필요성에 대한 인식도 높게 나타났다. 본 연구를 기반으로 향후 연구에서는 복합센터 건립 부지에 대한 연구 및 복합센터 건축의 기본 방향에 대한 연구도 수행될 필요가 있다고 본다.
이 연구에서는 예비 초등교사들이 금융교육을 통해 무엇을 배우고 싶어하는지를 금융교육 수요로 정의하고, 24개 금융교육 내용 요소에 대한 수요를 조사하였다. 금융교육에 대한 수요가 가장 높은 내용 요소는 ‘저축에 영향을 주는 요인’, ‘예산과 예산관리’, ‘고령사회와 연금’이었으며, 수요가 가장 낮은 내용 요소는 ‘지불 수단’, ‘소득의 결정 원인’, ‘저축의 경 제적 의의’였다. 금융교육에 대한 수요에 나이, 성별, 금융이해력 등이 미치는 영향은 없었 으며, 금융교육의 필요성에 대한 인식만 통계적으로 유의한 영향을 미쳤다. 본 연구는 예비 초등교사인 교육대학 재학생, 특히 신입생을 주요 대상으로 하였기 때문에 보다 다양한 연 령 및 집단을 대상으로 한 후속 연구의 필요성이 제안되었다.
PURPOSES : This study sought ways to connect urban above ground roads and underground roads to utilize urban space more efficiently in the development of underground roads, which are currently under development in order to alleviate problems caused by oversaturated above-ground roads. A simulation analysis was performed to develop an operation strategy that connects above-ground and underground roads to prevent congestion in above-ground areas such as entrances and exits from transferring to underground roads as well as to present its effectiveness. METHODS : Traffic efficiency analysis according to the operation strategy of above ground and underground roads was conducted using VISSIM, a microscopic traffic simulation software. The functions implemented in VISSIM were collected to set effectiveness analysis indicators for each underground road operation strategy. The Shinwol-Yeoui Underground Road was selected as the spatial scope of this study, and a surrounding road network was constructed. In addition, full-scale simulation analysis preparations were completed by performing network calibration based on the actual traffic attribute data of underground and surrounding surface roads within the construction scope. Accordingly, a traffic efficiency evaluation analysis was conducted based on the underground road operation strategy. CONCLUSIONS : Information on the increase in traffic volume within the Shinwol-Yeoui underpass was collected every 15 min. The analysis was divided into an analysis of the traffic situation within the underpass through demand control when the service level reached level D and an analysis of when demand control was not performed. It was found that demand control was necessary for the Shinwol-Yeoui Underpass when the internal traffic volume reached 2,500 vehicles/h. In addition, to analyze the spread of traffic and congestion owing to the weaving phenomenon caused by lane changes in the underpass, an analysis was conducted to observe the traffic improvement effect when full lane changes are possible for the Shinwol-Yeoui Underground Road, which currently has some lane-change-permitted sections. The analysis showed that both the maximum traffic volume and average travel speed showed better results when lane changes were allowed, and the communication situation at Yeoui JCT was found optimal.
본 연구는 입시컨설팅사교육을 경험한 학생들의 인터뷰 및 사교육 종사자와 공교육 종사자의 전문가적 견해를 탐색함 으로써, 입시컨설팅사교육 서비스 상품의 수요실태를 분석하는 것을 목적으로 하였다. 학생 10명, 사교육기관 종사자 8 명, 공교육 종사자 6명을 대상으로 인터뷰를 진행하여 자료를 수집하고, 주제분석법을 활용하여 연구결과를 도출하였다. 주요 연구 결과를 종합해보면, 첫째, 학생들이 입시컨설팅사교육을 수요하는 목적은 진로 및 진학에 대한 정보 획득, 진 로 및 전공 선택에 대한 의사결정 도움, 구체적인 입시계획 수립, 불안심리를 완화하는 것이었다. 입시컨설팅사교육에 대 한 만족도는 진학 선택이 진로 선택에 비해 상대적으로 좋았으며, 고가일수록 더 긍정적이었다. 둘째, 입시컨설팅사교육 의 수요 경로는 지인추천, 학원 및 사교육 업체 추천, 입시 관련 커뮤니티를 통한 참여, 사교육 기관의 설명회(간담회)를 통한 참여 등 다양하였다. 셋째, 입시컨설팅사교육의 비용은 상담 횟수, 전공에 따라 다양했으며, 지역적으로 차이가 있 었다. 학생들은 미래의 위험 완화와 안정성을 입시컨설팅사교육에 기대하였고, 높은 비용에 대한 부담을 느끼고 있음에 도 불구하고 고가의 입시컨설팅사교육을 수요하고 있었다. 입시컨설팅 사교육 비용은 학생들이 유리한 정보를 취득하기 위한 교육 투자의 성격을 가지는 동시에 불안심리를 완화하는 소비적인 경향이 있었다. 입시컨설팅사교육의 효용성을 높 이기 위해서는 학생 및 학부모의 합리적인 의사결정이 중요하고, 사교육 종사자가 시장의 논리에 매몰되지 않는 서비스 를 제공하여야 한다. 정부는 공교육 내실화의 일환으로 진로전담교사를 양성하고, 필요한 경우에는 사교육분야의 컨설턴 트들과 위탁 및 협조할 필요가 있다.
최근 국민 삶의질 향상, 여가 활동 다변화, 인구구조의 변화 등으로 관광수요 증가 및 관광활동이 다양화되고 있다. 특히 연안 도시의 경우, 육상 관광 요소와 해양관광 요소가 공존하는 지역으로 다양한 요인이 관광수요에 영향을 미치고 있다. 본 연구 목적은 본 연구는 행위자 기반의 데이터를 활용하여 관광규모의 시계열 분석을 통해 예측 정확도를 향상시키고, 영향요인을 탐색하고자 한다. 연구 대상은 부산 지역 내 기초자치단체이며, 데이터는 월단위의 관광객수와 관광소비금액을 활용하였다. 연구방법으로 확정적(결정적) 모형 인 단변량 시계열 분석과 영향요인을 파악하기 위해 SARIMAX 분석을 수행하였다. 영향요인은 관광소비성향을 설정하였으며, 업종별 소 비금액과 SNS 언급량을 중심으로 설정하였다. 연구결과 COVID-19를 고려하지 않은 시계열 모형과 고려한 모형 간의 정확도(RMSE 기준) 차이가 지역별로 최소 1.8배에서 최대 32.7배 향상되었다. 또한 영향요인을 보면 관광소비업종과 SNS 트렌드가 관광객수와 관광소비금액 에 유의한 영향을 미치고 있다. 따라서 미래 수요예측을 위해서는 외적 영향을 고려하고, 관광객의 소비성향과 관심도가 지역관광 측면에 서 고려 대상이 된다. 본 연구는 연안도시인 부산 지역의 미래 관광수요 예측과 관광규모에 미치고 있는 영향요인을 파악하여 정부 관광 정책 및 관광추세를 고려한 관광수요태세 마련을 위한 정책 의사결정에 기여하고자 한다.
PURPOSES : This study is to develop an comprehensive validation methodology for autonomous mobility-on-demand system with level 4 automated driving system. METHODS : The proposed method includes the quantitative techniques for validating both automated driving system and center system using each optimal indicators. In addition, a novel method for validating the whole system applying multi-criteria decision methodology is suggested. RESULTS : The relative weights for the vehicle system was higher than the center systems. Moreover, the relative weights of failure rate for validating the vehicle system was the highest, in addition to, a relative weight for accuracy of dynamic routing algorithm within center system was the highest. CONCLUSIONS : The proposed methodology will be applicable to validate the autonomous mobility on demand system quantitatively considering the relative weights for each systems.
This study examines the demand system of shrimp imported from top four countries and domestically produced by using AIDS (Almost Ideal Demand System) model. Top four import countries are Vietnam, Ecuador, China, and Malaysia based on the value of imports in 2021. As results of the analysis, the demand system of shrimp turn out to be below. First, the relationship of domestic shrimp and imported shrimp (Ecuadorian and Vietnamese) is identified as complements or substitutes depending on whether the income effect is considered. This result implies that imported shrimp supplements domestic supply against excess demand while homogeneous shrimp products competes with domestic shrimp in fish market. Second, the relationship among imported shrimps turned out to be both substitutes and complements. Especially, the Vietnamese shrimp is complementary with Chinese and Malaysian shrimp, but substitutes of Ecuadorian. It is assumed that adjoining Asian countries shares similar shrimp species and processing system which differentiates from Ecuadorian. Finally, the study included quarter as dummy variable and GDP as instrumental variable of expenditure in the model. The result confirmed that domestic shrimp is highly on demand during the main production season while imported shrimp is mainly demanded during the rest of the season.
PURPOSES : This study proposes a method for comparative analysis, based on geographic information systems (GIS), that can be used when introducing demand-responsive transit in areas where public transportation is not available.
METHODS : To analyze areas where public transportation is neglected, bus stop location information, building location information, and administrative district boundary data for the census were acquired. Geocoding was used for address-based raw data to create a spatial database. Based on the collected data, the proportion of households separated by a certain minimum distance from a bus stop was aggregated and constructed through near analysis. When introducing a demand-responsive transit system, the operational cost was calculated and compared with the existing city bus transportation cost.
RESULTS : Results show that the operating costs of introducing demand-responsive transit can be compared and analyzed using the proposed method, for a case study of Daejeon Metropolitan City.
CONCLUSIONS : It is economically efficient to avoid the entry of route buses and introduce demand-responsive transit in areas isolated from public transportation where the number of people getting on and off is extremely low.
PURPOSES : The primary purpose of this study is to develop a framework for predicting the demand and distribution of pedestrians when an open space zone is built at the top through the undergroundization of the Gyeongin Expressway.
METHODS : After analyzing the current status through a survey on the number of people, students, surrounding traffic volume, and future socioeconomic indicators, the rate of change in the floating population and the rate of increase and decrease in the traffic volume of pedestrians were calculated to evaluate the effect. In addition, microscopic analysis results were derived by setting a pedestrian analysis zone (PAZ). A walking environment index (WEI) was developed that can quantitatively evaluate the degree of walking activation by indicating walking-related surrounding environmental factors. Based on this, a walking demand prediction model was developed. In addition, the results were validated by calculating the walking volume through a micro-simulation in/around the open space zone.
RESULTS : The number of crosswalks and schools, transit development indicators, and pedestrian volume increased as the WEI value increased. However, the log form of the distance was observed to be a factor that reduced walking.
CONCLUSIONS : This study attempted to reliably predict the demand for walking on the Gyeongin Expressway by calculating the amount of induced walking and the amount of passing walking. The pedestrian demand can be boosted by improving walking environments.
PURPOSES : Recently, increasing number of local governments are introducing on-demand public transportation service in real time to improve the management efficiency of public transportation. In preparation for the autonomous driving era, the “autonomous public transportation mobility on-demand service in real time” is being developed in the public transportation sector to introduce on-demand public transportation. For this service to become the public transportation of the future, it must receive publicity. Therefore, in this study, indicators were selected to evaluate the publicity of the autonomous public transportation mobility on-demand service in real time, and a survey was conducted among the general public to examine the validity of the indicators.
METHODS : To secure the publicity of on-demand public transportation in real time, the goal of the service was first set. Second, the keywords of the service were analyzed to define the publicity requirements of this service. Based on the analyzed keywords and definition of publicity, service indicator types were classified, and the indicators were defined by type. A user satisfaction survey was conducted on the final selected indicators to improve the degree of completion of indicator development. The user survey was conducted by presenting selected publicity indicators to respondents responding on a five-point scale to determine whether each indicator could satisfactorily evaluate publicity.
RESULTS : When examining various previous research cases and the contents required for autonomous public transportation mobility on-demand service in real time, the required items of publicity indicators were found to be “safety” in terms of “autonomous driving” and “convenience” in terms of “demand response.” Publicity indicators were developed according to these three items. Thirty-one indicators were developed, and a satisfaction survey was conducted on the general public for each indicator. In the survey, most of the indicators scored 3.5 points or higher, indicating that the indicators were generally well defined. Users gave the highest score to “fairness” among the three items, and “reasonable fairness” was found to be a necessary item as a publicity indicator.
CONCLUSIONS : In this study, evaluation indicators were selected to secure the publicity of autonomous public transportation mobility on-demand service in real time, and a satisfaction survey was conducted for each indicator. Most of the indicators showed a score of 3.5 or higher, indicating that they were generally well defined. However, this study has a limitation in that it surveys the general population. In future, experts should be included in the survey to increase the degree of completeness of the public indicators.
본 연구의 목적은 국가문화와 국제관광수요와의 인과성을 규명하는데 있 다. 본 연구의 목적을 달성하기 위하여 Hofstede 국가문화차원 이론을 바탕으 로 한국문화와 일본문화와 베트남관광수요와의 인과성에 대해 실증분석하였 다. 실증분석에 앞서 한국과 일본문화를 Hofstede 6가지 문화차원을 바탕으로 비교 분석하였으며, 국가 간 문화차이를 나타내는 문화적 거리를 계측하였다. 한국과 일본문화는 남성성 차원과 개인주의 차원에서 가장 큰 차이를 나타내 었다. 관광목적지 국가인 한국⋅일본과 관광객 원척국가인 베트남과의 문화 적 거리를 계측한 결과 일본문화에 비해 한국문화가 베트남문화에 더 가까운 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서는 중력모형을 기초로 국제관광수요 결정요인 중 전통적인 경 제요인으로는 GDP, 환율 변수 그리고 문화요인으로는 문화적 거리 변수를 설 명변수로 설정하고 한국과 일본을 방문하는 베트남 관광수요에 미치는 영향 을 분석하였다. 분석결과 본 연구모형에 사용된 모든 변수들은 한국과 일본을 방문하는 베트남 관광수요에 유효한 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구 에서 주요 관심사이었던 문화적 거리 변수는 한국과 일본을 방문하는 베트남 관광수요에 부(-)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 즉 문화적 거리가 멀수록 관광수요에 부정적인 영향을 미친다는 것을 추정할 수 있다. 특히, 문화요인 인 문화적 거리 변수는 GDP와 환율과 같은 경제요인보다 베트남 관광수요에 더 큰 영향을 미치는 것으로 추정되었다. 이는 한국과 일본을 방문하는 베트 남 관광객의 경우 관광목적지를 선택에 있어 문화가 중요한 요인이 되며 문 화적으로 유사한 목적지를 선택한다고 해석할 수 있다.
The present study was performed to investigate the effects of NH3-N and nitrifying microorganisms on the increased BOD of downstream of the Yeongsan river in Gwangju. Water samples were collected periodically from the 13 sampling sites of rivers from April to October 2021 to monitor water qualities. In addition, the trends of nitrogenous biochemical oxygen demand (NBOD) and microbial clusters were analyzed by adding different NH3-N concentrations to the water samples. The monitoring results showed that NH3-N concentration in the Yeongsan river was 22 times increased after the inflow of discharged water from the Gwangju 1st public sewage treatment plant (G-1-PSTP). Increased NH3-N elevated NBOD levels through the nitrification process in the river, consequently, it would attribute to the increase of BOD in the Yeongsan river. Meanwhile, there was no proportional relation between NBOD and NH3-N concentrations. However, there was a significant difference in NBOD occurrence by sampling sites. Specifically, when 5 mg/L NH3-N was added, NBOD of the river sample showed 2-4 times higher values after the inflow of discharged water from G-1-PSTP. Therefore, it could be thought other factors such as microorganisms influence the elevated NBOD levels. Through next-generation sequencing analysis, nitrifying microorganisms such as Nitrosomonas, Nitroga, and Nitrospira (Genus) were detected in rivers samples, especially, the proportion of them was the highest in river samples after the inflow of discharged water from G-1-PSTP. These results indicated the effects of nitrifying microorganisms and NH3-N concentrations as important limiting factors on the increased NBOD levels in the rivers. Taken together, comprehensive strategies are needed not only to reduce the NH3-N concentration of discharged water but also to control discharged nitrifying microorganisms to effectively reduce the NBOD levels in the downstream of the Yeongsan river where discharged water from G-1-PSTP flows.
본 연구는 서울시의 강남구, 서초구, 송파구에 소재하고 있는 반일제 이상 교육기관(일명 영어유치원)에 다니는 유아 의 부모를 대상으로, 유아 사교육 수요동기 및 인식, 주거환경 및 사회경제적지위에 대한 인식을 알아보고, 이러한 요인 들이 사교육 참여 개수 및 비용에 미치는 영향을 알아보는 것을 목적으로 하였다. 이를 통해 학부모가 자녀 사교육과 관 련된 요인을 다면적으로 검토하고, 인식을 전환함으로써 과열된 유아 사교육이 완화되는 방안을 모색하였다. 이를 위해 학부모 396명을 대상으로 설문자료를 수집하였으며, IBM SPSS statistics 20 프로그램을 활용하여 자료를 분석하였다. 본 연구의 주요결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 학부모의 사교육 수요동기는 자녀의 인적자본을 축적하기 위해, 자녀를 잘 키우고 자, 자녀가 좀 더 나은 졸업장을 획득하게 하고자, 남들이 사교육을 받기 때문에, 자녀가 경쟁우위를 점하게 하고자 하는 순서로 분석되었다. 학부모의 사교육에 대한 인식은 기대감이 높은 반면, 부담감과 의존도는 상대적으로 낮고, 주거환경 보다 사회경제적지위에 대한 인식이 높은 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 사교육 참여 개수는 자녀를 적게 낳는 만큼 잘 키우고 싶은 마음이 클수록, 부모의 학력과 소득이 높을수록, 자녀의 연령이 올라갈수록 많았다. 사교육비용은 자녀의 인적자본 을 축적하고 싶은 마음이 높을수록, 주거환경이 사교육에 노출되어 있고, 부모의 소득수준과 사교육경험이 있을수록, 자 녀의 연령이 높을수록, 부모가 해외거주 경험이 없을수록 높은 것으로 나타났다. 셋째, 사교육 수요동기 및 사교육 인식 과 사교육비용 간의 관계에서 주거환경 및 사회경제적지위 인식은 매개효과가 있는 것으로 나타났다.
Based on the nonlinear static analysis and the approximate seismic evaluation method adopted in “Guidelines for seismic performance evaluation for existing buildings, two methods to calculate strength demand for retrofitting individual structural walls in unreinforced masonry buildings are proposed.” The displacement coefficient method to determine displacement demand from nonlinear static analysis results is used for the inverse calculation of overall strength demand required to reduce the displacement demand to a target value meeting the performance objective of the unreinforced masonry building to retrofit. A preliminary seismic evaluation method to screen out vulnerable buildings, of which detailed evaluation is necessary, is utilized to calculate overall strength demand without structural analysis based on the difference between the seismic demand and capacity. A system modification factor is introduced to the preliminary seismic evaluation method to reduce the strength demand considering inelastic deformation. The overall strength demand is distributed to the structural walls to retrofit based on the wall stiffness, including the remaining walls or otherwise. Four detached residential houses are modeled and analyzed using the nonlinear static and preliminary evaluation procedures to examine the proposed method.